FinalWin Prob.pScore
1732%96
90
1268%103
100
ORTG#PossPace
ATL logo ATL
100.09079.5
DEN logo DEN
109.991104.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

NuggetsHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

NuggetsHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventATLDEN
Q4 - 0:00.0DEN90
0%
100
100%
Q4 - 0:14.0DENFelton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)90
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 0:15.0ATLMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot90
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 0:25.0DENAfflalo 1' Dunk (8 PTS) (Felton 7 AST)90
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 0:28.0DENFelton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)90
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 0:29.0ATLMISS Crawford 26' 3PT Jump Shot90
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 0:37.0ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:5 Def:11)90
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 0:39.0DENMISS Felton 20' Jump Shot90
0.2%
98
99.8%
Q4 - 1:02ATLHorford 17' Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Wilkins 1 AST)90
0.3%
98
99.7%
Q4 - 1:08DENSmith 19' Fadeaway Jumper (19 PTS)88
0.2%
98
99.8%
Q4 - 1:29ATLCrawford 7' Running Jump Shot (11 PTS)88
0.7%
96
99.3%
Q4 - 1:34DENSmith 1' Alley Oop Layup (17 PTS) (Felton 6 AST)86
0.5%
96
99.5%
Q4 - 1:37DENSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)86
0.8%
94
99.2%
Q4 - 1:38ATLMISS Johnson 5' Turnaround Jump Shot86
1.0%
94
99.0%
Q4 - 1:51DENFelton 22' Jump Shot (16 PTS)86
1.8%
94
98.2%
Q4 - 2:05DENNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)86
2.6%
92
97.4%
Q4 - 2:06ATLMISS Williams 1' Reverse Layup86
3.2%
92
96.8%
Q4 - 2:16ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:5 Def:10)86
5.1%
92
94.9%
Q4 - 2:17DENMISS Martin 17' Jump Bank Shot86
4.1%
92
95.9%
Q4 - 2:34DENNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)86
2.6%
92
97.4%
Q4 - 2:36ATLMISS Horford Free Throw 2 of 286
2.8%
92
97.2%
Q4 - 2:36ATLHorford Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)86
3.9%
92
96.1%
Q4 - 2:41DENSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)85
3.2%
92
96.8%
Q4 - 2:41DENSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)85
3.5%
91
96.5%
Q4 - 3:01DENJump Ball Nene vs. Horford: Tip to Martin85
5.4%
90
94.6%
Q4 - 3:01ATLHawks Rebound85
9.3%
90
90.7%
Q4 - 3:02ATLMISS Johnson 29' 3PT Jump Shot85
6.3%
90
93.7%
Q4 - 3:25ATLCrawford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)85
9.3%
90
90.7%
Q4 - 3:26DENMISS Afflalo 26' 3PT Jump Shot85
7.8%
90
92.3%
Q4 - 3:38ATLTeague Foul Turnover (P2.T8)85
8.0%
90
92.0%
Q4 - 3:41ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:5 Def:9)85
11.5%
90
88.5%
Q4 - 3:42DENMISS Afflalo 18' Jump Shot85
10.2%
90
89.8%
Q4 - 3:55DENSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)85
7.7%
90
92.3%
Q4 - 3:56ATLMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot85
8.6%
90
91.4%
Q4 - 4:15DENMartin Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)85
11.0%
90
89.0%
Q4 - 4:15DENMISS Martin Free Throw 1 of 285
12.5%
89
87.5%
Q4 - 4:34ATLWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)85
10.6%
89
89.4%
Q4 - 4:34ATLWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)84
10.1%
89
89.9%
Q4 - 4:34ATLHawks Rebound83
7.7%
89
92.3%
Q4 - 4:34DENMISS Felton 25' 3PT Jump Shot83
6.8%
89
93.2%
Q4 - 4:49ATLWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)83
5.1%
89
94.9%
Q4 - 4:49ATLWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)82
