FinalWin Prob.pScore
641%93
90
1459%96
109
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
94.79590.1
CHI logo CHI
116.09499.5

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

BullsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

BullsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIACHI
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA90
0%
109
100%
Q4 - 0:04.0CHIPargo 11' Jump Shot (4 PTS)90
0%
109
100%
Q4 - 0:28.0CHIPargo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)90
0%
107
100%
Q4 - 0:30.0MIAMISS Simien 19' Jump Shot90
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 0:52.0MIAHeat Rebound90
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 0:52.0CHIMISS Duhon 23' Jump Shot90
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 1:13MIAAnderson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Payton 2 AST)90
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 1:28CHIPargo Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)87
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 1:36CHIPargo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)87
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 1:38MIAMISS Simien 11' Jump Shot87
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 1:49MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)87
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 1:51CHIMISS Gordon 24' 3PT Jump Shot87
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 2:02CHIPargo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)87
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 2:04MIAMISS Anderson 18' Jump Shot87
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 2:14CHIGordon Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)87
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 2:14CHIMISS Gordon Free Throw 1 of 287
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 2:30MIAAnderson 19' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Payton 1 AST)87
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 2:50CHINocioni Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)85
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 2:50CHINocioni Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)85
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 2:50CHIBULLS Rebound85
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 2:50MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot85
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 3:09CHIDeng Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)85
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 3:09CHIDeng Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)85
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 3:09CHIHinrich Free Throw Technical (22 PTS)85
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 3:09CHIMISS Gordon Free Throw Technical85
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 3:15CHIMISS Hinrich Free Throw Flagrant 2 of 285
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 3:15CHIHinrich Free Throw Flagrant 1 of 2 (21 PTS)85
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 3:15CHIChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)85
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 3:18MIANocioni BLOCK (1 BLK)85
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 3:27MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)85
0.2%
100
99.8%
Q4 - 3:28CHIMISS Deng 16' Jump Shot85
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 3:37CHIBULLS Rebound85
0.3%
100
99.7%
Q4 - 3:38CHIMISS Gordon Layup85
0.3%
100
99.7%
Q4 - 3:46CHIChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)85
0.3%
100
99.7%
Q4 - 3:47MIAMISS Williams 3PT Jump Shot85
0.3%
100
99.7%
Q4 - 3:52MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)85
0.4%
100
99.6%
Q4 - 3:53CHIMISS Deng Layup85
0.3%
100
99.7%
