FinalWin Prob.pScore
156%94
89
944%92
93
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
94.79495.8
CHI logo CHI
98.99492.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

BullsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

BullsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIACHI
Q4 - 0:00.0CHI89
0%
93
100%
Q4 - 0:03.0CHIWatson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)89
0.2%
93
99.8%
Q4 - 0:04.0MIAMISS Wade 26' 3PT Jump Shot89
0.2%
93
99.8%
Q4 - 0:09.0CHIKorver Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)89
2.6%
93
97.4%
Q4 - 0:09.0CHIMISS Korver Free Throw 1 of 289
2.9%
92
97.1%
Q4 - 0:10.0CHIRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)89
2.1%
92
97.9%
Q4 - 0:11.0MIAMISS James 24' 3PT Jump Shot89
3.4%
92
96.6%
Q4 - 0:16.0CHIDeng 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Rose 6 AST)89
10.0%
92
90.0%
Q4 - 0:36.0MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 1 (29 PTS)89
43.7%
89
56.3%
Q4 - 0:40.0MIADampier REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)86
16.4%
89
83.6%
Q4 - 0:42.0CHIMISS Rose 21' Jump Shot86
13.6%
89
86.4%
Q4 - 0:59.0MIAWade 12' Fadeaway Jumper (34 PTS)86
11.2%
89
88.8%
Q4 - 1:06CHIRose 22' Jump Shot (26 PTS)84
7.3%
89
92.7%
Q4 - 1:24CHIDeng REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)84
14.8%
87
85.2%
Q4 - 1:25CHIMISS Rose 12' Pullup Jump Shot84
21.3%
87
78.7%
Q4 - 1:40CHIRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)84
16.8%
87
83.2%
Q4 - 1:42MIAMISS Bosh 19' Jump Shot84
19.6%
87
80.4%
Q4 - 2:05CHIDeng 20' Pullup Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Rose 5 AST)84
28.4%
87
71.6%
Q4 - 2:24CHIBoozer REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)84
35.3%
85
64.7%
Q4 - 2:25MIAMISS James 24' 3PT Jump Shot84
40.4%
85
59.6%
Q4 - 2:49CHIRose 3' Driving Layup (24 PTS)84
52.9%
85
47.1%
Q4 - 2:58MIAChalmers Foul Turnover (P1.T12)84
60.4%
83
39.6%
Q4 - 3:17MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)84
73.9%
83
26.1%
Q4 - 3:18CHIMISS Rose 1' Driving Layup84
70.1%
83
29.9%
Q4 - 3:29CHIDeng REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)84
60.2%
83
39.8%
Q4 - 3:30MIAMISS Bosh 22' Jump Shot84
64.8%
83
35.2%
Q4 - 4:05CHIKorver 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Boozer 2 AST)84
70.2%
83
29.8%
Q4 - 4:29CHIBoozer REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)84
83.4%
80
16.6%
Q4 - 4:30MIAMISS Wade 2' Reverse Layup84
85.1%
80
14.9%
Q4 - 4:35MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:10)84
88.5%
80
11.5%
Q4 - 4:38CHIMISS Rose 2' Layup84
87.1%
80
12.9%
Q4 - 4:52MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (26 PTS)84
83.5%
80
16.5%
Q4 - 4:52MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (25 PTS)83
82.3%
80
17.7%
Q4 - 5:03MIAHeat Rebound82
75.2%
80
24.8%
Q4 - 5:03CHIMISS Boozer 3' Layup82
73.1%
80
26.9%
Q4 - 5:25MIAChalmers 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)82
68.0%
80
32.0%
Q4 - 5:30MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)79
52.4%
80
47.6%
Q4 - 5:32CHIMISS Noah 3' Hook Shot79
49.6%
80
50.4%
Q4 - 5:48MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)79
43.3%
80
56.7%
Q4 - 5:48MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)78
41.9%
80
58.1%
Q4 - 5:52MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)77
35.7%
80
64.3%
Q4 - 5:53CHIMISS Rose 22' Jump Shot77
33.1%
80
66.9%
Q4 - 6:12MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)77
31.0%
80
69.0%
Q4 - 6:12MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)76
29.7%
80
70.3%
Q4 - 6:20MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)75
