FinalWin Prob.pScore
847%95
87
1353%96
93
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
97.88982.6
CHI logo CHI
103.39098.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

BullsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

BullsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIACHI
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA87
0%
93
100%
Q4 - 0:06.0CHIHinrich Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)87
0.2%
93
99.8%
Q4 - 0:06.0CHIMISS Hinrich Free Throw 1 of 287
0.2%
92
99.8%
Q4 - 0:06.0CHIBULLS Rebound87
0.2%
92
99.8%
Q4 - 0:06.0MIAMISS Wade 26' 3PT Jump Shot87
0.2%
92
99.8%
Q4 - 0:18.0CHINocioni Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)87
1.4%
92
98.6%
Q4 - 0:18.0CHINocioni Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)87
1.7%
91
98.3%
Q4 - 0:19.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)87
3.0%
90
97.0%
Q4 - 0:19.0MIAHaslem Layup (12 PTS)87
3.0%
90
97.0%
Q4 - 0:19.0MIAMISS Williams Layup85
0.6%
90
99.4%
Q4 - 0:26.0CHIDuhon Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)85
2.3%
90
97.7%
Q4 - 0:26.0CHIDuhon Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)85
2.6%
89
97.4%
Q4 - 0:31.0CHIDuhon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)85
4.6%
88
95.4%
Q4 - 0:33.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)85
11.4%
88
88.6%
Q4 - 0:33.0MIAMISS Wade Tip Shot85
6.0%
88
94.0%
Q4 - 0:34.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)85
11.4%
88
88.6%
Q4 - 0:34.0MIAMISS Haslem Layup85
5.9%
88
94.1%
Q4 - 0:36.0MIAMISS Wade 9' Jump Shot85
5.9%
88
94.1%
Q4 - 0:46.0CHIHinrich Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T17)85
15.3%
88
84.7%
Q4 - 1:04MIAWade Driving Layup (20 PTS)85
9.7%
88
90.3%
Q4 - 1:09CHIHinrich 27' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Duhon 2 AST)83
6.3%
88
93.7%
Q4 - 1:28CHIGordon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)83
19.3%
85
80.7%
Q4 - 1:30MIAMISS Wade 21' Jump Shot83
22.7%
85
77.3%
Q4 - 1:42CHIDuhon 8' Running Finger Roll (5 PTS) (Hinrich 9 AST)83
31.7%
85
68.3%
Q4 - 1:53CHIDuhon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)83
42.4%
83
57.6%
Q4 - 1:55MIAMISS Anderson 3PT Jump Shot83
46.3%
83
53.7%
Q4 - 2:15CHIHinrich Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)83
57.8%
83
42.2%
Q4 - 2:15CHIMISS Hinrich Free Throw 1 of 283
59.6%
82
40.4%
Q4 - 2:30MIAAnderson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 10 AST)83
52.5%
82
47.5%
Q4 - 2:57CHIChandler Foul Turnover (P3.T16)80
35.1%
82
64.9%
Q4 - 3:06CHIDuhon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)80
22.9%
82
77.1%
Q4 - 3:09MIAMISS Walker 24' 3PT Jump Shot80
26.3%
82
73.7%
Q4 - 3:43CHIHinrich 16' Jump Shot (16 PTS)80
35.3%
82
64.7%
Q4 - 3:56MIAWade 15' Jump Shot (18 PTS)80
43.6%
80
56.4%
Q4 - 4:08MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)78
35.1%
80
64.9%
Q4 - 4:09CHIMISS Gordon 11' Jump Shot78
32.4%
80
67.6%
Q4 - 4:23MIAAnderson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T19)78
26.5%
80
73.5%
Q4 - 4:41CHIChandler 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T15)78
34.9%
80
65.1%
Q4 - 4:55MIAO'Neal Slam Dunk (16 PTS) (Wade 9 AST)78
26.3%
80
73.7%
Q4 - 5:09CHINocioni Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)76
22.6%
80
77.4%
Q4 - 5:09CHINocioni Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)76
23.5%
79
76.5%
Q4 - 5:09CHINocioni REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)76