Q4 - 3:55CHIDeng REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)85
0.2%
100
99.8%
Q4 - 3:56CHIMISS Gordon Layup85
0.3%
100
99.7%
Q4 - 4:13MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (26 PTS)85
0.2%
100
99.8%
Q4 - 4:13MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (25 PTS)84
0.2%
100
99.8%
Q4 - 4:34CHIDeng 20' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Nocioni 3 AST)83
0.2%
100
99.8%
Q4 - 4:46CHINocioni REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)83
0.2%
98
99.8%
Q4 - 4:47MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 183
0.2%
98
99.8%
Q4 - 4:57MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)81
0.2%
98
99.8%
Q4 - 4:59MIAMISS Wade 22' Jump Shot81
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 5:14CHIHinrich Traveling Turnover (P1.T10)81
0.3%
98
99.7%
Q4 - 5:14CHIBULLS Rebound81
0.2%
98
99.8%
Q4 - 5:14CHIMISS Hinrich Layup81
0.3%
98
99.7%
Q4 - 5:30MIAWade Driving Layup (24 PTS)81
0.2%
98
99.8%
Q4 - 6:00CHINocioni 19' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Hinrich 11 AST)79
0.2%
98
99.8%
Q4 - 6:18MIAWade 8' Jump Shot (22 PTS)79
0.4%
96
99.6%
Q4 - 6:39CHIDeng 22' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Gordon 3 AST)77
0.3%
96
99.7%
Q4 - 6:50MIAO'Neal 9' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Walker 3 AST)77
0.4%
94
99.6%
Q4 - 6:58MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)75
0.3%
94
99.7%
Q4 - 7:00CHIMISS Gordon 5' Jump Shot75
0.2%
94
99.8%
Q4 - 7:02CHIGordon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)75
0.3%
94
99.7%
Q4 - 7:03CHIMISS Gordon 12' Jump Shot75
0.4%
94
99.6%
Q4 - 7:10MIAWalker Foul Turnover (P2.T19)75
0.3%
94
99.7%
Q4 - 7:21MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)75
0.5%
94
99.5%
Q4 - 7:23CHIMISS Deng Free Throw 2 of 275
0.4%
94
99.6%
Q4 - 7:23CHIDeng Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)75
0.4%
94
99.6%
Q4 - 7:31MIAO'Neal Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P7.T18)75
0.4%
93
99.6%
Q4 - 7:45MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)75
0.6%
93
99.4%
Q4 - 7:46CHIMISS Hinrich 16' Jump Shot75
0.5%
93
99.5%
Q4 - 7:54MIAO'Neal Traveling Turnover (P6.T17)75
0.4%
93
99.6%
Q4 - 8:12MIAHeat Rebound75
0.8%
93
99.2%
Q4 - 8:14CHIMISS Nocioni 14' Jump Shot75
0.8%
93
99.2%
Q4 - 8:35CHINocioni REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)75
0.6%
93
99.4%
Q4 - 8:37MIAMISS Posey 24' 3PT Jump Shot75
0.7%
93
99.3%
Q4 - 8:59CHIDeng 18' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Hinrich 10 AST)75
0.8%
93
99.2%
Q4 - 9:05CHINocioni REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)75
1.4%
91
98.6%
Q4 - 9:06MIAMISS Wade Layup75
1.5%
91
98.5%
Q4 - 9:16CHINocioni Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)75
1.8%
91
98.2%
Q4 - 9:37MIAPosey 7' Jump Shot (7 PTS)75
1.4%
91
98.6%
Q4 - 9:54MIAHeat Rebound73
1.1%
91
98.9%
Q4 - 9:54CHIMISS Hinrich Layup73
1.0%
91
99.0%
Q4 - 10:10MIAO'Neal Layup (4 PTS)73
1.1%
91
98.9%
Q4 - 10:13MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)71
0.9%
91
99.1%
Q4 - 10:15MIAMISS Wade 13' Jump Shot71
0.7%
91
99.3%
Q4 - 10:22CHIDuhon Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)71
0.9%
91
99.1%
Q4 - 10:23CHIDuhon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)71
0.7%
91
99.3%
Q4 - 10:25CHIMISS Deng 15' Jump Shot71
0.8%
91
99.2%
Q4 - 10:39CHIDeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)71
0.7%
91
99.3%
Q4 - 10:40MIAMISS O'Neal Layup71
0.7%
91
99.3%
Q4 - 10:57CHISweetney Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)71
0.9%
91
99.1%
Q4 - 11:01CHIDuhon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)71
1.6%
88
98.4%
Q4 - 11:03MIASweetney BLOCK (1 BLK)71
1.7%
88
98.3%
Q4 - 11:19MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)71
2.0%
88
98.0%
Q4 - 11:20CHIMISS Duhon Free Throw 2 of 271
1.9%
88
98.1%
Q4 - 11:20CHIDuhon Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)71
1.7%
88
98.3%
