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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
April 13, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
20Magic16%8392
2Spurs84%9680
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 25.0
40.3
29.4
10
48%
2
1
1
1
0
1
1
1
2-3
67%
4-9
4-8
44%
44%
0-0
-
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 20.3
37.8
33.7
22
61%
13
1
1
1
1
2
3
10
4-7
57%
9-15
5-9
60%
51%
0-0
-
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 27.1
35.9
33.2
15
61%
4
1
1
1
0
1
0
4
2-3
67%
5-10
3-7
50%
44%
1-1
100%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 24.2
35.5
32.2
19
53%
7
8
2
1
0
3
0
7
2-2
100%
7-15
5-10
47%
48%
1-2
50%
Tony Battie
C · 6'11" 240 · 30.2
30.6
27.3
6
33%
4
2
2
0
1
0
3
1
0-0
-
3-9
3-6
33%
49%
0-0
-
Darko Milicic
C · 7'0" 275 · 20.8
27.6
18.7
14
65%
7
0
1
0
3
1
3
4
4-4
100%
5-9
3-6
56%
45%
0-0
-
Keyon Dooling
G · 6'3" 195 · 25.9
20.1
22.2
6
50%
0
2
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
3-5
3-7
60%
44%
0-1
0%
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 20.8
12.1
13.2
0
0%
2
0
1
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
41%
0-0
-
Bo Outlaw
F · 6'8" 220 · 35.0
9.5
0
1-2
48%
Travis Diener
G · 6'1" 175 · 24.1
6.9
0
0-0
37%
Stacey Augmon
F-G · 6'8" 213 · 37.7
4.6
0
0-1
38%
Pat Garrity
F · 6'9" 238 · 29.6
4.6
0
0-1
43%
Mario Kasun
C · 7'1" 260 · 26.0
Grant Hill
F · 6'8" 225 · 33.5
Carlos Arroyo
G · 6'2" 200 · 26.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 30.0
37.6
33.9
31
66%
13
6
2
1
2
5
1
12
7-10
70%
12-19
7-13
63%
51%
0-0
-
Bruce Bowen
F · 6'7" 200 · 34.8
34.7
33.0
3
75%
3
1
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
46%
1-2
50%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 23.9
25.8
31.4
12
55%
4
4
1
1
0
7
2
2
0-0
-
6-11
7-13
55%
56%
0-0
-
Brent Barry
G · 6'7" 210 · 34.3
25.3
24.2
5
22%
4
5
0
1
0
1
1
3
0-1
0%
1-7
1-3
14%
55%
1-4
25%
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 28.6
15.7
20.0
2
26%
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-2
0%
1-3
3-5
33%
52%
0-0
-
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 33.1
36.0
27.4
16
71%
4
2
2
1
1
0
1
3
2-3
67%
4-6
2-5
67%
47%
2-4
50%
Rasho Nesterovic
C · 7'0" 255 · 29.9
22.5
13.9
2
33%
5
0
0
0
0
0
2
3
0-0
-
1-3
2-3
33%
52%
0-0
-
Robert Horry
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 35.6
19.2
19.1
9
50%
6
1
0
1
2
0
3
3
0-0
-
3-6
1-2
50%
46%
1-3
33%
Nick Van Exel
G · 6'1" 190 · 34.4
16.6
17.3
0
0%
1
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
44%
0-1
0%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 23.8
5.6
7.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
51%
0-0
-
Fabricio Oberto
C · 6'10" 245 · 31.1
1.0
9.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
53%
0-0
-
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 28.7
28.6
1
4-7
53%
Melvin Sanders
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 25.3
Sean Marks
F-C · 6'10" 250 · 30.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.