FinalWin Prob.pScore
743%93
113
1557%95
96
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
127.08979.4
CHI logo CHI
104.392105.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

BullsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

BullsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIACHI
Q4 - 0:00.0CHI113
100%
96
0%
Q4 - 0:02.0CHISchenscher REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)113
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 0:05.0CHIMISS Pargo 27' 3PT Jump Shot113
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 0:11.0MIAPosey 26' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Williams 4 AST)113
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 0:30.0CHIPargo 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS)110
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 0:32.0CHIPargo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)110
99.9%
93
0.1%
Q4 - 0:33.0CHIMISS Pargo Free Throw 3 of 3110
99.9%
93
0.1%
Q4 - 0:33.0CHIPargo Free Throw 2 of 3 (7 PTS)110
99.9%
93
0.1%
Q4 - 0:33.0CHIPargo Free Throw 1 of 3 (6 PTS)110
99.9%
92
0.1%
Q4 - 0:41.0MIAPosey Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T14)110
99.9%
91
0.1%
Q4 - 1:02MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)110
99.9%
91
0.1%
Q4 - 1:04CHIMISS Deng 25' 3PT Jump Shot110
99.9%
91
0.1%
Q4 - 1:15MIAHaslem 15' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)110
99.9%
91
0.1%
Q4 - 1:30MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:4 Def:10)108
99.9%
91
0.1%
Q4 - 1:33CHIMISS Piatkowski 25' 3PT Jump Shot108
99.9%
91
0.1%
Q4 - 1:42MIAHaslem Traveling Turnover (P1.T13)108
99.9%
91
0.1%
Q4 - 2:02MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)108
99.9%
91
0.1%
Q4 - 2:03CHIMISS Pargo 27' 3PT Jump Shot108
99.9%
91
0.1%
Q4 - 2:11MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (30 PTS)108
99.9%
91
0.1%
Q4 - 2:11MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (29 PTS)107
99.9%
91
0.1%
Q4 - 2:22CHIPargo 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Hinrich 6 AST)106
99.9%
91
0.1%
Q4 - 2:33MIAWade Foul Turnover (P2.T12)106
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 2:50CHIGordon Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T12)106
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 3:09MIAO'Neal Alley Oop Dunk (28 PTS) (Payton 2 AST)106
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 3:12MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)104
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 3:14MIAMISS Payton 26' 3PT Jump Shot104
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 3:27MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:4 Def:9)104
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 3:28CHIMISS Hinrich Layup104
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 3:35MIAO'Neal Traveling Turnover (P4.T11)104
99.6%
88
0.4%
Q4 - 3:53MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:8 Def:12)104
99.7%
88
0.3%
Q4 - 3:54CHIMISS Gordon Free Throw 2 of 2104
99.7%
88
0.3%
Q4 - 3:54CHIMISS Gordon Free Throw 1 of 2104
99.6%
88
0.4%
Q4 - 4:01MIAPosey Layup (15 PTS)104
99.6%
88
0.4%
Q4 - 4:05CHINocioni Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)102
99.5%
88
0.5%
Q4 - 4:10MIAHaslem 15' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)102
99.2%
88
0.8%
Q4 - 4:21MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)100
98.9%
88
1.1%
Q4 - 4:22CHIMISS Hinrich 26' 3PT Jump Shot100
98.8%
88
1.2%
Q4 - 4:29MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)100
98.4%
88
1.6%
Q4 - 4:29MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)97
96.8%
88
3.2%
Q4 - 4:29MIAMISS Posey Layup97
95.8%
88
4.2%