25.3%
80
74.7%
Q4 - 6:21CHIMISS Korver 25' 3PT Jump Shot75
23.5%
80
76.5%
Q4 - 6:38MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (32 PTS)75
19.5%
80
80.5%
Q4 - 6:38MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (31 PTS)74
18.5%
80
81.5%
Q4 - 6:40MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)73
15.5%
80
84.5%
Q4 - 6:42CHIMISS Rose 10' Floating Jump Shot73
14.2%
80
85.8%
Q4 - 6:52CHIBrewer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)73
11.6%
80
88.4%
Q4 - 6:53MIAMISS Bosh 6' Jump Shot73
12.7%
80
87.3%
Q4 - 7:05MIAHeat Rebound73
18.2%
80
81.8%
Q4 - 7:05MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 173
14.6%
80
85.4%
Q4 - 7:17MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)71
11.3%
80
88.7%
Q4 - 7:18CHIMISS Gibson 4' Hook Shot71
10.4%
80
89.6%
Q4 - 7:22MIAWatson STEAL (1 STL)71
8.6%
80
91.4%
Q4 - 7:25MIADampier REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)71
11.2%
80
88.8%
Q4 - 7:26CHIMISS Gibson 2' Layup71
10.3%
80
89.7%
Q4 - 7:31MIABrewer STEAL (4 STL)71
8.5%
80
91.5%
Q4 - 7:37MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)71
11.2%
80
88.8%
Q4 - 7:38CHIMISS Watson 3PT Jump Shot71
10.3%
80
89.7%
Q4 - 8:06CHIAsik REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)71
10.6%
80
89.4%
Q4 - 8:07MIAMISS Wade 2' Layup71
11.3%
80
88.7%
Q4 - 8:08MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)71
13.2%
80
86.8%
Q4 - 8:10MIAMISS Wade 5' Floating Jump Shot71
11.3%
80
88.7%
Q4 - 8:26CHIBrewer 21' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Korver 2 AST)71
13.1%
80
86.9%
Q4 - 8:50MIAWade Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P3.T9)71
16.3%
78
83.7%
Q4 - 8:59MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)71
20.0%
78
80.0%
Q4 - 9:01CHIMISS Korver 24' 3PT Jump Shot71
21.0%
78
79.0%
Q4 - 9:19MIAWade 3' Running Finger Roll Layup (30 PTS) (James 5 AST)71
18.3%
78
81.7%
Q4 - 9:43CHIBrewer 4' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Watson 1 AST)69
14.9%
78
85.1%
Q4 - 9:48CHIAsik REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)69
18.2%
76
81.8%
Q4 - 9:49MIAMISS Wade 3' Reverse Layup69
19.3%
76
80.7%
Q4 - 10:04CHIDeng Free Throw 1 of 1 (15 PTS)69
23.6%
76
76.4%
Q4 - 10:06MIABrewer STEAL (3 STL)69
32.7%
73
67.3%
Q4 - 10:09CHIDeng Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T14)69
37.9%
73
62.1%
Q4 - 10:19MIAWade 8' Running Bank Shot (28 PTS)69
32.7%
73
67.3%
Q4 - 10:41CHIGibson 5' Hook Shot (5 PTS) (Deng 5 AST)67
27.9%
73
72.1%
Q4 - 10:47CHIWatson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)67
32.6%
71
67.4%
Q4 - 10:48MIAMISS Bosh 17' Jump Shot67
34.2%
71
65.8%
Q4 - 11:19CHIBrewer Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T13)67
38.7%
71
61.3%
Q4 - 11:39CHIWatson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)67
33.7%
71
66.3%
Q4 - 11:41CHIMISS Watson 3PT Jump Shot67
37.1%
71
62.9%
Q4 - 11:45CHIAsik REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)67
33.7%
71
66.3%
Q4 - 11:47CHIMISS Deng 24' 3PT Jump Shot67
37.1%
71
62.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA67
33.7%
71
66.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound67
38.7%
71
61.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Wade 20' Turnaround Jump Shot67
35.2%
71
64.8%
Q3 - 0:11.0CHIRose 3' Driving Layup (22 PTS)67
39.4%
71
60.6%
Q3 - 0:30.0CHIDeng REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)67
44.8%
69
55.2%
Q3 - 0:31.0MIAMISS Wade 16' Fadeaway Jumper67
46.2%
69
53.8%
Q3 - 0:44.0MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)67
49.5%
69
50.5%
