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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
March 1, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
13Hornets64%9990
26Raptors36%9496
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 30.5
39.0
36.8
19
48%
10
4
0
1
0
2
2
8
5-6
83%
7-16
8-15
44%
52%
0-1
0%
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 25.8
37.7
37.7
7
34%
4
5
1
2
0
1
0
4
1-1
100%
3-8
5-9
38%
52%
0-2
0%
Willie Green
G · 6'3" 205 · 29.6
25.6
25.8
4
29%
3
4
1
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
2-7
3-7
29%
51%
0-0
-
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 28.4
21.3
25.4
1
9%
7
0
1
0
1
1
3
4
1-2
50%
0-5
4-6
0%
57%
0-0
-
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 25.7
21.2
33.5
10
51%
2
0
0
2
1
2
1
1
2-2
100%
1-5
3-7
20%
49%
2-4
50%
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 27.4
28.5
19.9
17
78%
4
1
0
0
0
2
1
3
1-2
50%
8-10
3-6
80%
52%
0-0
-
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 27.3
26.9
20.0
17
86%
2
2
0
1
1
2
0
2
2-2
100%
6-8
3-6
75%
48%
1-1
100%
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 24.9
23.9
14.0
13
46%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-9
1-3
22%
47%
3-5
60%
Quincy Pondexter
F · 6'7" 230 · 23.0
8.7
8.9
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
50%
0-0
-
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 25.0
7.2
12.9
2
100%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
2-3
100%
47%
0-0
-
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 26.2
13.4
0
1-3
54%
David Andersen
· 6'11" 247 · 30.7
3.3
0
0-1
51%
Marcus Banks
G · 6'2" 205 · 29.3
DJ Mbenga
C · 7'0" 255 · 30.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 29.4
38.4
31.1
22
90%
7
16
1
1
0
2
1
6
5-5
100%
4-6
3-6
67%
49%
3-4
75%
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 23.8
37.1
28.1
8
35%
10
2
1
1
7
0
3
7
2-3
67%
3-10
5-8
30%
59%
0-0
-
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 21.6
35.5
31.7
17
49%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
1-1
100%
8-16
6-13
50%
49%
0-1
0%
Andrea Bargnani
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 25.3
33.5
23.2
14
41%
3
2
0
0
0
2
0
3
2-2
100%
6-13
5-9
46%
48%
0-3
0%
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 24.0
21.3
27.4
13
94%
5
3
1
1
2
3
1
4
2-2
100%
4-5
3-6
80%
47%
1-1
100%
Ed Davis
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 21.7
25.4
26.7
6
75%
8
1
0
1
1
1
1
7
0-0
-
3-4
3-6
75%
55%
0-0
-
Sonny Weems
G-F · 6'6" 205 · 24.6
19.9
15.7
14
54%
2
2
0
0
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
6-12
2-5
50%
48%
0-0
-
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 28.3
19.2
21.5
0
0%
1
1
0
1
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
3-6
0%
50%
0-0
-
Jerryd Bayless
G · 6'3" 200 · 22.5
9.6
16.5
2
50%
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
44%
0-1
0%
Alexis Ajinca
C · 7'2" 248 · 22.8
11.5
0
2-4
49%
Julian Wright
F · 6'8" 225 · 23.8
3.7
0
0-1
51%
Solomon Alabi
C · 7'1" 252 · 22.9
2.7
0
0-1
48%
Joey Dorsey
· 6'8" 268 · 27.2
Linas Kleiza
F · 6'8" 234 · 26.2
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 30.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.