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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
March 6, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
16Hornets72%9996
30Cavaliers28%9281
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 24.9
41.0
17.3
18
60%
5
1
0
0
1
2
1
4
2-2
100%
5-9
2-4
56%
48%
2-5
40%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 30.5
34.9
23.0
23
68%
7
1
1
1
0
1
2
5
7-9
78%
8-13
5-9
62%
53%
0-0
-
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 28.4
33.4
27.9
10
71%
7
1
0
1
4
1
1
6
0-0
-
5-7
4-7
71%
57%
0-0
-
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 25.8
26.9
36.1
13
60%
1
11
0
2
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
4-9
5-9
44%
53%
1-1
100%
Quincy Pondexter
F · 6'7" 230 · 23.0
15.1
19.0
0
0%
2
1
0
1
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
2-3
0%
51%
0-2
0%
Willie Green
G · 6'3" 205 · 29.6
32.9
24.6
10
48%
4
1
3
1
0
4
0
4
0-1
0%
5-8
3-7
63%
52%
0-2
0%
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 27.4
28.1
25.8
14
65%
6
5
2
1
0
1
0
6
4-4
100%
5-9
4-8
56%
50%
0-0
-
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 27.5
12.9
26.5
6
50%
2
0
0
1
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
3-6
5-8
50%
53%
0-0
-
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 26.2
9.2
12.4
0
0%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
55%
0-0
-
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 25.0
5.6
7.6
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
47%
0-0
-
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 25.7
17.3
1
2-3
49%
David Andersen
· 6'11" 247 · 30.7
3.5
0
0-1
51%
DJ Mbenga
C · 7'0" 255 · 30.2
Marcus Banks
G · 6'2" 205 · 29.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
JJ Hickson
C-F · 6'9" 242 · 22.5
36.9
32.3
15
43%
10
2
0
1
1
1
4
6
5-6
83%
5-15
6-13
33%
48%
0-0
-
Ramon Sessions
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.9
33.7
32.3
15
49%
2
4
0
1
0
3
0
2
9-12
75%
3-10
5-11
30%
46%
0-0
-
Anthony Parker
G · 6'6" 210 · 35.7
32.5
30.9
8
38%
1
2
0
1
0
1
0
1
1-1
100%
2-5
2-5
40%
44%
1-5
20%
Samardo Samuels
· 6'9" 260 · 22.2
31.9
27.0
11
46%
8
1
0
1
3
3
3
5
3-7
43%
4-8
4-9
50%
48%
0-1
0%
Alonzo Gee
F · 6'6" 225 · 23.8
28.6
21.1
6
43%
5
2
1
1
2
1
0
5
0-0
-
3-5
2-4
60%
44%
0-2
0%
Baron Davis
G · 6'3" 212 · 31.9
27.8
21.0
17
74%
5
6
2
1
1
4
0
5
1-1
100%
2-4
3-6
50%
44%
4-7
57%
Christian Eyenga
F · 6'7" 210 · 21.7
16.4
20.8
3
30%
3
2
1
1
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
0-3
2-5
0%
47%
1-2
50%
Luke Harangody
F · 6'7" 245 · 23.2
16.1
13.4
4
40%
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
1-3
50%
45%
0-1
0%
Semih Erden
C · 7'0" 240 · 24.6
11.1
6.8
0
0%
5
0
0
0
1
1
5
0
0-0
-
0-3
1-1
0%
51%
0-0
-
Manny Harris
G · 6'5" 185 · 21.5
4.9
13.6
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
42%
0-0
-
Ryan Hollins
C · 7'0" 240 · 26.4
8.5
0
1-2
55%
Joey Graham
F · 6'7" 230 · 28.7
7.1
0
1-2
50%
Daniel Gibson
G · 6'2" 200 · 25.0
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 28.4
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 34.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.