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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
March 7, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
9Thunder46%96101
14Grizzlies54%97107
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 22.4
42.8
36.8
23
52%
6
2
0
1
1
0
0
6
3-5
60%
4-10
7-14
40%
50%
4-10
40%
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 22.3
37.7
33.3
27
58%
4
7
0
1
0
5
3
1
4-5
80%
10-19
7-15
53%
45%
1-2
50%
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 21.5
33.5
27.4
14
64%
6
0
1
0
3
0
3
3
0-2
0%
7-10
4-7
70%
54%
0-0
-
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 26.8
25.3
28.4
3
52%
5
1
1
1
0
3
1
4
1-2
50%
1-2
1-3
50%
50%
0-0
-
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 33.5
13.2
16.6
4
50%
2
3
0
0
1
1
1
1
0-0
-
2-4
3-6
50%
49%
0-0
-
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 21.5
32.7
29.9
16
67%
6
5
1
1
1
2
0
6
2-2
100%
7-10
3-6
70%
47%
0-1
0%
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 30.4
20.2
24.8
5
51%
1
0
1
1
1
0
0
1
1-2
50%
2-4
2-4
50%
54%
0-0
-
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 23.9
19.0
17.2
5
42%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
37%
1-5
20%
Eric Maynor
G · 6'3" 175 · 23.7
10.3
13.1
2
50%
2
2
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
42%
0-0
-
Cole Aldrich
C · 6'11" 253 · 22.3
5.2
5.9
2
100%
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
49%
0-0
-
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 29.2
2.7
0
0-0
43%
Byron Mullens
C · 7'0" 275 · 22.1
2.4
0
0-1
48%
Nate Robinson
G · 5'9" 180 · 26.8
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 26.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 23.4
39.2
31.2
20
48%
2
9
2
1
1
0
0
2
2-2
100%
9-15
4-9
60%
49%
0-5
0%
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 29.6
36.5
37.0
17
73%
6
4
3
1
0
2
1
5
5-6
83%
6-8
8-16
75%
50%
0-1
0%
Sam Young
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 25.8
32.0
20.3
12
58%
1
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
2-3
67%
5-9
3-6
56%
50%
0-0
-
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 29.1
31.1
23.1
20
66%
6
2
1
1
0
1
3
3
5-7
71%
6-10
4-7
60%
51%
1-2
50%
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 26.1
29.1
27.7
18
69%
6
1
0
1
2
1
3
3
0-0
-
9-13
4-8
69%
55%
0-0
-
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 32.5
26.6
28.8
7
51%
7
1
0
1
2
1
5
2
1-2
50%
3-4
1-3
75%
49%
0-2
0%
O.J. Mayo
G · 6'5" 210 · 23.3
22.9
24.7
7
45%
7
2
1
1
1
1
2
5
2-4
50%
1-4
3-6
25%
48%
1-2
50%
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.9
13.8
22.2
6
33%
4
0
0
1
3
1
1
3
0-0
-
3-9
5-9
33%
51%
0-0
-
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 35.3
6.5
12.1
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
48%
0-0
-
Ish Smith
G · 6'0" 175 · 22.7
2.3
5.6
0
0%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-2
0%
0-0
1-1
-
43%
0-0
-
Hamed Haddadi
C · 7'2" 265 · 25.8
4.8
0
1-1
50%
Leon Powe
F · 6'8" 240 · 27.1
4.3
0
1-1
50%
Xavier Henry
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 20.0
Greivis Vasquez
G · 6'6" 217 · 24.1
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 24.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.