28.7%
78
71.3%
Q4 - 5:09CHIMISS Gordon 25' 3PT Jump Shot76
33.9%
78
66.1%
Q4 - 5:31CHIGordon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)76
28.6%
78
71.4%
Q4 - 5:33MIAMISS O'Neal 12' Hook Shot76
30.8%
78
69.2%
Q4 - 5:56CHIHinrich 17' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Chandler 1 AST)76
36.2%
78
63.8%
Q4 - 6:10MIAWade Driving Layup (16 PTS)76
43.8%
76
56.2%
Q4 - 6:24CHIGordon Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)74
37.6%
76
62.4%
Q4 - 6:24CHIMISS Gordon Free Throw 1 of 274
38.8%
75
61.2%
Q4 - 6:32CHINocioni REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)74
36.5%
75
63.5%
Q4 - 6:33MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 174
37.6%
75
62.4%
Q4 - 6:56CHINocioni Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)72
30.7%
75
69.3%
Q4 - 6:56CHIMISS Nocioni Free Throw 1 of 272
31.6%
74
68.4%
Q4 - 7:11MIAAnderson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 8 AST)72
31.7%
74
68.3%
Q4 - 7:31CHINocioni 20' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Hinrich 8 AST)69
21.6%
74
78.4%
Q4 - 7:42MIAWalker 24' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Anderson 3 AST)69
25.9%
72
74.1%
Q4 - 8:01MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)66
18.7%
72
81.3%
Q4 - 8:02CHIMISS Sweetney Layup66
17.5%
72
82.5%
Q4 - 8:15CHINocioni REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)66
15.0%
72
85.0%
Q4 - 8:16MIAMISS O'Neal 11' Jump Shot66
16.1%
72
83.9%
Q4 - 8:42CHIGordon 5' Running Jump Shot (22 PTS)66
18.6%
72
81.4%
Q4 - 9:04MIAWalker 26' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Anderson 2 AST)66
24.0%
70
76.0%
Q4 - 9:27CHISweetney Foul Turnover (P2.T14)63
16.4%
70
83.6%
Q4 - 9:40MIAO'Neal 6' Hook Shot (12 PTS) (Walker 3 AST)63
13.2%
70
86.8%
Q4 - 9:54MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)61
10.8%
70
89.2%
Q4 - 9:57CHIMISS Duhon 7' Jump Shot61
10.1%
70
89.9%
Q4 - 10:19CHIBULLS Rebound61
9.6%
70
90.4%
Q4 - 10:19MIAMISS Anderson 24' 3PT Jump Shot61
10.2%
70
89.8%
Q4 - 10:35CHISweetney 7' Hook Shot (9 PTS)61
11.9%
70
88.1%
Q4 - 10:51CHIHinrich REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)61
14.3%
68
85.7%
Q4 - 10:51MIAMISS Wade 21' Jump Shot61
15.2%
68
84.8%
Q4 - 11:01MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)61
18.4%
68
81.6%
Q4 - 11:03CHIMISS Nocioni 20' Jump Shot61
17.4%
68
82.6%
Q4 - 11:26MIAWade Dunk (14 PTS) (Anderson 1 AST)61
15.2%
68
84.8%
Q4 - 11:49CHISweetney Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)59
12.7%
68
87.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA59
18.2%
65
81.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound59
21.8%
65
78.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Payton 40' 3PT Jump Shot59
19.2%
65
80.8%
Q3 - 0:01.0CHIHinrich Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T13)59
23.0%
65
77.0%
Q3 - 0:21.0MIAHaslem 16' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)59
19.5%
65
80.5%
Q3 - 0:32.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)57
16.4%
65
83.6%
Q3 - 0:34.0CHIMISS Hinrich 21' Jump Shot57
15.6%
65
84.4%
Q3 - 0:46.0CHIChandler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)57
13.8%
65
86.2%
Q3 - 0:48.0CHIMISS Nocioni 26' 3PT Jump Shot57
15.6%
65
84.4%
Q3 - 1:05MIAPayton 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)57
14.9%
65
85.1%
Q3 - 1:17MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)54
10.6%
65
89.4%
