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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
April 23, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
10Grizzlies34%8193
4Mavericks66%86103
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 25.8
40.8
39.4
24
53%
7
4
1
1
2
2
1
6
8-11
73%
8-17
7-14
47%
49%
0-1
0%
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 27.6
39.6
26.9
6
75%
6
1
3
1
2
3
2
4
0-0
-
3-4
2-4
75%
48%
0-0
-
Eddie Jones
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 34.5
34.3
26.9
16
75%
0
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
4-6
67%
3-5
1-3
60%
44%
2-3
67%
Jake Tsakalidis
C · 7'2" 290 · 26.9
27.3
20.8
11
62%
8
2
1
0
0
2
3
5
1-2
50%
5-8
2-5
63%
50%
0-0
-
Chucky Atkins
G · 5'11" 185 · 31.7
15.2
18.4
4
40%
0
1
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
43%
0-2
0%
Bobby Jackson
G · 6'1" 185 · 33.1
32.8
20.5
11
56%
3
4
0
1
0
5
0
3
3-4
75%
1-3
2-4
33%
41%
2-5
40%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 26.2
27.9
25.0
9
77%
3
1
1
0
0
3
0
3
2-2
100%
2-4
2-4
50%
49%
1-1
100%
Lorenzen Wright
F-C · 6'11" 255 · 30.5
12.5
19.7
7
72%
2
0
0
0
0
2
1
1
1-2
50%
3-4
2-5
75%
46%
0-0
-
Brian Cardinal
F · 6'8" 240 · 29.0
7.2
17.3
3
75%
0
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
40%
1-2
50%
Dahntay Jones
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 25.3
2.5
19.5
2
114%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-0
2-5
-
43%
0-0
-
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 23.8
15.6
0
2-5
45%
Antonio Burks
G · 6'0" 195 · 26.2
8.1
0
1-2
40%
Anthony Roberson
G · 6'2" 180 · 23.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 27.8
44.8
20.9
31
63%
11
3
1
0
0
1
2
9
13-15
87%
9-15
4-8
60%
47%
0-3
0%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 28.6
36.4
23.9
20
57%
3
4
1
1
0
3
1
2
5-6
83%
6-11
3-6
55%
49%
1-4
25%
Adrian Griffin
G-F · 6'5" 230 · 31.8
22.8
22.2
5
46%
3
2
4
1
0
1
0
3
1-1
100%
2-5
2-4
40%
44%
0-0
-
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 26.0
18.1
22.0
8
57%
1
2
0
1
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
1-5
4-8
20%
47%
2-2
100%
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 24.2
15.0
28.6
0
0%
5
0
0
1
1
2
1
4
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
43%
0-0
-
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 30.8
33.0
17.4
12
68%
12
0
2
0
2
0
7
5
4-4
100%
4-7
1-3
57%
50%
0-0
-
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 31.5
32.5
22.1
14
47%
1
1
0
0
0
2
1
0
7-9
78%
2-8
3-6
25%
42%
1-3
33%
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 25.3
25.8
14.4
13
72%
3
3
2
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
5-8
2-4
63%
47%
1-1
100%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 23.2
11.6
9.6
0
0%
1
2
2
0
0
3
1
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
47%
0-0
-
Josh Powell
F · 6'9" 240 · 23.2
29.7
1
2-5
47%
DJ Mbenga
C · 7'0" 255 · 25.3
13.1
0
1-3
50%
Darrell Armstrong
G · 6'1" 180 · 37.8
8.8
0
0-1
42%
Keith Van Horn
F · 6'10" 245 · 30.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.