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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
February 28, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
17Hawks32%9690
12Nuggets68%103100
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 24.7
40.9
29.7
21
66%
16
4
2
1
1
2
5
11
1-2
50%
10-15
5-10
67%
55%
0-0
-
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 29.7
40.7
33.3
22
46%
3
3
0
1
1
2
2
1
2-2
100%
10-18
6-12
56%
48%
0-5
0%
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 24.7
36.5
29.3
13
39%
3
2
1
1
1
0
0
3
5-6
83%
4-11
3-6
36%
49%
0-3
0%
Jeff Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 22.7
34.4
16.8
7
41%
6
2
0
1
1
2
1
5
5-6
83%
1-5
2-4
20%
44%
0-1
0%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 25.2
13.6
36.6
10
63%
5
2
0
1
1
0
0
5
2-2
100%
4-6
6-13
67%
50%
0-1
0%
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 30.9
30.3
29.9
11
39%
3
1
0
1
0
0
0
3
3-5
60%
1-4
3-7
25%
46%
2-8
25%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 27.1
21.7
13.2
4
52%
7
0
0
0
2
2
2
5
2-2
100%
1-3
1-3
33%
46%
0-0
-
Damien Wilkins
· 6'6" 225 · 31.1
16.5
13.7
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
45%
0-1
0%
Josh Powell
F · 6'9" 240 · 28.1
5.4
9.7
2
33%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
44%
0-0
-
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 30.2
24.4
1
3-6
44%
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 32.2
5.4
0
0-1
43%
Hilton Armstrong
F-C · 6'11" 235 · 26.3
1.6
0
0-0
48%
Etan Thomas
C · 6'10" 260 · 32.9
Pape Sy
F-G · 6'7" 225 · 22.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Arron Afflalo
G · 6'5" 210 · 25.4
35.4
32.8
8
34%
1
5
0
1
0
0
0
1
4-4
100%
2-6
3-5
33%
54%
0-4
0%
Nene
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 28.5
35.0
31.9
13
48%
5
0
2
1
1
2
1
4
1-1
100%
6-13
5-9
46%
60%
0-0
-
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 23.8
33.0
28.5
15
50%
5
2
1
1
0
0
2
3
2-2
100%
5-10
4-7
50%
51%
1-4
25%
Kenyon Martin
F · 6'9" 225 · 33.2
32.7
25.5
14
50%
11
1
1
1
0
1
2
9
2-7
29%
6-11
3-6
55%
50%
0-0
-
Ty Lawson
G · 5'11" 195 · 23.3
24.0
27.9
6
60%
3
3
0
1
1
1
0
3
0-0
-
3-5
3-6
60%
54%
0-0
-
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 26.7
30.3
28.8
16
62%
5
7
1
1
0
1
0
5
2-2
100%
7-11
3-7
64%
46%
0-1
0%
JR Smith
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 25.5
25.3
24.8
19
75%
7
3
0
1
2
1
0
7
5-6
83%
4-6
3-6
67%
50%
2-4
50%
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 32.6
16.8
11.8
6
100%
4
1
1
0
1
0
0
4
0-0
-
3-3
1-2
100%
55%
0-0
-
Al Harrington
F · 6'9" 245 · 31.0
7.5
16.2
3
31%
3
0
0
0
0
0
2
1
1-2
50%
1-3
2-3
33%
50%
0-1
0%
Gary Forbes
F · 6'7" 220 · 26.0
6.5
0
1-2
50%
Timofey Mozgov
C · 7'1" 275 · 24.6
6.0
0
1-1
51%
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 22.0
3.4
0
0-1
49%
Melvin Ely
C-F · 6'10" 260 · 32.8
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 22.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.