Q3 - 1:20CHIMISS Chandler Free Throw 2 of 254
10.4%
65
89.6%
Q3 - 1:20CHIMISS Chandler Free Throw 1 of 254
9.5%
65
90.5%
Q3 - 1:32CHINocioni REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)54
8.8%
65
91.2%
Q3 - 1:33MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot54
9.3%
65
90.7%
Q3 - 1:59CHIGordon Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T12)54
10.6%
65
89.4%
Q3 - 2:14MIADoleac 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)54
9.5%
65
90.5%
Q3 - 2:29CHIHinrich Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)52
8.2%
65
91.8%
Q3 - 2:44CHIBULLS Rebound52
6.7%
65
93.3%
Q3 - 2:45MIAMISS Walker 23' Jump Shot52
7.1%
65
92.9%
Q3 - 3:12CHIDeng Dunk (4 PTS) (Hinrich 6 AST)52
8.9%
65
91.1%
Q3 - 3:23MIAWade Foul Turnover (P5.T18)52
10.3%
63
89.7%
Q3 - 3:43CHIHinrich Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)52
12.2%
63
87.8%
Q3 - 3:43CHIHinrich Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)52
12.5%
62
87.5%
Q3 - 3:46MIAHinrich STEAL (1 STL)52
14.1%
61
85.9%
Q3 - 3:47MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)52
16.6%
61
83.4%
Q3 - 3:48MIAMISS Wade 15' Jump Shot52
14.8%
61
85.2%
Q3 - 4:06CHIGordon Driving Layup (20 PTS)52
17.4%
61
82.6%
Q3 - 4:19MIAMourning Traveling Turnover (P3.T16)52
19.6%
59
80.4%
Q3 - 4:46CHIGordon Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)52
22.9%
59
77.1%
Q3 - 4:46CHIGordon Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)52
23.4%
58
76.6%
Q3 - 4:49MIAGordon STEAL (2 STL)52
25.6%
57
74.4%
Q3 - 5:01MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)52
30.1%
57
69.9%
Q3 - 5:04MIAMISS Walker 3PT Jump Shot52
27.6%
57
72.4%
Q3 - 5:14MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)52
30.1%
57
69.9%
Q3 - 5:16CHIMISS Nocioni Layup52
29.0%
57
71.0%
Q3 - 5:21CHIHinrich REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)52
26.5%
57
73.5%
Q3 - 5:23MIAMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot52
27.5%
57
72.5%
Q3 - 5:42CHISweetney Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)52
30.1%
57
69.9%
Q3 - 5:42CHISweetney Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)52
31.0%
56
69.0%
Q3 - 5:42CHIBULLS Rebound52
33.4%
55
66.6%
Q3 - 5:43CHIMISS Hinrich 3PT Jump Shot52
36.2%
55
63.8%
Q3 - 5:46CHIChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)52
33.4%
55
66.6%
Q3 - 5:49CHIMISS Hinrich 14' Jump Shot52
36.2%
55
63.8%
Q3 - 6:01MIAMourning Foul Turnover (P2.T14)52
33.8%
55
66.2%
Q3 - 6:06MIAWade REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)52
37.8%
55
62.2%
Q3 - 6:08CHIMISS Hinrich 24' 3PT Jump Shot52
36.6%
55
63.4%
Q3 - 6:11CHISweetney REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)52
33.8%
55
66.2%
Q3 - 6:11CHIMISS Nocioni 6' Jump Shot52
36.6%
55
63.4%
Q3 - 6:20CHIBULLS Rebound52
33.8%
55
66.2%
Q3 - 6:20CHIMISS Gordon 25' 3PT Jump Shot52
36.6%
55
63.4%
Q3 - 6:23CHIHinrich REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)52
33.8%
55
66.2%
Q3 - 6:26MIAMISS Walker 20' Jump Shot52
35.0%
55
65.0%
Q3 - 6:51CHIGordon 11' Running Jump Shot (16 PTS)52
37.8%
55
62.2%
Q3 - 7:03CHIAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)52
41.0%
53
59.0%
Q3 - 7:05MIAMISS Walker 3PT Jump Shot52
42.3%
53
57.7%
Q3 - 7:24MIAHeat Rebound52
45.4%
53
54.6%
Q3 - 7:26CHIMISS Sweetney 5' Jump Shot52
44.0%
53
56.0%
Q3 - 7:36MIAWalker 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Williams 4 AST)52
41.0%
53
59.0%
Q3 - 7:44MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)49
