FinalWin Prob.pScore
1328%90
78
672%98
92
ORTG#PossPace
CHI logo CHI
83.094106.9
MIA logo MIA
96.89584.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatBullsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatBullsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventCHIMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA78
0%
92
100%
Q4 - 0:08.0CHIPargo 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)78
0%
92
100%
Q4 - 0:11.0CHIHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)75
0%
92
100%
Q4 - 0:13.0MIAMISS Anderson 25' 3PT Jump Shot75
0%
92
100%
Q4 - 0:34.0CHISchenscher Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)75
0%
92
100%
Q4 - 0:34.0CHISchenscher Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)74
0%
92
100%
Q4 - 0:43.0MIAWalker Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T12)73
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 1:02MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)73
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 1:04CHIMISS Pargo 20' Jump Shot73
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 1:24CHISchenscher REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)73
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 1:26MIAMISS Anderson 18' Jump Shot73
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 1:40MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)73
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 1:41CHIMISS Gordon 25' 3PT Jump Shot73
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 1:44MIAPayton Free Throw Technical (9 PTS)73
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 1:44MIAWalker Slam Dunk (17 PTS) (O'Neal 2 AST)73
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 1:46MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)73
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 1:48CHIMISS Nocioni 25' 3PT Jump Shot73
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 1:58MIAO'Neal Layup (16 PTS) (Posey 2 AST)73
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 2:21MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)73
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q4 - 2:23CHIMISS Sweetney 15' Jump Shot73
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q4 - 2:37MIAWalker Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)73
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q4 - 2:37MIAWalker Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)73
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 2:54MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)73
0.2%
85
99.8%
Q4 - 2:56CHIMISS Gordon 8' Jump Shot73
0.3%
85
99.7%
Q4 - 3:08MIAPosey 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)73
0.4%
85
99.6%
Q4 - 3:28MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)73
0.8%
82
99.2%
Q4 - 3:30MIAMISS Walker 24' 3PT Jump Shot73
1.2%
82
98.8%
Q4 - 3:48CHIPayton STEAL (2 STL)73
1.5%
82
98.5%
Q4 - 4:00MIAWade 25' 3PT Jump Shot (28 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)73
2.1%
82
97.9%
Q4 - 4:21CHIHinrich Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T19)73
4.1%
79
95.9%
Q4 - 4:35MIAPayton 8' Running Jump Shot (8 PTS)73
5.9%
79
94.1%
Q4 - 4:47CHISweetney Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)73
8.2%
77
91.8%
Q4 - 4:47CHISweetney Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)72
7.5%
77
92.5%
Q4 - 4:58CHIGordon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)71
5.9%
77
94.1%
Q4 - 5:00MIAMISS Posey 24' 3PT Jump Shot71
5.2%
77
94.8%
Q4 - 5:16CHINocioni Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)71
5.1%
77
94.9%
Q4 - 5:16CHINocioni Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)70
4.8%
77
95.2%
Q4 - 5:38MIAPosey 20' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Walker 4 AST)69
3.7%
77
96.3%
Q4 - 5:54CHINocioni Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)69
5.0%
75
