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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
April 14, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1876ers36%9485
12Heat64%99104
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Allen Iverson
G · 6'0" 165 · 30.9
44.6
38.2
30
51%
1
3
1
2
0
5
1
0
10-12
83%
10-22
8-18
45%
45%
0-2
0%
Chris Webber
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 33.1
37.5
23.9
17
48%
9
2
2
1
0
5
2
7
3-4
75%
7-15
5-11
47%
44%
0-1
0%
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 26.3
26.9
24.5
6
50%
3
3
2
1
1
0
1
2
0-0
-
3-5
2-5
60%
44%
0-1
0%
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 22.2
26.7
34.9
4
30%
3
1
1
2
0
2
0
3
2-4
50%
1-3
3-6
33%
53%
0-2
0%
Samuel Dalembert
C · 6'11" 255 · 25.9
12.9
22.4
3
80%
5
0
2
0
0
2
1
4
1-2
50%
1-1
3-5
100%
52%
0-0
-
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 25.1
30.7
24.4
6
33%
3
3
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
44%
2-7
29%
Steven Hunter
C · 7'0" 240 · 24.5
21.8
21.5
8
49%
6
0
0
0
1
1
4
2
2-5
40%
3-6
3-5
50%
57%
0-0
-
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 26.1
17.8
12.8
6
61%
5
0
1
0
0
2
2
3
0-2
0%
3-3
1-2
100%
47%
0-1
0%
Shavlik Randolph
F · 6'10" 236 · 22.4
10.2
8.3
2
100%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
46%
0-0
-
Willie Green
G · 6'3" 205 · 24.7
9.1
15.9
3
25%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-4
2-5
0%
40%
1-2
50%
Lou Williams
G · 6'1" 175 · 19.5
2.0
4.8
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
42%
0-0
-
Michael Bradley
F · 6'10" 245 · 27.0
5.1
0
0-1
46%
Kevin Ollie
G · 6'2" 195 · 33.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 25.8
42.7
32.6
24
66%
14
1
5
1
2
0
6
8
6-7
86%
9-15
4-8
60%
54%
0-0
-
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 24.2
38.6
23.9
25
57%
6
8
4
1
1
7
1
5
5-7
71%
10-19
6-11
53%
53%
0-0
-
Shaquille O'Neal
C · 7'1" 325 · 34.1
34.8
30.4
15
57%
10
1
0
0
1
2
1
9
5-7
71%
5-10
7-12
50%
60%
0-0
-
Antoine Walker
F · 6'9" 245 · 29.7
32.9
31.9
16
57%
4
2
0
1
0
3
2
2
0-0
-
5-8
4-8
63%
49%
2-6
33%
Gary Payton
G · 6'4" 190 · 37.7
30.4
30.8
10
83%
1
4
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
5-5
3-5
100%
51%
0-1
0%
Shandon Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 32.3
24.4
24.5
5
51%
2
1
2
1
0
1
0
2
1-2
50%
2-3
2-4
67%
49%
0-1
0%
Derek Anderson
G · 6'5" 195 · 31.7
19.7
27.8
2
26%
0
2
0
1
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
0-0
2-4
-
44%
0-3
0%
Michael Doleac
C · 6'11" 262 · 28.8
12.9
14.1
7
74%
4
0
0
0
0
0
2
2
3-4
75%
2-3
2-4
67%
46%
0-0
-
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 25.2
2.3
9.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
45%
0-1
0%
Wayne Simien
F · 6'9" 250 · 23.1
1.3
6.9
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
52%
0-0
-
James Posey
F · 6'8" 217 · 29.2
20.1
1
1-1
48%
Earl Barron
F-C · 7'0" 250 · 24.7
2.1
0
0-1
55%
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 30.4
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 20.4
Alonzo Mourning
C · 6'10" 261 · 36.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.