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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
February 25, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
28Wizards12%88113
1Heat88%104121
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
John Wall
G · 6'4" 210 · 20.5
38.7
38.3
24
59%
3
12
0
2
0
4
1
2
9-12
75%
6-13
5-12
46%
42%
1-2
50%
Nick Young
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 25.7
37.0
30.7
38
84%
3
1
1
1
0
2
0
3
8-8
100%
6-11
5-11
55%
45%
6-8
75%
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 30.8
36.1
26.8
9
41%
5
3
0
1
0
0
0
5
0-0
-
3-7
4-8
43%
44%
1-4
25%
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 23.1
35.7
17.4
18
52%
17
0
1
0
0
1
6
11
0-3
0%
9-16
2-5
56%
51%
0-0
-
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 31.6
20.9
19.5
5
28%
4
1
1
1
1
1
2
2
0-0
-
1-6
2-3
17%
48%
1-3
33%
Yi Jianlian
F · 7'0" 250 · 23.3
16.5
12.2
4
67%
2
0
0
0
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
1-4
67%
41%
0-0
-
Maurice Evans
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 32.3
14.4
19.2
7
58%
2
0
0
0
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
2-2
1-3
100%
45%
1-4
25%
Trevor Booker
F · 6'8" 228 · 23.3
11.8
17.6
2
100%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
49%
0-0
-
Kevin Seraphin
F-C · 6'10" 278 · 21.2
11.1
12.2
4
50%
7
0
0
0
0
0
3
4
0-0
-
2-4
1-3
50%
44%
0-0
-
Mike Bibby
G · 6'2" 195 · 32.8
10.2
21.0
0
0%
0
4
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
41%
0-2
0%
Jordan Crawford
· 6'4" 195 · 22.3
7.5
12.8
2
33%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
39%
0-0
-
Cartier Martin
F · 6'7" 220 · 26.3
17.2
0
1-3
41%
Andray Blatche
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 24.5
Al Thornton
F · 6'8" 235 · 27.2
Hamady Ndiaye
C · 7'0" 235 · 24.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 26.2
42.8
36.1
25
65%
9
7
1
2
3
1
1
8
15-19
79%
5-10
9-16
50%
55%
0-1
0%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 26.9
40.2
37.1
15
53%
8
0
0
1
1
1
0
8
5-5
100%
5-12
7-14
42%
53%
0-0
-
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 29.1
39.5
38.6
41
66%
5
2
2
2
0
2
0
5
3-9
33%
16-24
9-17
67%
54%
2-3
67%
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 24.8
32.6
32.6
14
71%
3
3
1
2
0
1
1
2
2-2
100%
3-4
2-4
75%
52%
2-5
40%
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 35.6
21.9
24.5
7
93%
2
1
0
0
1
1
0
2
3-4
75%
2-2
2-3
100%
61%
0-0
-
Zydrunas Ilgauskas
C · 7'3" 260 · 35.7
25.4
5.4
8
68%
5
0
0
0
1
0
2
3
2-2
100%
3-5
1-2
60%
50%
0-0
-
Eddie House
G · 6'1" 190 · 32.8
22.9
19.6
9
58%
1
1
1
1
0
1
0
1
4-4
100%
1-4
1-3
25%
46%
1-2
50%
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 30.4
12.1
16.2
2
20%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
0-1
33%
41%
0-2
0%
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 38.0
2.6
2.8
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
48%
0-0
-
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 28.5
18.2
0
1-1
52%
Carlos Arroyo
G · 6'2" 200 · 31.6
4.1
0
0-1
49%
Jamaal Magloire
C · 6'11" 265 · 32.8
3.2
0
0-1
47%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 30.7
Dexter Pittman
C · 6'11" 285 · 23.0
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 31.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.