95.0%
Q4 - 5:54CHINocioni Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)68
4.8%
75
95.2%
Q4 - 5:54CHIBulls Rebound67
3.7%
75
96.3%
Q4 - 5:55CHIMISS Gordon 25' 3PT Jump Shot67
2.9%
75
97.1%
Q4 - 6:07MIAWade Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T11)67
4.5%
75
95.5%
Q4 - 6:14CHINocioni 25' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Gordon 3 AST)67
3.2%
75
96.8%
Q4 - 6:25MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)64
1.9%
75
98.1%
Q4 - 6:25MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)64
2.0%
74
98.0%
Q4 - 6:38MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)64
2.4%
73
97.6%
Q4 - 6:40CHIMISS Hinrich 24' 3PT Jump Shot64
2.6%
73
97.4%
Q4 - 6:47CHIDeng REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)64
3.3%
73
96.7%
Q4 - 6:49MIAMISS O'Neal 5' Turnaround Jump Shot64
3.0%
73
97.0%
Q4 - 7:12CHIChandler Foul Turnover (P1.T18)64
3.0%
73
97.0%
Q4 - 7:25MIAO'Neal 5' Hook Shot (14 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)64
4.1%
73
95.9%
Q4 - 7:31MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)64
5.1%
71
94.9%
Q4 - 7:33MIAMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot64
6.3%
71
93.7%
Q4 - 7:53CHIGordon 26' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS)64
5.1%
71
94.9%
Q4 - 8:12MIAWade 18' Jump Bank Shot (23 PTS)61
3.7%
71
96.3%
Q4 - 8:30MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)61
4.7%
69
95.3%
Q4 - 8:32CHIMISS Allen 18' Jump Shot61
5.1%
69
94.9%
Q4 - 8:56MIAO'Neal Alley Oop Dunk (12 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)61
6.0%
69
94.0%
Q4 - 9:07MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)61
8.1%
67
91.9%
Q4 - 9:09CHIO'Neal BLOCK (3 BLK)61
8.7%
67
91.3%
Q4 - 9:33MIAPayton Driving Layup (6 PTS)61
10.2%
67
89.8%
Q4 - 9:45CHIHinrich Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T17)61
12.5%
65
87.5%
Q4 - 9:58MIAPosey Layup (7 PTS) (Walker 3 AST)61
15.5%
65
84.5%
Q4 - 10:12MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)61
19.1%
63
80.9%
Q4 - 10:14CHIMISS Duhon 7' Running Jump Shot61
20.3%
63
79.7%
Q4 - 10:27CHIDeng REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)61
23.2%
63
76.8%
Q4 - 10:29MIAMISS Posey 24' 3PT Jump Shot61
21.9%
63
78.1%
Q4 - 10:46MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)61
19.1%
63
80.9%
Q4 - 10:48CHIMISS Hinrich 16' Jump Shot61
20.3%
63
79.7%
Q4 - 10:57CHIPiatkowski REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)61
23.2%
63
76.8%
Q4 - 10:58MIAMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot61
21.8%
63
78.2%
Q4 - 11:12CHISweetney Foul Turnover (P3.T16)61
19.7%
63
80.3%
Q4 - 11:26MIAWade 17' Jump Shot (21 PTS)61
23.5%
63
76.5%
Q4 - 11:43MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)61
27.4%
61
72.6%
Q4 - 11:45CHIWalker BLOCK (2 BLK)61
28.8%
61
71.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0CHI61
32.2%
61
67.8%
Q3 - 0:16.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)61
31.5%
61
68.5%
Q3 - 0:16.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)61
32.4%
60
67.6%
Q3 - 0:29.0CHIHinrich 16' Jump Shot (9 PTS)61
36.2%
59
63.8%
Q3 - 0:35.0CHISchenscher REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)59
31.6%
59
68.4%
Q3 - 0:37.0MIAMISS Wade 5' Jump Shot59
30.2%
59
69.8%
Q3 - 0:52.0CHIHinrich Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)59
27.3%
59
72.7%
Q3 - 0:52.0CHIMISS Hinrich Free Throw 1 of 258
26.6%
59
73.4%
Q3 - 0:58.0CHIDeng REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)58
27.3%
59
72.7%
Q3 - 1:00MIAMISS Posey Free Throw 1 of 158
26.8%
59
73.2%
Q3 - 1:01MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)58
30.8%
57
69.2%
Q3 - 1:03MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot58
33.9%
57
66.1%
Q3 - 1:19MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)58
30.9%
57
69.1%
Q3 - 1:20CHIMISS Schenscher Free Throw 2 of 258
31.5%
57
68.5%
