FinalWin Prob.pScore
255%92
104
1745%90
124
ORTG#PossPace
DET logo DET
118.28888.7
MIL logo MIL
139.38988.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

BucksPistonsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

BucksPistonsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDETMIL
Q4 - 0:00.0MIL104
0%
124
100%
Q4 - 0:08.0MILJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)104
0%
124
100%
Q4 - 0:10.0DETMISS Delk 24' 3PT Jump Shot104
0%
124
100%
Q4 - 0:18.0MILWelsch Layup (2 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)104
0%
124
100%
Q4 - 0:37.0DETEvans 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Delk 3 AST)104
0%
122
100%
Q4 - 0:42.0MILWilliams 27' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS)101
0.1%
122
99.9%
Q4 - 1:02DETDelk 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Evans 1 AST)101
0.1%
119
99.9%
Q4 - 1:04DETPistons Rebound98
0.1%
119
99.9%
Q4 - 1:05DETMISS Hunter 26' 3PT Jump Shot98
0.1%
119
99.9%
Q4 - 1:11MILJohnson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T12)98
0.1%
119
99.9%
Q4 - 1:22DETEvans 18' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Hunter 3 AST)98
0.1%
119
99.9%
Q4 - 1:29DETDelfino REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)96
0.1%
119
99.9%
Q4 - 1:31MILMISS Johnson 14' Jump Shot96
0.1%
119
99.9%
Q4 - 1:50DETDelk Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)96
0.1%
119
99.9%
Q4 - 1:50DETMISS Delk Free Throw 1 of 295
0.1%
119
99.9%
Q4 - 2:04MILWilliams 17' Jump Shot (17 PTS)95
0.1%
119
99.9%
Q4 - 2:27DETEvans 17' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Delfino 1 AST)95
0.1%
117
99.9%
Q4 - 2:33DETDelfino REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)93
0.1%
117
99.9%
Q4 - 2:34MILMISS Bell Layup93
0.1%
117
99.9%
Q4 - 2:53DETHunter Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)93
0.1%
117
99.9%
Q4 - 2:53DETHunter Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)92
0.1%
117
99.9%
Q4 - 2:53DETCato REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)91
0.1%
117
99.9%
Q4 - 2:56DETSmith BLOCK (1 BLK)91
0.1%
117
99.9%
Q4 - 3:13MILSmith Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)91
0.1%
117
99.9%
Q4 - 3:33DETBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (26 PTS)91
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 3:33DETBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (25 PTS)90
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 3:44MILRedd Layup (40 PTS) (Kukoc 6 AST)89
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 4:02DETBillups Layup (24 PTS)89
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 4:10MILBUCKS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#11)87
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 4:10MILBUCKS Rebound87
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 4:10MILMISS Simmons 24' 3PT Jump Shot87
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 4:32MILSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)87
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 4:34DETMISS Hamilton 20' Jump Shot87
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 4:48MILSmith 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Ford 14 AST)87
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 5:09DETPrince 7' Running Jump Shot (6 PTS)87
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 5:34MILRedd 26' 3PT Jump Shot (38 PTS)85
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 5:48MILRedd Free Throw Flagrant 2 of 2 (35 PTS)85