4.9%
89
95.1%
Q4 - 5:07DENNene 1' Dunk (13 PTS) (Smith 3 AST)81
5.2%
89
94.8%
Q4 - 5:14DENSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)81
6.9%
87
93.1%
Q4 - 5:16ATLMISS Johnson 19' Jump Shot81
7.7%
87
92.3%
Q4 - 5:34DENSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)81
9.6%
87
90.4%
Q4 - 5:34DENSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)81
10.3%
86
89.7%
Q4 - 5:54ATLJohnson 15' Fadeaway Jumper (22 PTS)81
12.7%
85
87.3%
Q4 - 6:20DENFelton 6' Jump Shot (14 PTS)79
11.0%
85
89.0%
Q4 - 6:26DENFelton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)79
14.1%
83
85.9%
Q4 - 6:27ATLMISS Wilkins 3PT Jump Shot79
15.3%
83
84.7%
Q4 - 6:40ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:5 Def:8)79
18.5%
83
81.5%
Q4 - 6:43DENMISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot79
17.0%
83
83.0%
Q4 - 6:53ATLJohnson Free Throw 1 of 1 (20 PTS)79
14.0%
83
86.0%
Q4 - 7:17DENFelton Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)76
9.4%
83
90.6%
Q4 - 7:17DENFelton Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)76
9.7%
82
90.3%
Q4 - 7:27ATLJohnson 17' Fadeaway Jumper (17 PTS)76
11.7%
81
88.3%
Q4 - 7:50DENSmith 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Felton 5 AST)74
9.3%
81
90.7%
Q4 - 7:59DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)74
14.9%
78
85.1%
Q4 - 8:00ATLMISS Crawford 25' 3PT Jump Shot74
16.1%
78
83.9%
Q4 - 8:06ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:5 Def:7)74
19.9%
78
80.1%
Q4 - 8:07ATLMISS Williams 3PT Jump Shot74
17.3%
78
82.7%
Q4 - 8:20DENSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)74
19.9%
78
80.1%
Q4 - 8:23DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)74
16.2%
78
83.8%
Q4 - 8:25ATLSmith BLOCK (2 BLK)74
17.2%
78
82.8%
Q4 - 8:40ATLCrawford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)74
19.9%
78
80.1%
Q4 - 8:41DENMISS Nene 2' Reverse Layup74
18.7%
78
81.3%
Q4 - 8:56ATLHorford Traveling Turnover (P1.T7)74
16.1%
78
83.9%
Q4 - 9:09ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)74
20.7%
78
79.3%
Q4 - 9:11DENMISS Felton 19' Jump Shot74
19.5%
78
80.5%
Q4 - 9:21DENAfflalo Free Throw Technical (6 PTS)74
17.1%
78
82.9%
Q4 - 9:21ATLPachulia Foul Turnover (P2.T6)74
20.7%
77
79.3%
Q4 - 9:34DENFelton 3' Driving Layup (10 PTS)74
24.9%
77
75.1%
Q4 - 9:40DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)74
29.7%
75
70.3%
Q4 - 9:41ATLMISS Williams 20' Jump Shot74
31.3%
75
68.7%
Q4 - 10:05DENAndersen 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)74
34.6%
75
65.4%
Q4 - 10:14DENChandler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)74
39.9%
73
60.1%
Q4 - 10:16ATLMISS Pachulia 18' Jump Shot74
41.6%
73
58.4%
Q4 - 10:29ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)74
45.5%
73
54.5%
Q4 - 10:30DENMISS Chandler 25' 3PT Jump Shot74
43.8%
73
56.2%
Q4 - 10:49ATLHorford 6' Jump Hook Shot (18 PTS)74
39.9%
73
60.1%
Q4 - 11:10DENFelton 8' Floating Jump Shot (8 PTS)72
34.3%
73
65.7%
Q4 - 11:27ATLCrawford Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)72
39.4%
71
60.6%
Q4 - 11:27ATLCrawford Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)71
38.7%
71
61.3%
Q4 - 11:41ATLHawks Rebound70
34.3%
71
65.7%
Q4 - 11:41DENMISS Chandler 19' Jump Shot70
32.9%
71
67.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0ATL70
29.7%
71
70.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0ATLHawks Rebound70
34.3%
71
65.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0ATLMISS Johnson 50' 3PT Hook Shot70
31.0%
71
69.0%
Q3 - 0:04.0DENChandler Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)70
