FinalWin Prob.pScore
2812%88
113
188%104
121
ORTG#PossPace
WAS logo WAS
117.796100.2
MIA logo MIA
126.09692.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatWizardsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatWizardsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventWASMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA113
0%
121
100%
Q4 - 0:08.0MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)113
0.1%
121
99.9%
Q4 - 0:09.0WASMISS Wall 26' 3PT Jump Shot113
0.1%
121
99.9%
Q4 - 0:15.0WASYi REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)113
0.1%
121
99.9%
Q4 - 0:16.0MIAMISS James Free Throw 2 of 2113
0.1%
121
99.9%
Q4 - 0:16.0MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (25 PTS)113
0.1%
121
99.9%
Q4 - 0:16.0MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)113
0.1%
120
99.9%
Q4 - 0:17.0WASMISS McGee 8' Floating Jump Shot113
0.1%
120
99.9%
Q4 - 0:21.0WASWizards Rebound113
0.1%
120
99.9%
Q4 - 0:22.0WASMISS Young 3' Driving Layup113
0.1%
120
99.9%
Q4 - 0:27.0MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)113
0.2%
120
99.8%
Q4 - 0:27.0MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)113
0.3%
119
99.7%
Q4 - 0:29.0WASYoung Free Throw 3 of 3 (38 PTS)113
0.5%
118
99.5%
Q4 - 0:29.0WASYoung Free Throw 2 of 3 (37 PTS)112
0.4%
118
99.6%
Q4 - 0:29.0WASYoung Free Throw 1 of 3 (36 PTS)111
0.4%
118
99.6%
Q4 - 0:38.0MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)110
0.2%
118
99.8%
Q4 - 0:38.0MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)110
0.2%
117
99.8%
Q4 - 0:51.0WASWall 3' Driving Layup (24 PTS)110
0.6%
116
99.4%
Q4 - 0:57.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (41 PTS)108
0.4%
116
99.6%
Q4 - 0:57.0MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 2108
0.4%
115
99.6%
Q4 - 1:10WASMcGee 1' Putback Dunk (18 PTS)108
0.5%
115
99.5%
Q4 - 1:10WASMcGee REBOUND (Off:6 Def:11)106
0.3%
115
99.7%
Q4 - 1:11WASJames BLOCK (3 BLK)106
0.2%
115
99.8%
Q4 - 1:15WASYi REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)106
0.4%
115
99.6%
Q4 - 1:16MIAMISS Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot106
0.3%
115
99.7%
Q4 - 1:37MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)106
0.3%
115
99.7%
Q4 - 1:38MIAMISS Chalmers 21' Jump Shot106
0.5%
115
99.5%
Q4 - 1:52WASYoung 20' Jump Shot (35 PTS) (Wall 12 AST)106
0.4%
115
99.6%
Q4 - 2:02MIADampier Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)104
0.3%
115
99.7%
Q4 - 2:02MIADampier Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)104
0.3%
114
99.7%
Q4 - 2:06WASHoward 22' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Wall 11 AST)104
0.4%
113
99.6%
Q4 - 2:16MIADampier Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)102
0.3%
113
99.7%
Q4 - 2:16MIAMISS Dampier Free Throw 1 of 2102
0.3%
112
99.7%
Q4 - 2:17MIAHEAT Rebound102
0.2%
112
99.8%
Q4 - 2:18MIAMISS Wade 2' Driving Reverse Layup102
0.4%
112
99.6%
Q4 - 2:30MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)102
0.2%
112
99.8%
Q4 - 2:31WASMISS Young 3PT Jump Shot102
0.3%
112
99.7%
Q4 - 2:47MIABosh 16' Jump Shot (15 PTS)102
0.5%
112
99.5%
Q4 - 3:10WASYoung 26' 3PT Jump Shot (33 PTS) (Wall 10 AST)102
0.9%
110
99.1%
Q4 - 3:16WASHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)99
0.4%
110
99.6%
Q4 - 3:17MIAMISS Bosh 3' Driving Reverse Layup99
0.3%
110
99.7%
Q4 - 3:41WASWall Foul Turnover (P4.T12)99
0.5%
110
99.5%
Q4 - 3:44MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)99
0.8%
110
99.2%
Q4 - 4:02WASYoung 26' 3PT Jump Shot (30 PTS) (Wall 9 AST)99
0.5%
110
99.5%
Q4 - 4:21MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)96
0.2%
110
99.8%
Q4 - 4:21MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)96
0.2%
109
99.8%
Q4 - 4:38WASMcGee 2' Dunk (16 PTS)96
