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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
April 17, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
24Rockets32%8786
11Nuggets68%9383
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rafer Alston
G · 6'2" 175 · 29.7
42.4
38.3
17
43%
7
7
1
2
0
3
1
6
5-6
83%
3-9
4-9
33%
44%
2-8
25%
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 25.9
39.8
31.8
15
43%
7
4
1
1
0
1
0
7
3-6
50%
3-8
2-5
38%
43%
2-7
29%
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 33.2
32.9
31.8
31
68%
7
1
1
1
0
1
3
4
7-9
78%
12-19
6-12
63%
46%
0-0
-
David Wesley
G · 6'1" 203 · 35.4
28.8
19.7
2
25%
1
1
1
1
0
4
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
43%
0-1
0%
Dikembe Mutombo
C · 7'2" 260 · 39.8
23.4
17.3
6
68%
4
0
1
0
0
2
1
3
0-1
0%
3-4
1-2
75%
48%
0-0
-
Luther Head
G · 6'3" 185 · 23.4
24.7
32.2
8
50%
2
3
1
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
2-5
33%
46%
2-5
40%
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 22.9
24.6
17.3
3
44%
5
0
1
1
2
1
1
4
1-1
100%
1-3
2-4
33%
49%
0-0
-
Stromile Swift
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 26.4
15.1
18.5
4
34%
3
1
0
1
1
0
0
3
2-2
100%
1-5
3-7
20%
48%
0-0
-
Ryan Bowen
F · 6'9" 218 · 30.4
5.5
9.7
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
40%
0-0
-
Rick Brunson
G · 6'4" 190 · 33.8
2.8
6.8
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
38%
0-0
-
Yao Ming
C · 7'6" 310 · 25.6
12.6
0
3-6
53%
Maciej Lampe
F · 6'11" 275 · 21.2
2.3
0
0-1
44%
Richie Frahm
G · 6'5" 202 · 28.7
Tracy McGrady
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 26.9
Bob Sura
G · 6'5" 200 · 33.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Marcus Camby
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 32.1
33.3
27.2
8
29%
7
2
0
1
2
1
2
5
0-0
-
4-13
4-8
31%
48%
0-1
0%
Carmelo Anthony
F · 6'8" 240 · 21.9
28.4
30.9
22
64%
6
3
2
1
1
1
1
5
4-5
80%
9-15
7-15
60%
50%
0-0
-
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 30.1
20.9
27.0
7
52%
1
7
3
1
0
3
0
1
3-4
75%
2-5
3-7
40%
49%
0-0
-
Francisco Elson
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 30.1
19.7
22.0
6
44%
7
0
0
1
0
0
2
5
2-4
50%
2-5
2-4
40%
52%
0-0
-
Greg Buckner
G · 6'4" 210 · 29.6
10.4
26.6
4
69%
2
0
1
1
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
1-1
2-3
100%
54%
0-1
0%
DerMarr Johnson
F-G · 6'9" 210 · 25.9
30.0
15.9
12
47%
4
2
1
0
0
1
0
4
2-2
100%
2-6
1-2
33%
56%
2-6
33%
Ruben Patterson
F · 6'5" 223 · 30.7
27.2
26.4
6
39%
4
2
1
1
0
5
2
2
2-6
33%
2-5
5-9
40%
53%
0-0
-
Howard Eisley
G · 6'2" 185 · 33.4
27.1
20.3
6
43%
2
2
0
1
0
3
1
1
0-0
-
3-3
1-4
100%
41%
0-4
0%
Kenyon Martin
F · 6'9" 225 · 28.3
22.2
14.5
10
43%
6
2
1
0
0
0
2
4
2-6
33%
4-8
2-5
50%
51%
0-1
0%
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 25.9
20.9
16.7
2
31%
12
1
0
1
0
0
3
9
2-5
40%
0-1
1-3
0%
48%
0-0
-
Linas Kleiza
F · 6'8" 234 · 21.3
12.1
0
2-4
49%
Eduardo Najera
F · 6'8" 235 · 29.8
3.7
0
0-1
47%
Earl Boykins
G · 5'5" 133 · 29.9
Julius Hodge
G · 6'7" 220 · 22.4
Nene Hilario
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 23.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.