Q4 - 4:30MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)97
96.8%
88
3.2%
Q4 - 4:32MIAMISS Posey Layup97
95.8%
88
4.2%
Q4 - 4:58CHIGordon Free Throw 1 of 1 (21 PTS)97
96.8%
88
3.2%
Q4 - 5:04CHINocioni REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)97
97.4%
85
2.6%
Q4 - 5:05MIAMISS O'Neal Layup97
97.6%
85
2.4%
Q4 - 5:33CHINocioni 26' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Hinrich 5 AST)97
98.2%
85
1.8%
Q4 - 5:53MIAWade 26' 3PT Jump Shot (23 PTS) (O'Neal 5 AST)97
99.0%
82
1.0%
Q4 - 6:14CHIHinrich Free Throw 1 of 1 (23 PTS)94
97.3%
82
2.7%
Q4 - 6:23MIAO'Neal Alley Oop Dunk (26 PTS) (Walker 3 AST)94
98.4%
79
1.6%
Q4 - 6:47CHIHinrich 21' Jump Shot (20 PTS)92
98.0%
79
2.0%
Q4 - 6:53MIAPayton Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P3.T10)92
98.5%
77
1.5%
Q4 - 7:06MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:8 Def:11)92
98.3%
77
1.7%
Q4 - 7:07MIAMISS Walker 26' 3PT Jump Shot92
97.9%
77
2.1%
Q4 - 7:23CHINocioni Foul Turnover (P1.T10)92
98.3%
77
1.7%
Q4 - 7:26CHISweetney REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)92
97.8%
77
2.2%
Q4 - 7:28MIAMISS Posey 25' 3PT Jump Shot92
98.0%
77
2.0%
Q4 - 7:41MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:7 Def:11)92
98.4%
77
1.6%
Q4 - 7:43CHIMISS Gordon 13' Jump Shot92
98.2%
77
1.8%
Q4 - 7:56MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 1 (24 PTS)92
97.8%
77
2.2%
Q4 - 8:26CHIGordon Driving Layup (18 PTS)89
95.1%
77
4.9%
Q4 - 8:39CHIGordon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)89
96.2%
75
3.8%
Q4 - 8:40MIAMISS O'Neal 7' Jump Shot89
96.5%
75
3.5%
Q4 - 8:55CHINocioni Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)89
97.1%
75
2.9%
Q4 - 8:55CHIMISS Nocioni Free Throw 1 of 289
97.2%
74
2.8%
Q4 - 9:08CHIDeng REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)89
96.3%
74
3.7%
Q4 - 9:10MIAMISS Walker 24' 3PT Jump Shot89
96.5%
74
3.5%
Q4 - 9:51CHIHinrich 27' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS)89
97.1%
74
2.9%
Q4 - 10:05MIAPosey 26' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (O'Neal 4 AST)89
97.6%
71
2.4%
Q4 - 10:26CHINocioni Reverse Layup (16 PTS) (Hinrich 4 AST)86
96.4%
71
3.6%
Q4 - 10:37CHIHinrich REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)86
97.1%
69
2.9%
Q4 - 10:37MIAMISS Walker 3PT Jump Shot86
97.3%
69
2.7%
Q4 - 10:53MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)86
97.7%
69
2.3%
Q4 - 10:55CHIMISS Gordon 21' Jump Shot86
97.6%
69
2.4%
Q4 - 11:06CHIHinrich REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)86
96.5%
69
3.5%
Q4 - 11:09MIAMISS Posey 3PT Jump Shot86
96.8%
69
3.2%
Q4 - 11:22MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)86
97.2%
69
2.8%
Q4 - 11:23CHIMISS Gordon 26' 3PT Jump Shot86
97.0%
69
3.0%
Q4 - 11:42MIAWalker 9' Hook Shot (12 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)86
96.6%
69
3.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA84
95.8%
69
4.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0CHIBULLS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#9)84
95.8%
69
4.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0CHIBULLS Rebound84
94.8%
69
5.2%
Q3 - 0:01.0CHIMISS Deng 24' 3PT Jump Shot84
94.7%
69
5.3%
Q3 - 0:24.0MIAPayton Foul Turnover (P2.T9)84
94.0%
69
6.0%
Q3 - 0:36.0CHIGordon Driving Layup (16 PTS)84
95.1%
69
4.9%
Q3 - 0:47.0MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)84
96.0%
67
4.0%
Q3 - 0:47.0MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)83
95.8%
67
4.2%
Q3 - 0:47.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)82
95.1%
67
4.9%
Q3 - 0:48.0MIAMISS Walker Layup82
94.4%
67
5.6%
Q3 - 1:04CHIHinrich Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)82
94.2%
67
5.8%
