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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
February 25, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
22Pistons33%9294
1576ers67%98110
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Will Bynum
G · 6'0" 185 · 28.1
48.0
18.3
29
55%
5
6
1
1
0
3
1
4
4-5
80%
11-22
3-6
50%
47%
1-2
50%
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 27.9
45.0
26.6
16
41%
4
5
1
1
0
3
1
3
4-6
67%
6-15
3-7
40%
46%
0-2
0%
Greg Monroe
C-F · 6'11" 265 · 20.7
42.8
29.3
16
81%
11
4
3
1
1
0
3
8
2-2
100%
7-9
4-8
78%
52%
0-0
-
DaJuan Summers
F · 6'8" 240 · 23.1
39.1
1.8
10
47%
2
1
1
0
0
2
0
2
4-6
67%
3-7
0-0
43%
42%
0-1
0%
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 26.5
36.1
10.5
17
55%
5
1
2
0
0
3
1
4
2-3
67%
3-8
1-2
38%
48%
3-6
50%
Jason Maxiell
F · 6'7" 260 · 28.0
29.0
5.2
6
50%
5
2
0
0
1
3
0
5
0-0
-
3-6
1-1
50%
51%
0-0
-
Rodney Stuckey
G · 6'5" 205 · 24.8
32.2
1
5-11
43%
Tracy McGrady
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 31.8
28.7
1
4-9
44%
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 36.5
26.6
1
1-3
48%
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 31.0
20.9
0
4-8
47%
Austin Daye
F · 6'11" 220 · 22.7
19.7
1
2-4
46%
Chris Wilcox
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 28.5
17.2
0
2-5
51%
Jonas Jerebko
F · 6'10" 231 · 24.0
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 33.0
Terrico White
G · 6'5" 213 · 21.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 27.1
38.4
31.0
21
78%
7
11
1
1
0
2
0
7
1-1
100%
7-9
4-7
78%
52%
2-4
50%
Jrue Holiday
G · 6'4" 205 · 20.7
36.7
29.1
12
52%
1
10
1
1
2
2
0
1
1-1
100%
4-8
4-7
50%
50%
1-3
33%
Jodie Meeks
G · 6'4" 210 · 23.5
34.8
28.8
5
32%
2
2
2
1
0
1
1
1
2-2
100%
0-3
1-3
0%
47%
1-4
25%
Elton Brand
F · 6'9" 254 · 32.0
29.4
28.9
20
56%
17
0
1
1
1
0
7
10
4-4
100%
8-16
5-9
50%
52%
0-0
-
Spencer Hawes
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 22.8
16.4
17.4
6
60%
6
1
0
0
1
3
1
5
0-0
-
3-5
3-5
60%
52%
0-0
-
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 22.7
31.6
24.9
24
78%
3
3
1
1
0
3
2
1
0-1
0%
12-15
5-10
80%
55%
0-0
-
Lou Williams
G · 6'1" 175 · 24.3
21.4
21.5
8
41%
4
4
0
1
2
3
1
3
3-4
75%
1-4
3-7
25%
49%
1-4
25%
Marreese Speights
F-C · 6'10" 255 · 23.6
18.6
15.4
12
61%
7
2
0
0
2
0
1
6
2-2
100%
5-9
3-6
56%
52%
0-0
-
Evan Turner
F-G · 6'7" 220 · 22.3
12.8
25.4
2
25%
2
1
1
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-4
3-7
25%
48%
0-0
-
Andres Nocioni
· 6'7" 225 · 31.2
6.3
0
0-1
47%
Darius Songaila
F · 6'9" 248 · 33.0
6.3
0
1-2
51%
Tony Battie
C · 6'11" 240 · 35.0
6.1
0
1-2
49%
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 30.1
Craig Brackins
F · 6'10" 230 · 23.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.