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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
March 5, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
26Timberwolves44%10096
29Wizards56%102103
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Wayne Ellington
G · 6'5" 200 · 23.3
40.4
22.1
15
63%
5
4
2
0
0
3
1
4
1-2
50%
4-9
2-6
44%
44%
2-2
100%
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 22.5
36.6
35.7
20
50%
21
3
0
1
0
5
8
13
4-5
80%
8-16
5-10
50%
49%
0-2
0%
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 30.1
35.1
27.5
14
47%
2
6
3
1
0
3
1
1
0-0
-
7-14
4-7
50%
48%
0-1
0%
Michael Beasley
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.1
34.5
31.2
18
43%
4
2
0
1
0
2
0
4
1-2
50%
7-16
7-14
44%
48%
1-4
25%
Nikola Pekovic
C · 6'11" 307 · 25.2
26.4
12.4
13
82%
8
1
0
0
0
3
4
4
1-2
50%
6-7
2-4
86%
51%
0-0
-
Lazar Hayward
F · 6'6" 225 · 24.3
21.2
19.4
2
15%
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
0-5
2-4
0%
47%
0-1
0%
Anthony Tolliver
F · 6'8" 240 · 25.8
17.7
19.5
3
44%
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1-1
100%
1-2
1-3
50%
47%
0-1
0%
Anthony Randolph
· 6'10" 225 · 21.6
15.2
18.5
6
39%
5
0
0
1
3
3
3
2
2-4
50%
2-6
3-7
33%
46%
0-0
-
Jonny Flynn
G · 6'0" 185 · 22.1
12.9
19.6
5
63%
2
3
1
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
44%
1-3
33%
Wesley Johnson
F · 6'7" 215 · 23.6
22.0
1
2-5
47%
Darko Milicic
C · 7'0" 275 · 25.7
11.8
0
2-4
48%
Sebastian Telfair
G · 6'0" 170 · 25.7
5.7
0
1-1
44%
Martell Webster
F-G · 6'7" 230 · 24.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andray Blatche
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 24.5
40.4
32.5
20
51%
7
7
3
1
0
2
4
3
2-4
50%
9-18
7-14
50%
49%
0-0
-
John Wall
G · 6'4" 210 · 20.5
38.9
36.3
18
46%
11
8
1
2
0
2
2
9
2-6
33%
8-17
6-13
47%
47%
0-0
-
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 23.1
28.8
22.7
14
60%
7
0
1
1
2
2
3
4
4-6
67%
5-9
4-6
56%
55%
0-0
-
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 31.6
22.7
13.8
10
42%
1
1
0
0
0
2
1
0
2-2
100%
1-7
1-2
14%
52%
2-4
50%
Jordan Crawford
· 6'4" 195 · 22.4
20.5
13.0
8
37%
4
1
1
0
0
2
1
3
1-2
50%
2-5
2-4
40%
47%
1-5
20%
Cartier Martin
F · 6'7" 220 · 26.3
27.5
8.6
7
39%
5
1
1
0
1
0
1
4
1-2
50%
0-4
1-2
0%
46%
2-4
50%
Maurice Evans
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 32.3
25.4
18.3
15
69%
1
0
2
1
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
2-5
1-3
40%
49%
3-5
60%
Trevor Booker
F · 6'8" 228 · 23.3
17.1
17.3
7
60%
7
1
1
1
1
0
3
4
1-2
50%
3-5
2-4
60%
55%
0-0
-
Mustafa Shakur
G · 6'3" 190 · 26.5
9.1
7.2
2
53%
0
2
0
0
0
2
0
0
2-2
100%
0-1
1-2
0%
48%
0-0
-
Kevin Seraphin
F-C · 6'10" 278 · 21.2
8.7
13.0
2
100%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-1
2-3
100%
51%
0-0
-
Yi Jianlian
F · 7'0" 250 · 23.4
1.0
7.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
45%
0-0
-
Hamady Ndiaye
C · 7'0" 235 · 24.1
1.1
0
0-0
52%
Nick Young
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 25.8
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 30.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.