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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
April 13, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1Mavericks40%100104
4Suns60%103117
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 27.8
41.0
35.2
36
64%
11
2
0
1
1
3
6
5
12-12
100%
12-20
8-16
60%
48%
0-3
0%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 28.6
39.5
33.6
18
45%
2
3
3
1
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
6-12
5-9
50%
50%
2-8
25%
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 26.0
35.5
32.0
18
52%
5
1
1
1
0
0
1
4
4-5
80%
7-14
6-12
50%
48%
0-1
0%
Adrian Griffin
G-F · 6'5" 230 · 31.8
20.1
9.2
2
33%
7
2
0
0
1
1
2
5
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
46%
0-0
-
DJ Mbenga
C · 7'0" 255 · 25.3
14.2
6.7
3
31%
5
0
0
0
2
0
2
3
1-2
50%
1-4
1-2
25%
53%
0-0
-
Darrell Armstrong
G · 6'1" 180 · 37.8
27.2
10.7
12
76%
4
2
2
0
0
3
1
3
2-2
100%
2-4
1-1
50%
43%
2-3
67%
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 25.3
20.3
23.1
9
46%
4
1
1
1
0
1
2
2
1-2
50%
4-8
3-7
50%
48%
0-1
0%
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 30.7
17.9
20.5
4
53%
7
1
1
0
1
2
3
4
2-4
50%
1-2
2-4
50%
51%
0-0
-
Josh Powell
F · 6'9" 240 · 23.2
15.7
16.3
0
0%
4
0
0
0
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
0-2
2-3
0%
50%
0-0
-
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 23.1
7.5
12.8
2
57%
1
1
0
1
0
1
1
0
2-4
50%
0-0
2-4
-
48%
0-0
-
Rawle Marshall
G-F · 6'7" 190 · 24.1
1.1
5.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
48%
0-0
-
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 24.2
19.8
1
1-2
44%
Pavel Podkolzin
C · 7'5" 260 · 21.2
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 31.4
Keith Van Horn
F · 6'10" 245 · 30.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 24.0
39.1
35.5
16
49%
8
6
0
1
2
1
3
5
2-3
67%
7-15
5-10
47%
53%
0-0
-
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 27.9
34.3
35.4
29
80%
5
1
3
2
1
2
1
4
3-5
60%
10-14
6-11
71%
54%
2-2
100%
Tim Thomas
F · 6'10" 240 · 29.1
32.5
25.1
22
85%
5
0
3
1
0
2
1
4
0-0
-
2-6
3-6
33%
47%
6-7
86%
Raja Bell
G · 6'5" 210 · 29.6
31.4
34.1
21
117%
2
2
2
1
0
2
2
0
0-0
-
3-4
3-6
75%
47%
5-5
100%
Steve Nash
G · 6'3" 178 · 32.2
29.8
29.7
6
33%
5
13
1
1
0
2
1
4
0-0
-
3-7
4-7
43%
54%
0-2
0%
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 23.4
24.1
26.9
6
38%
4
4
1
1
0
0
0
4
1-2
50%
1-3
3-6
33%
52%
1-4
25%
Eddie House
G · 6'1" 190 · 27.9
17.4
13.0
13
60%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
3-4
75%
2-5
2-4
40%
45%
2-4
50%
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 25.5
17.1
19.2
4
41%
6
0
0
0
0
3
0
6
2-2
100%
1-4
2-3
25%
46%
0-0
-
Brian Grant
F-C · 6'9" 254 · 34.1
14.2
12.0
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
47%
0-0
-
Amar'e Stoudemire
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 23.4
5.9
0
1-3
53%
Pat Burke
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 32.3
2.6
0
0-1
51%
Nikoloz Tskitishvili
F · 7'0" 225 · 23.0
2.3
0
0-1
38%
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 33.5
Dijon Thompson
G-F · 6'8" 200 · 23.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.