33.9%
71
66.1%
Q3 - 0:04.0DENChandler Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)70
34.7%
70
65.3%
Q3 - 0:04.0DENChandler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)70
39.1%
69
60.9%
Q3 - 0:05.0DENMISS Martin 5' Floating Jump Shot70
42.2%
69
57.8%
Q3 - 0:07.0DENMartin REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)70
39.1%
69
60.9%
Q3 - 0:09.0DENMISS Martin Free Throw 1 of 170
43.0%
69
57.0%
Q3 - 0:09.0DENMartin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)70
49.2%
67
50.8%
Q3 - 0:10.0DENMISS Felton 18' Jump Shot70
52.4%
67
47.6%
Q3 - 0:28.0DENSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)70
49.2%
67
50.8%
Q3 - 0:29.0ATLMISS Horford 21' Jump Shot70
50.6%
67
49.4%
Q3 - 0:41.0DENMartin 18' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Felton 4 AST)70
53.9%
67
46.1%
Q3 - 1:03ATLJohnson 18' Fadeaway Jumper (15 PTS)70
57.9%
65
42.1%
Q3 - 1:23ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)68
52.7%
65
47.3%
Q3 - 1:25DENMISS Chandler 20' Jump Shot68
51.3%
65
48.7%
Q3 - 1:44ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)68
48.3%
65
51.7%
Q3 - 1:44ATLPachulia Tip Shot (4 PTS)68
48.3%
65
51.7%
Q3 - 1:45ATLMISS Crawford Layup66
39.9%
65
60.1%
Q3 - 2:06DENFelton 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Andersen 1 AST)66
41.9%
65
58.1%
Q3 - 2:26ATLHorford 18' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Crawford 1 AST)66
46.7%
63
53.3%
Q3 - 2:39ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)64
42.0%
63
58.0%
Q3 - 2:41DENMISS Smith 3PT Jump Shot64
40.6%
63
59.4%
Q3 - 3:06ATLHorford 18' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Teague 2 AST)64
36.8%
63
63.2%
Q3 - 3:15ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)62
32.9%
63
67.1%
Q3 - 3:16DENMISS Nene 14' Fadeaway Jumper62
31.6%
63
68.4%
Q3 - 3:28DENMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)62
28.9%
63
71.1%
Q3 - 3:30ATLMISS Teague 7' Running Bank Shot62
30.1%
63
69.9%
Q3 - 3:56DENNene 1' Layup (11 PTS) (Chandler 2 AST)62
32.9%
63
67.1%
Q3 - 4:00ATLChandler STEAL (1 STL)62
36.8%
61
63.2%
Q3 - 4:24DENMartin 7' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Lawson 3 AST)62
41.1%
61
58.9%
Q3 - 4:35DENMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)62
44.6%
59
55.4%
Q3 - 4:37ATLMISS Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot62
46.2%
59
53.8%
Q3 - 4:55ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)62
49.7%
59
50.3%
Q3 - 4:56DENMISS Nene 7' Jump Shot62
48.2%
59
51.8%
Q3 - 5:13ATLHorford 22' Jump Shot (12 PTS)62
43.7%
59
56.3%
Q3 - 5:39DENLawson 7' Fadeaway Bank Shot (6 PTS)60
40.1%
59
59.9%
Q3 - 5:49ATLWilliams 20' Jump Shot (9 PTS)60
43.8%
57
56.2%
Q3 - 6:16DENAfflalo 8' Fadeaway Bank Shot (5 PTS)58
39.3%
57
60.7%
Q3 - 6:27DENMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)58
42.9%
55
57.1%
Q3 - 6:28ATLMISS Johnson 19' Jump Shot58
44.2%
55
55.8%
Q3 - 6:56DENMartin 1' Dunk (7 PTS) (Afflalo 5 AST)58
47.3%
55
52.7%
Q3 - 7:13ATLJohnson 2' Layup (13 PTS)58
49.5%
53
50.5%
Q3 - 7:18ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)56
45.8%
53
54.2%
Q3 - 7:20ATLMISS Horford 16' Jump Shot56
43.1%
53
56.9%
Q3 - 7:42ATLTeague REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)56
45.9%
53
54.1%
Q3 - 7:43DENMISS Afflalo 26' 3PT Jump Shot56
44.7%
53
55.3%
Q3 - 8:00ATLJohnson 20' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Horford 4 AST)56
41.9%
53
58.1%
Q3 - 8:11DENMartin Double Dribble Turnover (P1.T5)54
38.0%
53
62.0%
Q3 - 8:19ATLJohnson 2' Driving Layup (9 PTS)54
34.3%
53