0.3%
108
99.7%
Q4 - 4:39WASMcGee REBOUND (Off:5 Def:11)94
0.2%
108
99.8%
Q4 - 4:40WASMISS Wall 5' Jump Shot94
0.2%
108
99.8%
Q4 - 4:52WASWall REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)94
0.2%
108
99.8%
Q4 - 4:53MIAMISS Bosh 6' Jump Shot94
0.2%
108
99.8%
Q4 - 5:03MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)94
0.3%
108
99.7%
Q4 - 5:04WASMISS Howard 24' 3PT Jump Shot94
0.3%
108
99.7%
Q4 - 5:24MIAWade 2' Driving Layup (40 PTS)94
0.4%
108
99.6%
Q4 - 5:29MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)94
0.6%
106
99.4%
Q4 - 5:30WASMISS Howard 10' Jump Shot94
0.6%
106
99.4%
Q4 - 5:52MIABosh 9' Fadeaway Jumper (11 PTS)94
0.8%
106
99.2%
Q4 - 6:15MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)94
1.4%
104
98.6%
Q4 - 6:16WASMISS McGee Free Throw 1 of 194
1.5%
104
98.5%
Q4 - 6:27WASHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)92
1.1%
104
98.9%
Q4 - 6:28MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 292
1.0%
104
99.0%
Q4 - 6:28MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (38 PTS)92
0.9%
104
99.1%
Q4 - 6:34MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)92
1.1%
103
98.9%
Q4 - 6:35WASMISS Wall 8' Jump Shot92
1.2%
103
98.8%
Q4 - 6:49MIAWade 4' Driving Layup (37 PTS) (James 7 AST)92
1.5%
103
98.5%
Q4 - 7:07WASWall 18' Jump Shot (22 PTS)92
2.3%
101
97.7%
Q4 - 7:26MIAHouse Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)90
1.8%
101
98.2%
Q4 - 7:37MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)90
1.3%
101
98.7%
Q4 - 7:38WASMISS McGee 12' Hook Shot90
1.4%
101
98.6%
Q4 - 7:58MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)90
1.7%
101
98.3%
Q4 - 8:12WASBibby Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T11)90
3.4%
98
96.6%
Q4 - 8:31MIAWade 20' Jump Shot (35 PTS)90
4.4%
98
95.6%
Q4 - 8:46WASHoward 22' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Bibby 4 AST)90
5.6%
96
94.4%
Q4 - 9:04MIAWade 18' Jump Shot (33 PTS)88
4.9%
96
95.1%
Q4 - 9:14MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)88
6.1%
94
93.9%
Q4 - 9:15WASMISS Bibby 18' Jump Shot88
6.5%
94
93.5%
Q4 - 9:35MIAIlgauskas 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)88
7.6%
94
92.4%
Q4 - 9:57WASMcGee 3' Layup (12 PTS)88
9.5%
92
90.5%
Q4 - 10:14MIAWade 5' Floating Jump Shot (31 PTS)86
7.9%
92
92.1%
Q4 - 10:21MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)86
9.7%
90
90.3%
Q4 - 10:22WASJames BLOCK (2 BLK)86
10.3%
90
89.7%
Q4 - 10:31WASMcGee REBOUND (Off:4 Def:11)86
11.9%
90
88.1%
Q4 - 10:32MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 186
11.5%
90
88.5%
Q4 - 10:39MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)86
14.4%
88
85.6%
Q4 - 10:40WASMISS Evans 3PT Jump Shot86
15.3%
88
84.7%
Q4 - 10:55WASWizards Rebound86
17.5%
88
82.5%
Q4 - 10:56MIAMISS Wade 14' Jump Shot86
16.5%
88
83.5%
Q4 - 11:11WASEvans 7' Jump Shot (7 PTS)86
14.5%
88
85.5%
Q4 - 11:21WASMcGee REBOUND (Off:4 Def:10)84
12.0%
88
88.0%
Q4 - 11:22MIAMISS Bosh 2' Driving Layup84
11.3%
88
88.7%
Q4 - 11:39WASEvans Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T10)84
9.9%
88
90.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA84
12.0%
88
88.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound84
9.9%
88
90.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Chalmers 46' 3PT Jump Shot84
11.3%
88
88.7%
Q3 - 0:02.0WASWall 3' Layup (20 PTS)84
10.2%
88
89.8%
Q3 - 0:08.0MIAChalmers 26' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (James 6 AST)82
8.3%
88
91.7%
Q3 - 0:29.0MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)82
12.2%
85
87.8%
Q3 - 0:30.0MIAMISS House 3PT Jump Shot82
13.6%
85
86.4%
Q3 - 0:33.0MIAHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)82
12.2%
85
87.8%
