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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
May 4, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
6Nets43%8696
14Pacers57%8890
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 25.9
46.9
42.5
30
88%
6
4
1
1
1
3
0
6
8-9
89%
8-9
6-12
89%
49%
2-4
50%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 29.3
39.4
39.7
24
54%
5
7
2
1
0
3
0
5
9-10
90%
3-11
6-14
27%
44%
3-7
43%
Jason Kidd
G · 6'4" 210 · 33.1
38.3
39.4
8
33%
12
11
0
2
0
1
5
7
0-0
-
1-6
3-6
17%
41%
2-6
33%
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 27.4
27.0
21.2
0
0%
7
0
1
0
0
2
3
4
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
39%
0-0
-
Nenad Krstic
C · 7'0" 240 · 22.8
25.1
37.6
17
69%
4
1
2
1
0
2
3
1
3-3
100%
7-11
6-13
64%
49%
0-0
-
Clifford Robinson
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 39.4
27.3
26.6
7
44%
3
0
0
1
1
2
1
2
0-0
-
2-6
2-4
33%
42%
1-2
50%
Lamond Murray
F · 6'7" 235 · 33.0
22.6
10.8
8
100%
4
1
1
0
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
40%
2-3
67%
Jacque Vaughn
G · 6'1" 190 · 31.2
12.9
14.9
2
18%
3
0
0
0
0
1
1
2
0-1
0%
1-5
1-3
20%
43%
0-0
-
John Thomas
C · 6'9" 265 · 30.7
0.6
1.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
46%
0-0
-
Zoran Planinic
· 6'7" 195 · 23.6
2.2
0
0-0
43%
Scott Padgett
F · 6'9" 240 · 30.0
1.2
0
0-0
42%
Bostjan Nachbar
F · 6'9" 221 · 25.8
Antoine Wright
F-G · 6'7" 215 · 22.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Anthony Johnson
G · 6'3" 195 · 31.6
45.5
39.7
40
74%
5
5
2
1
0
2
1
4
5-9
56%
13-18
4-9
72%
45%
3-5
60%
Jermaine O'Neal
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 27.6
39.8
38.4
21
58%
6
0
0
1
0
3
2
4
5-9
56%
8-14
7-15
57%
45%
0-0
-
Austin Croshere
F · 6'10" 240 · 31.0
38.9
30.4
7
39%
4
0
1
1
0
2
0
4
2-2
100%
1-4
2-3
25%
44%
1-4
25%
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 28.1
37.5
38.0
9
37%
4
4
2
1
1
0
0
4
5-5
100%
2-7
4-10
29%
43%
0-3
0%
Danny Granger
F-G · 6'9" 222 · 23.0
36.0
29.6
13
81%
5
1
1
1
0
2
3
2
0-0
-
2-4
3-5
50%
48%
3-4
75%
Fred Jones
G · 6'2" 225 · 27.1
26.6
26.4
0
0%
4
2
1
1
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
43%
0-2
0%
Sarunas Jasikevicius
· 6'4" 197 · 30.2
12.5
13.2
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
43%
0-1
0%
David Harrison
C · 7'0" 280 · 23.7
3.2
5.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
50%
0-0
-
Peja Stojakovic
F · 6'10" 229 · 28.9
10.3
0
1-2
46%
Jeff Foster
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 29.3
9.2
0
1-1
52%
Scot Pollard
C-F · 6'11" 278 · 31.2
1.4
0
0-0
44%
Eddie Gill
G · 6'0" 190 · 27.7
Jamaal Tinsley
G · 6'3" 188 · 28.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.