34.3%
53
65.7%
Q3 - 7:47CHIMISS Nocioni 9' Jump Shot49
33.1%
53
66.9%
Q3 - 7:49CHISweetney REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)49
30.4%
53
69.6%
Q3 - 7:51CHIMISS Gordon 17' Jump Shot49
33.1%
53
66.9%
Q3 - 8:08MIAHaslem 13' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)49
30.9%
53
69.1%
Q3 - 8:24CHINocioni Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)47
28.2%
53
71.8%
Q3 - 8:24CHINocioni Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)47
28.7%
52
71.3%
Q3 - 8:31MIASweetney STEAL (1 STL)47
30.9%
51
69.1%
Q3 - 8:51CHIHinrich 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Allen 2 AST)47
34.7%
51
65.3%
Q3 - 8:55CHISweetney REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)47
37.7%
49
62.3%
Q3 - 8:57CHIMISS Nocioni 18' Jump Shot47
40.6%
49
59.4%
Q3 - 9:10MIAWalker 26' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)47
38.0%
49
62.0%
Q3 - 9:24MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)44
31.5%
49
68.5%
Q3 - 9:26CHIMISS Hinrich 18' Jump Shot44
30.5%
49
69.5%
Q3 - 9:38MIAWalker Foul Turnover (P2.T12)44
28.3%
49
71.7%
Q3 - 9:53CHIHinrich Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)44
31.5%
49
68.5%
Q3 - 9:53CHIHinrich Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)44
32.0%
48
68.0%
Q3 - 10:15MIAHaslem Driving Layup (6 PTS)44
34.9%
47
65.1%
Q3 - 10:48CHIGordon 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Allen 1 AST)42
32.0%
47
68.0%
Q3 - 11:04MIAO'Neal Layup (10 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)42
38.6%
44
61.4%
Q3 - 11:16MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)40
35.5%
44
64.5%
Q3 - 11:18CHIMISS Gordon 25' 3PT Jump Shot40
34.5%
44
65.5%
Q3 - 11:36CHIGordon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)40
32.3%
44
67.7%
Q3 - 11:38MIAMISS Walker 24' 3PT Jump Shot40
33.2%
44
66.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA40
35.5%
44
64.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound40
35.5%
44
64.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Payton 67' 3PT Jump Shot40
33.2%
44
66.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)40
35.5%
44
64.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0CHIMISS Allen Layup40
34.5%
44
65.5%
Q2 - 0:16.0MIAHaslem Dunk (4 PTS)40
33.4%
44
66.6%
Q2 - 0:17.0CHIPargo Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T10)38
29.7%
44
70.3%
Q2 - 0:40.0CHIDuhon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)38
27.7%
44
72.3%
Q2 - 0:42.0MIAPiatkowski BLOCK (1 BLK)38
28.3%
44
71.7%
Q2 - 0:56.0CHIGordon Foul Turnover (P2.T9)38
29.7%
44
70.3%
Q2 - 1:03MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T11)38
28.6%
44
71.4%
Q2 - 1:19CHINocioni Foul Turnover (P2.T8)38
29.9%
44
70.1%
Q2 - 1:36MIADuhon STEAL (2 STL)38
28.5%
44
71.5%
Q2 - 1:44MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)38
29.9%
44
70.1%
Q2 - 1:46MIAMISS Walker 10' Jump Shot38
28.9%
44
71.1%
Q2 - 2:01MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)38
31.0%
44
69.0%
Q2 - 2:02CHIMISS Allen 17' Jump Shot38
30.2%
44
69.8%
Q2 - 2:18MIAWade REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)38
28.5%
44
71.5%
Q2 - 2:18MIAWade Dunk (12 PTS)38
28.5%
44
71.5%
Q2 - 2:20MIAMISS Williams 3PT Jump Shot36
24.3%
44
75.7%
Q2 - 2:27MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)36
25.8%
44
74.2%
Q2 - 2:28CHIMISS Deng Layup36
25.1%
44
74.9%
Q2 - 2:29CHIDeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)36