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 5:48MILRedd Free Throw Flagrant 1 of 2 (34 PTS)85
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 5:57MILSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)85
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 5:58DETMISS Hamilton 16' Jump Shot85
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 6:04DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)85
0.4%
105
99.6%
Q4 - 6:06DETMISS Hamilton 3PT Jump Shot85
0.3%
105
99.7%
Q4 - 6:26MILKukoc 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Ford 13 AST)85
0.3%
105
99.7%
Q4 - 6:42MILSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)85
0.6%
102
99.4%
Q4 - 6:42DETMISS Wallace Free Throw 2 of 285
0.6%
102
99.4%
Q4 - 6:42DETWallace Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)85
0.7%
102
99.3%
Q4 - 6:52MILFord Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)84
0.6%
102
99.4%
Q4 - 6:52MILFord Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)84
0.7%
101
99.3%
Q4 - 6:56MILSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)84
0.8%
100
99.2%
Q4 - 6:58DETMISS Billups 24' 3PT Jump Shot84
0.9%
100
99.1%
Q4 - 7:03DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)84
1.8%
100
98.2%
Q4 - 7:05DETMISS Wallace Free Throw 2 of 284
1.4%
100
98.6%
Q4 - 7:05DETMISS Wallace Free Throw 1 of 284
1.6%
100
98.4%
Q4 - 7:15DETPistons Rebound84
1.8%
100
98.2%
Q4 - 7:15MILMISS Redd 20' Jump Shot84
1.6%
100
98.4%
Q4 - 7:41DETWallace 4' Jump Shot (17 PTS)84
1.3%
100
98.7%
Q4 - 7:59MILKukoc Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)82
1.0%
100
99.0%
Q4 - 8:14DETBillups Foul Turnover (P4.T11)82
1.1%
100
98.9%
Q4 - 8:25MILRedd 4' Driving Layup (33 PTS)82
1.4%
100
98.6%
Q4 - 8:43DETHunter 27' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Prince 2 AST)82
1.8%
98
98.2%
Q4 - 9:05MILRedd 8' Jump Shot (31 PTS) (Bell 1 AST)79
1.5%
98
98.5%
Q4 - 9:17MILBUCKS Rebound79
1.9%
96
98.1%
Q4 - 9:17DETMISS Hunter 3PT Jump Shot79
2.0%
96
98.0%
Q4 - 9:39MILRedd 18' Jump Shot (29 PTS) (Ford 12 AST)79
2.3%
96
97.7%
Q4 - 9:58MILSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)79
2.9%
94
97.1%
Q4 - 9:59DETMISS Billups Free Throw 2 of 279
3.0%
94
97.0%
Q4 - 9:59DETBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)79
3.6%
94
96.4%
Q4 - 10:07MILSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)78
3.6%
94
96.4%
Q4 - 10:07MILSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)78
3.8%
93
96.2%
Q4 - 10:30DETBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)78
4.4%
92
95.6%
Q4 - 10:30DETBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)77
4.3%
92
95.7%
Q4 - 10:34MILSimmons Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T9)76
3.6%
92
96.4%
Q4 - 10:54DETMcDyess Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)76
2.8%
92
97.2%
Q4 - 10:54DETMcDyess Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)75
2.6%
92
97.4%
Q4 - 10:54DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)74
2.3%
92
97.7%
Q4 - 10:56DETMISS Billups 27' 3PT Jump Shot74
1.9%
92
98.1%
Q4 - 11:12MILSmith 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Kukoc 5 AST)74
2.7%
92
97.3%
Q4 - 11:21DETSimmons STEAL (2 STL)74
3.3%
90
96.7%
Q4 - 11:38DETDelk REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)74
4.1%
90
95.9%
Q4 - 11:40MILMISS Simmons 18' Jump Shot74
3.8%
90
96.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIL74
3.3%
90
