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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
April 12, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
24Raptors31%9396
19Magic69%99103
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Morris Peterson
G · 6'7" 220 · 28.6
40.0
41.1
23
62%
8
5
2
1
0
4
2
6
3-6
50%
7-10
4-10
70%
46%
2-6
33%
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 30.8
38.5
39.6
21
67%
5
5
0
1
0
5
0
5
4-4
100%
4-11
6-12
36%
48%
3-3
100%
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 21.6
32.0
33.7
19
66%
6
2
1
1
1
1
1
5
3-3
100%
5-9
5-9
56%
51%
2-4
50%
Pape Sow
F · 6'10" 250 · 24.4
26.3
16.4
8
46%
7
0
1
1
0
0
1
6
4-6
67%
2-6
2-3
33%
47%
0-0
-
Rafael Araujo
C · 6'11" 270 · 25.7
25.0
7.3
6
31%
5
0
0
0
0
3
3
2
0-4
0%
3-8
1-2
38%
45%
0-0
-
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 24.5
24.2
7.8
2
20%
1
2
0
0
1
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-5
1-2
20%
47%
0-0
-
Joey Graham
F · 6'7" 230 · 23.8
18.6
21.8
2
20%
2
0
0
1
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-5
2-5
20%
52%
0-0
-
Andre Barrett
G · 5'10" 173 · 24.1
17.3
11.5
8
67%
1
4
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
4-5
1-3
80%
42%
0-1
0%
Loren Woods
C · 7'2" 260 · 27.8
16.9
15.0
4
50%
6
0
0
0
1
2
2
4
0-0
-
2-4
1-3
50%
44%
0-0
-
Darrick Martin
G · 5'11" 170 · 35.1
1.3
11.0
3
150%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
38%
1-1
100%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 26.0
29.4
1
2-4
51%
Eric Williams
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 33.7
6.2
0
0-1
43%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 22.1
Alvin Williams
G · 6'5" 195 · 31.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 24.2
39.2
29.3
27
62%
3
7
3
1
0
1
0
3
5-6
83%
5-12
5-9
42%
53%
4-7
57%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 20.3
35.8
33.7
14
64%
10
1
0
1
1
3
4
6
4-9
44%
5-7
5-10
71%
56%
0-0
-
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 25.0
35.4
26.7
10
63%
4
3
2
1
0
0
1
3
2-2
100%
4-7
4-8
57%
49%
0-0
-
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 27.1
35.3
33.2
18
52%
5
7
0
1
0
0
0
5
3-3
100%
6-9
4-7
67%
50%
1-7
14%
Tony Battie
C · 6'11" 240 · 30.2
27.9
27.7
16
73%
5
2
1
1
1
2
2
3
0-0
-
8-10
3-6
80%
54%
0-1
0%
Keyon Dooling
G · 6'3" 195 · 25.9
23.1
21.9
6
27%
4
2
0
1
0
3
0
4
2-3
67%
2-9
3-7
22%
50%
0-1
0%
Darko Milicic
C · 7'0" 275 · 20.8
18.1
18.9
4
33%
3
0
0
0
3
0
0
3
0-0
-
2-6
3-6
33%
53%
0-0
-
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 20.8
14.0
12.4
4
44%
3
0
1
1
0
1
1
2
4-8
50%
0-1
1-3
0%
47%
0-0
-
Travis Diener
G · 6'1" 175 · 24.1
5.8
6.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
47%
0-1
0%
Bo Outlaw
F · 6'8" 220 · 35.0
5.4
11.5
4
106%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
1-1
1-2
100%
53%
0-0
-
Stacey Augmon
F-G · 6'8" 213 · 37.7
5.4
0
0-1
44%
Pat Garrity
F · 6'9" 238 · 29.6
4.6
0
0-1
48%
Grant Hill
F · 6'8" 225 · 33.5
Mario Kasun
C · 7'1" 260 · 26.0
Carlos Arroyo
G · 6'2" 200 · 26.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.