65.7%
Q3 - 8:26ATLHawks Rebound52
31.2%
53
68.8%
Q3 - 8:26ATLMISS Teague 13' Jump Shot52
28.9%
53
71.1%
Q3 - 8:52DENAfflalo Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)52
31.2%
53
68.8%
Q3 - 8:52DENAfflalo Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)52
31.7%
52
68.3%
Q3 - 8:56DENChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)52
34.3%
51
65.7%
Q3 - 8:58ATLMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot52
35.4%
51
64.6%
Q3 - 9:09ATLTeague REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)52
37.4%
51
62.6%
Q3 - 9:10DENMISS Chandler 20' Jump Shot52
36.3%
51
63.7%
Q3 - 9:31ATLTeague 22' Jump Shot (7 PTS)52
34.0%
51
66.0%
Q3 - 9:40ATLTeague REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)50
30.8%
51
69.2%
Q3 - 9:41DENMISS Chandler 3PT Jump Shot50
29.9%
51
70.1%
Q3 - 9:49DENLawson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)50
27.7%
51
72.3%
Q3 - 9:50ATLMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot50
28.7%
51
71.3%
Q3 - 10:06DENMartin 16' Jump Bank Shot (5 PTS) (Afflalo 4 AST)50
30.5%
51
69.5%
Q3 - 10:19ATLHorford 20' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)50
33.5%
49
66.5%
Q3 - 10:46DENChandler 17' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Afflalo 3 AST)48
30.5%
49
69.5%
Q3 - 10:57ATLTeague Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)48
33.5%
47
66.5%
Q3 - 10:57ATLMISS Teague Free Throw 1 of 247
33.0%
47
67.0%
Q3 - 11:05ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)47
33.4%
47
66.6%
Q3 - 11:06DENMISS Afflalo 25' 3PT Jump Shot47
32.4%
47
67.6%
Q3 - 11:18DENAfflalo Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)47
30.2%
47
69.8%
Q3 - 11:33DENMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)47
33.2%
46
66.8%
Q3 - 11:34ATLMISS Horford 20' Jump Shot47
34.2%
46
65.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0DEN47
36.5%
46
63.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0DENNUGGETS Rebound47
33.2%
46
66.8%
Q2 - 0:01.0DENMISS Felton 15' Fadeaway Jumper47
35.0%
46
65.0%
Q2 - 0:06.0ATLJohnson 1' Driving Layup (7 PTS)47
33.5%
46
66.5%
Q2 - 0:30.0DENChandler 21' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Felton 3 AST)45
29.9%
46
70.1%
Q2 - 0:36.0DENNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)45
33.4%
44
66.6%
Q2 - 0:37.0ATLMISS Crawford 7' Running Jump Shot45
34.1%
44
65.9%
Q2 - 1:05DENLawson 2' Layup (4 PTS)45
35.4%
44
64.6%
Q2 - 1:09ATLNene STEAL (1 STL)45
39.3%
42
60.7%
Q2 - 1:29DENLawson 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)45
41.6%
42
58.4%
Q2 - 1:45ATLHorford 9' Fadeaway Jumper (8 PTS)45
45.7%
40
54.3%
Q2 - 2:11DENChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)43
41.5%
40
58.5%
Q2 - 2:11DENChandler 1' Tip Shot (9 PTS)43
41.5%
40
58.5%
Q2 - 2:12DENMISS Martin 8' Jump Shot43
46.8%
38
53.2%
Q2 - 2:26ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)43
44.5%
38
55.5%
Q2 - 2:26ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)42
43.7%
38
56.3%
Q2 - 2:54DENChandler 2' Dunk (7 PTS) (Felton 2 AST)41
41.5%
38
58.5%
Q2 - 2:57ATLFelton STEAL (1 STL)41
44.6%
36
55.4%
Q2 - 3:15DENMartin Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)41
47.3%
36
52.7%
Q2 - 3:15DENMISS Martin Free Throw 1 of 241
48.4%
35
51.6%
Q2 - 3:19DENNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)41
46.7%
35
53.3%
Q2 - 3:22ATLNene BLOCK (1 BLK)41
47.9%
35
52.1%
Q2 - 3:43ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)41
50.4%
35
49.6%
Q2 - 3:44ATLMISS Crawford 3PT Jump Shot41
47.9%
35
52.1%
Q2 - 3:53ATLTeague REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)41