Q4 - 11:24MIAHinrich STEAL (3 STL)71
2.0%
87
98.0%
Q4 - 11:39MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)71
2.4%
87
97.6%
Q4 - 11:41CHIMISS Deng 7' Jump Shot71
2.3%
87
97.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA71
2.0%
87
98.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0CHIGordon Running Layup (23 PTS)71
2.4%
87
97.6%
Q3 - 0:09.0CHIGordon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)71
3.5%
85
96.5%
Q3 - 0:12.0MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 271
3.6%
85
96.4%
Q3 - 0:12.0MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 271
3.9%
85
96.1%
Q3 - 0:30.0CHIDuhon Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)71
4.3%
85
95.7%
Q3 - 0:30.0CHIDuhon Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)71
4.4%
84
95.6%
Q3 - 0:34.0CHIChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)71
5.2%
83
94.8%
Q3 - 0:36.0MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot71
5.5%
83
94.5%
Q3 - 0:55.0CHIDeng Running Layup (10 PTS)71
6.3%
83
93.7%
Q3 - 1:01CHIChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)71
8.4%
81
91.6%
Q3 - 1:02MIAMISS Posey 26' 3PT Jump Shot71
8.9%
81
91.1%
Q3 - 1:13MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)71
10.1%
81
89.9%
Q3 - 1:15CHIMISS Hinrich 16' Jump Shot71
9.6%
81
90.4%
Q3 - 1:23MIAPosey Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)71
8.4%
81
91.6%
Q3 - 1:23MIAPosey Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)70
8.2%
81
91.8%
Q3 - 1:39MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)69
7.0%
81
93.0%
Q3 - 1:40CHIMISS Deng Free Throw 2 of 269
6.9%
81
93.1%
Q3 - 1:40CHIDeng Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)69
6.1%
81
93.9%
Q3 - 2:02MIAPosey 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)69
7.6%
80
92.4%
Q3 - 2:20CHIHinrich Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)66
5.4%
80
94.6%
Q3 - 2:20CHIHinrich Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)66
5.6%
79
94.4%
Q3 - 2:30MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)66
6.3%
78
93.7%
Q3 - 2:30MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 265
6.1%
78
93.9%
Q3 - 2:46CHIGordon 9' Running Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Nocioni 2 AST)65
6.4%
78
93.6%
Q3 - 3:03MIAWade Dunk (19 PTS) (Walker 2 AST)65
8.2%
76
91.8%
Q3 - 3:06MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)63
7.0%
76
93.0%
Q3 - 3:07CHIMISS Gordon 26' 3PT Jump Shot63
6.6%
76
93.4%
Q3 - 3:14MIAHinrich STEAL (2 STL)63
5.9%
76
94.1%
Q3 - 3:28MIAHeat Rebound63
7.0%
76
93.0%
Q3 - 3:30MIAMISS Walker Layup63
6.2%
76
93.8%
Q3 - 3:51MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)63
7.0%
76
93.0%
Q3 - 3:53CHIMISS Chandler Free Throw 1 of 163
6.8%
76
93.2%
Q3 - 3:58CHIChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)63
8.1%
74
91.9%
Q3 - 4:00CHIMISS Nocioni 25' 3PT Jump Shot63
9.2%
74
90.8%
Q3 - 4:05CHIHinrich REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)63
8.6%
74
91.4%
Q3 - 4:07MIAMISS Walker 3PT Jump Shot63
9.1%
74
90.9%
Q3 - 4:17MIAHeat Rebound63
10.3%
74
89.7%
Q3 - 4:21MIAMISS Walker 24' 3PT Jump Shot63
9.1%
74
90.9%
Q3 - 4:41CHIGordon 25' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Nocioni 1 AST)63
10.2%
74
89.8%
Q3 - 4:56MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)63
13.6%
71
86.4%
Q3 - 4:56MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)62
13.2%
71
86.8%
Q3 - 5:03MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)61
12.6%
71
87.4%
Q3 - 5:04CHIMISS Hinrich 24' 3PT Jump Shot61
12.0%
71
88.0%
Q3 - 5:11MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)61
10.7%
71
89.3%
Q3 - 5:11MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 1 of 260
10.4%
71
89.6%
Q3 - 5:29CHIHinrich 21' Jump Shot (18 PTS)60
10.8%
71
89.2%
Q3 - 5:40MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)60
12.4%
69
87.6%
Q3 - 5:40MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)59