Q3 - 0:34.0MIAMISS House 21' Jump Shot82
13.6%
85
86.4%
Q3 - 1:02WASCrawford 4' Driving Layup (2 PTS)82
12.1%
85
87.9%
Q3 - 1:09WASSeraphin REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)80
10.0%
85
90.0%
Q3 - 1:10MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot80
9.5%
85
90.5%
Q3 - 1:20MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)80
8.5%
85
91.5%
Q3 - 1:21WASMISS Lewis 25' 3PT Jump Shot80
8.9%
85
91.1%
Q3 - 1:35MIAJames 22' Fadeaway Jumper (20 PTS)80
10.0%
85
90.0%
Q3 - 1:43MIAHEAT Rebound80
12.1%
83
87.9%
Q3 - 1:44MIAMISS Howard 4' Jump Shot80
13.5%
83
86.5%
Q3 - 2:00WASHouse STEAL (1 STL)80
12.1%
83
87.9%
Q3 - 2:10MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)80
13.8%
83
86.2%
Q3 - 2:10MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 280
14.3%
82
85.7%
Q3 - 2:26WASWall Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)80
13.9%
82
86.1%
Q3 - 2:26WASWall Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)79
13.4%
82
86.6%
Q3 - 2:36MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)78
11.8%
82
88.2%
Q3 - 2:36MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)78
12.2%
81
87.8%
Q3 - 2:43MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)78
13.9%
80
86.1%
Q3 - 2:44WASMISS Seraphin 6' Jump Shot78
14.6%
80
85.4%
Q3 - 2:45WASSeraphin REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)78
16.3%
80
83.7%
Q3 - 2:47WASIlgauskas BLOCK (1 BLK)78
14.6%
80
85.4%
Q3 - 3:03WASSeraphin REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)78
15.7%
80
84.3%
Q3 - 3:04MIAMISS Jones 26' 3PT Jump Shot78
15.0%
80
85.0%
Q3 - 3:19MIAHouse Free Throw Technical (9 PTS)78
13.4%
80
86.6%
Q3 - 3:36WASSeraphin 3' Tip Shot (4 PTS)78
15.7%
79
84.3%
Q3 - 3:37WASSeraphin REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)76
13.5%
79
86.5%
Q3 - 3:38WASMISS Howard 24' 3PT Jump Shot76
12.1%
79
87.9%
Q3 - 3:57MIADampier 3' Dunk (4 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)76
13.5%
79
86.5%
Q3 - 4:06MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)76
15.3%
77
84.7%
Q3 - 4:07WASMISS Seraphin 5' Jump Shot76
16.2%
77
83.8%
Q3 - 4:14WASSeraphin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)76
18.2%
77
81.8%
Q3 - 4:15WASMISS Wall Free Throw 2 of 276
15.7%
77
84.3%
Q3 - 4:15WASWall Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)76
17.2%
77
82.8%
Q3 - 4:26WASLewis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)75
15.7%
77
84.3%
Q3 - 4:27MIAMISS Wade 21' Fadeaway Jumper75
14.9%
77
85.1%
Q3 - 4:45MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)75
13.2%
77
86.8%
Q3 - 4:46WASBosh BLOCK (1 BLK)75
13.9%
77
86.1%
Q3 - 4:52WASSeraphin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)75
15.7%
77
84.3%
Q3 - 4:53MIAMISS James 19' Jump Shot75
14.9%
77
85.1%
Q3 - 5:18MIAHEAT Rebound75
13.1%
77
86.9%
Q3 - 5:19WASMISS Crawford 3' Driving Layup75
13.8%
77
86.2%
Q3 - 5:25MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)75
15.4%
77
84.6%
Q3 - 5:48WASWall 3' Driving Layup (15 PTS)75
13.1%
77
86.9%
Q3 - 6:05MIAJames 22' Jump Shot (15 PTS)73
11.2%
77
88.8%
Q3 - 6:14MIADampier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)73
12.8%
75
87.2%
Q3 - 6:15WASMISS McGee 12' Jump Shot73
13.4%
75
86.6%
Q3 - 6:17WASMcGee REBOUND (Off:4 Def:9)73
14.9%
75
85.1%
Q3 - 6:18WASDampier BLOCK (1 BLK)73
13.4%
75
86.6%
Q3 - 6:32MIADampier 5' Hook Shot (2 PTS)73
14.9%
75
85.1%
Q3 - 6:51WASLewis Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)73
16.9%
73
83.1%
Q3 - 6:52WASLewis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)73
19.5%
73
80.5%
Q3 - 6:53WASMISS Crawford 18' Jump Shot73
17.7%
73
82.3%
Q3 - 7:02WASHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)73
18.7%
73
81.3%
Q3 - 7:03MIAMISS James 20' Jump Shot73
18.0%