96.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0MILBUCKS Rebound74
3.3%
90
96.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0MILMISS Williams 38' 3PT Jump Shot74
3.8%
90
96.2%
Q3 - 0:01.0MILSimmons REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)74
4.1%
90
95.9%
Q3 - 0:03.0DETMISS Billups 28' 3PT Jump Shot74
4.3%
90
95.7%
Q3 - 0:24.0MILSimmons Traveling Turnover (P1.T8)74
4.9%
90
95.1%
Q3 - 0:41.0DETMcDyess Layup (11 PTS) (Delk 2 AST)74
4.0%
90
96.0%
Q3 - 0:46.0MILBell Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)72
3.3%
90
96.7%
Q3 - 0:49.0DETBillups Layup (19 PTS) (Delk 1 AST)72
2.7%
90
97.3%
Q3 - 0:53.0MILBell Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)70
2.2%
90
97.8%
Q3 - 1:08DETWallace 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T9)70
2.3%
90
97.7%
Q3 - 1:18MILBogut Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)70
2.7%
90
97.3%
Q3 - 1:32DETBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)70
2.2%
90
97.8%
Q3 - 1:32DETBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)69
2.2%
90
97.8%
Q3 - 1:47MILWilliams 6' Running Jump Shot (15 PTS)68
1.9%
90
98.1%
Q3 - 2:03DETBillups 17' Jump Shot (15 PTS)68
2.7%
88
97.3%
Q3 - 2:27MILSmith 6' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Bogut 2 AST)66
2.2%
88
97.8%
Q3 - 2:37DETSmith STEAL (1 STL)66
2.6%
86
97.4%
Q3 - 2:44DETBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)66
3.2%
86
96.8%
Q3 - 2:45MILMISS Redd Layup66
3.0%
86
97.0%
Q3 - 3:05DETDelk Layup (2 PTS) (Billups 6 AST)66
3.1%
86
96.9%
Q3 - 3:16DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)64
2.6%
86
97.4%
Q3 - 3:18MILMISS Redd 16' Jump Shot64
2.5%
86
97.5%
Q3 - 3:32DETBillups 13' Jump Shot (13 PTS)64
2.2%
86
97.8%
Q3 - 3:48MILRedd 8' Running Jump Shot (27 PTS) (Simmons 3 AST)62
1.8%
86
98.2%
Q3 - 4:00DETBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)62
2.1%
84
97.9%
Q3 - 4:00DETBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)61
2.1%
84
97.9%
Q3 - 4:15MILRedd Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)60
2.2%
84
97.8%
Q3 - 4:15MILRedd Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)60
2.2%
83
97.8%
Q3 - 4:15MILRedd Free Throw Technical (23 PTS)60
2.5%
82
97.5%
Q3 - 4:30MILMagloire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)60
2.9%
81
97.1%
Q3 - 4:32DETMISS Hamilton 17' Jump Shot60
3.1%
81
96.9%
Q3 - 4:52MILRedd 24' 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Ford 11 AST)60
3.5%
81
96.5%
Q3 - 5:04DETHamilton 6' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Billups 5 AST)60
5.5%
78
94.5%
Q3 - 5:19MILMagloire 6' Hook Shot (12 PTS) (Bogut 1 AST)58
4.7%
78
95.3%
Q3 - 5:40MILRedd REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)58
5.4%
76
94.6%
Q3 - 5:41MILMISS Magloire Free Throw 1 of 158
6.3%
76
93.7%
Q3 - 6:04DETWallace 6' Jump Shot (15 PTS)58
8.3%
74
91.7%
Q3 - 6:23MILRedd Layup (19 PTS) (Ford 10 AST)56
7.2%
74
92.8%
Q3 - 6:27DETFord STEAL (2 STL)56
8.2%
72
91.8%
Q3 - 6:47MILRedd 27' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Ford 9 AST)56
9.6%
72
90.4%
Q3 - 7:11MILRedd REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)56
13.2%
69
86.8%
Q3 - 7:13DETMISS Wallace 17' Jump Shot56
13.8%
69
86.2%
Q3 - 7:35MILBogut Layup (8 PTS) (Ford 8 AST)56
15.4%
69
84.6%
Q3 - 7:40MILFord REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)56
17.2%
67
82.8%
Q3 - 7:41DETMISS Billups Layup56
17.9%
67
82.1%
Q3 - 8:04MILFord 14' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Redd 1 AST)56