12.0%
69
88.0%
Q3 - 5:55CHIHinrich Driving Layup (16 PTS)58
10.8%
69
89.2%
Q3 - 6:09MIAWade 9' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Williams 4 AST)58
13.0%
67
87.0%
Q3 - 6:23CHIHinrich Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)56
11.4%
67
88.6%
Q3 - 6:23CHIHinrich Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)56
11.7%
66
88.3%
Q3 - 6:31MIAMourning Foul Turnover (P2.T14)56
13.0%
65
87.0%
Q3 - 6:46CHIGordon 26' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Hinrich 9 AST)56
15.0%
65
85.0%
Q3 - 6:52MIASweetney STEAL (1 STL)56
19.4%
62
80.6%
Q3 - 7:11CHIHinrich 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Sweetney 1 AST)56
22.6%
62
77.4%
Q3 - 7:31MIAWalker 26' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)56
28.0%
59
72.0%
Q3 - 7:42MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)53
22.6%
59
77.4%
Q3 - 7:44CHIMISS Hinrich 3PT Jump Shot53
21.6%
59
78.4%
Q3 - 7:57MIAMourning Foul Turnover (P1.T12)53
19.6%
59
80.4%
Q3 - 8:11CHIHinrich 22' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Allen 1 AST)53
23.0%
59
77.0%
Q3 - 8:26MIAWilliams 24' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Walker 1 AST)53
25.3%
57
74.7%
Q3 - 8:47CHISweetney 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T7)50
20.4%
57
79.6%
Q3 - 8:59MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)50
17.7%
57
82.3%
Q3 - 8:59MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 1 of 249
17.3%
57
82.7%
Q3 - 9:19CHIAllen 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Hinrich 8 AST)49
18.2%
57
81.8%
Q3 - 9:34MIAWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)49
20.4%
55
79.6%
Q3 - 9:34MIAWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)48
20.1%
55
79.9%
Q3 - 9:47CHIGordon Layup (13 PTS)47
18.2%
55
81.8%
Q3 - 9:59MIAWalker 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)47
20.4%
53
79.6%
Q3 - 10:16CHIGordon Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)44
16.6%
53
83.4%
Q3 - 10:16CHIMISS Gordon Free Throw 1 of 244
17.0%
52
83.0%
Q3 - 10:31CHINocioni REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)44
16.4%
52
83.6%
Q3 - 10:34MIAMISS Haslem 15' Jump Shot44
17.1%
52
82.9%
Q3 - 10:52CHINocioni Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)44
18.7%
52
81.3%
Q3 - 10:52CHINocioni Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)44
19.0%
51
81.0%
Q3 - 11:07MIAHaslem 12' Fadeaway Jumper (6 PTS)44
21.1%
50
78.9%
Q3 - 11:22CHIHinrich 7' Finger Roll (7 PTS)42
19.0%
50
81.0%
Q3 - 11:41CHINocioni REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)42
21.1%
48
78.9%
Q3 - 11:42MIAMISS Wade Layup42
21.9%
48
78.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA42
23.6%
48
76.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound42
23.6%
48
76.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Wade 61' 3PT Jump Shot42
21.8%
48
78.2%
Q2 - 0:01.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)42
23.8%
48
76.2%
Q2 - 0:03.0CHIMISS Nocioni 25' 3PT Jump Shot42
23.3%
48
76.7%
Q2 - 0:23.0MIAWade Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P3.T11)42
22.1%
48
77.9%
Q2 - 0:31.0MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)42
23.8%
48
76.2%
Q2 - 0:33.0CHIMISS Pargo 22' Jump Shot42
23.3%
48
76.7%
Q2 - 0:42.0MIAWilliams Layup (12 PTS)42
22.1%
48
77.9%
Q2 - 0:58.0CHISchenscher Layup (2 PTS) (Pargo 1 AST)40
19.3%
48
80.7%
Q2 - 1:06CHIDeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)40
22.8%
46
77.2%
Q2 - 1:07MIAMISS Walker Layup40
23.2%
46
76.8%
Q2 - 1:19MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)40
24.0%
46
76.0%
Q2 - 1:21CHIMISS Hinrich 26' 3PT Jump Shot40
23.6%
46
76.4%
Q2 - 1:24CHISchenscher REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)40
22.8%
46
77.2%
Q2 - 1:26CHIMISS Pargo 19' Jump Shot40
23.6%
46
76.4%
Q2 - 1:40MIAHinrich STEAL (1 STL)40
22.8%
46
77.2%
Q2 - 1:58CHIPargo 23' Jump Shot (2 PTS)40
24.0%