23.7%
44
76.3%
Q2 - 2:31CHIMISS Allen 17' Jump Shot36
25.1%
44
74.9%
Q2 - 2:48MIAWalker 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)36
23.7%
44
76.3%
Q2 - 3:06CHINocioni 16' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Deng 1 AST)33
20.4%
44
79.6%
Q2 - 3:10CHIDuhon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)33
22.2%
42
77.8%
Q2 - 3:12MIAMISS Doleac 19' Jump Shot33
22.9%
42
77.1%
Q2 - 3:28MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
24.5%
42
75.5%
Q2 - 3:30CHIMISS Deng 18' Jump Shot33
23.8%
42
76.2%
Q2 - 3:46MIAWade Slam Dunk (10 PTS) (Walker 2 AST)33
22.1%
42
77.9%
Q2 - 3:57MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)31
20.3%
42
79.7%
Q2 - 3:57CHIMISS Duhon Layup31
19.7%
42
80.3%
Q2 - 4:07CHINocioni REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)31
19.1%
42
80.9%
Q2 - 4:09MIAMISS Mourning Layup31
19.7%
42
80.3%
Q2 - 4:38CHIDuhon 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Nocioni 1 AST)31
20.9%
42
79.1%
Q2 - 4:52MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)31
25.0%
39
75.0%
Q2 - 4:52MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)30
24.6%
39
75.4%
Q2 - 5:13MIAHeat Rebound29
23.4%
39
76.6%
Q2 - 5:13MIAMISS Wade 10' Jump Shot29
21.9%
39
78.1%
Q2 - 5:18CHIDuhon Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)29
23.4%
39
76.6%
Q2 - 5:28MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)29
21.3%
39
78.7%
Q2 - 5:28MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)28
20.9%
39
79.1%
Q2 - 5:28MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)27
19.6%
39
80.4%
Q2 - 5:28MIAMISS Wade 11' Jump Shot27
18.3%
39
81.7%
Q2 - 5:39MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)27
19.6%
39
80.4%
Q2 - 5:41CHIMISS Deng 20' Jump Shot27
19.0%
39
81.0%
Q2 - 5:54CHIGordon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)27
17.7%
39
82.3%
Q2 - 5:56MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot27
18.3%
39
81.7%
Q2 - 6:04CHIDeng Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)27
20.3%
39
79.7%
Q2 - 6:14MIAO'Neal Foul Turnover (P3.T9)27
18.3%
39
81.7%
Q2 - 6:32CHIDeng 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Hinrich 5 AST)27
20.3%
39
79.7%
Q2 - 6:35CHIChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
21.7%
37
78.3%
Q2 - 6:39MIAHinrich BLOCK (1 BLK)27
22.4%
37
77.6%
Q2 - 6:59CHINocioni Dunk (13 PTS) (Gordon 2 AST)27
24.0%
37
76.0%
Q2 - 7:03MIAGordon STEAL (1 STL)27
26.8%
35
73.2%
Q2 - 7:10CHIHinrich Driving Layup (6 PTS)27
29.0%
35
71.0%
Q2 - 7:26MIAO'Neal Dunk (8 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)27
31.0%
33
69.0%
Q2 - 7:51CHIHinrich Driving Layup (4 PTS)25
28.9%
33
71.1%
Q2 - 8:04CHINocioni REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)25
31.0%
31
69.0%
Q2 - 8:07MIAMISS Williams 3PT Jump Shot25
31.8%
31
68.2%
Q2 - 8:22CHINocioni Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P1.T5)25
33.6%
31
66.4%
Q2 - 8:25MIANocioni STEAL (3 STL)25
31.0%
31
69.0%
Q2 - 8:42MIAHeat Rebound25
33.6%
31
66.4%
Q2 - 8:44CHIMISS Nocioni 25' 3PT Jump Shot25
32.8%
31
67.2%
Q2 - 8:58MIAO'Neal Traveling Turnover (P2.T6)25
31.1%
31
68.9%
Q2 - 9:27CHINocioni Reverse Layup (11 PTS)25
33.8%
31
66.2%
Q2 - 9:45CHIBULLS Rebound25
35.8%
29
64.2%
Q2 - 9:46MIAMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot25
36.6%
29
63.4%
Q2 - 9:59MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)25
38.5%
29
61.5%
Q2 - 10:02CHIMISS Sweetney 6' Jump Shot25