Q3 - 1:20CHISchenscher Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)58
33.6%
57
66.4%
Q3 - 1:26CHIDuhon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)57
31.0%
57
69.0%
Q3 - 1:28MIAMISS Payton 25' 3PT Jump Shot57
29.7%
57
70.3%
Q3 - 1:45CHIHinrich Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)57
26.9%
57
73.1%
Q3 - 1:45CHIHinrich Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)56
26.2%
57
73.8%
Q3 - 1:56MIAWade 15' Jump Shot (17 PTS)55
23.3%
57
76.7%
Q3 - 2:13CHISchenscher Foul Turnover (P1.T15)55
26.2%
55
73.8%
Q3 - 2:32CHIDeng REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)55
30.4%
55
69.6%
Q3 - 2:34MIAMISS Posey 26' 3PT Jump Shot55
29.1%
55
70.9%
Q3 - 2:54MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)55
26.3%
55
73.7%
Q3 - 2:56CHIMISS Deng Free Throw 2 of 255
26.8%
55
73.2%
Q3 - 2:56CHIMISS Deng Free Throw 1 of 255
29.2%
55
70.8%
Q3 - 3:13CHISchenscher REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)55
30.2%
55
69.8%
Q3 - 3:14MIAMISS Walker Free Throw 2 of 255
29.7%
55
70.3%
Q3 - 3:14MIAMISS Walker Free Throw 1 of 255
27.9%
55
72.1%
Q3 - 3:24MIAHEAT Rebound55
26.4%
55
73.6%
Q3 - 3:25CHIMISS Gordon Driving Layup55
27.5%
55
72.5%
Q3 - 3:39MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)55
30.2%
55
69.8%
Q3 - 3:39MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)55
31.0%
54
69.0%
Q3 - 3:45MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)55
33.9%
53
66.1%
Q3 - 3:47CHIMISS Deng 18' Jump Shot55
35.2%
53
64.8%
Q3 - 3:54CHIDeng REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)55
38.3%
53
61.7%
Q3 - 3:56CHIMISS Hinrich Driving Layup55
35.2%
53
64.8%
Q3 - 4:15MIAWalker Driving Layup (13 PTS)55
37.4%
53
62.6%
Q3 - 4:33CHIHinrich Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T14)55
41.0%
51
59.0%
Q3 - 4:41MIAMourning Traveling Turnover (P2.T10)55
45.9%
51
54.1%
Q3 - 4:58CHIGordon Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T13)55
41.0%
51
59.0%
Q3 - 5:01CHISweetney REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)55
44.7%
51
55.3%
Q3 - 5:03CHIMISS Hinrich 20' Jump Shot55
41.7%
51
58.3%
Q3 - 5:15MIAWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)55
44.8%
51
55.2%
Q3 - 5:26MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)55
40.4%
51
59.6%
Q3 - 5:28CHIMISS Deng 12' Jump Shot55
41.7%
51
58.3%
Q3 - 5:44MIAWalker Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)55
44.8%
51
55.2%
Q3 - 5:44MIAMISS Walker Free Throw 1 of 255
46.3%
50
53.7%
Q3 - 5:58CHINocioni 20' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Hinrich 5 AST)55
44.5%
50
55.5%
Q3 - 6:04CHIHinrich REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)53
39.6%
50
60.4%
Q3 - 6:06MIAMISS Posey 3PT Jump Shot53
38.4%
50
61.6%
Q3 - 6:27CHISweetney 12' Hook Shot (14 PTS)53
35.7%
50
64.3%
Q3 - 6:44CHINocioni REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)51
32.3%
50
67.7%
Q3 - 6:45MIAMISS Walker Free Throw 2 of 251
31.8%
50
68.2%
Q3 - 6:45MIAWalker Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)51
30.1%
50
69.9%
Q3 - 7:01CHISweetney Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)51
31.4%
49
68.6%
Q3 - 7:01CHISweetney Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)50
30.5%
49
69.5%
Q3 - 7:01CHISweetney REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)49
28.6%
49
71.4%
Q3 - 7:03CHIO'Neal BLOCK (2 BLK)49
26.2%
49
73.8%
Q3 - 7:20MIAO'Neal 9' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Walker 2 AST)49
28.7%
49
71.3%
Q3 - 7:47CHINocioni 24' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Hinrich 4 AST)49
31.4%
47
68.6%
Q3 - 8:07CHINocioni REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)46
25.5%
47
74.5%
Q3 - 8:08MIAMISS Walker Free Throw 1 of 146
25.0%
47
75.0%
Q3 - 8:13MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)46
28.0%
45
72.0%
Q3 - 8:15CHIMISS Gordon 18' Jump Shot46
29.1%
45
70.9%
