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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
May 9, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2Mavericks33%86113
1Spurs67%9291
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 26.0
41.6
38.6
27
62%
9
2
1
1
1
1
4
5
11-11
100%
5-13
6-12
38%
46%
2-4
50%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 27.9
38.1
40.9
21
75%
9
1
3
1
0
3
0
9
7-7
100%
7-9
8-17
78%
46%
0-2
0%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 23.2
32.7
14.9
20
63%
4
3
1
1
0
0
0
4
6-9
67%
7-11
2-4
64%
46%
0-1
0%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 28.6
25.6
34.1
11
42%
1
3
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
4-11
5-10
36%
47%
1-2
50%
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 24.3
20.1
16.9
3
52%
7
0
2
0
1
0
2
5
1-2
50%
1-2
1-1
50%
41%
0-0
-
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 31.5
31.3
32.8
19
65%
1
0
0
1
1
1
0
1
4-6
67%
3-8
4-10
38%
41%
3-4
75%
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 25.3
22.9
7.6
8
52%
3
3
1
0
0
0
3
0
4-4
100%
2-6
1-2
33%
45%
0-0
-
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 30.8
14.7
26.9
0
0%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-2
0%
0-1
2-5
0%
48%
0-0
-
Josh Powell
F · 6'9" 240 · 23.3
4.7
3.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
44%
0-0
-
Adrian Griffin
G-F · 6'5" 230 · 31.8
4.5
20.8
2
53%
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
0-1
1-3
0%
44%
0-0
-
Darrell Armstrong
G · 6'1" 180 · 37.9
3.0
0.7
2
100%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
38%
0-0
-
DJ Mbenga
C · 7'0" 255 · 25.4
1.0
2.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
48%
0-0
-
Keith Van Horn
F · 6'10" 245 · 30.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Bruce Bowen
F · 6'7" 200 · 34.9
36.1
33.6
6
75%
2
2
1
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
43%
2-3
67%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 30.0
35.1
37.6
28
87%
9
3
1
1
4
4
2
7
12-14
86%
8-10
7-14
80%
48%
0-0
-
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 24.0
31.4
35.6
15
45%
5
1
0
1
0
4
1
4
3-6
50%
6-14
7-14
43%
52%
0-0
-
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 28.8
27.8
34.0
13
46%
2
1
0
2
1
0
0
2
5-7
71%
4-8
4-8
50%
49%
0-3
0%
Robert Horry
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 35.7
19.5
27.4
2
41%
3
0
0
1
0
2
0
3
0-1
0%
1-2
1-3
50%
42%
0-0
-
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 33.2
26.7
23.6
7
47%
4
1
0
0
0
2
1
3
1-1
100%
3-6
2-4
50%
43%
0-1
0%
Brent Barry
G · 6'7" 210 · 34.4
24.7
17.0
12
68%
2
2
1
0
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
2-4
1-2
50%
52%
2-4
50%
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 28.7
12.0
3.7
1
57%
5
0
1
0
0
0
2
3
1-2
50%
0-0
0-1
-
49%
0-0
-
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 23.8
11.4
2.3
7
36%
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
1
3-4
75%
2-7
0-1
29%
47%
0-1
0%
Fabricio Oberto
C · 6'10" 245 · 31.1
6.4
0.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
46%
0-0
-
Nick Van Exel
G · 6'1" 190 · 34.4
5.1
10.6
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
41%
0-1
0%
Rasho Nesterovic
C · 7'0" 255 · 29.9
3.7
11.7
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
48%
0-0
-
Sean Marks
F-C · 6'10" 250 · 30.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.