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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
April 16, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
16Jazz26%8995
2Mavericks74%97111
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 21.8
35.7
35.2
16
73%
1
9
2
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
5-9
4-8
56%
43%
2-2
100%
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 24.4
34.4
36.0
21
64%
11
1
0
1
0
2
4
7
3-3
100%
9-15
7-14
60%
52%
0-0
-
Mehmet Okur
C · 6'11" 260 · 26.9
32.7
37.4
17
55%
5
1
0
1
0
4
2
3
7-8
88%
5-11
5-10
45%
48%
0-1
0%
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.2
24.6
37.8
9
60%
3
3
1
1
2
5
2
1
5-8
63%
2-4
4-8
50%
49%
0-0
-
Matt Harpring
F · 6'7" 230 · 29.9
22.9
33.8
7
41%
3
2
0
1
0
0
0
3
5-8
63%
1-3
5-10
33%
49%
0-2
0%
Devin Brown
G · 6'5" 210 · 27.3
30.5
18.9
7
39%
3
2
1
0
0
1
2
1
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
42%
1-4
25%
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 21.2
17.6
5.4
3
54%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
1-4
25%
1-1
1-2
100%
43%
0-0
-
Jarron Collins
C · 6'11" 249 · 27.4
16.5
14.0
6
75%
3
0
0
0
0
2
3
0
0-0
-
3-4
1-2
75%
46%
0-0
-
Keith McLeod
G · 6'2" 190 · 26.4
12.3
11.0
4
52%
0
2
3
0
1
3
0
0
2-2
100%
1-3
1-2
33%
38%
0-0
-
Greg Ostertag
C · 7'2" 280 · 33.1
9.2
3.0
1
57%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
1-2
50%
0-0
0-0
-
47%
0-0
-
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 19.1
3.6
2.8
4
106%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
1-1
0-1
100%
43%
0-0
-
Milt Palacio
G · 6'4" 210 · 28.2
2.7
0
0-1
43%
Gordan Giricek
G · 6'6" 220 · 28.8
Robert Whaley
C · 6'10" 260 · 24.0
Andre Owens
G · 6'4" 200 · 25.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 28.6
36.7
34.7
16
52%
2
6
2
1
0
4
0
2
7-8
88%
0-6
5-9
0%
52%
3-6
50%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 27.8
36.2
36.2
22
57%
7
4
0
1
0
2
1
6
14-14
100%
4-11
8-16
36%
51%
0-2
0%
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 26.0
31.5
32.3
18
65%
5
2
3
1
0
1
1
4
3-4
75%
6-11
6-12
55%
51%
1-1
100%
Adrian Griffin
G-F · 6'5" 230 · 31.8
28.3
13.2
6
52%
3
1
3
1
0
0
1
2
4-4
100%
1-4
1-2
25%
48%
0-0
-
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 24.2
24.0
14.3
5
69%
5
2
2
0
1
1
4
1
3-6
50%
1-1
1-1
100%
46%
0-0
-
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 31.4
25.5
31.8
20
62%
1
1
1
1
0
1
1
0
6-7
86%
4-10
4-9
40%
46%
2-3
67%
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 30.8
21.5
19.5
13
75%
12
0
0
0
1
2
7
5
5-6
83%
4-6
2-3
67%
53%
0-0
-
Josh Powell
F · 6'9" 240 · 23.2
16.1
16.0
5
91%
4
0
1
0
0
1
1
3
3-4
75%
1-1
2-3
100%
52%
0-0
-
Darrell Armstrong
G · 6'1" 180 · 37.8
11.3
16.0
5
83%
1
2
0
1
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
45%
1-1
100%
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 25.3
5.7
22.1
1
17%
1
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
1-2
50%
0-2
3-6
0%
50%
0-0
-
DJ Mbenga
C · 7'0" 255 · 25.3
2.5
9.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
55%
0-0
-
Rawle Marshall
G-F · 6'7" 190 · 24.2
0.8
4.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
50%
0-0
-
Keith Van Horn
F · 6'10" 245 · 30.5
Pavel Podkolzin
C · 7'5" 260 · 21.2
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 23.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.