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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
February 23, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
27Wizards23%9194
1576ers77%101117
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
John Wall
G · 6'4" 210 · 20.5
43.6
36.1
21
50%
5
12
2
1
0
4
1
4
4-5
80%
7-17
5-11
41%
43%
1-2
50%
Nick Young
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 25.7
31.8
30.8
15
49%
2
0
0
1
0
1
0
2
1-1
100%
4-12
5-11
33%
45%
2-3
67%
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 30.8
29.9
25.7
6
42%
6
1
0
1
0
2
2
4
2-5
40%
2-5
4-8
40%
44%
0-0
-
Andray Blatche
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 24.5
29.2
30.8
16
45%
2
2
0
1
0
1
1
1
4-4
100%
6-16
6-12
38%
46%
0-0
-
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 23.1
12.2
22.1
0
0%
3
0
1
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-4
3-6
0%
52%
0-0
-
Cartier Martin
F · 6'7" 220 · 26.3
19.5
15.7
7
35%
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-6
1-3
33%
42%
1-4
25%
Al Thornton
F · 6'8" 235 · 27.2
19.1
10.5
6
50%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
3-6
1-3
50%
47%
0-0
-
Trevor Booker
F · 6'8" 228 · 23.2
18.4
17.5
21
93%
5
1
1
0
1
0
4
1
3-3
100%
9-10
2-4
90%
48%
0-0
-
Yi Jianlian
F · 7'0" 250 · 23.3
13.6
11.1
1
27%
4
1
0
0
0
1
2
2
1-2
50%
0-1
1-3
0%
41%
0-0
-
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 31.5
12.1
24.4
1
17%
4
0
1
1
1
0
0
4
1-2
50%
0-2
2-4
0%
48%
0-0
-
Kevin Seraphin
F-C · 6'10" 278 · 21.2
10.5
14.0
0
0%
1
1
0
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
45%
0-0
-
Hamady Ndiaye
C · 7'0" 235 · 24.1
1.2
0
0-0
44%
Hilton Armstrong
F-C · 6'11" 235 · 26.3
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 30.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jodie Meeks
G · 6'4" 210 · 23.5
33.4
21.5
12
61%
0
0
0
1
0
2
0
0
4-4
100%
1-2
1-2
50%
47%
2-6
33%
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 27.1
30.3
34.3
10
63%
7
5
0
2
0
2
0
7
1-2
50%
0-2
4-8
0%
52%
3-5
60%
Elton Brand
F · 6'9" 254 · 32.0
28.5
32.1
15
64%
6
1
1
1
2
0
4
2
5-6
83%
5-9
6-11
56%
53%
0-0
-
Jrue Holiday
G · 6'4" 205 · 20.7
27.8
34.4
20
78%
2
3
2
2
0
2
0
2
2-2
100%
6-8
4-9
75%
50%
2-4
50%
Spencer Hawes
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 22.8
15.2
23.4
7
64%
5
5
0
0
2
1
1
4
1-1
100%
3-5
4-7
60%
52%
0-0
-
Evan Turner
F-G · 6'7" 220 · 22.3
26.2
26.4
15
59%
8
1
0
1
0
0
1
7
3-4
75%
6-11
3-7
55%
48%
0-0
-
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 22.7
25.6
24.6
18
86%
10
0
2
1
0
1
2
8
8-8
100%
5-7
6-10
71%
55%
0-0
-
Lou Williams
G · 6'1" 175 · 24.3
20.2
24.3
6
38%
2
7
1
1
2
1
1
1
2-2
100%
2-6
4-8
33%
50%
0-1
0%
Marreese Speights
F-C · 6'10" 255 · 23.6
19.5
6.2
14
65%
7
2
0
0
1
2
1
6
3-4
75%
4-8
1-2
50%
52%
1-1
100%
Darius Songaila
F · 6'9" 248 · 33.0
7.0
4.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
51%
0-0
-
Andres Nocioni
· 6'7" 225 · 31.2
6.4
3.5
0
0%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
49%
0-0
-
Tony Battie
C · 6'11" 240 · 35.0
9.0
0
1-2
49%
Craig Brackins
F · 6'10" 230 · 23.4
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 30.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.