Q3 - 8:20CHIHinrich REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)46
31.6%
45
68.4%
Q3 - 8:22MIAMISS Payton Driving Layup46
30.5%
45
69.5%
Q3 - 8:41CHIHinrich 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS)46
28.0%
45
72.0%
Q3 - 8:53MIAWalker 9' Hook Shot (7 PTS)44
25.5%
45
74.5%
Q3 - 9:08CHINocioni Foul Turnover (P3.T12)44
27.5%
43
72.5%
Q3 - 9:18CHIHinrich REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)44
30.6%
43
69.4%
Q3 - 9:20MIAMISS Walker Free Throw 2 of 244
30.2%
43
69.8%
Q3 - 9:20MIAWalker Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)44
28.6%
43
71.4%
Q3 - 9:25MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)44
30.5%
42
69.5%
Q3 - 9:27MIAMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot44
32.8%
42
67.2%
Q3 - 9:43CHIAllen 7' Jump Shot (6 PTS)44
30.5%
42
69.5%
Q3 - 9:57CHIAllen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)42
27.6%
42
72.4%
Q3 - 9:59CHIMISS Allen 20' Jump Shot42
25.6%
42
74.4%
Q3 - 10:13CHIHinrich REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)42
27.2%
42
72.8%
Q3 - 10:14MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 242
26.7%
42
73.3%
Q3 - 10:14MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 242
25.6%
42
74.4%
Q3 - 10:27CHINocioni Layup (11 PTS) (Hinrich 3 AST)42
24.1%
42
75.9%
Q3 - 10:31MIAO'Neal Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T8)40
21.9%
42
78.1%
Q3 - 10:36CHIPayton STEAL (1 STL)40
19.3%
42
80.7%
Q3 - 10:57MIAO'Neal 9' Hook Shot (8 PTS) (Payton 1 AST)40
21.9%
42
78.1%
Q3 - 11:20CHISweetney 14' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Gordon 2 AST)40
23.8%
40
76.2%
Q3 - 11:34CHISweetney REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)38
21.5%
40
78.5%
Q3 - 11:36MIAMISS Payton 25' 3PT Jump Shot38
20.8%
40
79.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA38
19.2%
40
80.8%
Q2 - 0:11.0CHISweetney Foul Turnover (P2.T10)38
19.7%
40
80.3%
Q2 - 0:29.0CHIPiatkowski REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)38
21.2%
40
78.8%
Q2 - 0:31.0MIAMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot38
20.8%
40
79.2%
Q2 - 0:36.0MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)38
19.7%
40
80.3%
Q2 - 0:38.0CHIWalker BLOCK (1 BLK)38
20.2%
40
79.8%
Q2 - 0:47.0CHIAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)38
21.2%
40
78.8%
Q2 - 0:49.0MIAMISS Posey 25' 3PT Jump Shot38
20.8%
40
79.2%
Q2 - 1:09CHISweetney Layup (8 PTS) (Piatkowski 1 AST)38
20.1%
40
79.9%
Q2 - 1:15CHIGordon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)36
17.2%
40
82.8%
Q2 - 1:17MIAMISS Walker Driving Layup36
16.9%
40
83.1%
Q2 - 1:23CHIAnderson STEAL (1 STL)36
16.2%
40
83.8%
Q2 - 1:44MIAWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)36
17.2%
40
82.8%
Q2 - 1:44MIAWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)36
17.4%
39
82.6%
Q2 - 1:56CHINocioni Traveling Turnover (P2.T8)36
20.1%
38
79.9%
Q2 - 2:03CHISweetney REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)36
21.6%
38
78.4%
Q2 - 2:05CHIMISS Gordon 24' 3PT Jump Shot36
20.2%
38
79.8%
Q2 - 2:16CHISweetney REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)36
21.6%
38
78.4%
Q2 - 2:18MIAMISS Walker Layup36
21.0%
38
79.0%
Q2 - 2:35CHINocioni Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)36
19.7%
38
80.3%
Q2 - 2:39CHISweetney REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)33
15.9%
38
84.1%
Q2 - 2:41MIAMISS Wade Layup33
15.4%
38
84.6%
Q2 - 2:57MIAHEAT Rebound33
14.4%
38
85.6%
Q2 - 2:58CHIMISS Deng 20' Jump Shot33
14.9%
38
85.1%
Q2 - 3:11MIAMourning Foul Turnover (P1.T7)33
16.1%
38
83.9%
Q2 - 3:16MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)33
14.4%
38
85.6%
Q2 - 3:18CHIMISS Sweetney 9' Hook Shot33
14.9%
38
85.1%
Q2 - 3:23CHIDeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)33
16.1%
38
83.9%
Q2 - 3:25CHIMISS Deng Layup33
14.9%
38
85.1%
Q2 - 3:40MIAWade 16' Fadeaway Jumper (13 PTS)33
16.1%
38
83.9%
