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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
April 18, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
18Heat49%95100
21Hawks51%96103
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Antoine Walker
F · 6'9" 245 · 29.7
31.2
30.2
14
54%
5
5
0
1
0
3
1
4
1-2
50%
5-7
4-8
71%
50%
1-5
20%
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 20.4
28.3
2.8
19
80%
7
4
0
0
0
1
0
7
2-2
100%
4-6
0-1
67%
51%
3-5
60%
Wayne Simien
F · 6'9" 250 · 23.1
27.8
9.9
9
58%
3
1
0
0
1
2
3
0
3-4
75%
3-6
2-3
50%
52%
0-0
-
Michael Doleac
C · 6'11" 262 · 28.8
26.7
19.7
3
22%
8
0
2
0
1
1
2
6
1-2
50%
1-6
2-5
17%
46%
0-0
-
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 30.4
21.1
24.6
13
46%
1
3
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
5-10
2-4
50%
52%
1-4
25%
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 25.2
26.5
6.8
16
81%
2
6
0
0
1
2
0
2
2-2
100%
7-9
1-1
78%
45%
0-0
-
James Posey
F · 6'8" 217 · 29.3
25.3
18.1
7
58%
3
2
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
2-3
1-1
67%
48%
1-3
33%
Derek Anderson
G · 6'5" 195 · 31.8
22.9
21.9
5
25%
6
4
1
1
1
1
0
6
1-2
50%
2-7
1-3
29%
45%
0-2
0%
Earl Barron
F-C · 7'0" 250 · 24.7
15.2
3.0
6
60%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
3-5
0-1
60%
54%
0-0
-
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 25.9
15.0
30.0
8
67%
3
0
0
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
4-6
4-7
67%
53%
0-0
-
Alonzo Mourning
C · 6'10" 261 · 36.2
17.7
0
2-4
58%
Shandon Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 32.3
16.7
1
1-3
49%
Shaquille O'Neal
C · 7'1" 325 · 34.1
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 24.2
Gary Payton
G · 6'4" 190 · 37.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 22.2
36.9
27.2
18
86%
8
2
2
1
1
3
3
5
8-8
100%
5-7
4-8
71%
46%
0-0
-
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 20.4
35.8
36.6
8
34%
6
3
2
1
1
3
1
5
1-2
50%
2-8
4-10
25%
46%
1-3
33%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 24.8
34.1
37.2
15
34%
4
4
1
1
0
1
2
2
2-2
100%
5-17
5-11
29%
48%
1-4
25%
Al Harrington
F · 6'9" 245 · 26.2
26.9
13.2
17
61%
4
3
0
0
1
1
1
3
1-2
50%
5-10
2-5
50%
47%
2-3
67%
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 24.3
7.3
12.4
2
50%
4
1
0
0
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
45%
0-0
-
Josh Childress
F-G · 6'8" 210 · 22.8
36.9
16.1
10
85%
4
3
1
1
1
0
0
4
2-2
100%
1-3
2-3
33%
54%
2-2
100%
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 19.8
27.3
34.0
16
61%
9
2
0
1
0
0
5
4
4-7
57%
6-10
5-10
60%
48%
0-0
-
Tyronn Lue
G · 6'0" 175 · 29.0
24.3
26.0
15
58%
1
4
0
1
0
2
1
0
2-2
100%
2-5
3-6
40%
47%
3-7
43%
Esteban Batista
F-C · 6'10" 268 · 22.6
7.1
15.0
2
100%
3
0
0
0
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
47%
0-0
-
Anthony Grundy
G · 6'3" 185 · 27.0
3.5
9.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
45%
0-1
0%
Donta Smith
G · 6'7" 215 · 22.4
0.0
14.7
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
47%
0-0
-
John Edwards
C · 7'0" 275 · 24.7
3.6
0
0-1
49%
Salim Stoudamire
G · 6'1" 175 · 23.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.