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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
April 30, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
4Suns46%10198
7Lakers54%10299
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 24.0
46.1
36.5
21
59%
8
7
0
1
1
5
1
7
3-4
75%
9-16
5-10
56%
51%
0-0
-
Raja Bell
G · 6'5" 210 · 29.6
44.7
41.8
7
50%
5
3
0
1
1
1
0
5
0-0
-
2-4
3-6
50%
45%
1-3
33%
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 28.0
44.5
40.4
20
64%
12
1
2
2
0
0
4
8
6-6
100%
7-12
7-14
58%
52%
0-1
0%
Steve Nash
G · 6'3" 178 · 32.2
43.5
38.4
22
48%
3
11
0
1
0
2
0
3
1-2
50%
6-14
4-8
43%
51%
3-8
38%
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 25.6
34.6
9.9
8
38%
5
1
0
0
1
0
0
5
1-1
100%
2-7
1-2
29%
43%
1-3
33%
Tim Thomas
F · 6'10" 240 · 29.2
25.3
29.9
12
60%
7
1
1
1
0
1
2
5
0-0
-
3-7
2-6
43%
45%
2-3
67%
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 23.4
15.8
30.1
6
38%
1
1
2
1
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
2-6
3-6
33%
49%
0-1
0%
Eddie House
G · 6'1" 190 · 28.0
10.5
8.4
2
25%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
42%
0-1
0%
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 33.6
4.1
0
0-1
46%
Brian Grant
F-C · 6'9" 254 · 34.2
1.9
0
0-0
45%
Pat Burke
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 32.4
1.1
0
0-0
47%
Nikoloz Tskitishvili
F · 7'0" 225 · 23.0
0.8
0
0-0
36%
Amar'e Stoudemire
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 23.5
Dijon Thompson
G-F · 6'8" 200 · 23.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Lamar Odom
F · 6'10" 230 · 26.5
49.3
41.2
25
56%
8
5
1
1
1
4
2
6
11-14
79%
7-12
4-9
58%
49%
0-4
0%
Smush Parker
G · 6'4" 190 · 24.9
41.0
36.4
5
21%
3
1
2
2
0
1
2
1
0-0
-
1-7
3-7
14%
50%
1-5
20%
Luke Walton
F · 6'8" 235 · 26.1
39.5
33.2
6
60%
9
4
1
1
0
1
1
8
0-0
-
3-5
4-8
60%
45%
0-0
-
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 27.7
38.5
44.6
24
68%
4
8
0
2
0
7
1
3
6-8
75%
9-13
10-20
69%
47%
0-1
0%
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 24.1
34.8
34.9
12
41%
10
0
0
1
0
2
2
8
4-6
67%
4-12
4-8
33%
49%
0-0
-
Sasha Vujacic
G · 6'7" 195 · 22.1
29.1
15.5
9
104%
5
1
0
0
0
1
0
5
3-3
100%
0-0
1-2
-
37%
2-3
67%
Devean George
F · 6'8" 235 · 28.7
20.8
15.4
11
79%
1
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
44%
3-5
60%
Brian Cook
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 25.4
11.9
11.1
7
44%
2
0
1
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
2-5
1-3
40%
50%
1-3
33%
Jim Jackson
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 35.5
2.7
0
0-0
41%
Aaron McKie
G · 6'5" 209 · 33.6
1.8
0
0-0
45%
Andrew Bynum
C · 7'0" 285 · 18.5
1.0
0
0-0
48%
Ronny Turiaf
C · 6'10" 249 · 23.3
0.5
0
0-0
50%
Chris Mihm
C · 7'0" 265 · 26.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.