Q3 - 0:46.0CHIMISS Gibson Free Throw 2 of 267
48.8%
69
51.2%
Q3 - 0:46.0CHIGibson Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)67
45.8%
69
54.2%
Q3 - 1:07MIAWade 17' Fadeaway Jumper (26 PTS)67
50.2%
68
49.8%
Q3 - 1:23CHIRose Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)65
44.8%
68
55.2%
Q3 - 1:23CHIRose Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)65
45.6%
67
54.4%
Q3 - 1:29CHIBULLS Rebound65
50.2%
66
49.8%
Q3 - 1:30CHIMISS Gibson 2' Layup65
53.3%
66
46.7%
Q3 - 1:44MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)65
50.2%
66
49.8%
Q3 - 1:44MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)64
49.1%
66
50.9%
Q3 - 1:59CHIDeng Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)63
44.8%
66
55.2%
Q3 - 1:59CHIDeng Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)63
45.8%
65
54.2%
Q3 - 2:00CHIBrewer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)63
50.2%
64
49.8%
Q3 - 2:03MIADeng BLOCK (1 BLK)63
51.6%
64
48.4%
Q3 - 2:11MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)63
54.8%
64
45.2%
Q3 - 2:12CHIMISS Rose 25' 3PT Jump Shot63
53.4%
64
46.6%
Q3 - 2:36CHIAsik REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)63
50.2%
64
49.8%
Q3 - 2:37MIAMISS James 3' Driving Layup63
51.6%
64
48.4%
Q3 - 2:48CHIRose Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T12)63
54.8%
64
45.2%
Q3 - 2:57CHIAsik REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)63
50.2%
64
49.8%
Q3 - 2:58MIAMISS Bosh 19' Jump Shot63
51.6%
64
48.4%
Q3 - 3:17CHIRose 17' Fadeaway Jumper (18 PTS)63
55.5%
64
44.5%
Q3 - 3:35MIADampier Foul Turnover (P2.T7)63
59.7%
62
40.3%
Q3 - 3:49CHIDeng 2' Layup (10 PTS)63
64.1%
62
35.9%
Q3 - 3:54MIADeng STEAL (1 STL)63
68.0%
60
32.0%
Q3 - 4:05MIAHeat Rebound63
71.8%
60
28.2%
Q3 - 4:07MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot63
68.8%
60
31.2%
Q3 - 4:28CHIDeng 2' Putback Layup (8 PTS)63
71.8%
60
28.2%
Q3 - 4:29CHIDeng REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)63
74.6%
58
25.4%
Q3 - 4:30CHIMISS Bogans 24' 3PT Jump Shot63
77.2%
58
22.8%
Q3 - 4:55MIAWade 3' Layup (22 PTS)63
74.7%
58
25.3%
Q3 - 4:59CHIRose Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T11)61
71.8%
58
28.2%
Q3 - 5:12CHIRose Free Throw Technical (16 PTS)61
66.8%
58
33.2%
Q3 - 5:12CHIBoozer REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)61
70.4%
57
29.6%
Q3 - 5:13MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot61
71.6%
57
28.4%
Q3 - 5:32CHIDeng Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)61
74.2%
57
25.8%
Q3 - 5:32CHIDeng Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)61
74.9%
56
25.1%
Q3 - 5:36CHIDeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)61
77.0%
55
23.0%
Q3 - 5:38MIAAsik BLOCK (1 BLK)61
78.0%
55
22.0%
Q3 - 5:58CHIBoozer 6' Hook Shot (16 PTS)61
80.2%
55
19.8%
Q3 - 6:11CHIAsik REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)61
81.8%
53
18.2%
Q3 - 6:12MIAMISS Bosh 2' Layup61
82.6%
53
17.4%
Q3 - 6:38CHIRose 2' Driving Layup (15 PTS)61
84.3%
53
15.7%
Q3 - 6:40CHIBoozer REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)61
86.2%
51
13.8%
Q3 - 6:42CHIMISS Bogans 25' 3PT Jump Shot61
87.6%
51
12.4%
Q3 - 6:58CHIBogans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)61
86.2%
51
13.8%
Q3 - 6:59MIAMISS James 20' Jump Shot61
86.8%
51
13.2%
Q3 - 7:16CHIDeng Foul Turnover (P3.T10)61
87.1%
51
12.9%
Q3 - 7:40MIAJames 2' Running Dunk (20 PTS) (Chalmers 4 AST)61
85.3%
51
14.7%
Q3 - 8:01CHIDeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)59
82.9%
51
17.1%
Q3 - 8:01CHIDeng 3' Tip Shot (4 PTS)59
82.9%
51
17.1%
Q3 - 8:04CHIMISS Deng 2' Driving Layup59
86.2%