73
82.0%
Q3 - 7:22WASLewis 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Wall 8 AST)73
16.4%
73
83.6%
Q3 - 7:32WASWizards Rebound70
12.7%
73
87.3%
Q3 - 7:33WASJames BLOCK (1 BLK)70
11.5%
73
88.5%
Q3 - 7:38MIAChalmers Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)70
12.7%
73
87.3%
Q3 - 7:39MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)70
11.0%
73
89.0%
Q3 - 7:40WASMISS Wall 8' Jump Shot70
11.5%
73
88.5%
Q3 - 7:43WASWall REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)70
12.7%
73
87.3%
Q3 - 7:47WASMISS Young 3' Layup70
11.5%
73
88.5%
Q3 - 7:51MIABosh Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)70
12.7%
73
87.3%
Q3 - 8:11WASLewis 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Young 1 AST)70
10.9%
73
89.1%
Q3 - 8:35WASWizards Rebound68
9.6%
73
90.4%
Q3 - 8:37WASMISS Lewis 2' Reverse Layup68
8.7%
73
91.3%
Q3 - 9:00MIABosh 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)68
9.6%
73
90.4%
Q3 - 9:17WASWall Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)68
10.8%
71
89.2%
Q3 - 9:17WASWall Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)67
10.5%
71
89.5%
Q3 - 9:28WASYoung REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)66
9.5%
71
90.5%
Q3 - 9:29MIAMISS Wade 14' Fadeaway Jumper66
9.1%
71
90.9%
Q3 - 9:48WASYoung Traveling Turnover (P2.T7)66
8.3%
71
91.7%
Q3 - 10:13MIAWade 2' Slam Dunk (27 PTS)66
9.3%
71
90.7%
Q3 - 10:17WASWade STEAL (2 STL)66
10.5%
69
89.5%
Q3 - 10:36MIAChalmers 3' Reverse Layup (11 PTS)66
12.0%
69
88.0%
Q3 - 10:52WASMcGee 6' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Lewis 1 AST)66
13.6%
67
86.4%
Q3 - 11:08MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)64
11.8%
67
88.2%
Q3 - 11:08MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)64
12.1%
66
87.9%
Q3 - 11:28WASYoung 25' 3PT Jump Shot (27 PTS) (Wall 7 AST)64
13.3%
65
86.7%
Q3 - 11:44MIAWade 20' Jump Shot (25 PTS) (James 5 AST)61
10.5%
65
89.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA61
11.8%
63
88.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound61
11.8%
63
88.2%
Q2 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot61
12.7%
63
87.3%
Q2 - 0:21.0WASWall 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS)61
12.0%
63
88.0%
Q2 - 0:42.0MIAIlgauskas Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)58
9.2%
63
90.8%
Q2 - 0:42.0MIAIlgauskas Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)58
9.4%
62
90.6%
Q2 - 0:46.0WASYi 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Howard 3 AST)58
10.6%
61
89.4%
Q2 - 1:02MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)56
9.1%
61
90.9%
Q2 - 1:02MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)56
9.3%
60
90.7%
Q2 - 1:13WASWall 3' Driving Reverse Layup (8 PTS)56
10.6%
59
89.4%
Q2 - 1:24MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)54
9.1%
59
90.9%
Q2 - 1:27WASJames STEAL (1 STL)54
11.9%
56
88.1%
Q2 - 1:39MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)54
12.9%
56
87.1%
Q2 - 1:39MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)54
13.2%
55
86.8%
Q2 - 1:51WASYoung Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)54
14.9%
54
85.1%
Q2 - 1:51WASYoung Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)53
14.6%
54
85.4%
Q2 - 1:55WASMcGee REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)52
12.9%
54
87.1%
Q2 - 1:56MIAMISS House 22' Jump Shot52
12.6%
54
87.4%
Q2 - 2:04MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)52
11.5%
54
88.5%
Q2 - 2:05MIAMISS Ilgauskas 22' Jump Shot52
12.5%
54
87.5%
Q2 - 2:25WASMcGee 2' Alley Oop Dunk (8 PTS) (Wall 6 AST)52
11.5%
54
88.5%
Q2 - 2:39WASMcGee REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)50
10.3%
54
89.7%
Q2 - 2:40MIAMISS James 18' Jump Shot50
9.9%
54
90.1%