20.7%
67
79.3%
Q3 - 8:31DETWallace 9' Jump Bank Shot (13 PTS)56
22.8%
65
77.2%
Q3 - 8:55MILRedd 14' Jump Shot (14 PTS)54
20.6%
65
79.4%
Q3 - 9:03MILSimmons REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)54
23.9%
63
76.1%
Q3 - 9:05DETMISS Billups 24' 3PT Jump Shot54
24.7%
63
75.3%
Q3 - 9:13MILBogut Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)54
26.7%
63
73.3%
Q3 - 9:30MILMagloire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)54
23.8%
63
76.2%
Q3 - 9:31DETMISS Wallace Free Throw 2 of 254
24.2%
63
75.8%
Q3 - 9:31DETMISS Wallace Free Throw 1 of 254
25.9%
63
74.1%
Q3 - 9:52MILFord Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)54
26.6%
63
73.4%
Q3 - 9:55MILFord REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)54
23.8%
63
76.2%
Q3 - 9:58DETMagloire BLOCK (2 BLK)54
24.6%
63
75.4%
Q3 - 10:05DETBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)54
27.8%
63
72.2%
Q3 - 10:08MILMISS Bogut Layup54
26.9%
63
73.1%
Q3 - 10:29MILRedd REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)54
24.7%
63
75.3%
Q3 - 10:31MILMISS Simmons 17' Jump Shot54
26.8%
63
73.2%
Q3 - 10:41MILFord REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)54
24.7%
63
75.3%
Q3 - 10:43DETMISS Billups 25' 3PT Jump Shot54
25.6%
63
74.4%
Q3 - 11:10MILMagloire 4' Hook Shot (8 PTS) (Ford 7 AST)54
28.7%
63
71.3%
Q3 - 11:23MILFord REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)54
31.4%
61
68.6%
Q3 - 11:25DETMISS Hamilton 12' Jump Shot54
32.4%
61
67.6%
Q3 - 11:30DETBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)54
34.6%
61
65.4%
Q3 - 11:32MILMISS Redd 17' Jump Shot54
33.6%
61
66.4%
Q3 - 11:43DETPrince Foul Turnover (P2.T6)54
31.4%
61
68.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0DET54
34.6%
61
65.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0DETPistons Rebound54
34.6%
61
65.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0DETMISS Wallace 3PT Jump Shot54
32.3%
61
67.7%
Q2 - 0:19.0MILWilliams 19' Jump Shot (13 PTS)54
35.0%
61
65.0%
Q2 - 0:30.0DETBillups 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS)54
39.0%
59
61.0%
Q2 - 0:39.0MILMagloire Foul Turnover (P1.T2)51
32.1%
59
67.9%
Q2 - 0:50.0DETMcDyess Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)51
30.0%
59
70.0%
Q2 - 0:50.0DETMISS McDyess Free Throw 1 of 250
29.0%
59
71.0%
Q2 - 0:50.0DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)50
29.2%
59
70.8%
Q2 - 0:50.0DETMISS Wallace 28' 3PT Jump Shot50
27.9%
59
72.1%
Q2 - 1:11MILRedd Layup (12 PTS) (Kukoc 4 AST)50
29.7%
59
70.3%
Q2 - 1:15DETKukoc STEAL (1 STL)50
33.9%
57
66.1%
Q2 - 1:37MILRedd 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Kukoc 3 AST)50
35.4%
57
64.6%
Q2 - 1:43MILSimmons REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)50
43.0%
54
57.0%
Q2 - 1:45DETMISS Prince 3PT Jump Shot50
43.5%
54
56.5%
Q2 - 2:04MILWilliams 14' Jump Shot (11 PTS)50
45.7%
54
54.3%
Q2 - 2:18DETBillups 27' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Hamilton 2 AST)50
49.0%
52
51.0%
Q2 - 2:39DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)47
42.5%
52
57.5%
Q2 - 2:40MILMISS Magloire Free Throw 1 of 147
42.1%
52
57.9%
Q2 - 2:49DETSimmons STEAL (1 STL)47
45.9%
50
54.1%
Q2 - 2:52DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)47
48.7%
50
51.3%
Q2 - 2:53MILMISS Magloire Tip Shot47
47.8%
50
52.2%
Q2 - 2:55MILMagloire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)47
45.9%
50
54.1%
Q2 - 2:56MILMISS Simmons Layup47
47.8%
50
52.2%
