Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Tuesday, May 9, 2006
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
12 | Cavaliers | 24% | 85 | 91 | |
4 | Pistons | 76% | 94 | 97 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | Mavericks | 33% | 86 | 113 | |
1 | Spurs | 67% | 92 | 91 |
Monday, May 8, 2006
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | Nets | 35% | 90 | 100 | |
6 | Heat | 65% | 95 | 88 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
11 | Clippers | 24% | 95 | 123 | |
4 | Suns | 76% | 104 | 130 |
Sunday, May 7, 2006
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 | Cavaliers | 23% | 84 | 86 | |
2 | Pistons | 77% | 94 | 113 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | Mavericks | 30% | 84 | 85 | |
1 | Spurs | 70% | 91 | 87 |
Saturday, May 6, 2006
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
11 | Lakers | 26% | 97 | 90 | |
4 | Suns | 74% | 105 | 121 |
Friday, May 5, 2006
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 | Cavaliers | 33% | 93 | 114 | |
9 | Wizards | 67% | 98 | 113 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Spurs | 43% | 90 | 105 | |
5 | Kings | 57% | 93 | 83 |
Thursday, May 4, 2006
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | Heat | 43% | 93 | 113 | |
15 | Bulls | 57% | 95 | 96 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | Nets | 43% | 86 | 96 | |
14 | Pacers | 57% | 88 | 90 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | Suns | 46% | 99 | 126 | |
10 | Lakers | 54% | 100 | 118 |
Wednesday, May 3, 2006
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
17 | Bucks | 20% | 87 | 93 | |
2 | Pistons | 80% | 98 | 122 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
9 | Wizards | 35% | 93 | 120 | |
10 | Cavaliers | 65% | 98 | 121 |
Tuesday, May 2, 2006
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
13 | Bulls | 28% | 90 | 78 | |
6 | Heat | 72% | 98 | 92 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
14 | Pacers | 33% | 85 | 86 | |
7 | Nets | 67% | 91 | 92 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | Kings | 25% | 86 | 98 | |
2 | Spurs | 75% | 95 | 109 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
11 | Lakers | 25% | 96 | 97 | |
4 | Suns | 75% | 105 | 114 |
Monday, May 1, 2006
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | Pistons | 59% | 93 | 109 | |
15 | Bucks | 41% | 91 | 99 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
17 | Nuggets | 40% | 92 | 83 | |
16 | Clippers | 60% | 95 | 101 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | Mavericks | 45% | 86 | 102 | |
8 | Grizzlies | 55% | 88 | 76 |
Sunday, April 30, 2006
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | Heat | 47% | 95 | 87 | |
13 | Bulls | 53% | 96 | 93 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
9 | Cavaliers | 35% | 93 | 96 | |
11 | Wizards | 65% | 98 | 106 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Spurs | 49% | 92 | 84 | |
5 | Kings | 51% | 93 | 102 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | Suns | 46% | 101 | 98 | |
7 | Lakers | 54% | 102 | 99 |
Saturday, April 29, 2006
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | Pistons | 55% | 92 | 104 | |
17 | Bucks | 45% | 90 | 124 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
9 | Nets | 42% | 87 | 97 | |
12 | Pacers | 58% | 90 | 88 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
13 | Clippers | 44% | 93 | 100 | |
16 | Nuggets | 56% | 95 | 86 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | Mavericks | 45% | 86 | 94 | |
11 | Grizzlies | 55% | 88 | 89 |
Friday, April 28, 2006
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 | Cavaliers | 37% | 94 | 97 | |
8 | Wizards | 63% | 98 | 96 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Spurs | 48% | 91 | 93 | |
9 | Kings | 52% | 92 | 94 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | Suns | 45% | 100 | 92 | |
6 | Lakers | 55% | 102 | 99 |
Thursday, April 27, 2006
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | Heat | 41% | 93 | 90 | |
14 | Bulls | 59% | 96 | 109 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
9 | Nets | 37% | 85 | 95 | |
12 | Pacers | 63% | 90 | 107 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
13 | Clippers | 41% | 92 | 87 | |
17 | Nuggets | 59% | 95 | 94 |
Wednesday, April 26, 2006
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
16 | Bucks | 24% | 86 | 98 | |
3 | Pistons | 76% | 95 | 109 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | Lakers | 32% | 98 | 99 | |
4 | Suns | 68% | 104 | 93 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | Grizzlies | 33% | 84 | 79 | |
2 | Mavericks | 67% | 90 | 94 |
Tuesday, April 25, 2006
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
12 | Pacers | 34% | 83 | 75 | |
