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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
April 15, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
4Kings51%98100
14Nuggets49%9782
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kenny Thomas
C-F · 6'7" 245 · 28.7
39.0
23.4
18
82%
13
3
0
1
3
1
5
8
0-0
-
9-11
2-5
82%
49%
0-0
-
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 26.4
37.2
38.3
7
27%
5
2
0
2
0
0
0
5
0-0
-
2-10
5-10
20%
46%
1-3
33%
Bonzi Wells
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 29.5
31.2
32.5
9
40%
5
1
1
2
1
3
1
4
1-3
33%
4-8
5-10
50%
47%
0-2
0%
Mike Bibby
G · 6'2" 195 · 27.9
29.3
39.5
23
58%
1
10
2
1
0
2
0
1
2-2
100%
6-12
4-9
50%
47%
3-7
43%
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 30.0
24.8
37.2
7
45%
6
5
0
1
3
1
1
5
3-4
75%
2-5
5-9
40%
51%
0-1
0%
Shareef Abdur-Rahim
F · 6'9" 245 · 29.3
27.1
23.1
14
71%
7
3
1
1
1
1
3
4
2-2
100%
6-9
4-8
67%
51%
0-0
-
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 23.2
22.4
20.4
16
82%
6
3
1
1
0
0
2
4
4-4
100%
3-5
2-4
60%
51%
2-3
67%
Jason Hart
G · 6'3" 180 · 28.0
18.7
5.9
6
43%
2
1
0
0
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
3-6
1-1
50%
45%
0-1
0%
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 24.3
2.6
10.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
49%
0-0
-
Corliss Williamson
F · 6'7" 245 · 32.4
2.6
3.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
46%
0-0
-
Ronnie Price
G · 6'2" 190 · 22.8
2.6
2.9
0
0%
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
44%
0-1
0%
Vitaly Potapenko
C-F · 6'10" 285 · 31.1
2.6
2.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
49%
0-0
-
Sergei Monia
F · 6'8" 220 · 23.0
Jamal Sampson
F-C · 6'11" 235 · 22.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Marcus Camby
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 32.1
33.6
21.4
10
38%
17
3
1
1
2
1
3
14
0-0
-
5-13
3-6
38%
48%
0-0
-
Ruben Patterson
F · 6'5" 223 · 30.7
31.1
23.5
20
56%
4
3
2
1
1
3
3
1
2-4
50%
9-15
4-8
60%
53%
0-1
0%
Carmelo Anthony
F · 6'8" 240 · 21.9
29.5
33.3
15
49%
2
2
1
1
1
2
1
1
5-5
100%
5-13
8-17
38%
50%
0-0
-
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 30.1
24.4
29.9
6
50%
2
1
0
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
3-6
4-8
50%
49%
0-0
-
Francisco Elson
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 30.1
16.8
27.0
8
51%
2
0
0
1
0
1
2
0
2-2
100%
3-7
3-5
43%
52%
0-0
-
Greg Buckner
G · 6'4" 210 · 29.6
26.3
28.0
2
20%
1
2
0
1
1
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
54%
0-3
0%
Howard Eisley
G · 6'2" 185 · 33.4
23.6
18.2
6
52%
2
4
1
1
1
2
0
2
3-4
75%
0-2
1-3
0%
41%
1-2
50%
Kenyon Martin
F · 6'9" 225 · 28.3
18.1
9.1
10
49%
4
0
0
0
2
1
1
3
4-5
80%
3-8
2-3
38%
51%
0-0
-
DerMarr Johnson
F-G · 6'9" 210 · 25.9
14.3
17.2
3
25%
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
56%
1-4
25%
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 25.9
12.4
20.4
0
0%
3
0
0
1
1
0
1
2
0-2
0%
0-1
2-4
0%
48%
0-0
-
Linas Kleiza
F · 6'8" 234 · 21.3
9.8
14.2
2
100%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
49%
0-0
-
Eduardo Najera
F · 6'8" 235 · 29.8
3.9
0
0-1
47%
Nene Hilario
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 23.6
Earl Boykins
G · 5'5" 133 · 29.9
Julius Hodge
G · 6'7" 220 · 22.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.