49
13.8%
Q3 - 8:13CHIDeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)59
84.8%
49
15.2%
Q3 - 8:14MIAMISS Wade 16' Fadeaway Jumper59
85.5%
49
14.5%
Q3 - 8:27CHINoah Foul Turnover (P1.T9)59
86.8%
49
13.2%
Q3 - 8:30CHINoah REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)59
84.8%
49
15.2%
Q3 - 8:32MIAMISS Bosh 4' Running Jump Shot59
85.5%
49
14.5%
Q3 - 8:49MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)59
86.8%
49
13.2%
Q3 - 8:50CHIMISS Rose 2' Layup59
86.2%
49
13.8%
Q3 - 8:56CHIBoozer REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)59
84.8%
49
15.2%
Q3 - 8:57MIAMISS Wade 21' Jump Shot59
85.5%
49
14.5%
Q3 - 9:05MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)59
86.3%
49
13.7%
Q3 - 9:07CHIMISS Noah 2' Layup59
85.7%
49
14.3%
Q3 - 9:25MIAWade 18' Fadeaway Jumper (20 PTS)59
84.5%
49
15.5%
Q3 - 9:38MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)57
82.5%
49
17.5%
Q3 - 9:39CHIMISS Rose 4' Driving Layup57
81.8%
49
18.2%
Q3 - 9:53CHINoah REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)57
80.2%
49
19.8%
Q3 - 9:54MIAMISS Chalmers 18' Jump Shot57
80.9%
49
19.1%
Q3 - 10:18CHIRose 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Deng 4 AST)57
82.0%
49
18.0%
Q3 - 10:40MIAJames 2' Running Layup (18 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)57
85.8%
46
14.2%
Q3 - 10:44CHIDeng Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)55
84.0%
46
16.0%
Q3 - 10:58MIAWade 17' Jump Shot (18 PTS)55
81.9%
46
18.1%
Q3 - 11:13CHIBogans Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)53
79.4%
46
20.6%
Q3 - 11:13CHIBogans Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)53
80.0%
45
20.0%
Q3 - 11:33CHINoah REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)53
81.5%
44
18.5%
Q3 - 11:34MIAMISS Bosh 20' Jump Shot53
82.1%
44
17.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0CHI53
83.6%
44
16.4%
Q2 - 0:01.0MIAJames 23' Jump Shot (16 PTS)53
81.2%
44
18.8%
Q2 - 0:21.0CHIDeng 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)51
78.6%
44
21.4%
Q2 - 0:38.0MIAJames 3' Layup (14 PTS)51
81.2%
42
18.8%
Q2 - 0:43.0CHIRose 1' Driving Layup (10 PTS)49
78.6%
42
21.4%
Q2 - 0:59.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)49
81.2%
40
18.8%
Q2 - 0:59.0MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 248
80.8%
40
19.2%
Q2 - 0:59.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)48
80.8%
40
19.2%
Q2 - 0:59.0MIAMISS Wade 1' Layup48
79.6%
40
20.4%
Q2 - 1:18CHIBoozer 2' Reverse Layup (14 PTS)48
80.4%
40
19.6%
Q2 - 1:31CHIDeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)48
82.9%
38
17.1%
Q2 - 1:32MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot48
83.3%
38
16.7%
Q2 - 1:36MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)48
84.2%
38
15.8%
Q2 - 1:38MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot48
83.3%
38
16.7%
Q2 - 1:58CHIBoozer Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T7)48
84.2%
38
15.8%
Q2 - 2:01CHIBoozer REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)48
82.1%
38
17.9%
Q2 - 2:02CHIMISS Korver 25' 3PT Jump Shot48
83.4%
38
16.6%
Q2 - 2:06CHINoah REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)48
82.1%
38
17.9%
Q2 - 2:07CHIMISS Rose 24' 3PT Jump Shot48
83.5%
38
16.5%
Q2 - 2:32MIAJames 18' Fadeaway Jumper (12 PTS)48
82.2%
38
17.8%
Q2 - 2:47CHIRose Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)46
80.3%
38
19.7%
Q2 - 3:04MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)46
77.8%
38
22.2%
Q2 - 3:04MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)45
77.5%
38
22.5%
Q2 - 3:17CHIRose Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)44