50.4%
35
49.6%
Q2 - 3:54DENMISS Chandler 11' Jump Shot41
49.3%
35
50.7%
Q2 - 4:00DENLawson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)41
46.8%
35
53.2%
Q2 - 4:01ATLMISS Crawford 3PT Jump Shot41
46.9%
35
53.1%
Q2 - 4:19ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)41
49.3%
35
50.7%
Q2 - 4:20ATLMISS Teague 25' 3PT Jump Shot41
47.0%
35
53.0%
Q2 - 4:32ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)41
49.3%
35
50.7%
Q2 - 4:33DENMISS Chandler 21' Jump Shot41
48.3%
35
51.7%
Q2 - 4:37DENMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)41
46.0%
35
54.0%
Q2 - 4:39ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)41
49.3%
35
50.7%
Q2 - 4:39ATLMISS Johnson Layup41
47.0%
35
53.0%
Q2 - 4:41ATLMISS Johnson 2' Layup41
47.0%
35
53.0%
Q2 - 4:58DENNene Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)41
49.3%
35
50.7%
Q2 - 5:04DENSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)41
54.5%
32
45.5%
Q2 - 5:05ATLMISS Williams 9' Turnaround Jump Shot41
55.3%
32
44.7%
Q2 - 5:29DENLawson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)41
57.3%
32
42.7%
Q2 - 5:35ATLWilliams 1' Driving Layup (7 PTS) (Horford 3 AST)41
54.5%
32
45.5%
Q2 - 5:40ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)39
51.5%
32
48.5%
Q2 - 5:41DENMISS Smith 3' Driving Layup39
50.6%
32
49.4%
Q2 - 5:50DENSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)39
48.6%
32
51.4%
Q2 - 5:52ATLMISS Horford 20' Jump Shot39
49.5%
32
50.5%
Q2 - 6:06DENNene Backcourt Turnover (P2.T3)39
50.8%
32
49.2%
Q2 - 6:24ATLWilliams 1' Layup (5 PTS) (Horford 2 AST)39
47.6%
32
52.4%
Q2 - 6:29ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)37
45.2%
32
54.8%
Q2 - 6:31ATLMISS Crawford 24' 3PT Jump Shot37
42.9%
32
57.1%
Q2 - 6:39DENFelton Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)37
45.2%
32
54.8%
Q2 - 6:51ATLCrawford 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Horford 1 AST)37
42.0%
32
58.0%
Q2 - 7:06DENSmith 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Felton 1 AST)34
36.3%
32
63.7%
Q2 - 7:21ATLTeague Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)34
41.4%
29
58.6%
Q2 - 7:21ATLTeague Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)33
41.0%
29
59.0%
Q2 - 7:26ATLHawks Rebound32
38.9%
29
61.1%
Q2 - 7:27ATLSmith BLOCK (1 BLK)32
37.0%
29
63.0%
Q2 - 7:44ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)32
38.9%
29
61.1%
Q2 - 7:45DENMISS Smith Free Throw 2 of 232
38.6%
29
61.4%
Q2 - 7:45DENSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)32
36.9%
29
63.1%
Q2 - 8:01ATLHorford 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)32
38.2%
28
61.8%
Q2 - 8:25DENHarrington Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)30
35.9%
28
64.1%
Q2 - 8:25DENMISS Harrington Free Throw 1 of 230
36.4%
27
63.6%
Q2 - 8:25DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)30
35.8%
27
64.2%
Q2 - 8:26DENMISS Afflalo 1' Layup30
37.6%
27
62.4%
Q2 - 8:31DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
35.8%
27
64.2%
Q2 - 8:32ATLMISS Powell 17' Jump Shot30
36.6%
27
63.4%
Q2 - 8:47DENAndersen 2' Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (Afflalo 2 AST)30
38.4%
27
61.6%
Q2 - 9:05ATLAndersen STEAL (1 STL)30
40.2%
25
59.8%
Q2 - 9:21DENAndersen 1' Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Afflalo 1 AST)30
42.9%
25
57.1%
Q2 - 9:25DENFelton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)30
45.3%
23
54.7%
Q2 - 9:26ATLMISS Crawford 19' Jump Shot30
46.2%
23
53.8%
Q2 - 9:43ATLHawks Rebound30
48.1%
23
51.9%
Q2 - 9:44DENMISS Harrington 1' Driving Layup30