37.7%
29
62.3%
Q2 - 10:09CHISweetney REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)25
35.9%
29
64.1%
Q2 - 10:11MIAMISS Anderson 18' Jump Shot25
36.7%
29
63.3%
Q2 - 10:33CHIGordon 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Duhon 1 AST)25
38.5%
29
61.5%
Q2 - 10:41CHISweetney REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)25
43.1%
26
56.9%
Q2 - 10:43MIAMISS Payton 3PT Jump Shot25
43.9%
26
56.1%
Q2 - 10:59CHISweetney Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)25
45.8%
26
54.2%
Q2 - 10:59CHISweetney Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)25
46.5%
25
53.5%
Q2 - 11:06MIADuhon STEAL (1 STL)25
47.9%
24
52.1%
Q2 - 11:30CHIGordon 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Hinrich 4 AST)25
50.3%
24
49.7%
Q2 - 11:47MIAMourning Layup (2 PTS) (Payton 1 AST)25
55.2%
21
44.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0CHI23
52.8%
21
47.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0CHIBULLS Rebound23
50.3%
21
49.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0CHIMISS Hinrich 15' Jump Shot23
52.0%
21
48.0%
Q1 - 0:05.0MIAWalker 11' Running Jump Shot (6 PTS)23
50.4%
21
49.6%
Q1 - 0:18.0MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)21
47.4%
21
52.6%
Q1 - 0:20.0CHIMISS Hinrich 25' 3PT Jump Shot21
46.9%
21
53.1%
Q1 - 0:34.0MIAWalker 10' Hook Shot (4 PTS)21
45.6%
21
54.4%
Q1 - 0:52.0CHIGordon Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)19
42.7%
21
57.3%
Q1 - 1:01CHIGordon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)19
41.0%
21
59.0%
Q1 - 1:02CHIMISS Deng Layup19
42.3%
21
57.7%
Q1 - 1:09CHIDuhon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
41.0%
21
59.0%
Q1 - 1:13MIADeng BLOCK (1 BLK)19
41.6%
21
58.4%
Q1 - 1:35CHINocioni Layup (9 PTS)19
42.8%
21
57.2%
Q1 - 1:57MIAPayton 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Anderson 1 AST)19
45.7%
19
54.3%
Q1 - 2:18MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
40.9%
19
59.1%
Q1 - 2:21CHIMISS Gordon 25' 3PT Jump Shot16
40.3%
19
59.7%
Q1 - 2:47MIAWade Driving Layup (4 PTS)16
38.8%
19
61.2%
Q1 - 3:08MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
36.9%
19
63.1%
Q1 - 3:09CHIMISS Chandler Free Throw 2 of 214
36.6%
19
63.4%
Q1 - 3:09CHIChandler Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)14
35.6%
19
64.4%
Q1 - 3:14MIANocioni STEAL (2 STL)14
36.7%
18
63.3%
Q1 - 3:14MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)14
39.1%
18
60.9%
Q1 - 3:17MIAMISS Anderson 21' Jump Shot14
37.4%
18
62.6%
Q1 - 3:28MIAHeat Rebound14
39.0%
18
61.0%
Q1 - 3:28MIAMISS Williams Layup14
37.4%
18
62.6%
Q1 - 3:32MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)14
39.0%
18
61.0%
Q1 - 3:34CHIMISS Hinrich Layup14
38.3%
18
61.7%
Q1 - 3:44MIAO'Neal Foul Turnover (P1.T3)14
36.7%
18
63.3%
Q1 - 4:05CHIHinrich 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)14
39.2%
18
60.8%
Q1 - 4:20MIAWade Dunk (2 PTS) (Walker 1 AST)14
40.9%
16
59.1%
Q1 - 4:26MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
39.2%
16
60.8%
Q1 - 4:27CHIMISS Nocioni 20' Jump Shot12
38.5%
16
61.5%
Q1 - 4:49MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)12
36.7%
16
63.3%
Q1 - 4:49MIAWalker Layup (2 PTS)12
36.7%
16
63.3%
Q1 - 4:50MIAMISS Haslem Layup10
33.4%
16
66.6%
Q1 - 5:04CHIAllen 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Hinrich 3 AST)10
35.4%
16
64.6%
Q1 - 5:17CHINocioni REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
37.2%
14
62.8%
