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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
April 12, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
3Mavericks72%98102
27Warriors28%91114
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 27.8
35.5
35.9
29
59%
10
4
4
1
0
1
2
8
5-6
83%
9-18
8-16
50%
50%
2-4
50%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 28.6
34.6
34.0
10
29%
3
6
1
1
0
3
0
3
0-0
-
5-11
5-9
45%
52%
0-6
0%
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 26.0
34.2
31.4
18
51%
5
2
2
1
1
2
2
3
7-8
88%
4-12
6-12
33%
50%
1-2
50%
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 31.4
32.9
32.6
16
58%
3
1
0
1
0
4
1
2
3-4
75%
5-9
4-9
56%
45%
1-3
33%
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 24.2
19.5
19.8
0
0%
3
0
1
1
0
1
2
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
45%
0-0
-
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 25.3
24.0
22.2
12
68%
3
2
0
1
0
3
0
3
2-2
100%
5-7
3-6
71%
50%
0-1
0%
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 30.7
20.3
20.2
2
25%
3
0
1
0
3
0
2
1
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
53%
0-0
-
Josh Powell
F · 6'9" 240 · 23.2
15.0
16.7
8
82%
4
0
1
0
0
0
3
1
2-2
100%
3-4
2-3
75%
51%
0-0
-
Darrell Armstrong
G · 6'1" 180 · 37.8
9.8
10.1
4
58%
0
3
2
0
0
0
0
0
1-1
100%
0-0
1-1
-
43%
1-3
33%
Adrian Griffin
G-F · 6'5" 230 · 31.8
9.8
6.8
2
100%
2
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
47%
0-0
-
Rawle Marshall
G-F · 6'7" 190 · 24.1
2.7
5.8
1
27%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
0-0
1-1
-
49%
0-1
0%
DJ Mbenga
C · 7'0" 255 · 25.3
1.8
8.8
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
54%
0-0
-
Keith Van Horn
F · 6'10" 245 · 30.5
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 23.1
Pavel Podkolzin
C · 7'5" 260 · 21.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 31.7
36.8
33.4
11
56%
0
9
2
1
0
4
0
0
3-4
75%
4-7
3-8
57%
41%
0-1
0%
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 25.6
35.7
30.2
9
42%
7
2
0
1
2
2
1
6
3-4
75%
3-8
3-7
38%
47%
0-1
0%
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 25.2
34.5
28.1
25
62%
5
1
2
1
0
6
2
3
10-12
83%
6-11
4-9
55%
47%
1-4
25%
Troy Murphy
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 25.9
28.2
28.8
16
74%
6
3
0
1
0
1
2
4
1-2
50%
6-8
3-7
75%
45%
1-2
50%
Adonal Foyle
C · 6'10" 270 · 31.1
13.9
24.3
2
33%
5
0
0
0
1
0
2
3
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
51%
0-0
-
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 20.5
28.5
23.9
17
79%
3
4
1
1
1
2
1
2
3-4
75%
4-6
3-6
67%
44%
2-3
67%
Ike Diogu
F · 6'9" 250 · 22.6
22.7
18.5
22
86%
9
0
0
0
2
0
2
7
12-13
92%
5-7
3-6
71%
50%
0-0
-
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 20.0
20.4
10.3
7
61%
5
0
0
0
1
1
3
2
3-4
75%
2-4
1-2
50%
59%
0-0
-
Will Bynum
G · 6'0" 185 · 23.3
11.8
11.4
2
25%
2
2
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-4
1-3
25%
41%
0-0
-
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 24.2
7.6
20.4
3
21%
3
1
1
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-4
2-4
0%
48%
1-3
33%
Zarko Cabarkapa
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 24.9
9.7
0
1-3
46%
Calbert Cheaney
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 34.7
4.2
0
0-1
46%
Chris Taft
F · 6'10" 261 · 21.1
Baron Davis
G · 6'3" 212 · 27.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.