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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
April 30, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
8Heat47%9587
13Bulls53%9693
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 24.3
45.3
40.1
20
40%
6
10
3
2
2
5
4
2
4-4
100%
8-22
9-18
36%
48%
0-1
0%
Antoine Walker
F · 6'9" 245 · 29.7
38.7
34.5
21
55%
5
3
0
1
1
3
2
3
0-0
-
3-7
3-8
43%
46%
5-12
42%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 25.9
34.0
23.4
12
60%
9
0
1
0
0
0
4
5
0-0
-
6-10
3-5
60%
50%
0-0
-
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 30.4
24.1
32.4
2
11%
1
4
1
1
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
1-5
2-5
20%
48%
0-4
0%
Shaquille O'Neal
C · 7'1" 325 · 34.1
23.9
28.6
16
60%
8
0
0
0
0
3
3
5
0-1
0%
8-13
6-11
62%
56%
0-0
-
Gary Payton
G · 6'4" 190 · 37.8
26.4
18.5
6
60%
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
47%
2-5
40%
Derek Anderson
G · 6'5" 195 · 31.8
18.6
11.5
6
75%
2
4
1
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
40%
2-4
50%
Alonzo Mourning
C · 6'10" 261 · 36.2
14.2
6.8
2
50%
6
0
0
0
2
3
1
5
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
54%
0-0
-
Michael Doleac
C · 6'11" 262 · 28.9
9.1
13.7
2
50%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
43%
0-0
-
Shandon Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 32.3
5.7
7.6
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
44%
0-0
-
James Posey
F · 6'8" 217 · 29.3
22.6
1
1-2
44%
Wayne Simien
F · 6'9" 250 · 23.1
4.6
0
1-1
46%
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 25.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andres Nocioni
· 6'7" 225 · 26.4
45.8
35.4
24
58%
7
1
3
1
0
2
1
6
7-8
88%
7-14
5-10
50%
48%
1-3
33%
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 23.1
43.2
41.1
23
69%
5
2
2
1
0
3
1
4
3-4
75%
4-6
5-11
67%
42%
4-9
44%
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 25.3
40.5
38.1
21
57%
4
9
1
1
1
4
0
4
6-8
75%
6-11
5-11
55%
43%
1-4
25%
Michael Sweetney
F · 6'8" 270 · 23.5
21.8
21.7
9
55%
6
0
1
0
1
2
3
3
5-5
100%
2-6
3-7
33%
47%
0-0
-
Malik Allen
F · 6'10" 255 · 27.8
19.4
16.9
4
40%
2
2
0
0
2
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-5
3-5
40%
46%
0-0
-
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 23.7
24.7
18.0
7
72%
6
2
2
1
0
1
0
6
2-2
100%
1-3
1-2
33%
42%
1-1
100%
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 23.6
21.8
16.9
1
28%
3
1
0
0
1
3
2
1
1-4
25%
0-0
1-2
-
52%
0-0
-
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 21.0
20.5
32.0
4
33%
1
1
0
1
1
1
1
0
0-0
-
2-6
5-11
33%
47%
0-0
-
Eric Piatkowski
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 35.6
1.3
2.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
45%
0-0
-
Jannero Pargo
G · 6'1" 185 · 26.5
0.9
4.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
39%
0-0
-
Othella Harrington
F-C · 6'9" 235 · 32.2
6.1
0
1-2
48%
Luke Schenscher
C · 7'1" 265 · 24.3
3.7
0
0-1
52%
Randy Livingston
G · 6'4" 209 · 31.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.