Q1 - 5:19MIAMISS O'Neal Layup10
37.8%
14
62.2%
Q1 - 5:43CHIGordon 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Hinrich 2 AST)10
39.3%
14
60.7%
Q1 - 5:49MIANocioni STEAL (1 STL)10
43.2%
11
56.8%
Q1 - 6:15CHINocioni 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Gordon 1 AST)10
45.3%
11
54.7%
Q1 - 6:35MIAHaslem 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)10
49.3%
8
50.7%
Q1 - 6:53CHINocioni 22' Jump Shot (4 PTS)8
47.3%
8
52.7%
Q1 - 7:17MIAO'Neal Alley Oop Layup (6 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)8
49.0%
6
51.0%
Q1 - 7:23CHIHinrich Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)6
47.3%
6
52.7%
Q1 - 7:24CHIHinrich REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
45.2%
6
54.8%
Q1 - 7:26MIAChandler BLOCK (1 BLK)6
45.8%
6
54.2%
Q1 - 7:29MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)6
47.3%
6
52.7%
Q1 - 7:31MIAMISS Wade 15' Jump Shot6
45.8%
6
54.2%
Q1 - 7:34MIAHeat Rebound6
47.3%
6
52.7%
Q1 - 7:34MIAAllen BLOCK (2 BLK)6
45.8%
6
54.2%
Q1 - 7:54CHIGordon 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)6
47.3%
6
52.7%
Q1 - 8:03MIAO'Neal Layup (4 PTS)6
49.2%
4
50.8%
Q1 - 8:21CHIChandler Traveling Turnover (P1.T2)4
47.5%
4
52.5%
Q1 - 8:42MIAWilliams 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
45.4%
4
54.6%
Q1 - 8:47MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)2
43.8%
4
56.2%
Q1 - 8:48CHIMISS Sweetney 11' Jump Shot2
43.1%
4
56.9%
Q1 - 8:57MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)2
41.7%
4
58.3%
Q1 - 8:57MIAO'Neal Follow Up Dunk (2 PTS)2
41.7%
4
58.3%
Q1 - 8:58MIAMISS Williams Layup0
38.7%
4
61.3%
Q1 - 9:26CHINocioni Layup (2 PTS) (Hinrich 1 AST)0
40.1%
4
59.9%
Q1 - 9:37CHIAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
41.4%
2
58.6%
Q1 - 9:38MIAMISS Haslem 6' Hook Shot0
42.1%
2
57.9%
Q1 - 9:48MIAHeat Rebound0
43.7%
2
56.3%
Q1 - 9:48MIAAllen BLOCK (1 BLK)0
42.1%
2
57.9%
Q1 - 9:51MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)0
43.7%
2
56.3%
Q1 - 9:53CHIMISS Nocioni 17' Jump Shot0
43.0%
2
57.0%
Q1 - 10:14CHIBULLS Rebound0
41.5%
2
58.5%
Q1 - 10:15MIAMISS Wade 7' Jump Shot0
42.1%
2
57.9%
Q1 - 10:22MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)0
43.6%
2
56.4%
Q1 - 10:24MIASweetney BLOCK (1 BLK)0
42.1%
2
57.9%
Q1 - 10:25MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
43.6%
2
56.4%
Q1 - 10:27MIAMISS Walker 26' 3PT Jump Shot0
42.1%
2
57.9%
Q1 - 10:34MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)0
43.6%
2
56.4%
Q1 - 10:36CHIMISS Gordon 24' 3PT Jump Shot0
42.9%
2
57.1%
Q1 - 10:48MIAWalker Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)0
41.5%
2
58.5%
Q1 - 10:51MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
43.6%
2
56.4%
Q1 - 10:53MIAMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot0
42.1%
2
57.9%
Q1 - 11:16CHIAllen 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)0
43.4%
2
56.6%
Q1 - 11:27CHISweetney REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
45.4%
0
54.6%
Q1 - 11:29MIAMISS O'Neal Layup0
45.9%
0
54.1%
Q1 - 11:48CHISweetney Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
47.1%
0
52.9%
Q1 - 12:00CHIJump Ball Sweetney vs. O'Neal: Tip to Nocioni0
45.4%
0
54.6%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.93 46.3%
CHI
1.11 55.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
19
32
59%
CHI
10
18
56%
Midrange
MIA
9
31
29%
CHI
14
33
42%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
9
13.5
26
35%
52%