46
76.0%
Q2 - 2:05CHIPargo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)40
27.4%
44
72.6%
Q2 - 2:08MIAMISS Anderson 3PT Jump Shot40
28.1%
44
71.9%
Q2 - 2:22MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)40
29.8%
44
70.2%
Q2 - 2:24CHIMISS Hinrich 14' Jump Shot40
29.0%
44
71.0%
Q2 - 2:39MIAWalker Layup (5 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)40
27.4%
44
72.6%
Q2 - 2:48MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)38
24.8%
44
75.2%
Q2 - 2:49CHIMISS Nocioni Layup38
24.1%
44
75.9%
Q2 - 2:51CHINocioni REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)38
22.7%
44
77.3%
Q2 - 2:52CHIMISS Hinrich Layup38
24.1%
44
75.9%
Q2 - 3:08CHISchenscher REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)38
23.0%
44
77.0%
Q2 - 3:08MIAMISS Walker Free Throw 2 of 238
23.3%
44
76.7%
Q2 - 3:08MIAWalker Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)38
24.4%
44
75.6%
Q2 - 3:20CHIPargo Traveling Turnover (P1.T6)37
23.3%
44
76.7%
Q2 - 3:33CHISweetney REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)37
20.9%
44
79.1%
Q2 - 3:35MIAMISS Williams 23' Jump Shot37
21.6%
44
78.4%
Q2 - 3:45CHISweetney Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)37
23.2%
44
76.8%
Q2 - 3:45CHIMISS Sweetney Free Throw 1 of 237
23.8%
43
76.2%
Q2 - 3:45CHIBULLS Rebound37
23.0%
43
77.0%
Q2 - 3:46CHIMISS Gordon 26' 3PT Jump Shot37
24.7%
43
75.3%
Q2 - 3:49CHISweetney REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)37
23.0%
43
77.0%
Q2 - 3:51CHIMISS Nocioni 15' Jump Shot37
24.7%
43
75.3%
Q2 - 4:19MIAWilliams Driving Layup (10 PTS)37
23.5%
43
76.5%
Q2 - 4:28CHIGordon Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T5)35
21.5%
43
78.5%
Q2 - 4:45MIAWade Layup (13 PTS)35
19.6%
43
80.4%
Q2 - 5:06CHISweetney Layup (8 PTS) (Hinrich 7 AST)33
18.2%
43
81.8%
Q2 - 5:22CHINocioni REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)33
19.8%
41
80.2%
Q2 - 5:23MIAMISS Williams 18' Jump Shot33
20.4%
41
79.6%
Q2 - 5:35MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)33
21.8%
41
78.2%
Q2 - 5:37CHIMISS Sweetney Free Throw 1 of 133
21.5%
41
78.5%
Q2 - 5:53MIAWade Layup (11 PTS)33
23.6%
39
76.4%
Q2 - 6:16CHINocioni Layup (13 PTS) (Hinrich 5 AST)31
22.3%
39
77.7%
Q2 - 6:21CHISweetney REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)31
23.8%
37
76.2%
Q2 - 6:23MIAMISS Walker Layup31
24.6%
37
75.4%
Q2 - 6:30MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
26.3%
37
73.7%
Q2 - 6:31CHIMISS Deng 20' Jump Shot31
25.5%
37
74.5%
Q2 - 6:55MIAAnderson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)31
23.8%
37
76.2%
Q2 - 7:09MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:5 Def:2)28
21.0%
37
79.0%
Q2 - 7:11CHIMISS Gordon 22' Jump Shot28
20.4%
37
79.6%
Q2 - 7:22CHIDeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)28
19.2%
37
80.8%
Q2 - 7:25MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot28
19.7%
37
80.3%
Q2 - 7:45CHIHinrich 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Gordon 2 AST)28
21.0%
37
79.0%
Q2 - 8:01CHIDeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)28
24.5%
34
75.5%
Q2 - 8:02MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 2 of 228
24.8%
34
75.2%
Q2 - 8:02MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 1 of 228
26.1%
34
73.9%
Q2 - 8:02MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:5 Def:1)28
26.8%
34
73.2%
Q2 - 8:03MIAMISS Doleac Layup28
25.2%
34
74.8%
Q2 - 8:17MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)28
26.8%
34
73.2%
Q2 - 8:19MIAMISS Wade 13' Jump Shot28
25.2%
34
74.8%
Q2 - 8:33MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)28
26.8%
34
73.2%
Q2 - 8:35MIAMISS Anderson 3PT Jump Shot28
25.2%
34
74.8%
Q2 - 8:54CHIDeng Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)28
26.8%
34
73.2%
Q2 - 8:54CHIMISS Deng Free Throw 1 of 228
27.3%
33
72.7%
Q2 - 9:08MIAPayton Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)28
26.7%
33