Q2 - 2:57WASWall Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)50
9.2%
54
90.8%
Q2 - 2:57WASWall Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)49
8.9%
54
91.1%
Q2 - 2:59WASMcGee REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)48
8.2%
54
91.8%
Q2 - 3:00MIAMISS Jones 23' Jump Shot48
7.9%
54
92.1%
Q2 - 3:09MIAHouse Free Throw Technical (8 PTS)48
7.1%
54
92.9%
Q2 - 3:23WASYoung 3' Driving Layup (22 PTS)48
8.0%
53
92.0%
Q2 - 3:38MIAHouse 4' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)46
7.3%
53
92.7%
Q2 - 3:49WASWall Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)46
8.0%
51
92.0%
Q2 - 3:49WASMISS Wall Free Throw 1 of 245
7.8%
51
92.2%
Q2 - 3:51WASWall REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)45
8.1%
51
91.9%
Q2 - 3:52MIAMISS Ilgauskas 18' Jump Shot45
7.8%
51
92.2%
Q2 - 4:12WASYoung 26' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Howard 2 AST)45
7.1%
51
92.9%
Q2 - 4:23MIAWade 6' Hook Shot (23 PTS)42
5.7%
51
94.3%
Q2 - 4:48WASYoung 25' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS)42
6.3%
49
93.7%
Q2 - 4:59MIAIlgauskas 2' Tip Shot (4 PTS)39
5.1%
49
94.9%
Q2 - 5:00MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)39
5.6%
47
94.4%
Q2 - 5:01MIAMISS Bosh 20' Jump Shot39
6.2%
47
93.8%
Q2 - 5:17WASYoung Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)39
5.7%
47
94.3%
Q2 - 5:17WASYoung Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)38
5.6%
47
94.4%
Q2 - 5:29MIABosh 4' Jump Shot (2 PTS)37
5.1%
47
94.9%
Q2 - 5:49WASYoung 20' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Wall 5 AST)37
5.7%
45
94.3%
Q2 - 6:05WASMcGee REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)35
5.3%
45
94.7%
Q2 - 6:06MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot35
5.1%
45
94.9%
Q2 - 6:11WASMISS McGee 2' Tip Shot35
4.9%
45
95.1%
Q2 - 6:11WASMcGee REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)35
4.7%
45
95.3%
Q2 - 6:11MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
4.7%
45
95.3%
Q2 - 6:12WASMISS Wall 10' Fadeaway Jumper35
4.9%
45
95.1%
Q2 - 6:29MIAHouse 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (James 4 AST)35
5.3%
45
94.7%
Q2 - 6:46MIAHouse Free Throw Technical (2 PTS)35
6.5%
42
93.5%
Q2 - 6:47MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)35
7.2%
41
92.8%
Q2 - 6:48WASMISS Bibby 25' 3PT Jump Shot35
7.5%
41
92.5%
Q2 - 7:05MIAJones Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)35
8.0%
41
92.0%
Q2 - 7:18WASMcGee 6' Running Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Bibby 3 AST)35
7.2%
41
92.8%
Q2 - 7:30MIAJones 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)33
6.5%
41
93.5%
Q2 - 7:49MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)33
7.2%
39
92.8%
Q2 - 7:51WASMISS McGee Free Throw 2 of 233
7.3%
39
92.7%
Q2 - 7:51WASMISS McGee Free Throw 1 of 233
7.7%
39
92.3%
Q2 - 8:03MIAWade 20' Fadeaway Jumper (21 PTS)33
8.0%
39
92.0%
Q2 - 8:23WASYi 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bibby 2 AST)33
8.8%
37
91.2%
Q2 - 8:31WASMcGee REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)31
8.0%
37
92.0%
Q2 - 8:32MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 131
7.9%
37
92.1%
Q2 - 8:39MIAHouse Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)31
9.7%
34
90.3%
Q2 - 8:52WASBooker 6' Hook Shot (2 PTS)31
10.7%
33
89.3%
Q2 - 8:54WASBooker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)29
9.7%
33
90.3%
Q2 - 8:55WASMISS Howard 9' Floating Jump Shot29
9.1%
33
90.9%
Q2 - 9:09MIAWade 25' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS)29
9.6%
33
90.4%
Q2 - 9:14MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
11.6%
30
88.4%
Q2 - 9:15WASMISS Bibby 3PT Jump Shot29
11.9%
30
88.1%