76.0%
38
24.0%
Q2 - 3:17CHIRose Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)44
76.3%
37
23.7%
Q2 - 3:38MIADampier Foul Turnover (P1.T5)44
77.8%
36
22.2%
Q2 - 3:53MIADampier REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)44
80.2%
36
19.8%
Q2 - 3:54CHIMISS Korver 3PT Jump Shot44
79.5%
36
20.5%
Q2 - 4:05CHIBrewer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)44
77.4%
36
22.6%
Q2 - 4:06MIAMISS Bosh 2' Reverse Layup44
78.1%
36
21.9%
Q2 - 4:21CHIBoozer 19' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Korver 1 AST)44
79.7%
36
20.3%
Q2 - 4:37MIAWade 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (15 PTS) (James 4 AST)44
81.4%
34
18.6%
Q2 - 4:42MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)42
79.7%
34
20.3%
Q2 - 4:44CHIMISS Rose 11' Jump Shot42
79.0%
34
21.0%
Q2 - 5:09MIAChalmers 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)42
77.4%
34
22.6%
Q2 - 5:17MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)39
72.9%
34
27.1%
Q2 - 5:18CHIMISS Korver 7' Jump Shot39
72.2%
34
27.8%
Q2 - 5:28CHIBrewer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)39
70.6%
34
29.4%
Q2 - 5:29MIAMISS Bosh 16' Fadeaway Jumper39
71.3%
34
28.7%
Q2 - 5:55CHIBoozer 2' Running Layup (10 PTS) (Rose 4 AST)39
72.9%
34
27.1%
Q2 - 6:04MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)39
74.3%
32
25.7%
Q2 - 6:04MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)38
74.0%
32
26.0%
Q2 - 6:17CHIBoozer Foul Turnover (P2.T5)37
72.5%
32
27.5%
Q2 - 6:36MIABosh 18' Jump Shot (3 PTS)37
69.9%
32
30.1%
Q2 - 6:57CHIKorver 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)35
67.8%
32
32.2%
Q2 - 7:08MIABrewer STEAL (2 STL)35
72.2%
29
27.8%
Q2 - 7:22MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)35
74.4%
29
25.6%
Q2 - 7:24CHIMISS Brewer 18' Jump Shot35
73.7%
29
26.3%
Q2 - 7:44MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)35
72.1%
29
27.9%
Q2 - 7:44MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)34
71.6%
29
28.4%
Q2 - 7:53MIAHeat Rebound33
70.0%
29
30.0%
Q2 - 7:53CHIMISS Deng 24' 3PT Jump Shot33
69.2%
29
30.8%
Q2 - 8:09CHIAsik REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)33
67.3%
29
32.7%
Q2 - 8:10MIAMISS Bosh 14' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot33
68.0%
29
32.0%
Q2 - 8:34CHIGibson 1' Dunk (2 PTS) (Deng 3 AST)33
69.7%
29
30.3%
Q2 - 8:55MIAWade 7' Floating Jump Shot (11 PTS)33
71.9%
27
28.1%
Q2 - 9:07MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
69.3%
27
30.7%
Q2 - 9:08CHIMISS Gibson 1' Driving Layup31
68.6%
27
31.4%
Q2 - 9:15CHIDeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)31
67.0%
27
33.0%
Q2 - 9:16MIAMISS House 24' 3PT Jump Shot31
67.7%
27
32.3%
Q2 - 9:38CHIBrewer 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Deng 2 AST)31
69.4%
27
30.6%
Q2 - 9:44CHIAsik REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)31
71.4%
25
28.6%
Q2 - 9:46MIAMISS Wade 12' Turnaround Jump Shot31
72.1%
25
27.9%
Q2 - 10:08CHIWatson Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)31
73.2%
25
26.8%
Q2 - 10:08CHIWatson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)31
73.6%
24
26.4%
Q2 - 10:10MIABrewer STEAL (1 STL)31
75.0%
23
25.0%
Q2 - 10:20MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)31
77.0%
23
23.0%
Q2 - 10:21CHIMISS Brewer 20' Jump Shot31
76.4%
23
23.6%
Q2 - 10:43CHIAsik REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)31
75.0%
23
25.0%
Q2 - 10:44MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot31
75.6%
23
24.4%
Q2 - 10:53MIAHeat Rebound31
77.1%
23
22.9%
Q2 - 10:54MIAGibson BLOCK (1 BLK)31
