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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
April 12, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
23Bulls45%9696
26Hawks55%9790
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 23.0
42.7
33.6
19
59%
5
1
2
1
0
3
2
3
0-0
-
5-8
4-10
63%
44%
3-8
38%
Andres Nocioni
· 6'7" 225 · 26.4
39.7
37.1
14
39%
11
0
0
1
3
1
2
9
2-2
100%
3-13
5-11
23%
49%
2-4
50%
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 25.3
39.4
36.6
17
42%
6
7
1
1
0
4
0
6
3-5
60%
4-15
5-10
27%
46%
2-3
67%
Malik Allen
F · 6'10" 255 · 27.8
26.8
23.1
9
35%
7
1
1
0
0
3
3
4
1-2
50%
4-12
4-8
33%
48%
0-0
-
Michael Sweetney
F · 6'8" 270 · 23.5
19.6
13.7
15
71%
5
0
0
0
2
1
2
3
7-8
88%
4-7
2-5
57%
50%
0-0
-
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 23.5
27.7
27.6
6
100%
7
0
0
1
1
2
5
2
0-0
-
3-3
2-4
100%
54%
0-0
-
Jannero Pargo
G · 6'1" 185 · 26.5
14.6
18.7
4
40%
0
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-4
2-5
50%
42%
0-1
0%
Eddie Basden
G · 6'5" 215 · 23.2
7.3
8.6
4
50%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
49%
0-0
-
Eric Piatkowski
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 35.5
6.8
5.2
0
0%
2
1
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
47%
0-0
-
Randy Livingston
G · 6'4" 209 · 31.0
6.4
3.5
0
0%
2
1
1
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
42%
0-0
-
Othella Harrington
F-C · 6'9" 235 · 32.2
4.8
9.2
4
50%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-4
2-3
50%
51%
0-0
-
Luke Schenscher
C · 7'1" 265 · 24.3
4.2
8.5
4
67%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
2-3
1-1
67%
55%
0-0
-
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 23.6
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 21.0
Darius Songaila
F · 6'9" 248 · 28.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 20.4
42.6
34.7
22
60%
5
3
1
1
6
1
1
4
1-3
33%
6-8
4-9
75%
47%
3-9
33%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 24.8
42.0
35.4
14
34%
6
8
0
1
0
2
3
3
3-4
75%
4-13
5-10
31%
49%
1-6
17%
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 19.8
37.0
25.5
10
46%
7
0
0
1
0
5
0
7
2-2
100%
4-9
3-7
44%
48%
0-1
0%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 22.2
28.1
19.2
12
39%
10
1
1
1
1
4
5
5
4-5
80%
4-13
3-5
31%
46%
0-0
-
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 24.3
11.3
9.9
4
100%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
1-3
100%
45%
0-0
-
Josh Childress
F-G · 6'8" 210 · 22.8
29.4
30.9
11
61%
8
0
2
1
1
1
3
5
7-7
100%
2-5
3-6
40%
54%
0-1
0%
Tyronn Lue
G · 6'0" 175 · 28.9
29.3
21.4
15
86%
1
5
0
0
0
3
0
1
4-4
100%
1-2
2-5
50%
48%
3-5
60%
Anthony Grundy
G · 6'3" 185 · 27.0
10.7
7.9
2
26%
3
0
1
0
0
0
0
3
2-2
100%
0-1
1-2
0%
45%
0-2
0%
Esteban Batista
F-C · 6'10" 268 · 22.6
9.0
18.2
0
0%
4
0
1
1
0
2
1
3
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
48%
0-0
-
John Edwards
C · 7'0" 275 · 24.7
0.7
5.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
50%
0-0
-
Al Harrington
F · 6'9" 245 · 26.1
29.5
1
5-11
48%
Donta Smith
G · 6'7" 215 · 22.4
4.2
0
0-1
46%
Salim Stoudamire
G · 6'1" 175 · 23.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.