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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
May 1, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2Mavericks45%86102
8Grizzlies55%8876
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 26.0
38.1
30.1
24
66%
9
2
0
1
1
1
1
8
3-3
100%
6-13
5-10
46%
46%
3-4
75%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 27.9
35.1
40.9
27
64%
7
3
2
1
0
2
0
7
0-0
-
9-18
7-16
50%
46%
3-3
100%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 28.6
27.6
38.4
12
47%
2
5
1
1
0
2
0
2
4-4
100%
4-9
5-10
44%
48%
0-2
0%
Adrian Griffin
G-F · 6'5" 230 · 31.8
26.2
24.7
6
50%
5
2
0
1
0
1
3
2
0-0
-
3-6
2-4
50%
44%
0-0
-
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 24.2
24.3
19.2
0
0%
8
0
2
1
2
1
4
4
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
42%
0-0
-
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 31.5
27.4
28.4
19
65%
1
5
1
1
0
1
0
1
6-6
100%
5-9
3-8
56%
41%
1-3
33%
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 30.8
23.8
25.7
4
34%
8
1
0
0
3
1
4
4
2-2
100%
1-5
2-4
20%
49%
0-0
-
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 23.2
18.5
9.1
6
100%
1
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
3-3
1-2
100%
46%
0-0
-
Josh Powell
F · 6'9" 240 · 23.3
10.0
4.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
45%
0-0
-
Darrell Armstrong
G · 6'1" 180 · 37.9
4.6
0.9
2
53%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
0-1
0-0
0%
40%
0-0
-
DJ Mbenga
C · 7'0" 255 · 25.3
4.4
2.7
2
100%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
47%
0-0
-
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 25.3
15.0
1
2-4
46%
Keith Van Horn
F · 6'10" 245 · 30.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 25.8
39.1
37.6
25
56%
6
0
1
1
0
4
1
5
7-8
88%
9-19
7-14
47%
49%
0-0
-
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 26.2
38.4
19.6
10
42%
3
2
1
0
0
2
0
3
2-2
100%
4-9
2-4
44%
50%
0-2
0%
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 27.6
30.3
32.7
5
40%
7
0
0
1
0
1
4
3
1-3
33%
2-3
2-5
67%
49%
0-2
0%
Chucky Atkins
G · 5'11" 185 · 31.7
25.8
27.3
8
45%
1
4
1
1
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
3-7
2-5
43%
43%
0-1
0%
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 23.8
17.5
10.6
4
29%
4
0
0
0
0
2
0
4
2-2
100%
1-5
1-3
20%
45%
0-1
0%
Bobby Jackson
G · 6'1" 185 · 33.1
22.3
20.4
8
48%
1
0
0
1
0
2
0
1
2-3
67%
3-6
2-4
50%
42%
0-1
0%
Lorenzen Wright
F-C · 6'11" 255 · 30.5
19.3
27.2
4
40%
4
1
0
1
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
2-5
3-6
40%
47%
0-0
-
Dahntay Jones
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 25.3
18.1
9.0
7
53%
3
0
1
0
0
1
1
2
3-6
50%
2-4
1-2
50%
44%
0-0
-
Jake Tsakalidis
C · 7'2" 290 · 26.9
10.1
11.2
2
100%
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
51%
0-0
-
Brian Cardinal
F · 6'8" 240 · 29.0
9.7
3.1
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
40%
0-0
-
Eddie Jones
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 34.5
4.7
37.1
0
0%
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
2-5
-
44%
0-0
-
Antonio Burks
G · 6'0" 195 · 26.2
4.6
2.5
3
80%
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
1-1
0-1
100%
42%
0-0
-
Anthony Roberson
G · 6'2" 180 · 23.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.