73.3%
Q2 - 9:40MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)28
29.0%
33
71.0%
Q2 - 9:42CHIMISS Deng 18' Jump Shot28
28.3%
33
71.7%
Q2 - 9:53CHIBULLS Rebound28
26.7%
33
73.3%
Q2 - 9:55CHIMISS Deng 17' Jump Shot28
28.3%
33
71.7%
Q2 - 9:59CHIDeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)28
26.7%
33
73.3%
Q2 - 10:01CHIMISS Duhon 24' 3PT Jump Shot28
28.4%
33
71.6%
Q2 - 10:09MIAHarrington STEAL (1 STL)28
26.9%
33
73.1%
Q2 - 10:25CHIDeng 14' Jump Shot (6 PTS)28
29.1%
33
70.9%
Q2 - 10:29MIADeng STEAL (2 STL)28
30.9%
31
69.1%
Q2 - 10:43CHIAllen Foul Turnover (P1.T4)28
33.4%
31
66.6%
Q2 - 11:02MIAHaslem 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Posey 1 AST)28
31.0%
31
69.0%
Q2 - 11:21MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
28.9%
31
71.1%
Q2 - 11:22CHIMISS Harrington Layup26
28.3%
31
71.7%
Q2 - 11:37MIAPayton 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)26
27.0%
31
73.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA23
23.3%
31
76.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound23
23.3%
31
76.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Posey 19' Jump Shot23
22.1%
31
77.9%
Q1 - 0:06.0CHIGordon 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Duhon 1 AST)23
23.3%
31
76.7%
Q1 - 0:31.0MIAWalker Foul Turnover (P1.T6)23
27.3%
28
72.7%
Q1 - 0:31.0MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)23
28.7%
28
71.3%
Q1 - 0:35.0MIAMISS Posey 24' 3PT Jump Shot23
27.7%
28
72.3%
Q1 - 0:52.0MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
28.7%
28
71.3%
Q1 - 0:54.0CHIMISS Gordon 21' Jump Shot23
28.3%
28
71.7%
Q1 - 1:13MIAO'Neal Foul Turnover (P4.T5)23
27.3%
28
72.7%
Q1 - 1:22CHIGordon Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T3)23
28.8%
28
71.2%
Q1 - 1:23CHIGordon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
27.3%
28
72.7%
Q1 - 1:24MIAMISS Wade 5' Jump Shot23
27.8%
28
72.2%
Q1 - 1:41CHIGordon Driving Layup (7 PTS)23
28.8%
28
71.2%
Q1 - 1:52MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)23
31.3%
26
68.7%
Q1 - 1:52MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)22
30.8%
26
69.2%
Q1 - 1:58MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
28.8%
26
71.2%
Q1 - 2:00CHIMISS Duhon 26' 3PT Jump Shot21
28.4%
26
71.6%
Q1 - 2:13CHIDeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
27.4%
26
72.6%
Q1 - 2:14MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 221
27.6%
26
72.4%
Q1 - 2:14MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 221
28.4%
26
71.6%
Q1 - 2:15MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)21
29.2%
26
70.8%
Q1 - 2:16MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot21
27.9%
26
72.1%
Q1 - 2:30CHIGordon Free Throw 3 of 3 (5 PTS)21
29.2%
26
70.8%
Q1 - 2:30CHIGordon Free Throw 2 of 3 (4 PTS)21
29.5%
25
70.5%
Q1 - 2:30CHIGordon Free Throw 1 of 3 (3 PTS)21
29.9%
24
70.1%
Q1 - 2:44CHINocioni REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
33.3%
23
66.7%
Q1 - 2:47MIADeng BLOCK (1 BLK)21
33.9%
23
66.1%
Q1 - 2:56MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)21
35.3%
23
64.7%
Q1 - 2:57MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 121
33.6%
23
66.4%
Q1 - 3:15MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)19
31.4%
23
68.6%
Q1 - 3:16CHIMISS Gordon 18' Jump Shot19
30.8%
23
69.2%
Q1 - 3:29MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)19
29.3%
23
70.7%
Q1 - 3:46CHINocioni Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)16
25.9%
23
74.1%
Q1 - 3:46CHIMISS Nocioni Free Throw 1 of 216
26.2%
22
73.8%
Q1 - 3:54MIAO'Neal 3 Second Violation Turnover (P3.T4)16
25.7%
22
74.3%
Q1 - 4:09CHIDeng Layup (4 PTS) (Gordon 1 AST)16
27.8%
22
72.2%
Q1 - 4:15CHIDeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
29.2%
20
70.8%
Q1 - 4:17MIAMISS O'Neal Layup16
29.9%
20
70.1%
Q1 - 4:41CHIDeng Dunk (2 PTS) (Hinrich 4 AST)16
31.5%
20
68.5%
Q1 - 4:45MIADeng STEAL (1 STL)16
33.0%
18