Q3 - 1:04CHIMISS Hinrich Free Throw 1 of 282
94.4%
66
5.6%
Q3 - 1:18MIAHaslem 7' Hook Shot (8 PTS) (Walker 2 AST)82
94.2%
66
5.8%
Q3 - 1:32MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)80
93.1%
66
6.9%
Q3 - 1:34CHIMISS Hinrich 18' Jump Shot80
92.7%
66
7.3%
Q3 - 1:45MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)80
91.7%
66
8.3%
Q3 - 1:45MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)79
91.4%
66
8.6%
Q3 - 1:45MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)78
90.1%
66
9.9%
Q3 - 1:46MIAMISS Wade 21' Jump Shot78
88.8%
66
11.2%
Q3 - 1:54MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)78
90.1%
66
9.9%
Q3 - 1:55CHIMISS Deng Layup78
89.6%
66
10.4%
Q3 - 2:01CHINocioni REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)78
86.6%
66
13.4%
Q3 - 2:03MIAMISS Payton 25' 3PT Jump Shot78
87.3%
66
12.7%
Q3 - 2:20MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)78
88.8%
66
11.2%
Q3 - 2:22CHIMISS Gordon Free Throw 2 of 278
88.6%
66
11.4%
Q3 - 2:22CHIGordon Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)78
87.2%
66
12.8%
Q3 - 2:32CHIAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)78
88.7%
65
11.3%
Q3 - 2:33MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:7 Def:10)78
90.6%
65
9.4%
Q3 - 2:33MIAMISS O'Neal Tip Shot78
89.3%
65
10.7%
Q3 - 2:34MIAMISS O'Neal Layup78
89.3%
65
10.7%
Q3 - 2:52CHIDeng Layup (12 PTS) (Duhon 3 AST)78
90.6%
65
9.4%
Q3 - 3:01MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)78
91.2%
63
8.8%
Q3 - 3:01MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)77
90.9%
63
9.1%
Q3 - 3:21CHIGordon Driving Layup (13 PTS)76
89.8%
63
10.2%
Q3 - 3:35CHINocioni REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)76
91.2%
61
8.8%
Q3 - 3:37MIAMISS Posey Free Throw 2 of 276
91.4%
61
8.6%
Q3 - 3:37MIAPosey Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)76
92.4%
61
7.6%
Q3 - 3:37CHIHinrich Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T8)75
91.3%
61
8.7%
Q3 - 3:49MIAPayton Foul Turnover (P1.T8)75
89.7%
61
10.3%
Q3 - 4:00MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)75
91.3%
61
8.7%
Q3 - 4:02CHIMISS Hinrich 18' Jump Shot75
89.9%
61
10.1%
Q3 - 4:12MIAPayton Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)75
88.6%
61
11.4%
Q3 - 4:12MIAPayton Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)74
88.2%
61
11.8%
Q3 - 4:12CHIHinrich Free Throw Technical (14 PTS)73
87.0%
61
13.0%
Q3 - 4:21MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:6 Def:10)73
88.9%
60
11.1%
Q3 - 4:23CHIMISS Nocioni 25' 3PT Jump Shot73
88.3%
60
11.7%
Q3 - 4:36CHIBULLS Rebound73
86.8%
60
13.2%
Q3 - 4:36MIAMISS O'Neal Tip Shot73
87.5%
60
12.5%
Q3 - 4:37MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:6 Def:9)73
88.9%
60
11.1%
Q3 - 4:39MIAAllen BLOCK (1 BLK)73
87.5%
60
12.5%
Q3 - 4:54MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)73
88.9%
60
11.1%
Q3 - 4:56CHIMISS Deng Free Throw 2 of 273
88.7%
60
11.3%
Q3 - 4:56CHIDeng Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)73
87.5%
60
12.5%
Q3 - 5:08MIAWade 19' Jump Shot (18 PTS)73
87.8%
59
12.2%
Q3 - 5:31MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)71
86.1%
59
13.9%
Q3 - 5:33CHIMISS Nocioni 25' 3PT Jump Shot71
85.4%
59
14.6%
Q3 - 5:47MIAPayton 7' Jump Shot (7 PTS)71
83.8%
59
16.2%
Q3 - 6:09CHIHinrich 20' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Allen 3 AST)69
80.3%
59
19.7%
Q3 - 6:21MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)69
82.6%
57
17.4%
Q3 - 6:21MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)68
82.2%
57
17.8%
Q3 - 6:22MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:5 Def:9)67
80.4%
57
19.6%
Q3 - 6:24CHIMISS Hinrich Layup67
79.5%
57
20.5%
Q3 - 6:29CHIHinrich REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)67