75.7%
23
24.3%
Q2 - 11:06MIAHeat Rebound31
76.6%
23
23.4%
Q2 - 11:06CHIMISS Watson 22' Jump Shot31
76.0%
23
24.0%
Q2 - 11:12CHIDeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
74.6%
23
25.4%
Q2 - 11:13MIAMISS Bosh 1' Layup31
75.3%
23
24.8%
Q2 - 11:22MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)31
76.6%
23
23.4%
Q2 - 11:23CHIMISS Gibson 20' Jump Shot31
76.0%
23
24.0%
Q2 - 11:39CHIAsik REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)31
74.7%
23
25.3%
Q2 - 11:40MIAMISS House 20' Jump Shot31
75.3%
23
24.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0CHI31
76.6%
23
23.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0CHIRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)31
74.7%
23
25.3%
Q1 - 0:01.0MIAMISS James 24' 3PT Jump Shot31
74.8%
23
25.2%
Q1 - 0:06.0CHIRose 19' Pullup Jump Shot (6 PTS)31
75.8%
23
24.2%
Q1 - 0:12.0MIAJames 23' Fadeaway Jumper (10 PTS)31
77.9%
21
22.1%
Q1 - 0:34.0CHIDeng Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)29
75.9%
21
24.1%
Q1 - 0:52.0MIAAnthony Foul Turnover (P1.T2)29
74.4%
21
25.6%
Q1 - 1:02MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
75.4%
21
24.6%
Q1 - 1:04CHIMISS Rose Free Throw 2 of 229
75.3%
21
24.7%
Q1 - 1:04CHIRose Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)29
73.9%
21
26.1%
Q1 - 1:06CHIGibson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)29
75.9%
20
24.1%
Q1 - 1:07CHIMISS Rose 25' 3PT Jump Shot29
76.8%
20
23.2%
Q1 - 1:19MIAJames 7' Floating Jump Shot (8 PTS)29
75.9%
20
24.1%
Q1 - 1:38CHIBrewer 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Rose 3 AST)27
73.6%
20
26.4%
Q1 - 1:49CHIAsik REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
75.9%
18
24.1%
Q1 - 1:50MIAMISS House 24' 3PT Jump Shot27
76.3%
18
23.7%
Q1 - 2:05CHIBrewer Foul Turnover (P1.T3)27
77.0%
18
23.0%
Q1 - 2:13CHIRose Free Throw Technical (3 PTS)27
75.5%
18
24.5%
Q1 - 2:28MIAHouse 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (James 3 AST)27
77.2%
17
22.8%
Q1 - 2:47CHINoah REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)25
75.4%
17
24.6%
Q1 - 2:47CHINoah 2' Tip Shot (7 PTS)25
75.4%
17
24.6%
Q1 - 2:48CHIMISS Gibson 2' Layup25
78.2%
15
21.8%
Q1 - 2:49CHIGibson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)25
77.2%
15
22.8%
Q1 - 2:52CHIMISS Rose 7' Floating Jump Shot25
78.2%
15
21.8%
Q1 - 3:01CHINoah REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)25
77.0%
15
23.0%
Q1 - 3:03MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 225
77.2%
15
22.8%
Q1 - 3:03MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)25
78.2%
15
21.8%
Q1 - 3:08CHIBoozer Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)24
77.0%
15
23.0%
Q1 - 3:29MIAWade 1' Running Finger Roll Layup (8 PTS) (James 2 AST)24
75.3%
15
24.7%
Q1 - 3:33MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
73.7%
15
26.3%
Q1 - 3:34CHIMISS Noah 2' Driving Layup22
73.1%
15
26.9%
Q1 - 3:48MIAWade 19' Fadeaway Jumper (6 PTS)22
71.8%
15
28.2%
Q1 - 4:15CHINoah 2' Dunk (5 PTS)20
69.7%
15
30.3%
Q1 - 4:17CHINoah REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)20
71.4%
13
28.6%
Q1 - 4:18CHIMISS Bogans 3PT Jump Shot20
72.7%
13
27.3%
Q1 - 4:42MIAChalmers 1' Running Finger Roll Layup (4 PTS)20
71.4%
13
28.6%
Q1 - 5:02CHIRose 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)18
69.1%
13
30.9%
Q1 - 5:20MIADampier REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)18
70.7%
11
29.3%
Q1 - 5:20MIADampier 1' Tip Shot (5 PTS)18
70.7%
11
29.3%
Q1 - 5:21MIAMISS James 7' Jump Shot16
67.7%
11
32.3%
Q1 - 5:34MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)16
69.1%
11
