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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
April 22, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
14Bulls36%91106
13Heat64%95111
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 23.1
44.5
32.9
35
67%
2
3
1
1
0
2
0
2
6-7
86%
7-13
3-9
54%
41%
5-10
50%
Andres Nocioni
· 6'7" 225 · 26.4
41.9
31.5
18
45%
16
4
1
1
1
2
2
14
0-0
-
6-15
4-8
40%
46%
2-5
40%
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 25.3
38.8
35.9
19
60%
1
8
0
1
0
4
0
1
4-4
100%
3-9
4-10
33%
42%
3-5
60%
Malik Allen
F · 6'10" 255 · 27.8
20.8
16.3
10
59%
4
0
1
0
1
4
1
3
0-1
0%
5-8
2-5
63%
45%
0-0
-
Michael Sweetney
F · 6'8" 270 · 23.5
13.8
13.5
4
22%
5
3
0
0
1
0
5
0
0-0
-
2-9
2-4
22%
46%
0-0
-
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 23.6
27.4
23.6
5
73%
7
0
2
0
1
1
2
5
1-1
100%
2-3
2-3
67%
50%
0-0
-
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 23.6
25.9
21.8
6
60%
2
2
0
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
41%
2-3
67%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 21.0
21.7
32.9
6
52%
3
0
0
1
0
1
0
3
2-4
50%
2-2
6-12
100%
46%
0-2
0%
Othella Harrington
F-C · 6'9" 235 · 32.2
3.4
13.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
48%
0-0
-
Eric Piatkowski
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 35.6
1.8
2.6
3
150%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
45%
1-1
100%
Jannero Pargo
G · 6'1" 185 · 26.5
8.4
0
1-2
38%
Luke Schenscher
C · 7'1" 265 · 24.3
5.5
0
0-1
49%
Randy Livingston
G · 6'4" 209 · 31.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 24.3
44.5
26.9
30
54%
4
11
3
1
2
4
1
3
14-16
88%
8-20
6-12
40%
49%
0-1
0%
Antoine Walker
F · 6'9" 245 · 29.7
42.5
28.6
10
35%
5
1
4
1
1
2
0
5
2-3
67%
4-9
3-7
44%
47%
0-4
0%
Shaquille O'Neal
C · 7'1" 325 · 34.1
37.3
27.2
27
69%
16
1
2
0
5
6
3
13
5-8
63%
11-16
6-10
69%
57%
0-0
-
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 30.4
33.4
23.4
17
70%
4
3
0
1
0
1
0
4
7-7
100%
2-2
2-4
100%
49%
2-7
29%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 25.9
15.6
23.6
5
73%
7
0
0
0
0
3
2
5
1-1
100%
2-3
3-6
67%
51%
0-0
-
Gary Payton
G · 6'4" 190 · 37.7
26.0
19.6
6
50%
2
1
1
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
3-5
1-3
60%
48%
0-1
0%
James Posey
F · 6'8" 217 · 29.3
20.3
24.7
10
73%
3
1
0
1
0
0
0
3
1-2
50%
0-0
1-2
-
45%
3-6
50%
Shandon Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 32.3
12.8
7.1
2
53%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
2-2
100%
0-1
0-1
0%
46%
0-0
-
Michael Doleac
C · 6'11" 262 · 28.9
7.5
23.5
4
100%
4
0
1
0
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
2-2
2-6
100%
43%
0-0
-
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 25.2
21.5
0
2-4
42%
Wayne Simien
F · 6'9" 250 · 23.1
19.1
1
3-5
48%
Alonzo Mourning
C · 6'10" 261 · 36.2
8.0
0
1-2
54%
Derek Anderson
G · 6'5" 195 · 31.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.