9 | Nets | 66% | 88 | 90 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 | Wizards | 40% | 94 | 89 | |
11 | Cavaliers | 60% | 97 | 84 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | Kings | 30% | 86 | 119 | |
3 | Spurs | 70% | 93 | 128 |
Monday, April 24, 2006
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
13 | Bulls | 35% | 92 | 108 | |
11 | Heat | 65% | 96 | 115 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
17 | Nuggets | 38% | 92 | 87 | |
14 | Clippers | 62% | 96 | 98 |
Sunday, April 23, 2006
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
12 | Bucks | 28% | 86 | 74 | |
2 | Pistons | 72% | 93 | 92 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | Pacers | 48% | 86 | 90 | |
18 | Nets | 52% | 87 | 88 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
11 | Lakers | 33% | 97 | 102 | |
8 | Suns | 67% | 102 | 107 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 | Grizzlies | 34% | 81 | 93 | |
4 | Mavericks | 66% | 86 | 103 |
Saturday, April 22, 2006
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
14 | Bulls | 36% | 91 | 106 | |
13 | Heat | 64% | 95 | 111 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | Wizards | 39% | 94 | 86 | |
11 | Cavaliers | 61% | 97 | 97 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | Kings | 30% | 86 | 88 | |
1 | Spurs | 70% | 93 | 122 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
18 | Nuggets | 33% | 90 | 87 | |
15 | Clippers | 67% | 95 | 89 |
Wednesday, April 19, 2006
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
21 | Hawks | 33% | 92 | 99 | |
18 | Cavaliers | 67% | 98 | 100 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
14 | Magic | 30% | 89 | 83 | |
3 | Pacers | 70% | 95 | 89 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
25 | Heat | 38% | 88 | 78 | |
19 | Celtics | 62% | 92 | 85 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
29 | Knicks | 29% | 88 | 90 | |
17 | Nets | 71% | 95 | 83 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
15 | 76ers | 43% | 97 | 86 | |
24 | Bobcats | 57% | 99 | 96 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | Wizards | 38% | 91 | 96 | |
9 | Pistons | 62% | 95 | 80 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | Spurs | 62% | 87 | 89 | |
20 | Rockets | 38% | 83 | 87 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
13 | Grizzlies | 56% | 86 | 102 | |
27 | Timberwolves | 44% | 84 | 92 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
26 | Raptors | 27% | 93 | 106 | |
12 | Bulls | 73% | 101 | 127 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
23 | Clippers | 14% | 85 | 85 | |
1 | Mavericks | 86% | 99 | 71 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
22 | Warriors | 39% | 94 | 102 | |
16 | Jazz | 61% | 97 | 105 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | Suns | 76% | 103 | 106 | |
30 | Trail Blazers | 24% | 94 | 96 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
28 | Hornets | 21% | 88 | 95 | |
6 | Lakers | 79% | 98 | 115 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 | Nuggets | 47% | 101 | 98 | |
11 | SuperSonics | 53% | 102 | 109 |
Tuesday, April 18, 2006
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
17 | Nets | 41% | 92 | 88 | |
14 | 76ers | 59% | 95 | 91 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
9 | Bucks | 30% | 97 | 103 | |
5 | Wizards | 70% | 104 | 116 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
18 | Heat | 49% | 95 | 100 | |
21 | Hawks | 51% | 96 | 103 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
15 | Clippers | 30% | 85 | 95 | |
3 | Grizzlies | 70% | 92 | 101 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
11 | SuperSonics | 28% | 97 | 105 | |
2 | Kings | 72% | 105 | 111 |
Monday, April 17, 2006
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
9 | Pacers | 59% | 97 | 120 | |
22 | Raptors | 41% | 95 | 95 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
14 | Bulls | 39% | 91 | 116 | |
15 | Magic | 61% | 94 | 112 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
21 | Cavaliers | 42% | 89 | 93 | |
19 | Celtics | 58% | 91 | 88 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
26 | Bobcats | 58% | 99 | 98 | |
29 | Knicks | 42% | 96 | 91 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | Pistons | 45% | 91 | 93 | |
10 | Bucks | 55% | 93 | 113 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
16 | Jazz | 21% | 85 | 82 | |
2 | Spurs | 79% | 95 | 115 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 | Rockets | 32% | 87 | 86 | |
11 | Nuggets | 68% | 93 | 83 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
27 | Hornets | 20% | 94 | 78 | |
7 | Suns | 80% | 104 | 115 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
30 | Trail Blazers | 29% | 90 | 79 | |
25 | Warriors | 71% | 97 | 93 |
Sunday, April 16, 2006
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