77.5%
57
22.5%
Q3 - 6:31MIAMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot67
78.4%
57
21.6%
Q3 - 6:54CHIDeng 12' Jump Bank Shot (9 PTS) (Nocioni 1 AST)67
80.4%
57
19.6%
Q3 - 7:24MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:5 Def:8)67
81.4%
55
18.6%
Q3 - 7:24MIAO'Neal Follow Up Dunk (21 PTS)67
81.4%
55
18.6%
Q3 - 7:27MIAMISS Wade 13' Jump Shot65
77.3%
55
22.7%
Q3 - 7:37MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)65
79.4%
55
20.6%
Q3 - 7:38CHIMISS Gordon Layup65
78.5%
55
21.5%
Q3 - 7:59MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)65
76.3%
55
23.7%
Q3 - 7:59MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 264
75.1%
55
24.9%
Q3 - 8:15CHINocioni Layup (14 PTS)64
76.1%
55
23.9%
Q3 - 8:18MIAGordon STEAL (1 STL)64
78.4%
53
21.6%
Q3 - 8:31CHIGordon Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)64
81.2%
53
18.8%
Q3 - 8:31CHIGordon Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)64
81.6%
52
18.4%
Q3 - 8:33MIADeng STEAL (1 STL)64
83.1%
51
16.9%
Q3 - 8:47MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)64
85.4%
51
14.6%
Q3 - 8:48MIAMISS O'Neal Layup64
83.8%
51
16.2%
Q3 - 9:07CHIGordon 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Hinrich 3 AST)64
84.2%
51
15.8%
Q3 - 9:15CHIGordon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)64
87.7%
48
12.3%
Q3 - 9:17MIAMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot64
88.2%
48
11.8%
Q3 - 9:31MIAMISS Williams Free Throw Clear Path64
89.3%
48
10.7%
Q3 - 9:31CHIGordon Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T7)64
89.3%
48
10.7%
Q3 - 9:41MIAO'Neal Layup (18 PTS)64
87.8%
48
12.2%
Q3 - 9:57CHINocioni 17' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Hinrich 2 AST)62
86.2%
48
13.8%
Q3 - 10:09MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)62
86.8%
46
13.2%
Q3 - 10:09MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)61
86.5%
46
13.5%
Q3 - 10:15MIAHeat Rebound60
85.4%
46
14.6%
Q3 - 10:16MIAMISS O'Neal 14' Jump Shot60
83.9%
46
16.1%
Q3 - 10:31CHIHinrich 20' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Gordon 3 AST)60
85.4%
46
14.6%
Q3 - 10:43MIAWade Dunk (14 PTS)60
86.9%
44
13.1%
Q3 - 10:46CHIGordon Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T6)58
85.4%
44
14.6%
Q3 - 11:01CHIDeng REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)58
82.5%
44
17.5%
Q3 - 11:01MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 158
82.8%
44
17.2%
Q3 - 11:01MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)56
80.5%
44
19.5%
Q3 - 11:02MIAMISS O'Neal Layup56
78.9%
44
21.1%
Q3 - 11:18CHINocioni Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)56
80.6%
44
19.4%
Q3 - 11:33CHISweetney REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)56
84.5%
41
15.5%
Q3 - 11:33MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 256
84.7%
41
15.3%
Q3 - 11:33MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)56
85.9%
41
14.1%
Q3 - 11:46MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)55
84.6%
41
15.4%
Q3 - 11:48CHIMISS Deng 16' Jump Shot55
84.0%
41
16.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0CHI55
82.6%
41
17.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0CHIBULLS Rebound55
82.6%
41
17.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0CHIMISS Duhon 23' Jump Shot55
84.0%
41
16.0%
Q2 - 0:04.0CHIPargo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)55
81.8%
41
18.2%
Q2 - 0:06.0MIAMISS Payton 25' 3PT Jump Shot55
82.2%
41
17.8%
Q2 - 0:28.0CHIHinrich Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)55
83.2%
41
16.8%
Q2 - 0:42.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)55
87.1%
38
12.9%
Q2 - 0:42.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)54
