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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
April 14, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
22Bobcats47%99116
27Hawks53%100110
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 21.8
41.4
38.5
27
60%
4
8
3
1
0
3
0
4
8-10
80%
5-10
5-10
50%
45%
3-8
38%
Alan Anderson
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 23.5
36.0
22.4
15
61%
6
2
0
1
0
0
1
5
3-3
100%
6-10
2-5
60%
48%
0-1
0%
Primoz Brezec
C · 7'1" 255 · 26.5
27.9
27.8
14
71%
4
1
0
0
1
1
3
1
2-2
100%
6-9
6-11
67%
53%
0-0
-
Jumaine Jones
F · 6'8" 230 · 27.2
27.5
27.1
8
46%
4
1
2
1
1
1
2
2
3-6
50%
1-2
3-6
50%
49%
1-4
25%
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 23.7
24.5
34.4
9
58%
6
5
4
2
3
4
0
6
1-4
25%
4-6
6-11
67%
54%
0-0
-
Melvin Ely
C-F · 6'10" 260 · 28.0
33.1
18.4
21
78%
5
3
1
0
2
2
2
3
1-1
100%
10-13
3-6
77%
49%
0-0
-
Matt Carroll
G · 6'6" 212 · 25.6
22.8
19.8
17
80%
2
1
0
1
0
0
1
1
6-6
100%
1-4
2-5
25%
44%
3-4
75%
Jake Voskuhl
C · 6'11" 255 · 28.4
17.3
16.7
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-4
2-5
0%
49%
0-0
-
Kevin Burleson
G · 6'3" 205 · 27.0
6.9
5.2
5
83%
2
0
1
0
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
43%
1-1
100%
Lonny Baxter
F · 6'8" 260 · 27.2
2.6
3.1
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
48%
0-0
-
Brevin Knight
G · 5'10" 166 · 30.4
20.0
1
3-6
44%
Bernard Robinson
G-F · 6'6" 210 · 25.3
9.0
0
1-2
48%
Sean May
C-F · 6'9" 266 · 22.0
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 23.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 24.8
43.8
36.8
35
58%
7
9
2
1
0
6
4
3
7-10
70%
11-20
5-11
55%
49%
2-6
33%
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 19.8
39.4
29.1
22
68%
6
2
2
1
0
2
2
4
4-5
80%
9-13
4-8
69%
48%
0-1
0%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 20.4
39.0
36.5
17
49%
10
3
0
1
2
4
2
8
3-5
60%
4-9
4-9
44%
48%
2-6
33%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 22.2
29.3
22.6
12
76%
2
3
0
1
1
1
2
0
2-2
100%
5-7
3-7
71%
47%
0-0
-
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 24.3
12.2
10.8
0
0%
3
1
1
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
46%
0-0
-
Tyronn Lue
G · 6'0" 175 · 28.9
33.6
23.9
19
68%
3
4
1
1
0
3
0
3
2-2
100%
4-7
3-6
57%
48%
3-6
50%
Esteban Batista
F-C · 6'10" 268 · 22.6
20.4
15.0
0
0%
3
0
1
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
50%
0-0
-
Donta Smith
G · 6'7" 215 · 22.4
17.7
3.5
2
33%
0
2
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
0-1
33%
47%
0-0
-
Anthony Grundy
G · 6'3" 185 · 27.0
4.6
9.2
3
150%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
46%
1-1
100%
Josh Childress
F-G · 6'8" 210 · 22.8
30.0
1
3-6
55%
Al Harrington
F · 6'9" 245 · 26.2
20.9
1
4-8
49%
John Edwards
C · 7'0" 275 · 24.7
4.0
0
0-1
51%
Salim Stoudamire
G · 6'1" 175 · 23.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.