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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
May 2, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
11Lakers25%9697
4Suns75%105114
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 27.7
43.0
40.0
29
69%
7
5
0
2
1
5
0
7
6-9
67%
7-9
8-18
78%
46%
3-8
38%
Lamar Odom
F · 6'10" 230 · 26.5
41.8
42.5
18
56%
15
6
0
1
1
2
2
13
4-5
80%
7-12
4-9
58%
48%
0-2
0%
Luke Walton
F · 6'8" 235 · 26.1
33.1
34.2
9
41%
6
2
1
1
0
4
2
4
0-0
-
3-9
4-8
33%
45%
1-2
50%
Smush Parker
G · 6'4" 190 · 24.9
26.9
36.5
5
32%
3
0
1
2
1
1
0
3
2-2
100%
0-4
3-7
0%
49%
1-3
33%
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 24.1
24.4
33.2
14
90%
3
0
1
1
0
3
1
2
2-4
50%
6-6
4-8
100%
48%
0-0
-
Sasha Vujacic
G · 6'7" 195 · 22.1
16.0
20.6
0
0%
0
0
1
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
36%
0-1
0%
Devean George
F · 6'8" 235 · 28.7
15.7
17.0
5
42%
1
0
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
43%
1-3
33%
Brian Cook
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 25.4
14.6
10.7
9
90%
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
3-4
1-3
75%
48%
1-1
100%
Ronny Turiaf
C · 6'10" 249 · 23.3
9.0
0.3
8
106%
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
4-4
100%
2-2
0-0
100%
50%
0-0
-
Aaron McKie
G · 6'5" 209 · 33.6
8.2
1.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
44%
0-0
-
Jim Jackson
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 35.5
7.3
1.4
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
42%
0-1
0%
Andrew Bynum
C · 7'0" 285 · 18.5
0.7
0
0-0
44%
Chris Mihm
C · 7'0" 265 · 26.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 28.0
42.9
40.3
21
47%
9
2
1
2
2
0
5
4
1-1
100%
7-17
7-13
41%
53%
2-5
40%
Steve Nash
G · 6'3" 178 · 32.2
40.0
38.6
22
70%
3
4
0
1
0
4
0
3
5-6
83%
7-11
4-8
64%
52%
1-2
50%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 24.0
38.0
38.8
25
74%
10
9
1
1
0
0
4
6
11-11
100%
7-12
6-11
58%
52%
0-0
-
Raja Bell
G · 6'5" 210 · 29.6
37.8
40.8
11
58%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
1-1
100%
2-4
3-6
50%
46%
2-5
40%
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 25.6
28.3
20.0
9
45%
9
0
1
0
1
2
2
7
0-0
-
3-7
2-4
43%
44%
1-3
33%
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 23.4
24.8
22.8
11
56%
0
2
1
1
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
3-5
2-5
60%
49%
1-4
25%
Tim Thomas
F · 6'10" 240 · 29.2
16.4
26.3
13
67%
2
1
2
1
0
0
0
2
2-4
50%
4-5
2-5
80%
46%
1-3
33%
Eddie House
G · 6'1" 190 · 28.0
8.0
8.8
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
44%
0-0
-
Pat Burke
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 32.4
1.9
0.9
2
69%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-1
0%
1-1
0-0
100%
48%
0-0
-
Nikoloz Tskitishvili
F · 7'0" 225 · 23.1
1.9
0.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
39%
0-1
0%
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 33.6
4.2
0
0-1
47%
Brian Grant
F-C · 6'9" 254 · 34.2
1.1
0
0-0
44%
Amar'e Stoudemire
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 23.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.