Q2 - 3:16DETMcDyess 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wallace 1 AST)47
46.2%
50
53.8%
Q2 - 3:27DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)45
43.5%
50
56.5%
Q2 - 3:29MILMISS Simmons 17' Jump Shot45
42.5%
50
57.5%
Q2 - 3:42DETMcDyess Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)45
40.3%
50
59.7%
Q2 - 4:01MILWilliams 27' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS)45
44.0%
50
56.0%
Q2 - 4:12MILBUCKS Rebound45
49.7%
47
50.3%
Q2 - 4:13DETMISS Prince 17' Jump Shot45
50.6%
47
49.4%
Q2 - 4:35MILMagloire Dunk (4 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)45
52.6%
47
47.4%
Q2 - 4:45DETMcDyess 14' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Hunter 2 AST)45
55.4%
45
44.6%
Q2 - 5:03MILWilliams 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Simmons 2 AST)43
52.9%
45
47.1%
Q2 - 5:21DETMcDyess Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)43
55.5%
43
44.5%
Q2 - 5:21DETMcDyess Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)42
54.5%
43
45.5%
Q2 - 5:23DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)41
52.9%
43
47.1%
Q2 - 5:25MILMISS Magloire 5' Hook Shot41
52.0%
43
48.0%
Q2 - 5:34MILKukoc REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)41
49.8%
43
50.2%
Q2 - 5:36DETMISS Hunter 27' 3PT Jump Shot41
50.8%
43
49.2%
Q2 - 5:55MILWilliams 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Kukoc 1 AST)41
52.9%
43
47.1%
Q2 - 6:14DETHunter 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS)41
55.5%
41
44.5%
Q2 - 6:21DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)38
50.6%
41
49.4%
Q2 - 6:23MILMISS Kukoc 25' 3PT Jump Shot38
49.6%
41
50.4%
Q2 - 6:42DETMcDyess 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Hunter 1 AST)38
47.3%
41
52.7%
Q2 - 7:05MILKukoc 26' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)36
45.6%
41
54.4%
Q2 - 7:24DETHunter Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)36
50.7%
38
49.3%
Q2 - 7:24DETHunter Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)35
50.0%
38
50.0%
Q2 - 7:32MILWilliams 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)34
48.2%
38
51.8%
Q2 - 7:55MILKukoc REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
50.6%
36
49.4%
Q2 - 7:56DETMISS Wallace Free Throw 2 of 234
51.0%
36
49.0%
Q2 - 7:56DETMISS Wallace Free Throw 1 of 234
52.0%
36
48.0%
Q2 - 8:12MILBell Layup (2 PTS)34
53.4%
36
46.6%
Q2 - 8:20DETWallace Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)34
55.7%
34
44.3%
Q2 - 8:20DETMISS Wallace Free Throw 1 of 233
54.4%
34
45.6%
Q2 - 8:47MILKukoc 24' 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Ford 6 AST)33
56.0%
34
44.0%
Q2 - 9:03DETPrince Dunk (4 PTS) (McDyess 2 AST)33
60.7%
31
39.3%
Q2 - 9:11DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)31
58.5%
31
41.5%
Q2 - 9:13DETMISS Prince 15' Jump Shot31
56.6%
31
43.4%
Q2 - 9:20MILKukoc Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)31
58.5%
31
41.5%
Q2 - 9:42MILSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)31
55.7%
31
44.3%
Q2 - 9:43DETMISS McDyess 14' Jump Shot31
56.6%
31
43.4%
Q2 - 9:56DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)31
58.5%
31
41.5%
Q2 - 9:58MILMISS Bell 24' 3PT Jump Shot31
57.7%
31
42.3%
Q2 - 10:19DETHunter 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS)31
55.6%
31
44.4%
Q2 - 10:30DETPistons Rebound29
53.4%
31
46.6%
Q2 - 10:30DETMISS Hunter 27' 3PT Jump Shot29
51.5%
31
48.5%
Q2 - 10:54DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
53.4%
31
