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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
April 19, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
22Warriors39%94102
16Jazz61%97105
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 20.5
43.9
29.9
27
50%
8
6
3
1
0
4
2
6
4-5
80%
10-19
3-7
53%
45%
1-6
17%
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 31.7
39.5
30.8
20
52%
3
2
1
1
0
2
1
2
3-3
100%
4-10
3-7
40%
42%
3-8
38%
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 25.6
37.7
33.4
15
48%
3
3
1
1
0
1
2
1
7-8
88%
1-7
4-8
14%
48%
2-5
40%
Ike Diogu
F · 6'9" 250 · 22.6
36.1
23.2
20
50%
11
0
1
0
0
2
5
6
8-9
89%
6-16
4-7
38%
52%
0-0
-
Adonal Foyle
C · 6'10" 270 · 31.1
24.5
18.8
4
29%
6
2
0
0
3
1
4
2
0-2
0%
2-6
2-4
33%
50%
0-0
-
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 20.0
23.2
19.3
7
49%
11
0
1
0
1
0
7
4
1-5
20%
3-5
2-4
60%
59%
0-0
-
Calbert Cheaney
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 34.8
21.9
14.0
4
40%
3
2
1
0
1
1
1
2
0-0
-
2-4
2-3
50%
46%
0-1
0%
Will Bynum
G · 6'0" 185 · 23.3
13.1
16.7
5
73%
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
1-1
100%
2-2
2-5
100%
44%
0-1
0%
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 25.2
24.7
1
4-8
48%
Troy Murphy
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 26.0
19.8
0
2-5
46%
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 24.2
7.7
0
1-2
48%
Zarko Cabarkapa
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 24.9
7.0
0
1-2
46%
Chris Taft
F · 6'10" 261 · 21.1
Baron Davis
G · 6'3" 212 · 27.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mehmet Okur
C · 6'11" 260 · 26.9
40.3
35.0
23
69%
8
3
0
1
2
5
2
6
2-4
50%
9-13
5-10
69%
49%
1-2
50%
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 21.8
36.0
33.0
12
55%
4
13
0
1
0
2
0
4
2-2
100%
2-7
4-9
29%
45%
2-3
67%
Matt Harpring
F · 6'7" 230 · 29.9
32.1
27.4
9
65%
7
3
1
1
2
2
2
5
0-2
0%
3-5
4-9
60%
50%
1-1
100%
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 24.4
30.1
32.8
26
70%
11
2
2
1
0
2
1
10
6-6
100%
10-16
7-13
63%
53%
0-0
-
Devin Brown
G · 6'5" 210 · 27.3
16.1
27.8
4
34%
1
4
0
1
1
0
0
1
0-2
0%
2-4
3-6
50%
44%
0-1
0%
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 19.1
33.2
10.7
23
70%
6
4
1
0
2
0
2
4
5-8
63%
6-8
1-3
75%
46%
2-5
40%
Jarron Collins
C · 6'11" 249 · 27.4
22.1
16.1
4
40%
3
0
0
0
1
1
2
1
0-0
-
2-5
1-3
40%
47%
0-0
-
Keith McLeod
G · 6'2" 190 · 26.5
20.9
13.3
2
25%
2
3
1
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-4
1-3
25%
39%
0-0
-
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 21.2
5.7
13.3
2
33%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
44%
0-0
-
Greg Ostertag
C · 7'2" 280 · 33.1
3.6
5.1
0
0%
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0-2
0%
0-0
0-1
-
49%
0-0
-
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.2
23.3
1
3-5
51%
Milt Palacio
G · 6'4" 210 · 28.2
2.8
0
0-1
45%
Gordan Giricek
G · 6'6" 220 · 28.8
Robert Whaley
C · 6'10" 260 · 24.0
Andre Owens
G · 6'4" 200 · 25.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.