86.8%
38
13.2%
Q2 - 0:46.0MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)53
85.0%
38
15.0%
Q2 - 0:48.0CHIMISS Hinrich Layup53
84.7%
38
15.3%
Q2 - 0:53.0CHIDeng REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)53
83.8%
38
16.2%
Q2 - 0:54.0MIAMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot53
84.2%
38
15.8%
Q2 - 1:05MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)53
84.1%
38
15.9%
Q2 - 1:05CHIMISS Deng 17' Jump Shot53
83.8%
38
16.2%
Q2 - 1:20MIAPosey 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)53
83.2%
38
16.8%
Q2 - 1:33MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)50
78.2%
38
21.8%
Q2 - 1:35CHIMISS Pargo 18' Jump Shot50
77.9%
38
22.1%
Q2 - 1:50MIAWalker 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)50
77.1%
38
22.9%
Q2 - 2:14CHIHinrich Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)47
70.6%
38
29.4%
Q2 - 2:37MIAO'Neal Slam Dunk (14 PTS)47
68.2%
38
31.8%
Q2 - 2:44MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)45
65.1%
38
34.9%
Q2 - 2:45MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot45
63.3%
38
36.7%
Q2 - 2:51MIAHeat Rebound45
65.1%
38
34.9%
Q2 - 2:52MIAMISS Williams 10' Jump Shot45
63.4%
38
36.6%
Q2 - 3:12CHIHinrich Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)45
64.3%
38
35.7%
Q2 - 3:12CHIHinrich Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)45
64.8%
37
35.2%
Q2 - 3:22MIAWalker Foul Turnover (P1.T5)45
66.7%
36
33.3%
Q2 - 3:50CHIChandler Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)45
69.7%
36
30.3%
Q2 - 4:08MIAWade 18' Jump Shot (9 PTS)45
65.9%
36
34.1%
Q2 - 4:26CHIPargo Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)43
63.3%
36
36.7%
Q2 - 4:26CHIPargo Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)43
63.8%
35
36.2%
Q2 - 4:38CHIDeng REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)43
66.0%
34
34.0%
Q2 - 4:40MIAMISS Williams 23' Jump Shot43
66.8%
34
33.2%
Q2 - 5:07CHIDeng 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Pargo 2 AST)43
68.1%
34
31.9%
Q2 - 5:23MIAPosey 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (O'Neal 3 AST)43
72.6%
31
27.4%
Q2 - 5:47MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)40
68.1%
31
31.9%
Q2 - 5:49CHIMISS Duhon 3PT Jump Shot40
67.3%
31
32.7%
Q2 - 5:52CHIDeng REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)40
65.4%
31
34.6%
Q2 - 5:54CHIMISS Pargo 14' Jump Shot40
67.3%
31
32.7%
Q2 - 6:00MIAHinrich STEAL (1 STL)40
65.4%
31
34.6%
Q2 - 6:18CHIDuhon 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Pargo 1 AST)40
67.6%
31
32.4%
Q2 - 6:42MIAO'Neal 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T3)40
71.8%
28
28.2%
Q2 - 6:51MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)40
74.4%
28
25.6%
Q2 - 6:53CHIMISS Gordon 20' Jump Shot40
73.6%
28
26.4%
Q2 - 7:06MIAPosey 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)40
70.9%
28
29.1%
Q2 - 7:24CHIDeng Layup (4 PTS) (Duhon 2 AST)37
66.5%
28
33.5%
Q2 - 7:29CHIChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)37
68.7%
26
31.3%
Q2 - 7:30MIAMISS O'Neal Layup37
69.4%
26
30.6%
Q2 - 7:48CHIHinrich Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)37
71.1%
26
28.9%
Q2 - 7:48CHIHinrich Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)37
71.5%
25
28.5%
Q2 - 7:57MIAO'Neal Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)37
73.1%
24
26.9%
Q2 - 8:13MIAHeat Rebound37
74.7%
24
25.3%
Q2 - 8:14CHIMISS Gordon 24' 3PT Jump Shot37
74.0%
24
26.0%
Q2 - 8:29MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)37
72.4%
24
27.6%
Q2 - 8:29MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)36
72.0%
24
28.0%
Q2 - 8:47CHIGordon Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)35
70.6%
24
29.4%