47.2%
23
52.8%
Q2 - 9:50DENSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
45.4%
23
54.6%
Q2 - 9:51ATLMISS Powell 19' Jump Shot30
46.2%
23
53.8%
Q2 - 10:09DENHarrington 2' Layup (2 PTS)30
47.7%
23
52.3%
Q2 - 10:12DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)30
50.0%
21
50.0%
Q2 - 10:14DENMISS Smith 20' Jump Shot30
51.9%
21
48.1%
Q2 - 10:37ATLCrawford Free Throw 3 of 3 (4 PTS)30
50.0%
21
50.0%
Q2 - 10:37ATLMISS Crawford Free Throw 2 of 329
49.7%
21
50.3%
Q2 - 10:37ATLMISS Crawford Free Throw 1 of 329
51.9%
21
48.1%
Q2 - 10:40ATLHawks Rebound29
50.2%
21
49.8%
Q2 - 10:42ATLAndersen BLOCK (1 BLK)29
48.3%
21
51.7%
Q2 - 10:59ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)29
50.2%
21
49.8%
Q2 - 11:01DENMISS Harrington 24' 3PT Jump Shot29
48.9%
21
51.1%
Q2 - 11:16ATLPachulia Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)29
47.1%
21
52.9%
Q2 - 11:16ATLPachulia Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)28
46.5%
21
53.5%
Q2 - 11:24ATLCrawford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
44.7%
21
55.3%
Q2 - 11:25DENMISS Harrington 14' Jump Shot27
43.9%
21
56.1%
Q2 - 11:39ATLPowell 13' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)27
42.1%
21
57.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0DEN25
39.9%
21
60.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATLCrawford 38' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)25
37.3%
21
62.7%
Q1 - 0:04.0DENSmith 17' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS)22
32.2%
21
67.8%
Q1 - 0:26.0DENChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
34.8%
19
65.2%
Q1 - 0:27.0ATLMISS Williams 18' Jump Shot22
35.3%
19
64.7%
Q1 - 0:45.0DENSmith 20' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)22
36.7%
19
63.3%
Q1 - 1:04DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
39.0%
17
61.0%
Q1 - 1:05ATLMISS Crawford 24' 3PT Jump Shot22
39.5%
17
60.5%
Q1 - 1:26DENFelton 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS)22
40.7%
17
59.3%
Q1 - 1:48ATLWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)22
43.6%
15
56.4%
Q1 - 1:48ATLMISS Williams Free Throw 1 of 221
43.2%
15
56.8%
Q1 - 1:49ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)21
43.0%
15
57.0%
Q1 - 1:52ATLMISS Smith 23' Jump Shot21
41.8%
15
58.2%
Q1 - 2:11DENFelton 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS)21
42.9%
15
57.1%
Q1 - 2:17DENFelton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
45.4%
13
54.6%
Q1 - 2:18ATLMISS Johnson 19' Jump Shot21
46.1%
13
53.9%
Q1 - 2:44ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)21
47.5%
13
52.5%
Q1 - 2:46DENMISS Nene 2' Layup21
46.9%
13
53.1%
Q1 - 2:56ATLWilliams 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)21
45.5%
13
54.5%
Q1 - 3:22DENMartin 1' Dunk (2 PTS)19
42.6%
13
57.4%
Q1 - 3:26ATLMartin STEAL (1 STL)19
44.8%
11
55.2%
Q1 - 3:44ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)19
47.2%
11
52.8%
Q1 - 3:45DENMISS Chandler 26' 3PT Jump Shot19
46.4%
11
53.6%
Q1 - 4:10ATLSmith 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)19
43.7%
11
56.3%
Q1 - 4:32ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
41.8%
11
58.2%
Q1 - 4:33DENMISS Afflalo 24' 3PT Jump Shot17
41.1%
11
58.9%
Q1 - 4:51ATLTeague Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)17
39.5%
11
60.5%
Q1 - 4:51ATLTeague Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)16
39.2%
11
60.8%
Q1 - 4:51ATLTeague REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)15
37.6%
11
62.4%
Q1 - 4:51ATLLawson BLOCK (1 BLK)15
36.0%
11
64.0%