Q2 - 9:21WASMcGee REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)29
12.7%
30
87.3%
Q2 - 9:22WASMISS Bibby 20' Jump Shot29
11.9%
30
88.1%
Q2 - 9:34MIAWade 16' Jump Shot (13 PTS)29
12.7%
30
87.3%
Q2 - 9:46MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
13.9%
28
86.1%
Q2 - 9:47WASMISS Howard 3' Driving Layup29
14.3%
28
85.7%
Q2 - 10:00MIAWade 6' Floating Jump Shot (11 PTS) (House 1 AST)29
15.3%
28
84.7%
Q2 - 10:29WASEvans 2' Layup (5 PTS)29
16.5%
26
83.5%
Q2 - 10:30WASEvans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)27
15.3%
26
84.7%
Q2 - 10:31WASMISS Young 14' Fadeaway Jumper27
14.3%
26
85.7%
Q2 - 10:51MIAWade 21' Jump Shot (9 PTS)27
15.3%
26
84.7%
Q2 - 11:07WASMcGee 8' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Bibby 1 AST)27
16.5%
24
83.5%
Q2 - 11:19WASYoung REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)25
15.3%
24
84.7%
Q2 - 11:20MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 125
15.1%
24
84.9%
Q2 - 11:23WASWade STEAL (1 STL)25
16.5%
22
83.5%
Q2 - 11:41MIAWade 3' Running Reverse Layup (5 PTS)25
18.0%
22
82.0%
Q2 - 11:47MIAHEAT Rebound25
19.5%
20
80.5%
Q2 - 11:47MIAMISS House 21' Jump Shot25
20.7%
20
79.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0WAS25
19.5%
20
80.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0WASWizards Rebound25
21.2%
20
78.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0WASMISS Evans 53' 3PT Jump Shot25
20.0%
20
80.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0WASEvans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
21.2%
20
78.8%
Q1 - 0:01.0MIAMISS James 22' Jump Shot25
20.0%
20
80.0%
Q1 - 0:27.0MIAHEAT Rebound25
19.1%
20
80.9%
Q1 - 0:28.0WASMISS Young 3PT Jump Shot25
19.5%
20
80.5%
Q1 - 0:39.0WASBooker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
20.4%
20
79.6%
Q1 - 0:40.0MIAMISS Jones 22' Jump Shot25
20.0%
20
80.0%
Q1 - 0:58.0WASChalmers STEAL (1 STL)25
19.2%
20
80.8%
Q1 - 1:12MIAJames 8' Running Jump Shot (6 PTS)25
19.8%
20
80.2%
Q1 - 1:31WASEvans 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wall 4 AST)25
21.8%
18
78.2%
Q1 - 1:46MIAIlgauskas 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (James 3 AST)22
18.4%
18
81.6%
Q1 - 1:59MIAHEAT Rebound22
20.3%
16
79.7%
Q1 - 2:00WASMISS Young 15' Jump Shot22
20.6%
16
79.4%
Q1 - 2:18MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)22
21.4%
16
78.6%
Q1 - 2:18MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 222
21.7%
15
78.3%
Q1 - 2:38WASYoung 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS)22
21.5%
15
78.5%
Q1 - 2:56MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)20
19.8%
15
80.2%
Q1 - 2:56MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)20
20.1%
14
79.9%
Q1 - 3:08WASYoung 2' Driving Layup (8 PTS) (Wall 3 AST)20
20.8%
13
79.2%
Q1 - 3:14WASYoung REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
19.5%
13
80.5%
Q1 - 3:15MIAMISS Bosh 18' Jump Shot18
19.0%
13
81.0%
Q1 - 3:31WASSeraphin 2' Dunk (2 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)18
18.0%
13
82.0%
Q1 - 3:47MIAWade 3' Reverse Layup (3 PTS) (James 2 AST)16
16.8%
13
83.2%
Q1 - 4:00MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)16
18.1%
11
81.9%
Q1 - 4:01WASMISS Wall 3' Driving Layup16
17.7%
11
82.3%
Q1 - 4:07WASLewis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)16
18.7%
11
81.3%
Q1 - 4:08WASMISS Lewis 3' Driving Layup16
17.7%
11
82.3%
Q1 - 4:28MIAChalmers 20' Jump Shot (7 PTS)16
18.7%
11
81.3%
Q1 - 4:44MIAHEAT Rebound16
20.0%
9
80.0%
Q1 - 4:45WASMISS Howard 25' 3PT Jump Shot16
20.5%
9
79.5%
Q1 - 4:50WASLewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
21.6%
9
78.4%
Q1 - 4:51MIAMISS Wade 26' 3PT Jump Shot16
21.1%
9
78.9%
Q1 - 5:12MIADampier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
19.6%
9
