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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
April 19, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
26Raptors27%93106
12Bulls73%101127
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 21.7
45.3
31.8
29
51%
10
3
1
1
0
1
3
7
4-6
67%
8-19
4-9
42%
49%
3-7
43%
Morris Peterson
G · 6'7" 220 · 28.6
39.0
34.1
29
63%
3
1
2
1
0
0
1
2
5-5
100%
6-15
4-9
40%
45%
4-6
67%
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 24.6
34.6
23.4
10
53%
3
5
0
1
0
2
0
3
8-8
100%
1-6
2-5
17%
45%
0-0
-
Joey Graham
F · 6'7" 230 · 23.9
31.5
31.6
18
63%
6
1
0
1
1
1
3
3
5-5
100%
5-10
4-8
50%
49%
1-2
50%
Loren Woods
C · 7'2" 260 · 27.8
13.7
20.3
0
0%
6
0
2
0
1
0
0
6
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
44%
0-1
0%
Andre Barrett
G · 5'10" 173 · 24.2
23.2
11.2
8
38%
1
2
0
0
0
2
1
0
1-1
100%
2-8
1-3
25%
40%
1-2
50%
Darrick Martin
G · 5'11" 170 · 35.1
19.2
4.5
4
29%
1
2
1
0
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
1-3
0-1
33%
36%
0-3
0%
Pape Sow
F · 6'10" 250 · 24.4
18.3
19.7
7
41%
7
0
0
1
0
1
5
2
5-6
83%
1-6
2-4
17%
45%
0-0
-
Rafael Araujo
C · 6'11" 270 · 25.7
15.1
16.1
1
9%
3
1
2
1
0
1
0
3
1-2
50%
0-5
2-4
0%
42%
0-0
-
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 30.8
34.4
1
5-10
46%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 26.0
11.5
0
1-2
50%
Eric Williams
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 33.8
4.8
0
0-1
42%
Alvin Williams
G · 6'5" 195 · 31.7
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 22.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 25.3
32.1
35.6
17
67%
7
10
0
1
0
1
0
7
3-4
75%
4-8
5-10
50%
47%
2-3
67%
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 23.0
26.9
34.6
24
69%
6
7
1
1
0
2
3
3
1-1
100%
10-11
4-9
91%
45%
1-6
17%
Andres Nocioni
· 6'7" 225 · 26.4
26.8
32.5
14
73%
11
0
0
1
0
2
1
10
6-6
100%
4-6
5-9
67%
51%
0-1
0%
Michael Sweetney
F · 6'8" 270 · 23.5
20.4
11.1
9
54%
6
1
0
0
0
2
0
6
3-3
100%
3-7
2-4
43%
51%
0-0
-
Malik Allen
F · 6'10" 255 · 27.8
15.0
18.2
8
59%
5
1
0
0
0
0
3
2
2-4
50%
3-5
3-6
60%
50%
0-0
-
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 21.0
32.5
31.3
21
56%
7
2
1
1
0
2
2
5
3-4
75%
9-17
6-11
53%
51%
0-0
-
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 23.6
25.1
19.8
11
69%
3
3
1
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
46%
3-5
60%
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 23.5
20.8
24.7
3
61%
5
0
0
1
2
1
2
3
1-1
100%
1-2
2-4
50%
55%
0-0
-
Othella Harrington
F-C · 6'9" 235 · 32.2
16.2
13.1
4
50%
4
4
0
0
0
3
2
2
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
53%
0-0
-
Jannero Pargo
G · 6'1" 185 · 26.5
11.9
8.7
11
62%
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-2
0%
4-5
1-3
80%
43%
1-3
33%
Luke Schenscher
C · 7'1" 265 · 24.3
6.5
8.1
2
53%
1
1
0
0
0
2
0
1
2-2
100%
0-1
1-2
0%
58%
0-0
-
Eric Piatkowski
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 35.6
5.8
4.2
3
39%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
1-1
0-1
100%
48%
0-2
0%
Darius Songaila
F · 6'9" 248 · 28.2
Eddie Basden
G · 6'5" 215 · 23.2
Randy Livingston
G · 6'4" 209 · 31.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.