46.6%
Q2 - 10:56MILMISS Kukoc Free Throw 2 of 229
53.1%
31
46.9%
Q2 - 10:56MILKukoc Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)29
51.6%
31
48.4%
Q2 - 11:17DETHunter 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)29
53.3%
30
46.7%
Q2 - 11:39DETPistons Rebound27
50.9%
30
49.1%
Q2 - 11:40DETMISS Hamilton 24' 3PT Jump Shot27
49.2%
30
50.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0DET27
50.9%
30
49.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0MILSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)27
50.9%
30
49.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0MILSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)27
51.4%
29
48.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0MILSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
53.3%
28
46.7%
Q1 - 0:02.0DETMISS Wallace 24' 3PT Jump Shot27
54.1%
28
45.9%
Q1 - 0:17.0DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)27
55.3%
28
44.7%
Q1 - 0:19.0MILMISS Simmons 25' 3PT Jump Shot27
54.8%
28
45.2%
Q1 - 0:40.0DETFord STEAL (1 STL)27
53.5%
28
46.5%
Q1 - 0:53.0MILFord Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)27
55.3%
28
44.7%
Q1 - 0:54.0MILFord REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)27
60.5%
25
39.5%
Q1 - 0:56.0DETMISS Hamilton 9' Jump Shot27
61.0%
25
39.0%
Q1 - 1:22MILBogut Layup (6 PTS)27
62.3%
25
37.7%
Q1 - 1:23MILBogut REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)27
64.9%
23
35.1%
Q1 - 1:24MILMISS Ford 13' Jump Shot27
66.1%
23
33.9%
Q1 - 1:42DETEvans 10' Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Hamilton 1 AST)27
64.9%
23
35.1%
Q1 - 1:48DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)25
62.2%
23
37.8%
Q1 - 1:49MILMISS Redd Layup25
61.7%
23
38.3%
Q1 - 2:05DETHamilton Layup (8 PTS) (Billups 4 AST)25
60.6%
23
39.4%
Q1 - 2:15DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
58.2%
23
41.8%
Q1 - 2:18MILMISS Smith 17' Jump Shot23
57.5%
23
42.5%
Q1 - 2:31DETEvans Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)23
56.0%
23
44.0%
Q1 - 2:31DETMISS Evans Free Throw 1 of 222
55.6%
23
44.4%
Q1 - 2:40DETBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)22
55.8%
23
44.2%
Q1 - 2:42MILMISS Redd 27' 3PT Jump Shot22
55.2%
23
44.8%
Q1 - 3:05DETHamilton 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (McDyess 1 AST)22
53.5%
23
46.5%
Q1 - 3:22MILRedd Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)19
49.3%
23
50.7%
Q1 - 3:22MILRedd Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)19
49.6%
22
50.4%
Q1 - 3:27MILRedd REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)19
51.3%
21
48.7%
Q1 - 3:28MILMISS Magloire Layup19
53.1%
21
46.9%
Q1 - 3:30MILMagloire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)19
51.3%
21
48.7%
Q1 - 3:31MILMISS Redd Layup19
53.1%
21
46.9%
Q1 - 3:49MILFord REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
51.3%
21
48.7%
Q1 - 3:51DETMISS Prince 20' Jump Shot19
52.1%
21
47.9%
Q1 - 4:07DETPrince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)19
54.1%
21
45.9%
Q1 - 4:09DETMagloire BLOCK (1 BLK)19
52.2%
21
47.8%
Q1 - 4:25MILSimmons 16' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Ford 5 AST)19
54.1%
21
45.9%
Q1 - 4:34DETBillups 11' Jump Bank Shot (3 PTS) (Wallace 1 AST)19
55.8%
19
44.2%
Q1 - 4:56MILSimmons 26' 3PT Jump Bank Shot (8 PTS) (Ford 4 AST)17
54.1%
19
45.9%
Q1 - 5:05MILFord REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
58.1%
16
41.9%
Q1 - 5:07DETMISS Hamilton 16' Jump Shot17
58.8%
16