Q2 - 3:57CHISweetney Follow Up Dunk (6 PTS)33
17.6%
36
82.4%
Q2 - 3:58CHISweetney REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)31
16.1%
36
83.9%
Q2 - 4:00CHIMISS Hinrich 24' 3PT Jump Shot31
14.9%
36
85.1%
Q2 - 4:12CHINocioni REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)31
16.0%
36
84.0%
Q2 - 4:14MIAMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot31
15.6%
36
84.4%
Q2 - 4:32CHIDeng 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Hinrich 1 AST)31
14.5%
36
85.5%
Q2 - 4:39CHIBulls Rebound29
13.2%
36
86.8%
Q2 - 4:41CHIMourning BLOCK (1 BLK)29
12.3%
36
87.7%
Q2 - 4:53CHISweetney REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
13.2%
36
86.8%
Q2 - 4:55MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot29
12.8%
36
87.2%
Q2 - 5:12CHISweetney Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)29
11.9%
36
88.1%
Q2 - 5:12CHISweetney Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)28
11.6%
36
88.4%
Q2 - 5:18MIAMourning Dunk (4 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)27
10.9%
36
89.1%
Q2 - 5:31MIAHEAT Rebound27
11.9%
34
88.1%
Q2 - 5:32CHIMISS Nocioni Free Throw 2 of 227
12.1%
34
87.9%
Q2 - 5:32CHIMISS Nocioni Free Throw 1 of 227
12.9%
34
87.1%
Q2 - 5:45CHINocioni REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)27
13.2%
34
86.8%
Q2 - 5:46MIAMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot27
12.8%
34
87.2%
Q2 - 6:12CHINocioni Traveling Turnover (P1.T7)27
12.0%
34
88.0%
Q2 - 6:13CHINocioni REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)27
13.5%
34
86.5%
Q2 - 6:14CHIPosey BLOCK (1 BLK)27
12.4%
34
87.6%
Q2 - 6:19CHISweetney REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
13.5%
34
86.5%
Q2 - 6:21MIAMISS Payton 24' 3PT Jump Shot27
13.0%
34
87.0%
Q2 - 6:47MIAHEAT Rebound27
12.0%
34
88.0%
Q2 - 6:48CHIMISS Duhon 24' 3PT Jump Shot27
12.4%
34
87.6%
Q2 - 7:09MIAPayton 16' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS) (Posey 1 AST)27
13.7%
34
86.3%
Q2 - 7:19MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)27
14.9%
32
85.1%
Q2 - 7:21CHIMISS Gordon 24' 3PT Jump Shot27
15.3%
32
84.7%
Q2 - 7:41MIAWilliams 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)27
16.4%
32
83.6%
Q2 - 7:44MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)27
17.8%
30
82.2%
Q2 - 7:46CHIMISS Gordon Driving Layup27
18.3%
30
81.7%
Q2 - 8:02MIAO'Neal 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T6)27
19.5%
30
80.5%
Q2 - 8:24CHINocioni 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Duhon 1 AST)27
17.7%
30
82.3%
Q2 - 8:31CHIGordon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
16.4%
30
83.6%
Q2 - 8:33MIAMISS O'Neal 8' Jump Shot25
16.0%
30
84.0%
Q2 - 8:50MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
14.9%
30
85.1%
Q2 - 8:52CHIMISS Deng 15' Jump Shot25
15.4%
30
84.6%
Q2 - 9:21MIAO'Neal 5' Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)25
16.4%
30
83.6%
Q2 - 9:36MIAHEAT Rebound25
17.7%
28
82.3%
Q2 - 9:37CHIMISS Nocioni 20' Jump Shot25
18.2%
28
81.8%
Q2 - 9:42CHIDeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
19.4%
28
80.6%
Q2 - 9:44MIAMISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot25
18.8%
28
81.2%
Q2 - 9:59CHISchenscher Layup (2 PTS)25
17.7%
28
82.3%
Q2 - 10:01CHISchenscher REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)23
16.6%
28
83.4%
Q2 - 10:03CHIMISS Gordon 25' 3PT Jump Shot23
15.5%
28
84.5%
Q2 - 10:13MIAPayton Foul Turnover (P1.T5)23
16.6%
28
83.4%
Q2 - 10:27CHIGordon 10' Jump Shot (7 PTS)23
15.1%
28
84.9%
Q2 - 10:41CHINocioni REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)21
14.0%
28
86.0%
Q2 - 10:42MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 221
13.8%
28
86.2%
Q2 - 10:42MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)21
13.0%
28
87.0%
Q2 - 10:53CHIDuhon Layup (2 PTS)21
13.8%
27
86.2%
Q2 - 10:57CHIDuhon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
12.8%
27
87.2%