CHI
7
10.5
17
41%
62%
Free Throws
MIA
4
5
80%
CHI
24
31
77%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
A. Walker2155%10.5 / 19
D. Wade2040%10.0 / 25
S. O'Neal1662%8.0 / 13
U. Haslem1260%6.0 / 10
G. Payton660%3.0 / 5
D. Anderson675%3.0 / 4
J. Williams211%1.0 / 9
A. Mourning250%1.0 / 2
M. Doleac250%1.0 / 2
S. Anderson0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
CHI logo Bulls
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
A. Nocioni2457%12.0 / 21
B. Gordon2368%11.5 / 17
K. Hinrich2155%10.5 / 19
M. Sweetney956%4.5 / 8
C. Duhon770%3.5 / 5
M. Allen440%2.0 / 5
L. Deng433%2.0 / 6
T. Chandler125%0.5 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
70
+22
-19
92
CHI
73
+11
-17
84
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.93 46.3%
CHI
1.11 55.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
105.5
104.1
MIA 97.8 +5.6
CHI 103.3
Pace
90.9
94.7
MIA 82.6
CHI 98.9 +16.2
Avg. Poss. Time
16.3
13.9
MIA 17.4
CHI 14.6 +2.9
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.5%
49.7%
MIA 46.6%
CHI 50.7% +4.1%
TO %
16.6%
16.2%
MIA 17.2%
CHI 17.2%
ORB %
24.8%
21.6%
MIA 36.6% +13.1%
CHI 23.5%
FTrt
42.7
39.7
MIA 5.6
CHI 45.6 +40.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
50.2%
53.9%
MIA 62.2% +4.1%
CHI 58.1%
STL %
7.7%
6.0%
MIA 7.9%
CHI 10.0% +2.1%
BLK %
7.9%
6.9%
MIA 9.8%
CHI 11.1% +1.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.03 and 2.03.

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.9%
54.1%
MIA 46.3%
CHI 55.4% +9.1%
Rim FG%
62.8%
55.3%
MIA 59.4% +3.8%
CHI 55.6%
Mid FG%
44.0%
41.2%
MIA 29.0%
CHI 42.4% +13.4%
3P %
33.3%
39.5%
MIA 34.6%
CHI 41.2% +6.6%
FT %
65.5%
74.2%
MIA 80.0% +2.6%
CHI 77.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
36.9%
26.9%
MIA 36.0% +9.5%
CHI 26.5%
Mid Att. %
36.7%
47.2%
MIA 34.8% +13.7%
CHI 48.5%
3P Att. %
26.4%
26.0%
MIA 29.2% +4.2%
CHI 25.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.44 and 2.44.
Game TotalsMIACHI
Possessions8990
Possession Minutes25.921.9
Points8793
Rebounds4134
Assists2318
Steals79
Blocks57
Turnovers (Team)19 (0)17 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)15 (7)8 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)26 (2)26 (5)
Field Goals37-8931-68
At-the-Rim FG19-3210-18
Midrange FG9-3114-33
2-Point FG28-6324-51
3-Point FG9-267-17
Free Throws4-524-31
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'4" 220 · 24
45.3
20
40%
6
10
3
2
5
3
4
2
4-4
100%
8-22
36%
0-1
0%
F · 6'9" 245 · 30
38.7
21
55%
5
3
0
1
3
4
2
3
0-0
-
3-7
43%
5-12
42%
F · 6'8" 235 · 26
34.0
12
60%
9
0
1
0
0
6
4
5
0-0
-
6-10
60%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 180 · 30
24.1
2
11%
1
4
1
0
3
5
0
1
0-0
-
1-5
20%
0-4
0%
C · 7'1" 325 · 34
23.9
16
62%
8
0
0
0
3
4
3
5
0-1
0%
8-13
62%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 190 · 38
26.4
6
60%
1
1
1
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
2-5
40%
G · 6'5" 195 · 32
18.6
6
75%
2
4
1
0
2
3
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
-
2-4
50%
C · 6'10" 261 · 36
14.2
2
50%
6
0
0
2
3
3
1
5
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 262 · 29
9.1
2
50%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 32
5.7
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 217 · 29
F · 6'9" 250 · 23
#24 · F · 6'8" 215 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
87
46%
41
23
7
5
19
0
15
26
4-5
80%
28-63
44%
9-26
35%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.