20 | Bulls | 32% | 92 | 117 | |
7 | Heat | 68% | 98 | 93 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Spurs | 77% | 90 | 103 | |
28 | Timberwolves | 23% | 81 | 90 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | Suns | 44% | 101 | 89 | |
10 | Lakers | 56% | 103 | 109 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
12 | Cavaliers | 39% | 97 | 92 | |
9 | Wizards | 61% | 100 | 104 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
29 | Knicks | 11% | 83 | 97 | |
3 | Pistons | 89% | 98 | 103 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
21 | Celtics | 32% | 88 | 93 | |
8 | Nets | 68% | 94 | 95 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
16 | Jazz | 26% | 89 | 95 | |
2 | Mavericks | 74% | 97 | 111 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
17 | SuperSonics | 37% | 98 | 114 | |
14 | Clippers | 63% | 102 | 98 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
25 | Hornets | 25% | 90 | 79 | |
4 | Kings | 75% | 98 | 96 |
Saturday, April 15, 2006
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
19 | 76ers | 36% | 92 | 97 | |
18 | Magic | 64% | 97 | 102 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
11 | Pacers | 56% | 97 | 91 | |
23 | Bobcats | 44% | 95 | 92 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
27 | Hawks | 27% | 94 | 120 | |
16 | Bucks | 73% | 102 | 114 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | Grizzlies | 62% | 87 | 93 | |
22 | Rockets | 38% | 83 | 81 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | Kings | 51% | 98 | 100 | |
14 | Nuggets | 49% | 97 | 82 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
25 | Warriors | 58% | 95 | 86 | |
30 | Trail Blazers | 42% | 93 | 81 |
Friday, April 14, 2006
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Pistons | 70% | 97 | 103 | |
26 | Raptors | 30% | 90 | 108 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
22 | Bobcats | 47% | 99 | 116 | |
27 | Hawks | 53% | 100 | 110 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | Nets | 53% | 91 | 79 | |
21 | Celtics | 47% | 90 | 74 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
16 | Bucks | 66% | 99 | 97 | |
29 | Knicks | 34% | 94 | 80 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
18 | 76ers | 36% | 94 | 85 | |
12 | Heat | 64% | 99 | 104 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
28 | Timberwolves | 23% | 84 | 77 | |
11 | Pacers | 77% | 93 | 89 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
17 | Jazz | 49% | 92 | 105 | |
23 | Hornets | 51% | 93 | 104 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
9 | Wizards | 47% | 97 | 101 | |
20 | Bulls | 53% | 98 | 103 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
30 | Trail Blazers | 15% | 86 | 99 | |
8 | Lakers | 85% | 99 | 110 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | Suns | 58% | 105 | 102 | |
25 | Warriors | 42% | 103 | 110 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
15 | Clippers | 45% | 99 | 101 | |
14 | SuperSonics | 55% | 101 | 97 |
Thursday, April 13, 2006
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
29 | Knicks | 32% | 90 | 87 | |
21 | Cavaliers | 68% | 96 | 91 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
20 | Magic | 16% | 83 | 92 | |
2 | Spurs | 84% | 96 | 80 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Mavericks | 40% | 100 | 104 | |
4 | Suns | 60% | 103 | 117 |
Wednesday, April 12, 2006
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
23 | Bulls | 45% | 96 | 96 | |
26 | Hawks | 55% | 97 | 90 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 | Raptors | 31% | 93 | 96 | |
19 | Magic | 69% | 99 | 103 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
20 | Celtics | 29% | 88 | 112 | |
8 | Pacers | 71% | 95 | 117 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
18 | 76ers | 34% | 90 | 116 | |
7 | Nets | 66% | 96 | 96 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | Grizzlies | 55% | 94 | 96 | |
21 | Bobcats | 45% | 92 | 88 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
9 | Cavaliers | 29% | 87 | 73 | |
2 | Pistons | 71% | 94 | 96 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
12 | Wizards | 45% | 99 | 97 | |
14 | Bucks | 55% | 101 | 100 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
16 | SuperSonics | 41% | 96 | 99 | |
25 | Hornets | 59% | 99 | 104 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
28 | Timberwolves | 30% | 81 | 82 | |
22 | Rockets | 70% | 88 | 79 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
11 | Nuggets | 47% | 95 | 83 | |
17 | Jazz | 53% | 96 | 104 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
30 | Trail Blazers | 18% | 85 | 93 | |
15 | Clippers | 82% | 96 | 97 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | Mavericks | 72% | 98 | 102 | |
27 | Warriors | 28% | 91 | 114 |