30.9%
Q1 - 5:35CHIMISS Boozer 16' Jump Shot16
68.5%
11
31.5%
Q1 - 5:45CHIRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
67.1%
11
32.9%
Q1 - 5:46MIAMISS Bosh 18' Jump Shot16
67.7%
11
32.3%
Q1 - 6:11CHINoah 2' Dunk (3 PTS) (Boozer 1 AST)16
68.8%
11
31.2%
Q1 - 6:28MIADampier Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)16
70.5%
9
29.5%
Q1 - 6:33MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)13
67.0%
9
33.0%
Q1 - 6:34CHIMISS Boozer 2' Layup13
66.4%
9
33.6%
Q1 - 6:50MIAWade 2' Dunk (4 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)13
65.1%
9
34.9%
Q1 - 6:53MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
63.2%
9
36.8%
Q1 - 6:54CHIMISS Bogans 3PT Jump Shot11
62.6%
9
37.4%
Q1 - 7:16MIAChalmers 3' Layup (2 PTS)11
61.1%
9
38.9%
Q1 - 7:43CHIBoozer 2' Dunk (8 PTS) (Rose 2 AST)9
59.4%
9
40.6%
Q1 - 8:03MIAJames 1' Layup (6 PTS)9
61.4%
7
38.6%
Q1 - 8:07MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)7
59.5%
7
40.5%
Q1 - 8:07CHIBoozer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)7
57.6%
7
42.4%
Q1 - 8:07CHIMISS Boozer 2' Tip Shot7
58.9%
7
41.1%
Q1 - 8:09CHIMISS Rose 3' Driving Layup7
58.9%
7
41.1%
Q1 - 8:28MIAJames 2' Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)7
57.6%
7
42.4%
Q1 - 8:31CHIRose Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)5
55.6%
7
44.4%
Q1 - 8:51MIAJames 2' Reverse Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)5
53.6%
7
46.4%
Q1 - 8:54MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
51.6%
7
48.4%
Q1 - 8:55CHIMISS Deng 26' 3PT Jump Shot3
51.0%
7
49.0%
Q1 - 9:18CHIBoozer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)3
50.4%
7
49.6%
Q1 - 9:20MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 2 of 23
50.6%
7
49.4%
Q1 - 9:20MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)3
52.0%
7
48.0%
Q1 - 9:32CHIBoozer Free Throw 1 of 1 (6 PTS)2
50.3%
7
49.7%
Q1 - 9:43CHINoah REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
54.2%
4
45.8%
Q1 - 9:45MIAMISS Chalmers 10' Floating Jump Shot2
54.7%
4
45.3%
Q1 - 9:53MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)2
56.0%
4
44.0%
Q1 - 9:54CHIMISS Deng 21' Jump Shot2
55.5%
4
44.5%
Q1 - 10:02MIABogans STEAL (1 STL)2
54.2%
4
45.8%
Q1 - 10:06MIADampier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
56.3%
4
43.7%
Q1 - 10:08MIAMISS Bosh 20' Jump Shot2
54.9%
4
45.1%
Q1 - 10:27CHINoah Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)2
56.3%
4
43.7%
Q1 - 10:27CHIMISS Noah Free Throw 1 of 22
56.7%
3
43.3%
Q1 - 10:46MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)2
56.0%
3
44.0%
Q1 - 10:46MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)1
55.7%
3
44.3%
Q1 - 10:51MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
54.5%
3
45.5%
Q1 - 10:52CHIMISS Rose 24' 3PT Jump Shot0
53.9%
3
46.1%
Q1 - 10:59CHIBoozer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
52.5%
3
47.5%
Q1 - 11:00MIAMISS Bosh 15' Jump Shot0
53.1%
3
46.9%
Q1 - 11:03MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
54.7%
3
45.3%
Q1 - 11:04MIAMISS James 17' Jump Shot0
53.7%
3
46.3%
Q1 - 11:20CHIBoozer Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)0
54.7%
3
45.3%
Q1 - 11:24CHIRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
58.1%
0
41.9%
Q1 - 11:25MIAMISS Bosh 10' Turnaround Jump Shot0
58.5%
0
41.5%
Q1 - 11:35MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
59.6%
0
40.4%
Q1 - 11:37CHIMISS Boozer 10' Jump Shot0
59.1%
0
40.9%
Q1 - 12:00CHIJump Ball Noah vs. Dampier: Tip to Rose0
58.0%
0
42.0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.97 48.4%
CHI
0.98 48.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
