Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Saturday, April 15, 2006
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 18 | Magic | 64% | 97 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 23 | Bobcats | 44% | 95 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 16 | Bucks | 73% | 102 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Friday, April 14, 2006
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 1 | Pistons | 70% | 97 | 103 |
 | 26 | Raptors | 30% | 90 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Bobcats | 47% | 99 | 116 |
| 27 | Hawks | 53% | 100 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Nets | 53% | 91 | 79 | |
 | 21 | Celtics | 47% | 90 | 74 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Bucks | 66% | 99 | 97 |
 | 29 | Knicks | 34% | 94 | 80 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | 76ers | 36% | 94 | 85 |
 | 12 | Heat | 64% | 99 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 28 | Timberwolves | 23% | 84 | 77 |
| 11 | Pacers | 77% | 93 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 23 | Hornets | 51% | 93 | 104 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 20 | Bulls | 53% | 98 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Trail Blazers | 15% | 86 | 99 |
 | 8 | Lakers | 85% | 99 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 25 | Warriors | 42% | 103 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 14 | SuperSonics | 55% | 101 | 97 | |
Thursday, April 13, 2006
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Knicks | 32% | 90 | 87 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Magic | 16% | 83 | 92 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 1 | Mavericks | 40% | 100 | 104 |
| 4 | Suns | 60% | 103 | 117 |
Wednesday, April 12, 2006
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Bulls | 45% | 96 | 96 |
| 26 | Hawks | 55% | 97 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Raptors | 31% | 93 | 96 |
| 19 | Magic | 69% | 99 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Celtics | 29% | 88 | 112 |
| 8 | Pacers | 71% | 95 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | 76ers | 34% | 90 | 116 |
| 7 | Nets | 66% | 96 | 96 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Grizzlies | 55% | 94 | 96 |
| 21 | Bobcats | 45% | 92 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Cavaliers | 29% | 87 | 73 |
| 2 | Pistons | 71% | 94 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Wizards | 45% | 99 | 97 |
| 14 | Bucks | 55% | 101 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | SuperSonics | 41% | 96 | 99 | |
| 25 | Hornets | 59% | 99 | 104 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Timberwolves | 30% | 81 | 82 |
| 22 | Rockets | 70% | 88 | 79 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Nuggets | 47% | 95 | 83 |
| 17 | Jazz | 53% | 96 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Trail Blazers | 18% | 85 | 93 |
| 15 | Clippers | 82% | 96 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Mavericks | 72% | 98 | 102 |
| 27 | Warriors | 28% | 91 | 114 |
Tuesday, April 11, 2006
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Raptors | 27% | 94 | 97 |
| 12 | Heat | 73% | 102 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Timberwolves | 19% | 80 | 76 |
| 5 | Grizzlies | 81% | 91 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Nets | 52% | 92 | 101 | |
| 19 | Bulls | 48% | 91 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | SuperSonics | 24% | 92 | 95 | |
| 6 | Spurs | 76% | 101 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Suns | 42% | 102 | 123 |
| 4 | Kings | 58% | 105 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Warriors | 27% | 93 | 100 |
| 10 | Lakers | 73% | 100 | 111 |
Monday, April 10, 2006
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Wizards | 46% | 98 | 97 |
| 18 | 76ers | 54% | 100 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Hawks | 32% | 91 | 88 |
| 20 | Magic | 68% | 97 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Knicks | 18% | 87 | 82 |
| 12 | Pacers | 82% | 99 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Cavaliers | 57% | 93 | 103 |
| 25 | Hornets | 43% | 91 | 101 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Rockets | 32% | 86 | 83 |
| 16 | Jazz | 68% | 92 | 85 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Nuggets | 72% | 97 | 110 |
| 30 | Trail Blazers | 28% | 90 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Mavericks | 55% | 93 | 75 |
| 13 | Clippers | 45% | 92 | 73 |
Sunday, April 9, 2006
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Knicks | 23% | 90 | 101 |
| 15 | Celtics | 77% | 100 | 86 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Bobcats | 43% | 99 | 94 |
| 25 | Raptors | 57% | 101 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Pacers | 29% | 86 | 73 |
| 1 | Pistons | 71% | 93 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Nets | 44% | 93 | 95 | |
| 16 | Bucks | 56% | 95 | 83 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Grizzlies | 40% | 85 | 81 |
| 5 | Spurs | 60% | 89 | 83 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Hawks | 36% | 91 | 83 |
| 23 | Timberwolves | 64% | 95 | 84 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Magic | 33% | 90 | 93 |
| 10 | Heat | 67% | 95 | 84 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Rockets | 26% | 87 | 77 |
| 4 | Kings | 74% | 95 | 86 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Suns | 60% | 109 | 114 |
| 18 | SuperSonics | 40% | 105 | 116 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Clippers | 41% | 93 | 83 |
| 12 | Lakers | 59% | 96 | 100 |
Saturday, April 8, 2006
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Cavaliers | 37% | 89 | 108 |
| 7 | Nets | 63% | 93 | 102 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Heat | 46% | 98 | 99 |
