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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
April 27, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
13Clippers41%9287
17Nuggets59%9594
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Elton Brand
F · 6'9" 254 · 27.1
40.1
35.7
17
48%
8
4
2
1
1
3
2
6
5-6
83%
6-15
8-15
40%
50%
0-0
-
Sam Cassell
G · 6'3" 185 · 36.4
33.4
27.2
20
59%
3
3
2
1
0
3
0
3
7-9
78%
5-8
4-9
63%
46%
1-5
20%
Cuttino Mobley
G · 6'4" 215 · 30.7
32.2
34.6
8
50%
5
1
0
1
1
3
1
4
0-0
-
1-6
4-8
17%
44%
2-2
100%
Chris Kaman
C · 7'0" 265 · 24.0
29.1
30.8
2
17%
4
1
0
1
1
4
0
4
0-0
-
1-6
4-9
17%
50%
0-0
-
Quinton Ross
F-G · 6'6" 193 · 25.0
27.9
23.0
2
26%
1
0
0
1
1
0
0
1
2-2
100%
0-3
2-4
0%
43%
0-0
-
Shaun Livingston
G · 6'7" 192 · 20.6
31.1
22.0
7
44%
8
4
3
1
2
4
1
7
1-2
50%
3-7
2-5
43%
44%
0-0
-
Corey Maggette
F · 6'6" 225 · 26.5
21.1
19.6
23
70%
5
0
1
0
0
5
0
5
6-8
75%
7-10
3-6
70%
46%
1-3
33%
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 25.4
19.1
17.0
8
52%
3
1
0
1
0
2
1
2
3-4
75%
1-2
1-2
50%
43%
1-4
25%
Zeljko Rebraca
C · 7'0" 265 · 34.0
5.8
8.5
0
0%
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
50%
0-0
-
James Singleton
F · 6'8" 230 · 24.8
11.7
0
1-2
48%
Walter McCarty
F · 6'10" 245 · 32.2
7.0
0
0-1
44%
Daniel Ewing
G · 6'3" 185 · 23.1
6.8
0
1-1
43%
Vin Baker
F · 6'11" 240 · 34.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Carmelo Anthony
F · 6'8" 240 · 21.9
45.0
31.3
24
47%
7
4
1
1
0
2
1
6
12-19
63%
6-17
7-15
35%
48%
0-0
-
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 30.1
39.5
32.9
14
44%
3
7
1
1
0
2
2
1
2-4
50%
6-14
4-9
43%
46%
0-0
-
Marcus Camby
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 32.1
31.6
33.5
12
47%
14
3
0
1
2
2
2
12
2-2
100%
5-12
5-10
42%
46%
0-0
-
Greg Buckner
G · 6'4" 210 · 29.6
25.4
20.4
13
42%
3
0
0
1
1
0
1
2
7-8
88%
3-4
1-2
75%
52%
0-8
0%
Eduardo Najera
F · 6'8" 235 · 29.8
21.9
8.9
5
43%
5
1
2
0
0
1
4
1
1-2
50%
2-5
1-2
40%
45%
0-0
-
Earl Boykins
G · 5'5" 133 · 29.9
26.6
29.2
13
40%
0
5
0
1
0
1
0
0
5-7
71%
4-11
4-9
36%
43%
0-2
0%
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 25.9
21.8
19.1
5
66%
4
0
1
1
1
5
0
4
3-4
75%
1-1
1-3
100%
46%
0-1
0%
Ruben Patterson
F · 6'5" 223 · 30.7
17.1
19.9
8
67%
3
1
0
1
0
2
3
0
0-0
-
4-6
3-6
67%
51%
0-0
-
Francisco Elson
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 30.2
10.6
15.4
0
0%
1
0
3
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
50%
0-0
-
Linas Kleiza
F · 6'8" 234 · 21.3
0.5
18.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
3-6
-
46%
0-0
-
DerMarr Johnson
F-G · 6'9" 210 · 26.0
12.6
0
1-2
52%
Howard Eisley
G · 6'2" 185 · 33.4
8.3
0
1-1
40%
Kenyon Martin
F · 6'9" 225 · 28.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.