41.2%
Q1 - 5:19MILMagloire Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)17
60.3%
16
39.7%
Q1 - 5:19MILMagloire Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)17
61.0%
15
39.0%
Q1 - 5:31MILMagloire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)17
62.1%
14
37.9%
Q1 - 5:33DETMISS Wallace 4' Jump Shot17
62.8%
14
37.2%
Q1 - 5:56MILRedd Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)17
64.3%
14
35.7%
Q1 - 6:04DETPrince Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)17
67.4%
11
32.6%
Q1 - 6:04DETPrince Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)16
67.1%
11
32.9%
Q1 - 6:06DETBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
65.7%
11
34.3%
Q1 - 6:08MILMISS Bogut Dunk15
65.1%
11
34.9%
Q1 - 6:25DETWallace 26' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Billups 3 AST)15
63.8%
11
36.2%
Q1 - 6:48DETPistons Rebound12
60.1%
11
39.9%
Q1 - 6:49MILMISS Simmons 16' Jump Shot12
59.4%
11
40.6%
Q1 - 7:13DETHamilton 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Prince 1 AST)12
58.0%
11
42.0%
Q1 - 7:26DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
54.4%
11
45.6%
Q1 - 7:28MILMISS Ford 5' Jump Shot9
53.8%
11
46.2%
Q1 - 7:42MILRedd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
52.3%
11
47.7%
Q1 - 7:44DETMISS Prince 24' 3PT Jump Shot9
53.0%
11
47.0%
Q1 - 8:05MILRedd 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Ford 3 AST)9
54.9%
11
45.1%
Q1 - 8:09MILMagloire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)9
56.6%
9
43.4%
Q1 - 8:11DETMISS Hamilton Layup9
57.2%
9
42.8%
Q1 - 8:34MILSimmons 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Ford 2 AST)9
58.6%
9
41.4%
Q1 - 8:39MILSimmons REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)9
62.0%
6
38.0%
Q1 - 8:42MILMISS Bogut 14' Jump Shot9
63.4%
6
36.6%
Q1 - 9:06DETWallace 12' Jump Shot (8 PTS)9
61.7%
6
38.3%
Q1 - 9:27MILBogut Layup (4 PTS) (Simmons 1 AST)7
60.4%
6
39.6%
Q1 - 9:36DETBogut STEAL (1 STL)7
61.7%
4
38.3%
Q1 - 9:40DETBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
64.0%
4
36.0%
Q1 - 9:43MILMISS Bogut Tip Shot7
63.3%
4
36.7%
Q1 - 9:44MILBogut REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)7
61.7%
4
38.3%
Q1 - 9:45MILMISS Ford 13' Jump Shot7
63.3%
4
36.7%
Q1 - 10:00DETWallace 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Billups 2 AST)7
61.8%
4
38.2%
Q1 - 10:18MILBogut Dunk (2 PTS) (Ford 1 AST)4
58.4%
4
41.6%
Q1 - 10:28MILMagloire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
59.9%
2
40.1%
Q1 - 10:30DETMISS Billups 18' Jump Shot4
60.6%
2
39.4%
Q1 - 10:35DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
62.0%
2
38.0%
Q1 - 10:37MILMISS Bogut 5' Hook Shot4
61.4%
2
38.6%
Q1 - 11:03DETWallace 28' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Billups 1 AST)4
60.1%
2
39.9%
Q1 - 11:13DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)1
56.4%
2
43.6%
Q1 - 11:15DETMISS Billups 12' Jump Shot1
55.2%
2
44.8%
Q1 - 11:23DETBillups Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)1
56.4%
2
43.6%
Q1 - 11:41MILSimmons 4' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)0
54.6%
2
45.4%
Q1 - 12:00MILJump Ball Magloire vs. Wallace: Tip to Ford0
56.5%
0
43.5%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DET
1.16 57.8%
MIL
1.41 70.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DET
7
12
58%
MIL
16
29
55%
Midrange
DET
16
30
53%
MIL
20
32
63%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DET
11
16.5
28
39%
59%
MIL
11
16.5
17
65%
97%