| 11 | Wizards | 54% | 99 | 86 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | 76ers | 35% | 94 | 89 |
| 19 | Bulls | 65% | 99 | 75 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Hornets | 18% | 86 | 77 | |
| 2 | Mavericks | 82% | 97 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Warriors | 25% | 93 | 92 |
| 10 | Nuggets | 75% | 102 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Trail Blazers | 19% | 86 | 93 |
| 18 | Jazz | 81% | 97 | 110 |
Friday, April 7, 2006
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Celtics | 46% | 95 | 109 |
| 20 | 76ers | 54% | 96 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Wizards | 60% | 101 | 101 |
| 28 | Hawks | 40% | 98 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pistons | 65% | 91 | 87 |
| 22 | Magic | 35% | 86 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Pacers | 70% | 97 | 96 |
| 29 | Knicks | 30% | 90 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Bucks | 31% | 89 | 90 |
| 6 | Grizzlies | 69% | 96 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Raptors | 40% | 95 | 89 |
| 25 | Hornets | 60% | 98 | 95 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Jazz | 44% | 89 | 103 |
| 21 | Timberwolves | 56% | 91 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Mavericks | 32% | 88 | 92 |
| 2 | Spurs | 68% | 93 | 86 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | SuperSonics | 62% | 99 | 121 | |
| 30 | Trail Blazers | 38% | 95 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Lakers | 24% | 99 | 96 |
| 3 | Suns | 76% | 108 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Kings | 47% | 95 | 96 |
| 12 | Clippers | 53% | 96 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Rockets | 45% | 91 | 100 |
| 27 | Warriors | 55% | 92 | 93 |
Thursday, April 6, 2006
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Bobcats | 28% | 90 | 102 |
| 7 | Nets | 72% | 97 | 113 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Pistons | 55% | 93 | 95 |
| 10 | Heat | 45% | 91 | 82 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Lakers | 42% | 95 | 108 |
| 12 | Nuggets | 58% | 98 | 110 |
Wednesday, April 5, 2006
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Wizards | 40% | 97 | 108 |
| 14 | Celtics | 60% | 100 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Bulls | 44% | 94 | 99 |
| 19 | 76ers | 56% | 96 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Timberwolves | 51% | 93 | 99 |
| 28 | Hawks | 49% | 92 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Bucks | 42% | 93 | 105 |
| 23 | Magic | 58% | 96 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Raptors | 23% | 91 | 103 |
| 9 | Pacers | 77% | 100 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Cavaliers | 67% | 98 | 94 |
| 29 | Knicks | 33% | 92 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Warriors | 39% | 92 | 109 |
| 25 | Hornets | 61% | 95 | 114 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Kings | 23% | 87 | 97 |
| 1 | Spurs | 77% | 96 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Clippers | 27% | 99 | 119 |
| 3 | Suns | 73% | 107 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Rockets | 56% | 87 | 75 |
| 30 | Trail Blazers | 44% | 85 | 76 |
Tuesday, April 4, 2006
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Celtics | 52% | 100 | 124 |
| 26 | Raptors | 48% | 99 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Knicks | 21% | 95 | 90 |
| 12 | Wizards | 79% | 105 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | 76ers | 34% | 93 | 91 |
| 10 | Cavaliers | 66% | 98 | 124 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Hawks | 22% | 88 | 94 |
| 7 | Nets | 78% | 98 | 96 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Timberwolves | 44% | 92 | 92 |
| 21 | Bobcats | 56% | 94 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Bucks | 37% | 95 | 89 |
| 11 | Heat | 63% | 99 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Hornets | 15% | 82 | 93 | |
| 2 | Pistons | 85% | 95 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Warriors | 27% | 89 | 75 |
| 6 | Grizzlies | 73% | 96 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Pacers | 48% | 91 | 96 |
| 17 | Bulls | 52% | 92 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Kings | 36% | 92 | 101 |
| 4 | Mavericks | 64% | 97 | 127 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spurs | 66% | 92 | 95 |
| 18 | Jazz | 34% | 87 | 86 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Rockets | 46% | 94 | 87 |
| 22 | SuperSonics | 54% | 95 | 104 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Nuggets | 36% | 94 | 109 |
| 8 | Clippers | 64% | 99 | 111 |
Sunday, April 2, 2006
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Hornets | 40% | 93 | 120 | |
| 24 | Raptors | 60% | 97 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Knicks | 28% | 95 | 95 |
| 17 | 76ers | 72% | 103 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Suns | 34% | 96 | 102 |
| 2 | Pistons | 66% | 101 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Nuggets | 30% | 92 | 79 |
| 4 | Mavericks | 70% | 98 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Warriors | 39% | 91 | 104 |
| 21 | Timberwolves | 61% | 94 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Rockets | 31% | 87 | 88 |
| 12 | Lakers | 69% | 93 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Hawks | 21% | 88 | 87 |
| 6 | Grizzlies | 79% | 98 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Heat | 34% | 90 | 78 |
| 7 | Nets | 66% | 95 | 90 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Cavaliers | 45% | 96 | 101 |
| 22 | Bobcats | 55% | 98 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Clippers | 38% | 93 | 96 |
| 5 | Kings | 62% | 97 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Trail Blazers | 20% | 92 | 83 |
| 20 | SuperSonics | 80% | 103 | 122 | |