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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
April 27, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
6Heat41%9390
14Bulls59%96109
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 24.3
41.1
39.1
26
50%
4
4
0
2
1
4
0
4
8-9
89%
9-20
8-17
45%
48%
0-2
0%
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 30.4
34.9
30.6
17
79%
2
4
1
1
0
1
0
2
4-4
100%
2-4
2-4
50%
48%
3-5
60%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 25.9
32.6
12.4
10
53%
10
0
0
0
0
1
5
5
6-10
60%
2-5
1-3
40%
50%
0-0
-
Antoine Walker
F · 6'9" 245 · 29.7
30.7
39.1
11
46%
6
3
2
1
0
2
0
6
1-2
50%
2-5
4-9
40%
46%
2-6
33%
Shaquille O'Neal
C · 7'1" 325 · 34.1
24.5
33.1
8
38%
4
1
0
0
0
7
2
2
0-6
0%
4-8
7-13
50%
56%
0-0
-
James Posey
F · 6'8" 217 · 29.3
20.4
25.6
7
51%
7
2
1
1
0
0
1
6
2-2
100%
1-2
1-2
50%
44%
1-4
25%
Gary Payton
G · 6'4" 190 · 37.8
15.1
23.0
3
75%
1
2
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
47%
1-1
100%
Michael Doleac
C · 6'11" 262 · 28.9
14.3
13.6
0
0%
4
0
0
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
43%
0-0
-
Derek Anderson
G · 6'5" 195 · 31.8
10.8
12.0
8
67%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
40%
2-4
50%
Alonzo Mourning
C · 6'10" 261 · 36.2
8.1
5.4
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
54%
0-0
-
Shandon Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 32.3
4.8
11.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
45%
0-0
-
Wayne Simien
F · 6'9" 250 · 23.1
2.8
6.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
47%
0-0
-
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 25.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 23.1
43.2
39.1
24
56%
3
3
0
1
0
3
1
2
5-8
63%
5-12
4-10
42%
42%
3-6
50%
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 25.3
40.0
36.0
22
52%
2
11
3
1
0
1
0
2
8-9
89%
4-11
4-10
36%
43%
2-6
33%
Andres Nocioni
· 6'7" 225 · 26.4
33.3
38.0
19
62%
9
3
0
1
1
2
1
8
9-10
90%
5-9
5-11
56%
47%
0-2
0%
Michael Sweetney
F · 6'8" 270 · 23.5
27.8
15.8
10
65%
7
1
1
0
1
1
2
5
2-6
33%
4-5
2-5
80%
47%
0-0
-
Malik Allen
F · 6'10" 255 · 27.8
17.2
17.1
2
100%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
3-6
100%
46%
0-0
-
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 21.0
33.0
31.0
21
54%
8
1
2
1
1
0
2
6
5-8
63%
8-16
5-11
50%
48%
0-0
-
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 23.7
12.2
24.4
3
32%
2
2
0
1
0
1
1
1
3-4
75%
0-1
1-3
0%
42%
0-2
0%
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 23.6
10.3
23.8
2
69%
5
0
0
0
0
0
1
4
0-1
0%
1-1
2-3
100%
51%
0-0
-
Othella Harrington
F-C · 6'9" 235 · 32.2
8.1
4.3
0
0%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
49%
0-0
-
Luke Schenscher
C · 7'1" 265 · 24.3
6.6
1.3
2
100%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
50%
0-0
-
Jannero Pargo
G · 6'1" 185 · 26.5
6.2
2.5
4
50%
4
1
0
0
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
2-4
0-1
50%
39%
0-0
-
Eric Piatkowski
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 35.6
2.2
4.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
44%
0-0
-
Randy Livingston
G · 6'4" 209 · 31.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.