80.4%
Q1 - 5:13WASMISS Howard 14' Fadeaway Jumper16
20.1%
9
79.9%
Q1 - 5:34WASSeraphin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
21.2%
9
78.8%
Q1 - 5:35MIAMISS Bosh 4' Jump Shot16
20.7%
9
79.3%
Q1 - 5:51WASWall 18' Jump Shot (3 PTS)16
19.6%
9
80.4%
Q1 - 6:01WASMcGee REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)14
17.8%
9
82.2%
Q1 - 6:02MIAMISS Bosh 6' Hook Shot14
17.4%
9
82.6%
Q1 - 6:24WASHoward 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Wall 2 AST)14
16.6%
9
83.4%
Q1 - 6:37WASHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
14.5%
9
85.5%
Q1 - 6:38MIAMISS Wade 7' Hook Shot11
14.2%
9
85.8%
Q1 - 6:46MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
13.5%
9
86.5%
Q1 - 6:47WASMISS Lewis 20' Jump Shot11
13.8%
9
86.2%
Q1 - 7:04MIAChalmers 18' Jump Shot (5 PTS)11
14.1%
9
85.9%
Q1 - 7:19WASHoward 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS)11
15.0%
7
85.0%
Q1 - 7:34MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)9
14.1%
7
85.9%
Q1 - 7:34MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 29
14.3%
6
85.7%
Q1 - 7:47WASWall Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)9
14.0%
6
86.0%
Q1 - 7:47WASMISS Wall Free Throw 1 of 28
13.8%
6
86.2%
Q1 - 7:50WASMcGee REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)8
14.1%
6
85.9%
Q1 - 7:51MIAMISS Chalmers 26' 3PT Jump Shot8
13.8%
6
86.2%
Q1 - 7:58MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
13.1%
6
86.9%
Q1 - 7:59WASMISS Lewis 21' Jump Shot8
13.4%
6
86.6%
Q1 - 8:07WASHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
13.7%
6
86.3%
Q1 - 8:08MIAMISS Wade 8' Running Jump Shot8
13.4%
6
86.6%
Q1 - 8:28WASMcGee 3' Dunk (2 PTS)8
12.8%
6
87.2%
Q1 - 8:46WASMcGee REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)6
11.9%
6
88.1%
Q1 - 8:47MIAMISS Wade 3' Layup6
11.7%
6
88.3%
Q1 - 9:06WASYoung 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wall 1 AST)6
11.0%
6
89.0%
Q1 - 9:13WASMcGee REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)3
9.6%
6
90.4%
Q1 - 9:14MIAMISS James 12' Turnaround Jump Shot3
9.4%
6
90.6%
Q1 - 9:31WASYoung Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)3
9.0%
6
91.0%
Q1 - 9:43MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)0
7.8%
6
92.2%
Q1 - 9:43MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 20
7.9%
5
92.1%
Q1 - 9:51MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
7.8%
5
92.2%
Q1 - 9:52WASMISS McGee 13' Jump Shot0
8.0%
5
92.0%
Q1 - 10:10MIAJames 14' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Dampier 1 AST)0
8.5%
5
91.5%
Q1 - 10:23WASMcGee Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)0
9.0%
3
91.0%
Q1 - 10:24WASMcGee REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
9.7%
3
90.3%
Q1 - 10:25WASMISS Lewis 13' Jump Shot0
9.2%
3
90.8%
Q1 - 10:39MIADampier 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T2)0
9.7%
3
90.3%
Q1 - 10:57WASWall Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
9.0%
3
91.0%
Q1 - 11:11MIAChalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (James 1 AST)0
9.4%
3
90.6%
Q1 - 11:31MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
10.7%
0
89.3%
Q1 - 11:32WASMISS McGee 4' Jump Shot0
10.9%
0
89.1%
Q1 - 11:46MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
11.3%
0
88.7%
Q1 - 11:48MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
10.7%
0
89.3%
Q1 - 11:49WASMISS Lewis 25' 3PT Jump Shot0
10.9%
0
89.1%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Dampier vs. McGee: Tip to0
11.3%
0
88.7%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

WAS
1.11 55.4%
MIA
1.22 61.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
WAS
16
30
53%
MIA
14
20
70%
Midrange
WAS
17
38
45%
MIA
22
45
49%
3PT | Effective 3PT
WAS
10
15.0
23