Free Throws
DET
25
37
68%
MIL
19
22
86%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Billups2662%13.0 / 21
R. Wallace1864%9.0 / 14
L. Hunter1470%7.0 / 10
A. McDyess1381%6.5 / 8
R. Hamilton1036%5.0 / 14
M. Evans1083%5.0 / 6
T. Prince638%3.0 / 8
T. Delk675%3.0 / 4
B. Wallace117%0.5 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIL logo Bucks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Redd4087%20.0 / 23
M. Williams20100%10.0 / 10
J. Smith1393%6.5 / 7
J. Magloire1267%6.0 / 9
B. Simmons1045%5.0 / 11
T. Kukoc10100%5.0 / 5
A. Bogut844%4.0 / 9
T. Ford758%3.5 / 6
C. Bell233%1.0 / 3
J. Welsch2100%1.0 / 1
E. Johnson0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DET
77
+12
-11
89
MIL
78
+10
-11
88
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DET
1.16 57.8%
MIL
1.41 70.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
107.3
108.9
DET 118.2
MIL 139.3 +21.1
Pace
85.6
89.8
DET 88.7 +0.5
MIL 88.3
Avg. Poss. Time
17.3
14.8
DET 16.2 +0.1
MIL 16.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
47.8%
50.4%
DET 56.4%
MIL 67.3% +10.9%
TO %
12.7%
13.6%
DET 11.3% +0.7%
MIL 12.0%
ORB %
27.8%
26.6%
DET 22.9%
MIL 26.7% +3.8%
FTrt
38.2
26.7
DET 52.9 +24.7
MIL 28.2
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.1%
55.6%
DET 64.7%
MIL 72.3% +7.6%
STL %
7.5%
6.7%
DET 8.0% +0.1%
MIL 7.9%
BLK %
6.9%
4.4%
DET 4.9%
MIL 7.1% +2.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
51.0%
53.5%
DET 57.8%
MIL 70.5% +12.7%
Rim FG%
58.8%
54.7%
DET 58.3% +3.1%
MIL 55.2%
Mid FG%
37.4%
42.9%
DET 53.3%
MIL 62.5% +9.2%
3P %
37.2%
41.9%
DET 39.3%
MIL 64.7% +25.4%
FT %
72.4%
78.5%
DET 67.6%
MIL 86.4% +18.8%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
27.2%
36.9%
DET 17.1%
MIL 37.2% +20.0%
Mid Att. %
47.9%
47.6%
DET 42.9%
MIL 41.0% +1.8%
3P Att. %
24.9%
15.5%
DET 40.0% +18.2%
MIL 21.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsDETMIL
Possessions8889
Possession Minutes23.824.2
Points104124
Rebounds3035
Assists2234
Steals77
Blocks33
Turnovers (Team)11 (0)11 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (4)8 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)22 (2)27 (2)
Field Goals34-7047-78
At-the-Rim FG7-1216-29
Midrange FG16-3020-32
2-Point FG23-4236-61
3-Point FG11-2811-17
Free Throws25-3719-22
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 212 · 26
37.0
6
38%
1
2
0
1
2
1
1
0
2-2
100%
2-5
40%
0-2
0%
G · 6'3" 210 · 30
37.0
26
62%
6
6
2
0
4
3
0
6
10-11
91%
5-9
56%
2-7
29%
F · 6'11" 230 · 32
36.0
18
64%
6
1
0
1
0
4
2
4
1-6
17%
4-5
80%
3-6
50%
G · 6'7" 193 · 28
31.1
10
36%
0
2
0
0
2
5
0
0
0-0
-
2-10
20%
2-4
50%
C · 6'9" 240 · 32
28.5
1
17%
5
1
1
1
1
2
1
4
1-4
25%
0-1
0%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 32
25.1
13
81%
8
2
0
0
1
2
3
5
5-6
83%
4-5
80%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 189 · 32
14.1
6
75%
1
3
2
0
1
0
0
1
1-2
50%
1-1
100%
1-2
50%
G · 6'2" 195 · 35
13.9
14
70%
0
3
1
0
0
3
0
0
4-4
100%
2-2
100%
2-6
33%
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 27
11.1
10
83%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1-2
50%
3-4
75%
1-1
100%
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 24
3.2
0
0%
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 275 · 32
3.2
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
C-F · 6'11" 252 · 37
#54 · F · 6'7" 260 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
104
58%
30
22
7
3
11
0
8
22
25-37
68%
23-42
55%
11-28
39%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.