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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
April 28, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1Spurs48%9193
9Kings52%9294
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 30.0
39.4
29.0
29
62%
12
2
1
1
6
3
4
8
5-8
63%
12-20
5-11
60%
48%
0-0
-
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 28.8
32.0
28.7
8
39%
4
4
0
1
0
7
0
4
2-3
67%
3-6
4-7
50%
49%
0-3
0%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 23.9
31.7
31.2
12
41%
2
6
1
1
0
2
0
2
4-4
100%
4-13
6-12
31%
52%
0-0
-
Bruce Bowen
F · 6'7" 200 · 34.9
19.7
24.5
2
50%
3
1
0
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
42%
0-1
0%
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 28.6
9.9
21.4
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
3-5
50%
49%
0-0
-
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 33.1
30.2
24.6
17
91%
2
2
1
0
1
0
0
2
3-3
100%
1-1
2-4
100%
43%
4-7
57%
Brent Barry
G · 6'7" 210 · 34.3
25.8
23.6
9
70%
3
0
1
1
1
0
0
3
0-1
0%
3-3
1-3
100%
52%
1-3
33%
Rasho Nesterovic
C · 7'0" 255 · 29.9
17.8
16.2
5
63%
10
0
2
0
0
1
4
6
0-0
-
1-3
2-3
33%
48%
1-1
100%
Robert Horry
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 35.7
14.3
17.7
3
54%
2
0
0
1
1
0
1
1
3-4
75%
0-0
1-2
-
42%
0-1
0%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 23.8
10.1
7.1
6
38%
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
3-5
1-2
60%
47%
0-3
0%
Nick Van Exel
G · 6'1" 190 · 34.4
9.1
12.2
0
0%
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
40%
0-1
0%
Fabricio Oberto
C · 6'10" 245 · 31.1
4.4
0
0-1
48%
Sean Marks
F-C · 6'10" 250 · 30.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mike Bibby
G · 6'2" 195 · 28.0
48.0
39.8
25
60%
3
8
3
1
0
6
1
2
9-9
100%
5-12
4-9
42%
44%
2-5
40%
Bonzi Wells
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 29.6
43.8
36.5
19
43%
14
1
1
2
1
2
10
4
1-2
50%
9-20
5-11
45%
45%
0-1
0%
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 26.5
43.7
18.0
22
57%
12
1
1
1
2
1
3
9
5-10
50%
7-11
2-4
64%
43%
1-4
25%
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 30.0
36.2
25.9
12
51%
6
4
1
1
1
0
1
5
4-4
100%
4-10
3-6
40%
48%
0-0
-
Kenny Thomas
C-F · 6'7" 245 · 28.8
22.6
36.3
4
72%
2
2
0
1
0
1
0
2
2-4
50%
1-1
3-7
100%
47%
0-0
-
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 23.2
27.9
32.1
10
57%
6
0
1
1
0
0
0
6
4-4
100%
3-5
3-6
60%
49%
0-2
0%
Shareef Abdur-Rahim
F · 6'9" 245 · 29.4
11.8
26.7
2
25%
2
0
0
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-4
4-9
25%
49%
0-0
-
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 24.3
6.0
5.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
47%
0-2
0%
Jason Hart
G · 6'3" 180 · 28.0
14.6
1
1-3
43%
Corliss Williamson
F · 6'7" 245 · 32.4
2.1
0
0-1
44%
Ronnie Price
G · 6'2" 190 · 22.9
0.1
0
0-0
50%
Vitaly Potapenko
C-F · 6'10" 285 · 31.1
Jamal Sampson
F-C · 6'11" 235 · 23.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.