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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
March 4, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
26Timberwolves27%97100
1376ers73%105111
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 22.5
39.8
34.1
21
60%
23
3
0
1
2
2
4
19
0-1
0%
9-15
4-9
60%
48%
1-2
50%
Michael Beasley
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.1
38.9
27.4
15
46%
4
4
1
1
0
1
2
2
3-3
100%
6-13
6-12
46%
47%
0-2
0%
Wayne Ellington
G · 6'5" 200 · 23.3
33.4
15.5
9
35%
3
2
0
0
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
3-10
2-4
30%
43%
1-3
33%
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 30.1
31.4
25.6
8
36%
2
10
2
1
0
3
1
1
0-0
-
4-10
3-7
40%
47%
0-1
0%
Nikola Pekovic
C · 6'11" 307 · 25.2
13.8
11.3
16
82%
1
0
0
0
1
2
0
1
4-4
100%
6-8
1-3
75%
49%
0-0
-
Anthony Randolph
· 6'10" 225 · 21.6
27.3
13.7
12
60%
2
4
1
1
2
1
1
1
0-0
-
6-10
2-5
60%
44%
0-0
-
Lazar Hayward
F · 6'6" 225 · 24.3
23.8
16.9
11
51%
6
2
2
0
0
0
1
5
2-2
100%
3-6
1-3
50%
44%
1-4
25%
Jonny Flynn
G · 6'0" 185 · 22.1
16.6
21.0
6
68%
0
4
0
1
0
3
0
0
1-1
100%
1-3
2-4
33%
43%
1-1
100%
Anthony Tolliver
F · 6'8" 240 · 25.8
15.2
22.0
2
33%
1
1
1
1
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
1-3
2-3
33%
46%
0-0
-
Wesley Johnson
F · 6'7" 215 · 23.6
31.8
1
3-7
46%
Darko Milicic
C · 7'0" 275 · 25.7
15.5
0
2-5
47%
Sebastian Telfair
G · 6'0" 170 · 25.7
5.8
0
1-1
43%
Martell Webster
F-G · 6'7" 230 · 24.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jrue Holiday
G · 6'4" 205 · 20.7
38.0
34.9
9
35%
3
6
2
2
1
1
0
3
1-2
50%
4-10
5-9
40%
50%
0-2
0%
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 27.1
37.9
35.5
22
70%
10
13
1
2
1
2
1
9
6-6
100%
5-9
4-8
56%
52%
2-4
50%
Elton Brand
F · 6'9" 254 · 32.0
35.9
33.2
21
61%
5
2
0
1
1
0
2
3
1-3
33%
10-16
6-12
63%
53%
0-0
-
Jodie Meeks
G · 6'4" 210 · 23.5
30.5
29.0
12
68%
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
1
4-4
100%
1-2
2-3
50%
47%
2-5
40%
Spencer Hawes
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 22.8
11.9
16.7
2
33%
0
1
0
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
3-5
50%
52%
0-1
0%
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 22.7
32.8
28.0
16
62%
8
2
2
1
2
2
4
4
0-0
-
8-13
6-11
62%
56%
0-0
-
Lou Williams
G · 6'1" 175 · 24.4
21.1
20.0
12
56%
2
1
0
1
0
1
1
1
4-4
100%
4-9
3-6
44%
49%
0-0
-
Evan Turner
F-G · 6'7" 220 · 22.3
16.5
20.3
10
63%
1
1
0
1
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
5-7
3-6
71%
48%
0-1
0%
Marreese Speights
F-C · 6'10" 255 · 23.6
15.4
13.6
7
74%
6
0
0
0
1
1
0
6
3-4
75%
2-3
3-5
67%
52%
0-0
-
Tony Battie
C · 6'11" 240 · 35.1
3.1
0
0-1
49%
Andres Nocioni
· 6'7" 225 · 31.3
3.1
0
0-1
47%
Darius Songaila
F · 6'9" 248 · 33.0
2.4
0
0-1
50%
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 30.1
Craig Brackins
F · 6'10" 230 · 23.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.