Q2 - 9:09MIAPayton 6' Jump Shot (5 PTS)35
67.3%
24
32.7%
Q2 - 9:16MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)33
65.3%
24
34.7%
Q2 - 9:18CHIMISS Gordon 25' 3PT Jump Shot33
64.6%
24
35.4%
Q2 - 9:34MIAO'Neal Alley Oop Dunk (12 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)33
62.8%
24
37.2%
Q2 - 9:53CHIAllen Layup (2 PTS) (Deng 1 AST)31
60.7%
24
39.3%
Q2 - 9:58CHIPiatkowski REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)31
62.8%
22
37.2%
Q2 - 10:00MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot31
63.6%
22
36.4%
Q2 - 10:26CHIGordon 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Duhon 1 AST)31
65.0%
22
35.0%
Q2 - 10:41MIAO'Neal Layup (10 PTS)31
69.1%
19
30.9%
Q2 - 11:00MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)29
67.2%
19
32.8%
Q2 - 11:02CHIMISS Duhon 25' 3PT Jump Shot29
65.5%
19
34.5%
Q2 - 11:24CHIAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)29
64.1%
19
35.9%
Q2 - 11:26MIAMISS Walker 26' 3PT Jump Shot29
64.8%
19
35.2%
Q2 - 11:44MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
66.3%
19
33.7%
Q2 - 11:47CHIMISS Piatkowski 3PT Jump Shot29
65.7%
19
34.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA29
64.1%
19
35.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0CHIDuhon 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Allen 2 AST)29
66.3%
19
33.7%
Q1 - 0:02.0MIAAllen STEAL (1 STL)29
70.0%
16
30.0%
Q1 - 0:24.0CHIPiatkowski Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)29
71.5%
16
28.5%
Q1 - 0:24.0CHIPiatkowski Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)29
71.9%
15
28.1%
Q1 - 0:25.0CHIPiatkowski REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)29
73.9%
14
26.1%
Q1 - 0:26.0CHIMISS Hinrich 26' 3PT Jump Shot29
74.8%
14
25.2%
Q1 - 0:30.0CHIDeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)29
73.9%
14
26.1%
Q1 - 0:32.0CHIMISS Piatkowski 27' 3PT Jump Shot29
74.8%
14
25.2%
Q1 - 0:41.0MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)29
73.9%
14
26.1%
Q1 - 0:41.0MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)28
73.2%
14
26.8%
Q1 - 1:00CHIHinrich Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)27
71.6%
14
28.4%
Q1 - 1:25CHIDuhon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
69.9%
14
30.1%
Q1 - 1:27MIAMISS Williams 16' Jump Shot27
70.4%
14
29.6%
Q1 - 1:48CHIDeng 6' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Allen 1 AST)27
71.4%
14
28.6%
Q1 - 2:08MIAPayton 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Walker 1 AST)27
73.4%
12
26.6%
Q1 - 2:32CHIAllen Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)24
69.5%
12
30.5%
Q1 - 2:45MIAMourning Dunk (2 PTS) (Payton 1 AST)24
67.6%
12
32.4%
Q1 - 3:06MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
64.5%
12
35.5%
Q1 - 3:08CHIMISS Hinrich 3PT Jump Shot22
63.8%
12
36.2%
Q1 - 3:28MIAWalker 26' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS)22
62.3%
12
37.7%
Q1 - 3:43CHIGordon Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)19
58.2%
12
41.8%
Q1 - 3:43CHIMISS Gordon Free Throw 1 of 219
58.6%
11
41.4%
Q1 - 3:52MIAWade 22' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (O'Neal 2 AST)19
58.0%
11
42.0%
Q1 - 4:15CHIHinrich 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Gordon 2 AST)17
55.7%
11
44.3%
Q1 - 4:30MIAO'Neal Layup (8 PTS)17
57.4%
9
42.6%
Q1 - 4:32MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)15
55.7%
9
44.3%
Q1 - 4:33MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot15
53.8%
9
46.2%
Q1 - 4:51CHINocioni 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Gordon 1 AST)15
55.7%
9
44.3%
Q1 - 5:13MIAO'Neal Dunk (6 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)15
58.6%
6
41.4%