Q1 - 5:07ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)15
37.1%
11
62.9%
Q1 - 5:08ATLMISS Williams 3' Running Jump Shot15
35.6%
11
64.4%
Q1 - 5:33DENNene 1' Slam Dunk (6 PTS)15
37.1%
11
62.9%
Q1 - 5:35DENNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)15
38.9%
9
61.1%
Q1 - 5:36DENMISS Nene 2' Layup15
40.5%
9
59.5%
Q1 - 6:01ATLSmith 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Teague 1 AST)15
38.4%
9
61.6%
Q1 - 6:13ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)13
36.5%
9
63.5%
Q1 - 6:14DENMISS Martin 2' Driving Layup13
35.9%
9
64.1%
Q1 - 6:31ATLJohnson Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)13
34.5%
9
65.5%
Q1 - 6:49DENNene 1' Dunk (4 PTS) (Martin 1 AST)10
31.0%
9
69.0%
Q1 - 7:04ATLHorford 3' Layup (4 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)10
32.2%
7
67.8%
Q1 - 7:10ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)8
30.6%
7
69.4%
Q1 - 7:11DENMISS Afflalo 1' Driving Layup8
30.0%
7
70.0%
Q1 - 7:18DENMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)8
28.8%
7
71.2%
Q1 - 7:19ATLMISS Horford 16' Jump Shot8
29.3%
7
70.7%
Q1 - 7:39DENChandler 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Lawson 2 AST)8
30.6%
7
69.4%
Q1 - 7:51ATLJohnson Driving Layup (2 PTS)8
34.0%
4
66.0%
Q1 - 7:58ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
32.4%
4
67.6%
Q1 - 7:59DENMISS Nene 1' Layup6
31.8%
4
68.2%
Q1 - 8:12DENMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)6
30.3%
4
69.7%
Q1 - 8:14ATLMISS Smith 24' 3PT Jump Shot6
30.8%
4
69.2%
Q1 - 8:25ATLTeague REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
32.0%
4
68.0%
Q1 - 8:26DENMISS Lawson 7' Jump Shot6
31.4%
4
68.6%
Q1 - 8:36DENMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
30.3%
4
69.7%
Q1 - 8:38ATLMISS Johnson 20' Jump Shot6
30.8%
4
69.2%
Q1 - 8:44ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)6
32.0%
4
68.0%
Q1 - 8:45DENMISS Martin 21' Jump Shot6
31.5%
4
68.5%
Q1 - 8:59DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
30.3%
4
69.7%
Q1 - 9:00ATLMISS Smith 15' Jump Shot6
30.8%
4
69.2%
Q1 - 9:22DENChandler 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Lawson 1 AST)6
31.8%
4
68.2%
Q1 - 9:27DENLawson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
33.5%
2
66.5%
Q1 - 9:28ATLMISS Williams 19' Jump Shot6
34.0%
2
66.0%
Q1 - 9:35DENNene Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)6
35.2%
2
64.8%
Q1 - 9:52ATLSmith 22' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)6
33.5%
2
66.5%
Q1 - 10:08ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
31.6%
2
68.4%
Q1 - 10:11DENMISS Lawson 7' Running Jump Shot4
31.0%
2
69.0%
Q1 - 10:20DENNUGGETS Rebound4
29.8%
2
70.2%
Q1 - 10:21DENMISS Nene 1' Layup4
31.0%
2
69.0%
Q1 - 10:30DENMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
29.8%
2
70.2%
Q1 - 10:31ATLMISS Teague 17' Jump Shot4
30.3%
2
69.7%
Q1 - 10:37ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
31.6%
2
68.4%
Q1 - 10:38DENMISS Afflalo 10' Jump Shot4
31.0%
2
69.0%
Q1 - 10:52ATLHorford 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)4
29.8%
2
70.2%
Q1 - 11:11DENNene 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Chandler 1 AST)2
27.9%
2
72.1%
Q1 - 11:29ATLSmith 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)2
29.4%
0
70.6%
Q1 - 11:47ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
28.0%
0
72.0%
Q1 - 11:49DENMISS Martin Free Throw 2 of 20
27.8%
0
72.2%
Q1 - 11:49DENMISS Martin Free Throw 1 of 20
27.2%
0
72.8%
Q1 - 12:00DENJump Ball Nene vs. Smith: Tip to Lawson0
26.7%
0
73.3%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