Q2 - 10:58MIAMISS Wade 6' Jump Shot19
12.4%
27
87.6%
Q2 - 11:08CHIGordon Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T6)19
11.7%
27
88.3%
Q2 - 11:29MIAMourning Dunk (2 PTS)19
12.7%
27
87.3%
Q2 - 11:43MIAHEAT Rebound19
13.8%
25
86.2%
Q2 - 11:44MIAMISS Posey 9' Running Jump Shot19
14.7%
25
85.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA19
13.8%
25
86.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound19
13.8%
25
86.2%
Q1 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot19
14.6%
25
85.4%
Q1 - 0:18.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)19
14.0%
25
86.0%
Q1 - 0:20.0CHIMISS Harrington 14' Turnaround Jump Shot19
14.3%
25
85.7%
Q1 - 0:37.0MIAPayton Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)19
14.9%
25
85.1%
Q1 - 0:37.0MIAPayton Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)19
15.2%
24
84.8%
Q1 - 0:46.0CHIGordon Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)19
16.4%
23
83.6%
Q1 - 1:06CHIHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
13.8%
23
86.2%
Q1 - 1:08MIAMISS Walker 6' Jump Shot16
13.5%
23
86.5%
Q1 - 1:25CHIGordon Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)16
12.9%
23
87.1%
Q1 - 1:25CHIGordon Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)15
12.7%
23
87.3%
Q1 - 1:38MIAWade 8' Jump Shot (10 PTS)14
11.7%
23
88.3%
Q1 - 1:46CHIWade STEAL (1 STL)14
12.9%
21
87.1%
Q1 - 1:58MIAWalker Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)14
13.8%
21
86.2%
Q1 - 1:58MIAMISS Walker Free Throw 1 of 214
14.2%
20
85.8%
Q1 - 2:03MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
14.0%
20
86.0%
Q1 - 2:05CHIMISS Gordon 25' 3PT Jump Shot14
14.3%
20
85.7%
Q1 - 2:11CHINocioni REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)14
15.1%
20
84.9%
Q1 - 2:13MIAMISS Wade 18' Fadeaway Jumper14
14.8%
20
85.2%
Q1 - 2:22MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
14.0%
20
86.0%
Q1 - 2:24CHIMISS Hinrich 22' Jump Shot14
14.3%
20
85.7%
Q1 - 2:31CHINocioni REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)14
15.1%
20
84.9%
Q1 - 2:33MIAMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot14
14.8%
20
85.2%
Q1 - 2:47MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)14
14.0%
20
86.0%
Q1 - 2:49CHIMISS Nocioni 17' Jump Shot14
14.3%
20
85.7%
Q1 - 3:01MIAWade Follow Up Dunk (8 PTS)14
15.3%
20
84.7%
Q1 - 3:02MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)14
16.3%
18
83.7%
Q1 - 3:04MIAMISS Walker Driving Layup14
17.3%
18
82.7%
Q1 - 3:09MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)14
16.3%
18
83.7%
Q1 - 3:11CHIMISS Allen 20' Jump Shot14
16.8%
18
83.2%
Q1 - 3:27MIAWalker 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)14
17.8%
18
82.2%
Q1 - 3:45CHIDeng Driving Layup (2 PTS)14
20.4%
15
79.6%
Q1 - 3:50MIAWalker Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)12
19.1%
15
80.9%
Q1 - 4:13CHIHinrich Driving Layup (2 PTS)12
17.4%
15
82.6%
Q1 - 4:33MIAPosey 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Walker 1 AST)10
16.4%
15
83.6%
Q1 - 4:50MIAHEAT Rebound10
18.7%
12
81.3%
Q1 - 4:52CHIMISS Allen 19' Jump Shot10
19.2%
12
80.8%
Q1 - 5:09MIAWade Driving Dunk (6 PTS)10
20.0%
12
80.0%
Q1 - 5:15MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
21.3%
10
78.7%
Q1 - 5:17CHIMISS Gordon 15' Jump Shot10
21.7%
10
78.3%
Q1 - 5:28MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)10
22.9%
10
77.1%
Q1 - 5:28MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)10
23.2%
9
76.8%
Q1 - 5:40CHINocioni Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)10
24.2%
8
75.8%
Q1 - 5:40CHINocioni Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)9
24.0%
8
76.0%
Q1 - 5:51MIAO'Neal Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T3)8
22.9%
8
77.1%
Q1 - 6:13CHIDeng Foul Turnover (P1.T4)8
21.1%
8
78.9%
Q1 - 6:18CHIHinrich REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
22.6%
8
77.4%
Q1 - 6:20MIAMISS Williams 18' Jump Shot8