16
28
57%
CHI
20
37
54%
Midrange
MIA
14
39
36%
CHI
10
24
42%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
2
3.0
12
17%
25%
CHI
4
6.0
21
19%
29%
Free Throws
MIA
23
27
85%
CHI
21
25
84%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade3455%17.0 / 31
L. James2963%14.5 / 23
M. Chalmers1286%6.0 / 7
C. Bosh717%3.5 / 21
E. Dampier5125%2.5 / 2
E. House225%1.0 / 4
J. Jones0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
CHI logo Bulls
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Rose2648%13.0 / 27
L. Deng2071%10.0 / 14
C. Boozer1667%8.0 / 12
R. Brewer867%4.0 / 6
J. Noah750%3.5 / 7
K. Korver744%3.5 / 8
T. Gibson528%2.5 / 9
K. Bogans220%1.0 / 5
C. Watson225%1.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
82
+10
-12
92
CHI
80
+14
-14
94
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.97 48.4%
CHI
0.98 48.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
111.4
108.3
MIA 94.7
CHI 98.9 +4.3
Pace
91.3
90.5
MIA 95.8 +3.5
CHI 92.3
Avg. Poss. Time
16.2
15.9
MIA 15.0 +0.6
CHI 15.6
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.4%
50.1%
MIA 41.8%
CHI 43.9% +2.1%
TO %
14.4%
14.8%
MIA 11.7% +1.4%
CHI 13.1%
ORB %
25.2%
29.4%
MIA 13.0%
CHI 28.3% +15.3%
FTrt
36.3
30.5
MIA 34.2 +3.7
CHI 30.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
54.1%
60.1%
MIA 37.5%
CHI 50.0% +12.5%
STL %
7.3%
8.0%
MIA 8.5% +1.1%
CHI 7.4%
BLK %
8.5%
9.0%
MIA 8.2% +3.7%
CHI 4.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.24 and 2.24.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
55.7%
52.4%
MIA 48.4%
CHI 48.9% +0.5%
Rim FG%
64.7%
58.2%
MIA 57.1% +3.0%
CHI 54.1%
Mid FG%
42.2%
39.9%
MIA 35.9%
CHI 41.7% +5.8%
3P %
37.0%
36.1%
MIA 16.7%
CHI 19.0% +2.3%
FT %
76.9%
74.4%
MIA 85.2% +1.2%
CHI 84.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
31.6%
38.7%
MIA 35.4%
CHI 45.1% +9.7%
Mid Att. %
44.9%
39.9%
MIA 49.4%
CHI 29.3% +20.1%
3P Att. %
23.5%
21.5%
MIA 15.2%
CHI 25.6% +10.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.36 and 2.36.
Game TotalsMIACHI
Possessions9494
Possession Minutes23.624.4
Points8993
Rebounds3953
Assists1217
Steals87
Blocks53
Turnovers (Team)12 (0)14 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)6 (4)13 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)33 (3)40 (0)
Field Goals32-7934-82
At-the-Rim FG16-2820-37
Midrange FG14-3910-24
2-Point FG30-6730-61
3-Point FG2-124-21
Free Throws23-2721-25
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'4" 220 · 29
42.4
34
55%
8
2
2
0
3
2
2
6
10-12
83%
12-24
50%
0-1
0%
F · 6'11" 235 · 27
41.6
7
17%
9
1
0
1
1
2
1
8
5-6
83%
1-18
6%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 250 · 26
41.4
29
63%
10
5
2
1
2
1
0
10
5-6
83%
12-17
71%
0-4
0%
G · 6'2" 190 · 25
39.7
12
86%
4
4
2
0
1
5
0
4
2-2
100%
2-4
50%
2-2
100%
C · 6'11" 265 · 36
28.7
5
125%
5
0
0
2
3
4
2
3
1-1
100%
2-2
100%
0-0
-
C · 6'9" 245 · 29
17.9
0
0%
1
0
0
1
1
3
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 190 · 33
14.8
2
25%
2
0
1
0
1
4
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-2
0%
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 30
13.3
0
0%
0
0
1
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-3
0%
C · 7'3" 260 · 36
G · 6'2" 200 · 32
C · 6'11" 265 · 33
F · 6'9" 250 · 38
#40 · F · 6'8" 235 · 31
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#13 · G-F · 6'8" 218 · 31
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#45 · C · 6'11" 285 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
89
48%
39
12
8
5
12
0
6
33
23-27
85%
30-67
45%
2-12
17%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.