43%
65%
MIA
5
7.5
13
38%
58%
Free Throws
WAS
17
23
74%
MIA
34
45
76%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
WAS logo Wizards
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
N. Young3886%19.0 / 22
J. Wall2457%12.0 / 21
J. McGee1853%9.0 / 17
J. Howard941%4.5 / 11
M. Evans758%3.5 / 6
R. Lewis528%2.5 / 9
J. Yi467%2.0 / 3
K. Seraphin450%2.0 / 4
T. Booker2100%1.0 / 1
J. Crawford233%1.0 / 3
M. Bibby0-0.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade4168%20.5 / 30
L. James2563%12.5 / 20
C. Bosh1554%7.5 / 14
M. Chalmers1470%7.0 / 10
E. House975%4.5 / 6
Z. Ilgauskas867%4.0 / 6
E. Dampier788%3.5 / 4
J. Jones220%1.0 / 5
J. Howard0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

WAS
84
+18
-12
102
MIA
88
+10
-8
98
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

WAS
1.11 55.4%
MIA
1.22 61.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
102.2
111.4
WAS 117.7
MIA 126.0 +8.3
Pace
94.0
91.3
WAS 100.2 +8.1
MIA 92.1
Avg. Poss. Time
15.3
16.2
WAS 14.4 +1.3
MIA 15.6
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
47.1%
52.4%
WAS 52.7%
MIA 55.8% +3.1%
TO %
15.5%
14.4%
WAS 10.6%
MIA 7.6% +3.0%
ORB %
28.0%
25.2%
WAS 32.6% +18.7%
MIA 13.9%
FTrt
29.0
36.3
WAS 25.3
MIA 57.7 +32.4
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
52.2%
54.1%
WAS 48.8% +14.7%
MIA 34.1%
STL %
8.5%
7.3%
WAS 3.1%
MIA 5.2% +2.1%
BLK %
9.6%
8.5%
WAS 3.1%
MIA 8.8% +5.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.24 and 2.24.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.0%
55.7%
WAS 55.4%
MIA 61.1% +5.7%
Rim FG%
57.5%
64.7%
WAS 53.3%
MIA 70.0% +16.7%
Mid FG%
38.3%
42.2%
WAS 44.7%
MIA 48.9% +4.2%
3P %
33.2%
37.0%
WAS 43.5% +5.0%
MIA 38.5%
FT %
74.5%
76.9%
WAS 73.9%
MIA 75.6% +1.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
35.7%
31.6%
WAS 33.0% +7.3%
MIA 25.6%
Mid Att. %
47.1%
44.9%
WAS 41.8% +15.9%
MIA 57.7%
3P Att. %
17.2%
23.5%
WAS 25.3% +8.6%
MIA 16.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.36 and 2.36.
Game TotalsWASMIA
Possessions9696
Possession Minutes23.025.0
Points113121
Rebounds4534
Assists2114
Steals35
Blocks26
Turnovers (Team)12 (0)8 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)14 (4)5 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)31 (1)29 (4)
Field Goals43-9141-78
At-the-Rim FG16-3014-20
Midrange FG17-3822-45
2-Point FG33-6836-65
3-Point FG10-235-13
Free Throws17-2334-45
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'4" 210 · 20
38.7
24
57%
3
12
0
0
4
2
1
2
9-12
75%
6-13
46%
1-2
50%
G · 6'7" 210 · 26
37.0
38
86%
3
1
1
0
2
3
0
3
8-8
100%
6-11
55%
6-8
75%
F · 6'7" 210 · 31
36.1
9
41%
5
3
0
0
0
6
0
5
0-0
-
3-7
43%
1-4
25%
C · 7'0" 270 · 23
35.7
18
53%
17
0
1
0
1
4
6
11
0-3
0%
9-16
56%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 235 · 32
20.9
5
28%
4
1
1
1
1
3
2
2
0-0
-
1-6
17%
1-3
33%
F · 7'0" 250 · 23
16.5
4
67%
2
0
0
1
1
2
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
67%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 32
14.4
7
58%
2
0
0
0
2
2
1
1
0-0
-
2-2
100%
1-4
25%
F · 6'8" 228 · 23
11.8
2
100%
2
0
0
0
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'10" 278 · 21
11.1
4
50%
7
0
0
0
0
3
3
4
0-0
-
2-4
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 195 · 33
10.2
0
0%
0
4
0
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-2
0%
· 6'4" 195 · 22
7.5
2
33%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 220 · 26
#7 · C-F · 6'11" 260 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#14 · F · 6'8" 235 · 27
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#55 · C · 7'0" 235 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
113
55%
45
21
3
2
12
0
14
31
17-23
74%
33-68
49%
10-23
43%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.