22.1%
8
77.9%
Q1 - 6:25MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
21.1%
8
78.9%
Q1 - 6:27CHIMISS Hinrich 25' 3PT Jump Shot8
21.6%
8
78.4%
Q1 - 6:49CHINocioni REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
22.6%
8
77.4%
Q1 - 6:50MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 28
22.4%
8
77.6%
Q1 - 6:50MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 28
21.8%
8
78.2%
Q1 - 6:50MIAHEAT Rebound8
21.1%
8
78.9%
Q1 - 6:50MIAMISS Haslem 12' Jump Shot8
22.1%
8
77.9%
Q1 - 7:09CHIAllen 15' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS)8
20.9%
8
79.1%
Q1 - 7:29CHIDuhon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
19.8%
8
80.2%
Q1 - 7:30MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 26
19.6%
8
80.4%
Q1 - 7:30MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 26
19.1%
8
80.9%
Q1 - 7:32MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)6
18.5%
8
81.5%
Q1 - 7:34MIAMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot6
19.4%
8
80.6%
Q1 - 7:51MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)6
18.5%
8
81.5%
Q1 - 7:53MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 26
19.6%
8
80.4%
Q1 - 7:53MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)6
19.1%
8
80.9%
Q1 - 8:07CHIBulls Turnover: Shot Clock (T#3)6
19.5%
7
80.5%
Q1 - 8:07CHIBulls Rebound6
20.9%
7
79.1%
Q1 - 8:08CHIO'Neal BLOCK (1 BLK)6
19.9%
7
80.1%
Q1 - 8:31CHIAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)6
20.9%
7
79.1%
Q1 - 8:32MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 26
20.7%
7
79.3%
Q1 - 8:32MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)6
20.2%
7
79.8%
Q1 - 8:32MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)6
20.7%
6
79.3%
Q1 - 8:33MIAMISS Wade 15' Fadeaway Jumper6
21.7%
6
78.3%
Q1 - 8:51MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
20.7%
6
79.3%
Q1 - 8:52CHIWade BLOCK (1 BLK)6
21.2%
6
78.8%
Q1 - 8:57MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T2)6
22.1%
6
77.9%
Q1 - 9:04MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
20.4%
6
79.6%
Q1 - 9:06CHIMISS Hinrich 25' 3PT Jump Shot6
20.9%
6
79.1%
Q1 - 9:22CHINocioni REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
22.1%
6
77.9%
Q1 - 9:23MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 26
21.9%
6
78.1%
Q1 - 9:23MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 26
21.3%
6
78.7%
Q1 - 9:23MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)6
20.5%
6
79.5%
Q1 - 9:24MIAMISS Wade Reverse Layup6
21.6%
6
78.4%
Q1 - 9:39CHINocioni Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)6
20.5%
6
79.5%
Q1 - 9:39CHINocioni Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)5
20.3%
6
79.7%
Q1 - 9:54MIAWade Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)4
19.6%
6
80.4%
Q1 - 10:08CHIAllen Layup (2 PTS)4
20.5%
4
79.5%
Q1 - 10:09CHIAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)2
19.4%
4
80.6%
Q1 - 10:11CHIMISS Sweetney Layup2
18.5%
4
81.5%
Q1 - 10:22MIAO'Neal Layup (2 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)2
19.4%
4
80.6%
Q1 - 10:35CHIGordon Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T2)2
20.5%
2
79.5%
Q1 - 10:49MIAHaslem 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)2
21.9%
2
78.1%
Q1 - 11:01MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
23.0%
0
77.0%
Q1 - 11:03CHIMISS Gordon 12' Jump Shot2
23.4%
0
76.6%
Q1 - 11:11CHIAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
24.3%
0
75.7%
Q1 - 11:13MIAMISS Walker 24' 3PT Jump Shot2
23.9%
0
76.1%
Q1 - 11:33CHISweetney 8' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Gordon 1 AST)2
23.0%
0
77.0%
Q1 - 11:43MIAWade Foul Turnover (P1.T1)0
21.7%
0
78.3%
Q1 - 11:48CHISweetney Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)0
20.5%
0
79.5%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball O'Neal vs. Sweetney: Tip to Gordon0
21.7%
0
78.3%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