Q1 - 5:26CHINocioni Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)13
56.8%
6
43.2%
Q1 - 5:26CHINocioni Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)13
57.1%
5
42.9%
Q1 - 5:32CHIAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)13
58.6%
4
41.4%
Q1 - 5:34MIAMISS Wade 10' Jump Shot13
59.3%
4
40.7%
Q1 - 5:42MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)13
60.9%
4
39.1%
Q1 - 5:43CHIMISS Allen 15' Jump Shot13
60.2%
4
39.8%
Q1 - 5:58MIAWade 15' Jump Bank Shot (5 PTS)13
58.7%
4
41.3%
Q1 - 6:24CHIGordon 7' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Hinrich 1 AST)11
55.9%
4
44.1%
Q1 - 6:36MIAWalker 24' 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)11
57.8%
2
42.2%
Q1 - 6:50MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)8
53.9%
2
46.1%
Q1 - 6:53CHIMISS Allen 16' Jump Shot8
53.3%
2
46.7%
Q1 - 6:57CHIGordon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)8
51.8%
2
48.2%
Q1 - 6:59CHIMISS Gordon 26' 3PT Jump Shot8
53.3%
2
46.7%
Q1 - 7:01CHIChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)8
50.9%
2
49.1%
Q1 - 7:03CHIMISS Allen 21' Jump Shot8
52.4%
2
47.6%
Q1 - 7:14CHIAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)8
50.9%
2
49.1%
Q1 - 7:16MIAMISS Haslem 21' Jump Shot8
51.6%
2
48.4%
Q1 - 7:36MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
53.1%
2
46.9%
Q1 - 7:37CHIMISS Chandler Layup8
52.4%
2
47.6%
Q1 - 7:48CHIChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
51.0%
2
49.0%
Q1 - 7:50MIAMISS Haslem Layup8
51.6%
2
48.4%
Q1 - 7:55MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
53.1%
2
46.9%
Q1 - 7:57CHIMISS Hinrich 20' Jump Shot8
52.5%
2
47.5%
Q1 - 8:27MIAWade 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)8
51.0%
2
49.0%
Q1 - 8:33MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)5
47.5%
2
52.5%
Q1 - 8:34CHIMISS Gordon 19' Jump Shot5
46.8%
2
53.2%
Q1 - 8:50CHINocioni REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)5
45.4%
2
54.6%
Q1 - 8:51MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 25
45.6%
2
54.4%
Q1 - 8:51MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 25
46.4%
2
53.6%
Q1 - 8:58MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
47.4%
2
52.6%
Q1 - 9:00CHIMISS Hinrich 27' 3PT Jump Shot5
46.8%
2
53.2%
Q1 - 9:16MIAO'Neal Layup (4 PTS)5
45.0%
2
55.0%
Q1 - 9:17MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)3
43.7%
2
56.3%
Q1 - 9:19MIAMISS Williams Layup3
42.0%
2
58.0%
Q1 - 9:41MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)3
43.7%
2
56.3%
Q1 - 9:43CHIMISS Gordon 11' Jump Shot3
43.0%
2
57.0%
Q1 - 9:53CHIHinrich REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
41.3%
2
58.7%
Q1 - 9:54MIAMISS Walker Free Throw 2 of 23
41.7%
2
58.3%
Q1 - 9:54MIAWalker Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)3
42.5%
2
57.5%
Q1 - 10:12CHINocioni 8' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
41.6%
2
58.4%
Q1 - 10:20CHIAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
43.2%
0
56.8%
Q1 - 10:22CHIMISS Nocioni 3PT Jump Shot2
44.6%
0
55.4%
Q1 - 10:37CHINocioni REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
43.2%
0
56.8%
Q1 - 10:39MIAMISS O'Neal 10' Jump Shot2
43.8%
0
56.2%
Q1 - 10:52MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
45.3%
0
54.7%
Q1 - 10:55CHIMISS Gordon 23' Jump Shot2
44.6%
0
55.4%
Q1 - 11:10MIAO'Neal 11' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
43.3%
0
56.7%
Q1 - 11:25MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
41.4%
0
58.6%
Q1 - 11:27CHIMISS Sweetney 8' Hook Shot0
40.9%
0
59.1%
Q1 - 11:39CHIBULLS Rebound0
39.7%
0
60.3%
Q1 - 11:40MIAMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot0
40.2%
0
59.8%
Q1 - 12:00CHIJump Ball Sweetney vs. O'Neal: Tip to Haslem0
41.4%
0
