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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
April 14, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
17Jazz49%92105
23Hornets51%93104
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mehmet Okur
C · 6'11" 260 · 26.9
43.5
35.5
20
55%
5
3
0
1
2
0
1
4
10-12
83%
2-8
5-10
25%
49%
2-5
40%
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 21.8
42.6
32.2
17
61%
6
3
0
1
0
1
2
4
2-2
100%
6-9
3-8
67%
44%
1-4
25%
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.1
42.4
36.7
25
76%
9
6
1
2
7
3
4
5
9-10
90%
8-11
4-8
73%
50%
0-1
0%
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 24.4
40.0
35.2
23
70%
8
2
1
1
0
4
0
8
3-3
100%
10-15
7-14
67%
53%
0-0
-
Matt Harpring
F · 6'7" 230 · 29.9
39.0
31.9
11
37%
7
3
1
1
0
1
3
4
4-4
100%
2-11
5-10
18%
50%
1-2
50%
Devin Brown
G · 6'5" 210 · 27.3
14.6
21.8
3
30%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
2-5
0%
44%
1-2
50%
Jarron Collins
C · 6'11" 249 · 27.4
12.5
14.5
4
50%
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
47%
0-0
-
Keith McLeod
G · 6'2" 190 · 26.4
5.4
14.1
2
50%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
39%
0-0
-
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 21.2
7.6
0
1-2
43%
Greg Ostertag
C · 7'2" 280 · 33.1
3.1
0
0-0
49%
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 19.1
2.9
0
0-1
44%
Milt Palacio
G · 6'4" 210 · 28.2
2.7
0
0-1
44%
Robert Whaley
C · 6'10" 260 · 24.0
Gordan Giricek
G · 6'6" 220 · 28.8
Andre Owens
G · 6'4" 200 · 25.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 20.9
35.5
34.4
11
42%
4
7
1
2
0
1
1
3
7-7
100%
2-9
5-9
22%
48%
0-1
0%
P.J. Brown
F-C · 6'11" 239 · 36.5
34.5
25.7
4
50%
5
0
2
1
0
0
2
3
0-0
-
2-4
3-7
50%
47%
0-0
-
Desmond Mason
G · 6'5" 222 · 28.5
32.9
26.5
13
56%
1
0
1
1
1
0
0
1
5-6
83%
4-9
4-9
44%
45%
0-0
-
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 25.6
32.1
27.0
31
80%
12
1
0
1
2
0
8
4
3-3
100%
14-18
6-11
78%
52%
0-0
-
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 26.9
22.2
28.7
9
36%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-1
0%
3-7
2-5
43%
45%
1-5
20%
Speedy Claxton
G · 5'11" 170 · 27.9
27.6
25.3
15
51%
2
3
1
1
0
4
0
2
3-4
75%
6-12
4-8
50%
46%
0-1
0%
Marc Jackson
F · 6'10" 253 · 31.2
26.1
28.4
4
29%
5
2
0
0
0
1
0
5
2-2
100%
1-6
5-10
17%
47%
0-0
-
Kirk Snyder
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 22.9
13.8
12.1
15
90%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
3-3
100%
3-5
2-3
60%
49%
2-2
100%
Linton Johnson
F · 6'8" 205 · 25.8
12.1
14.4
2
25%
4
0
0
1
1
0
0
4
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
45%
0-1
0%
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 21.0
3.3
13.8
0
0%
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
48%
0-0
-
JR Smith
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 20.6
6.2
0
1-1
47%
Moochie Norris
G · 6'1" 185 · 32.7
3.6
0
0-1
42%
Aaron Williams
C-F · 6'9" 235 · 34.5
Arvydas Macijauskas
G · 6'4" 214 · 26.2
Marcus Fizer
F · 6'9" 262 · 27.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.