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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
March 1, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2Spurs57%9793
16Grizzlies43%94109
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 30.7
27.3
30.6
7
117%
4
0
1
1
1
2
0
4
0-0
-
2-2
2-4
100%
50%
1-1
100%
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 24.8
26.9
31.5
6
41%
3
4
2
1
0
6
1
2
2-3
67%
2-5
3-6
40%
48%
0-1
0%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 34.8
26.3
30.7
9
41%
8
1
0
1
2
2
4
4
1-2
50%
4-9
6-12
44%
50%
0-1
0%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 33.6
21.1
33.1
9
48%
2
7
1
2
0
1
0
2
3-3
100%
3-4
4-9
75%
49%
0-4
0%
DeJuan Blair
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 21.9
16.0
21.4
9
67%
3
0
1
1
0
3
1
2
3-4
75%
3-5
4-7
60%
52%
0-0
-
Gary Neal
G · 6'4" 210 · 26.4
27.7
10.3
14
47%
4
1
0
0
0
2
0
4
3-4
75%
4-9
1-2
44%
47%
1-4
25%
Antonio McDyess
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 36.5
21.7
15.7
9
65%
3
0
1
0
0
1
1
2
1-2
50%
4-6
2-4
67%
49%
0-0
-
Chris Quinn
G · 6'2" 175 · 27.4
21.1
3.6
6
38%
3
2
0
0
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
0-3
0-1
0%
42%
2-5
40%
James Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 213 · 21.9
17.5
13.1
7
60%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
0-0
1-2
-
45%
2-5
40%
Tiago Splitter
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 26.2
15.0
3.8
7
54%
6
2
0
0
0
1
5
1
1-1
100%
3-6
0-1
50%
50%
0-0
-
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 30.9
10.5
23.7
3
50%
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
50%
1-3
33%
Steve Novak
F · 6'10" 225 · 27.7
8.9
1.5
7
72%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
2-2
100%
1-2
0-0
50%
50%
1-2
50%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 28.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 29.6
36.4
34.8
21
52%
10
5
4
1
0
3
4
6
3-3
100%
9-19
7-15
47%
49%
0-0
-
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 23.4
34.4
31.6
18
71%
4
9
3
1
1
2
0
4
4-4
100%
7-11
4-9
64%
47%
0-0
-
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 29.1
33.3
21.3
20
93%
3
1
1
1
0
1
1
2
4-4
100%
8-9
3-6
89%
50%
0-0
-
Sam Young
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 25.7
28.0
28.7
6
43%
1
3
2
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
3-7
4-8
43%
48%
0-0
-
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 26.1
12.3
30.3
4
67%
3
1
0
1
2
0
1
2
0-0
-
2-3
5-9
67%
54%
0-0
-
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.9
30.6
17.2
21
52%
8
0
0
1
3
3
5
3
3-3
100%
9-18
3-6
50%
50%
0-1
0%
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 32.5
23.8
27.8
2
33%
4
1
0
1
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
48%
0-0
-
O.J. Mayo
G · 6'5" 210 · 23.3
19.5
20.9
9
41%
4
0
0
1
1
0
0
4
1-2
50%
4-8
2-5
50%
47%
0-2
0%
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 35.3
12.9
14.3
2
25%
1
3
1
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-1
33%
48%
0-1
0%
Hamed Haddadi
C · 7'2" 265 · 25.8
4.8
7.8
6
100%
4
0
0
0
0
0
3
1
0-0
-
3-3
1-2
100%
48%
0-0
-
Greivis Vasquez
G · 6'6" 217 · 24.1
2.1
4.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
46%
0-0
-
Rodney Carney
F · 6'7" 205 · 26.9
2.1
3.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
45%
0-1
0%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 24.5
Xavier Henry
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 20.0
Ish Smith
G · 6'0" 175 · 22.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.