0.93 46.4%
DEN
1.05 52.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ATL
11
19
58%
DEN
19
30
63%
Midrange
ATL
21
47
45%
DEN
18
38
47%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ATL
2
3.0
19
11%
16%
DEN
3
4.5
14
21%
32%
Free Throws
ATL
20
25
80%
DEN
17
24
71%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Johnson2248%11.0 / 23
A. Horford2166%10.5 / 16
M. Williams1338%6.5 / 17
J. Crawford1139%5.5 / 14
J. Smith1063%5.0 / 8
J. Teague739%3.5 / 9
Z. Pachulia450%2.0 / 4
J. Powell233%1.0 / 3
D. Wilkins0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Smith1973%9.5 / 13
R. Felton1662%8.0 / 13
W. Chandler1550%7.5 / 15
K. Martin1450%7.0 / 14
Nene1350%6.5 / 13
A. Afflalo836%4.0 / 11
T. Lawson660%3.0 / 5
C. Andersen6100%3.0 / 3
A. Harrington330%1.5 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ATL
81
+15
-9
96
DEN
85
+9
-6
94
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
0.93 46.4%
DEN
1.05 52.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
105.9
112.7
ATL 100.0
DEN 109.9 +9.9
Pace
89.5
95.2
ATL 79.5
DEN 104.8 +25.3
Avg. Poss. Time
16.4
14.3
ATL 18.1
DEN 13.7 +4.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.1%
52.6%
ATL 41.2%
DEN 50.6% +9.4%
TO %
14.2%
14.5%
ATL 8.6%
DEN 6.1% +2.5%
ORB %
23.5%
23.8%
ATL 21.3% +3.8%
DEN 17.5%
FTrt
26.9
36.7
ATL 29.4 +0.1
DEN 29.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.7%
57.6%
ATL 44.1%
DEN 55.0% +10.9%
STL %
6.8%
7.7%
ATL 3.3%
DEN 6.6% +3.3%
BLK %
6.6%
6.8%
ATL 10.3% +2.7%
DEN 7.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.39 and 2.39.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.8%
56.3%
ATL 46.4%
DEN 52.6% +6.2%
Rim FG%
60.0%
58.5%
ATL 57.9%
DEN 63.3% +5.4%
Mid FG%
42.5%
40.0%
ATL 44.7%
DEN 47.4% +2.7%
3P %
35.2%
38.8%
ATL 10.5%
DEN 21.4% +10.9%
FT %
78.0%
76.6%
ATL 80.0% +9.2%
DEN 70.8%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
30.4%
42.5%
ATL 22.4%
DEN 36.6% +14.2%
Mid Att. %
47.4%
31.8%
ATL 55.3%
DEN 46.3% +9.0%
3P Att. %
22.2%
25.8%
ATL 22.4% +5.3%
DEN 17.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.47 and 2.47.
Game TotalsATLDEN
Possessions9091
Possession Minutes27.220.8
Points90100
Rebounds4344
Assists1522
Steals36
Blocks75
Turnovers (Team)9 (0)6 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (5)7 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)33 (3)37 (0)
Field Goals34-8540-82
At-the-Rim FG11-1919-30
Midrange FG21-4718-38
2-Point FG32-6637-68
3-Point FG2-193-14
Free Throws20-2517-24
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
C · 6'10" 245 · 25
40.9
21
66%
16
4
2
1
2
2
5
11
1-2
50%
10-15
67%
0-0
-
G · 6'7" 240 · 30
40.7
22
48%
3
3
0
1
2
1
2
1
2-2
100%
10-18
56%
0-5
0%
F · 6'9" 237 · 25
36.5
13
38%
3
2
1
1
0
3
0
3
5-6
83%
4-11
36%
0-3
0%
G · 6'2" 189 · 23
34.4
7
39%
6
2
0
1
2
2
1
5
5-6
83%
1-5
20%
0-1
0%
F · 6'9" 225 · 25
13.6
10
63%
5
2
0
1
0
0
0
5
2-2
100%
4-6
67%
0-1
0%
G · 6'5" 185 · 31
30.3
11
39%
3
1
0
0
0
1
0
3
3-5
60%
1-4
25%
2-8
25%
C · 6'11" 270 · 27
21.7
4
50%
7
0
0
2
2
3
2
5
2-2
100%
1-3
33%
0-0
-
· 6'6" 225 · 31
16.5
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
4
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-1
0%
F · 6'9" 240 · 28
5.4
2
33%
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 190 · 30
C · 7'0" 255 · 32
F-C · 6'11" 235 · 26
#36 · C · 6'10" 260 · 33
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#19 · F-G · 6'7" 225 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
90
46%
43
15
3
7
9
0
10
33
20-25
80%
32-66
48%
2-19
11%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.