67.0%
Q1 - 5:05MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
35.2%
18
64.8%
Q1 - 5:05CHIMISS Sweetney Free Throw 2 of 216
34.9%
18
65.1%
Q1 - 5:05CHIMISS Sweetney Free Throw 1 of 216
33.8%
18
66.2%
Q1 - 5:06CHISweetney REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)16
33.1%
18
66.9%
Q1 - 5:08CHIMISS Deng 14' Jump Shot16
34.6%
18
65.4%
Q1 - 5:22MIAWilliams 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)16
33.1%
18
66.9%
Q1 - 5:39MIAHeat Rebound13
29.7%
18
70.3%
Q1 - 5:39CHIMISS Hinrich 24' 3PT Jump Shot13
29.1%
18
70.9%
Q1 - 5:51MIAHaslem Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)13
27.8%
18
72.2%
Q1 - 6:01CHINocioni Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)13
29.8%
18
70.2%
Q1 - 6:16MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)13
33.2%
15
66.8%
Q1 - 6:16MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)12
32.8%
15
67.2%
Q1 - 6:16MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)11
31.5%
15
68.5%
Q1 - 6:18MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot11
30.2%
15
69.8%
Q1 - 6:35CHISweetney Dunk (4 PTS) (Hinrich 3 AST)11
31.5%
15
68.5%
Q1 - 6:49MIAO'Neal 9' Jump Shot (2 PTS)11
33.2%
13
66.8%
Q1 - 7:04CHINocioni 23' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Hinrich 2 AST)9
31.8%
13
68.2%
Q1 - 7:21MIAWilliams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)9
33.3%
11
66.7%
Q1 - 7:35CHIGordon Traveling Turnover (P1.T2)6
30.1%
11
69.9%
Q1 - 7:39CHISweetney REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)6
28.4%
11
71.6%
Q1 - 7:40MIAMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot6
28.9%
11
71.1%
Q1 - 7:58CHINocioni Free Throw 3 of 3 (5 PTS)6
30.1%
11
69.9%
Q1 - 7:58CHINocioni Free Throw 2 of 3 (4 PTS)6
30.4%
10
69.6%
Q1 - 7:58CHINocioni Free Throw 1 of 3 (3 PTS)6
30.7%
9
69.3%
Q1 - 8:05CHIHinrich REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
33.4%
8
66.6%
Q1 - 8:07MIAMISS Haslem 19' Jump Shot6
33.9%
8
66.1%
Q1 - 8:27CHIHinrich Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)6
35.3%
8
64.7%
Q1 - 8:27CHIHinrich Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)6
35.6%
7
64.4%
Q1 - 8:42MIAWade 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)6
36.8%
6
63.2%
Q1 - 8:55CHINocioni Driving Layup (2 PTS)4
35.3%
6
64.7%
Q1 - 9:11MIAWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)4
36.5%
4
63.5%
Q1 - 9:11MIAWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)3
36.2%
4
63.8%
Q1 - 9:19CHIGordon Finger Roll (2 PTS)2
35.2%
4
64.8%
Q1 - 9:28MIAO'Neal 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T1)2
36.5%
2
63.5%
Q1 - 9:48MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
38.7%
2
61.3%
Q1 - 9:50MIAMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot2
37.2%
2
62.8%
Q1 - 10:10CHISweetney 9' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Hinrich 1 AST)2
38.5%
2
61.5%
Q1 - 10:21CHISweetney REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
40.1%
0
59.9%
Q1 - 10:22MIAMISS Walker 26' 3PT Jump Shot2
40.7%
0
59.3%
Q1 - 10:28MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
42.1%
0
57.9%
Q1 - 10:29CHIMISS Hinrich 13' Jump Shot2
41.5%
0
58.5%
Q1 - 10:47MIAWalker Layup (2 PTS)2
40.0%
0
60.0%
Q1 - 10:51CHINocioni Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
38.5%
0
61.5%
Q1 - 11:06CHISweetney REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
36.7%
0
63.3%
Q1 - 11:08MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot0
37.2%
0
62.8%
Q1 - 11:21MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
38.3%
0
61.7%
Q1 - 11:23CHIMISS Nocioni 21' Jump Shot0
37.8%
0
62.2%
Q1 - 11:33CHINocioni REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
36.7%
0
63.3%
Q1 - 11:35MIAMISS Wade 12' Jump Shot0
37.2%
0
62.8%
Q1 - 11:47MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
38.3%
0
61.7%
Q1 - 11:49CHIMISS Sweetney 6' Jump Shot0
37.8%
0
62.2%
Q1 - 12:00CHIJump Ball Sweetney vs. O'Neal: Tip to0