58.6%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.20 60.1%
CHI
1.05 52.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
16
29
55%
CHI
11
17
65%
Midrange
MIA
11
23
48%
CHI
10
28
36%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
11
16.5
25
44%
66%
CHI
10
15.0
30
33%
50%
Free Throws
MIA
26
34
76%
CHI
24
32
75%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
S. O'Neal3056%15.0 / 27
D. Wade2372%11.5 / 16
J. Posey1882%9.0 / 11
U. Haslem1785%8.5 / 10
A. Walker1250%6.0 / 12
G. Payton964%4.5 / 7
A. Mourning4100%2.0 / 2
J. Williams0-0.0 / 6
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
CHI logo Bulls
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Hinrich2357%11.5 / 20
B. Gordon2148%10.5 / 22
A. Nocioni2083%10.0 / 12
L. Deng1255%6.0 / 11
J. Pargo1063%5.0 / 8
C. Duhon660%3.0 / 5
M. Allen225%1.0 / 4
E. Piatkowski225%1.0 / 4
M. Sweetney0-0.0 / 1
T. Chandler0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
75
+16
-14
91
CHI
81
+10
-11
91
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.20 60.1%
CHI
1.05 52.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
105.5
104.1
MIA 127.0 +22.6
CHI 104.3
Pace
90.9
94.7
MIA 79.4
CHI 105.6 +26.2
Avg. Poss. Time
16.3
13.9
MIA 18.1
CHI 13.6 +4.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.5%
49.7%
MIA 56.5% +8.5%
CHI 48.0%
TO %
16.6%
16.2%
MIA 13.2%
CHI 11.9% +1.3%
ORB %
24.8%
21.6%
MIA 35.0% +17.2%
CHI 17.8%
FTrt
42.7
39.7
MIA 44.2 +1.5
CHI 42.7
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
50.2%
53.9%
MIA 55.3%
CHI 61.3% +6.0%
STL %
7.7%
6.0%
MIA 6.7% +2.4%
CHI 4.3%
BLK %
7.9%
6.9%
MIA 11.1% +9.2%
CHI 1.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.03 and 2.03.

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.9%
54.1%
MIA 60.1% +7.4%
CHI 52.7%
Rim FG%
62.8%
55.3%
MIA 55.2%
CHI 64.7% +9.5%
Mid FG%
44.0%
41.2%
MIA 47.8% +12.1%
CHI 35.7%
3P %
33.3%
39.5%
MIA 44.0% +10.7%
CHI 33.3%
FT %
65.5%
74.2%
MIA 76.5% +1.5%
CHI 75.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
36.9%
26.9%
MIA 37.7% +15.0%
CHI 22.7%
Mid Att. %
36.7%
47.2%
MIA 29.9% +7.5%
CHI 37.3%
3P Att. %
26.4%
26.0%
MIA 32.5%
CHI 40.0% +7.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.44 and 2.44.
Game TotalsMIACHI
Possessions8992
Possession Minutes26.920.9
Points11396
Rebounds5134
Assists2119
Steals64
Blocks51
Turnovers (Team)14 (0)11 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)14 (2)8 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)37 (1)26 (2)
Field Goals38-7731-75
At-the-Rim FG16-2911-17
Midrange FG11-2310-28
2-Point FG27-5221-45
3-Point FG11-2510-30
Free Throws26-3424-32
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
C · 7'1" 325 · 34
38.5
30
56%
20
5
0
2
4
3
8
12
4-8
50%
13-24
54%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 220 · 24
37.6
23
72%
3
6
1
0
2
6
0
3
7-8
88%
5-9
56%
2-3
67%
F · 6'9" 245 · 30
37.1
12
50%
3
3
1
0
1
3
0
3
1-2
50%
1-2
50%
3-9
33%
F · 6'8" 235 · 26
31.8
17
85%
14
1
0
2
1
2
4
10
9-9
100%
4-7
57%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 180 · 30
22.6
0
0%
0
4
1
0
2
3
0
0
0-1
0%
0-4
0%
0-2
0%
F · 6'8" 217 · 29
32.8
18
82%
7
0
1
0
1
4
1
6
1-2
50%
1-3
33%
5-7
71%
G · 6'4" 190 · 38
31.7
9
64%
3
2
2
1
3
4
1
2
2-2
100%
2-2
100%
1-4
25%
G · 6'5" 195 · 32
4.2
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
C · 6'10" 261 · 36
3.7
4
100%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
1-1
100%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 262 · 29
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 32
F · 6'9" 250 · 23
#24 · F · 6'8" 215 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
113
60%
51
21
6
5
14
0
14
37
26-34
76%
27-52
52%
11-25
44%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.