CHI
0.89 44.3%
MIA
0.97 48.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
CHI
9
20
45%
MIA
16
24
67%
Midrange
CHI
12
36
33%
MIA
13
26
50%
3PT | Effective 3PT
CHI
4
6.0
16
25%
38%
MIA
4
6.0
23
17%
26%
Free Throws
CHI
24
30
80%
MIA
22
41
54%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
CHI logo Bulls
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
A. Nocioni2372%11.5 / 16
M. Sweetney1667%8.0 / 12
B. Gordon1029%5.0 / 17
K. Hinrich930%4.5 / 15
M. Allen638%3.0 / 8
L. Schenscher583%2.5 / 3
L. Deng422%2.0 / 9
J. Pargo375%1.5 / 2
C. Duhon233%1.0 / 3
O. Harrington0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade2861%14.0 / 23
A. Walker1739%8.5 / 22
S. O'Neal1653%8.0 / 15
J. Posey1255%6.0 / 11
G. Payton956%4.5 / 8
J. Williams433%2.0 / 6
A. Mourning4100%2.0 / 2
U. Haslem233%1.0 / 3
D. Anderson0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

CHI
75
+13
-19
88
MIA
83
+12
-12
95
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

CHI
0.89 44.3%
MIA
0.97 48.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
104.1
105.5
CHI 83.0
MIA 96.8 +13.9
Pace
94.7
90.9
CHI 106.9 +22.2
MIA 84.8
Avg. Poss. Time
13.9
16.3
CHI 13.5 +3.5
MIA 17.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.7%
52.5%
CHI 37.5%
MIA 47.9% +10.4%
TO %
16.2%
16.6%
CHI 19.0%
MIA 11.6% +7.4%
ORB %
21.6%
24.8%
CHI 24.4% +6.0%
MIA 18.4%
FTrt
39.7
42.7
CHI 41.7
MIA 56.2 +14.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
53.9%
50.2%
CHI 40.0%
MIA 57.6% +17.6%
STL %
6.0%
7.7%
CHI 3.2%
MIA 4.2% +1.0%
BLK %
6.9%
7.9%
CHI 10.0%
MIA 14.3% +4.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.03 and 2.03.

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.1%
53.9%
CHI 44.3%
MIA 48.4% +4.1%
Rim FG%
55.3%
62.8%
CHI 45.0%
MIA 66.7% +21.7%
Mid FG%
41.2%
44.0%
CHI 33.3%
MIA 50.0% +16.7%
3P %
39.5%
33.3%
CHI 25.0% +7.6%
MIA 17.4%
FT %
74.2%
65.5%
CHI 80.0% +26.3%
MIA 53.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
26.9%
36.9%
CHI 27.8%
MIA 32.9% +5.1%
Mid Att. %
47.2%
36.7%
CHI 50.0%
MIA 35.6% +14.4%
3P Att. %
26.0%
26.4%
CHI 22.2%
MIA 31.5% +9.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.44 and 2.44.
Game TotalsCHIMIA
Possessions9495
Possession Minutes21.126.9
Points7892
Rebounds5040
Assists1019
Steals34
Blocks58
Turnovers (Team)19 (1)12 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (3)9 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)40 (0)31 (6)
Field Goals25-7233-73
At-the-Rim FG9-2016-24
Midrange FG12-3613-26
2-Point FG21-5629-50
3-Point FG4-164-23
Free Throws24-3022-41
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'4" 190 · 25
39.8
9
30%
5
5
2
1
6
3
0
5
3-4
75%
3-9
33%
0-4
0%
G · 6'3" 205 · 23
38.8
10
29%
3
3
1
0
3
2
0
3
3-3
100%
2-9
22%
1-7
14%
F · 6'7" 225 · 26
36.1
23
72%
10
0
0
0
3
5
1
9
9-11
82%
4-8
50%
2-3
67%
C · 6'8" 270 · 24
26.9
16
67%
9
0
0
2
3
5
4
5
6-6
100%
5-9
56%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 255 · 28
18.7
6
38%
5
0
0
1
1
2
2
3
0-0
-
3-8
38%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 220 · 21
29.5
4
22%
7
0
0
1
1
4
2
5
0-2
0%
2-8
25%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 190 · 24
21.6
2
33%
3
1
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-1
0%
C · 7'1" 265 · 24
10.2
5
83%
4
0
0
0
1
2
1
3
3-4
75%
1-1
100%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 36
8.4
0
0%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
C · 7'1" 240 · 24
4.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
5
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F-C · 6'9" 235 · 32
3.5
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 185 · 27
1.7
3
75%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
1-1
100%
#1 · G · 6'4" 209 · 31
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
78
44%
50
10
3
5
19
0
10
40
24-30
80%
21-56
38%
4-16
25%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.