36.7%
0
63.3%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.99 49.5%
CHI
1.14 56.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
11
21
52%
CHI
15
24
63%
Midrange
MIA
10
29
34%
CHI
16
38
42%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
9
13.5
22
41%
61%
CHI
5
7.5
16
31%
47%
Free Throws
MIA
21
33
64%
CHI
32
46
70%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade2652%13.0 / 25
J. Williams1777%8.5 / 11
A. Walker1146%5.5 / 12
U. Haslem1050%5.0 / 10
S. O'Neal836%4.0 / 11
D. Anderson867%4.0 / 6
J. Posey750%3.5 / 7
G. Payton375%1.5 / 2
M. Doleac0-0.0 / 1
W. Simien0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
CHI logo Bulls
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
B. Gordon2457%12.0 / 21
K. Hinrich2255%11.0 / 20
L. Deng2155%10.5 / 19
A. Nocioni1963%9.5 / 15
M. Sweetney1063%5.0 / 8
J. Pargo450%2.0 / 4
C. Duhon330%1.5 / 5
M. Allen2100%1.0 / 1
T. Chandler2100%1.0 / 1
L. Schenscher2100%1.0 / 1
O. Harrington0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
76
+14
-19
90
CHI
83
+13
-11
96
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.99 49.5%
CHI
1.14 56.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
105.5
104.1
MIA 94.7 +21.2
CHI 116.0
Pace
90.9
94.7
MIA 90.1
CHI 99.5 +9.4
Avg. Poss. Time
16.3
13.9
MIA 16.0
CHI 14.5 +1.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.5%
49.7%
MIA 47.9%
CHI 49.4% +1.5%
TO %
16.6%
16.2%
MIA 18.0%
CHI 10.1% +7.9%
ORB %
24.8%
21.6%
MIA 23.3% +0.8%
CHI 22.5%
FTrt
42.7
39.7
MIA 45.8
CHI 59.0 +13.2
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
50.2%
53.9%
MIA 53.3%
CHI 63.9% +10.6%
STL %
7.7%
6.0%
MIA 4.2%
CHI 7.4% +3.2%
BLK %
7.9%
6.9%
MIA 1.6%
CHI 6.0% +4.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.03 and 2.03.

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.9%
54.1%
MIA 49.5%
CHI 56.8% +7.3%
Rim FG%
62.8%
55.3%
MIA 52.4%
CHI 62.5% +10.1%
Mid FG%
44.0%
41.2%
MIA 34.5%
CHI 42.1% +7.6%
3P %
33.3%
39.5%
MIA 40.9% +9.6%
CHI 31.3%
FT %
65.5%
74.2%
MIA 63.6%
CHI 69.6% +6.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
36.9%
26.9%
MIA 29.2%
CHI 30.8% +1.6%
Mid Att. %
36.7%
47.2%
MIA 40.3% +8.4%
CHI 48.7%
3P Att. %
26.4%
26.0%
MIA 30.6% +10.0%
CHI 20.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.44 and 2.44.
Game TotalsMIACHI
Possessions9594
Possession Minutes25.322.7
Points90109
Rebounds4142
Assists1623
Steals47
Blocks13
Turnovers (Team)19 (0)11 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (4)9 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)31 (4)33 (1)
Field Goals30-7236-78
At-the-Rim FG11-2115-24
Midrange FG10-2916-38
2-Point FG21-5031-62
3-Point FG9-225-16
Free Throws21-3332-46
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'4" 220 · 24
41.1
26
52%
4
4
0
1
4
1
0
4
8-9
89%
9-20
45%
0-2
0%
G · 6'1" 180 · 30
34.9
17
77%
2
4
1
0
1
2
0
2
4-4
100%
2-4
50%
3-5
60%
F · 6'8" 235 · 26
32.6
10
50%
10
0
0
0
1
3
5
5
6-10
60%
2-5
40%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 245 · 30
30.7
11
46%
6
3
2
0
2
6
0
6
1-2
50%
2-5
40%
2-6
33%
C · 7'1" 325 · 34
24.5
8
36%
4
1
0
0
7
5
2
2
0-6
0%
4-8
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 217 · 29
20.4
7
50%
7
2
1
0
0
4
1
6
2-2
100%
1-2
50%
1-4
25%
G · 6'4" 190 · 38
15.1
3
75%
1
2
0
0
2
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
1-1
100%
C · 6'11" 262 · 29
14.3
0
0%
4
0
0
0
0
3
1
3
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 195 · 32
10.8
8
67%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
50%
2-4
50%
C · 6'10" 261 · 36
8.1
0
0%
2
0
0
0
2
2
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 32
4.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 250 · 23
2.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
#24 · F · 6'8" 215 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
90
50%
41
16
4
1
19
0
10
31
21-33
64%
21-50
42%
9-22
41%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.