Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Sunday, December 11, 2005
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 6 | Heat | 73% | 102 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 1 | Pistons | 61% | 93 | 109 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Hornets | 25% | 93 | 100 | |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Saturday, December 10, 2005
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 22 | Bulls | 32% | 95 | 118 |
| 18 | Wizards | 68% | 100 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 28 | Magic | 44% | 92 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 7 | Nets | 69% | 99 | 95 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 26 | Raptors | 40% | 97 | 111 |
 | 24 | Bobcats | 60% | 100 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 19 | Lakers | 27% | 88 | 82 |
 | 11 | Timberwolves | 73% | 95 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 21 | Bucks | 47% | 100 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 20 | Celtics | 23% | 87 | 94 |
 | 5 | Mavericks | 77% | 96 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Kings | 47% | 104 | 123 |
| 10 | SuperSonics | 53% | 105 | 104 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 15 | Clippers | 54% | 100 | 101 |
Friday, December 9, 2005
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Bobcats | 33% | 92 | 115 |
| 16 | 76ers | 67% | 98 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Nuggets | 40% | 93 | 100 |
| 9 | Heat | 60% | 97 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Nets | 30% | 94 | 109 | |
| 3 | Cavaliers | 70% | 101 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Mavericks | 38% | 86 | 90 |
| 5 | Grizzlies | 62% | 90 | 83 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Lakers | 44% | 94 | 93 |
| 21 | Bulls | 56% | 96 | 80 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Celtics | 17% | 88 | 89 |
| 1 | Spurs | 83% | 100 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | SuperSonics | 46% | 95 | 106 | |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 27 | Knicks | 17% | 93 | 81 |
| 4 | Suns | 83% | 105 | 85 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Hornets | 59% | 91 | 95 | |
| 30 | Trail Blazers | 41% | 88 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Pistons | 56% | 95 | 106 |
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Thursday, December 8, 2005
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Wizards | 42% | 94 | 87 |
| 19 | Pacers | 58% | 96 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Rockets | 39% | 93 | 106 |
| 7 | Kings | 61% | 97 | 95 |
Wednesday, December 7, 2005
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Lakers | 53% | 100 | 102 |
| 26 | Raptors | 47% | 99 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Bucks | 28% | 96 | 88 |
| 13 | 76ers | 72% | 103 | 85 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Bulls | 54% | 91 | 102 |
| 28 | Magic | 46% | 90 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Nets | 54% | 96 | 97 | |
| 24 | Bobcats | 46% | 95 | 84 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Celtics | 45% | 93 | 101 |
| 25 | Hornets | 55% | 95 | 87 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Heat | 27% | 89 | 84 |
| 1 | Spurs | 73% | 97 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Hawks | 25% | 88 | 83 |
| 23 | Jazz | 75% | 97 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Timberwolves | 77% | 92 | 84 |
| 30 | Trail Blazers | 23% | 83 | 74 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Knicks | 21% | 90 | 79 |
| 11 | Clippers | 79% | 100 | 84 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Suns | 41% | 100 | 118 |
| 12 | Warriors | 59% | 103 | 110 |
Tuesday, December 6, 2005
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Raptors | 26% | 97 | 111 |
| 17 | Wizards | 74% | 105 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Mavericks | 37% | 86 | 84 |
| 8 | Pacers | 63% | 91 | 75 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Lakers | 42% | 98 | 111 |
| 21 | Bucks | 58% | 101 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Hornets | 21% | 86 | 73 | |
| 4 | Grizzlies | 79% | 96 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Celtics | 37% | 90 | 73 |
| 18 | Rockets | 63% | 94 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Hawks | 18% | 90 | 116 |
| 9 | Nuggets | 82% | 102 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Trail Blazers | 14% | 88 | 85 |
| 6 | Suns | 86% | 102 | 130 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Cavaliers | 51% | 102 | 102 |
| 13 | Kings | 49% | 101 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Knicks | 32% | 97 | 104 |
| 16 | SuperSonics | 68% | 103 | 101 | |
Monday, December 5, 2005
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spurs | 80% | 93 | 110 |
| 28 | Magic | 20% | 82 | 85 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Mavericks | 53% | 92 | 102 |
| 20 | Bulls | 47% | 91 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Timberwolves | 51% | 90 | 91 |
| 23 | Jazz | 49% | 89 | 77 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Heat | 43% | 95 | 89 |
| 9 | Clippers | 57% | 97 | 99 |
Sunday, December 4, 2005
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Celtics | 47% | 96 | 102 |
| 26 | Knicks | 53% | 97 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Hawks | 15% | 93 | 94 |
| 5 | Suns | 85% | 106 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Timberwolves | 36% | 96 | 85 |
| 7 | Kings | 64% | 101 | 77 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Jazz | 60% | 89 | 98 |
| 30 | Trail Blazers | 40% | 86 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Pacers | 51% | 98 | 102 |
| 16 | SuperSonics | 49% | 97 | 107 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Bobcats | 36% | 95 | 98 |
| 20 | Lakers | 64% | 99 | 99 |
Saturday, December 3, 2005
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Raptors | 18% | 91 | 95 |
| 9 | Nets | 82% | 103 | 82 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pistons | 57% | 92 | 92 |
| 19 | Bulls | 43% | 90 | 79 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Magic | 30% | 89 | 84 |
| 22 | Bucks | 70% | 95 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Grizzlies | 42% | 86 | 90 |
| 18 | Rockets | 58% | 89 | 75 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Hornets | 18% | 87 | 88 | |
| 3 | Mavericks | 82% | 99 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 76ers | 24% | 90 | 91 |
| 4 | Spurs | 76% | 99 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Heat | 42% | 94 | 99 |
| 12 | Nuggets | 58% | 96 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Cavaliers | 43% | 98 | 90 |
| 10 | Clippers | 57% | 101 | 102 |
Friday, December 2, 2005
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Bucks | 32% | 98 | 105 |
| 17 | Wizards | 68% | 104 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Raptors | 43% | 96 | 102 |
| 29 | Hawks | 57% | 99 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Bulls | 43% | 95 | 106 |
| 19 | Celtics | 57% | 97 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Knicks | 15% | 83 | 98 |
| 1 | Pistons | 85% | 97 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Magic | 21% | 82 | 69 |
| 5 | Grizzlies | 79% | 92 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 76ers | 49% | 96 | 86 |
| 24 | Hornets | 51% | 97 | 88 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Nuggets | 37% | 97 | 97 |
| 6 | Suns | 63% | 101 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Heat | 41% | 98 | 98 |
| 7 | Kings | 59% | 101 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Pacers | 69% | 90 | 98 |
| 30 | Trail Blazers | 31% | 84 | 78 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Timberwolves | 52% | 94 | 113 |
| 21 | Lakers | 48% | 93 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Bobcats | 30% | 94 | 100 |
| 14 | Warriors | 70% | 101 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Cavaliers | 57% | 103 | 108 |
| 16 | SuperSonics | 43% | 101 | 115 | |
Thursday, December 1, 2005
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Spurs | 40% | 90 | 92 |
| 3 | Mavericks | 60% | 93 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Lakers | 46% | 92 | 105 |
| 23 | Jazz | 54% | 93 | 101 |
Wednesday, November 30, 2005
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Grizzlies | 68% | 100 | 92 |
| 26 | Raptors | 32% | 94 | 66 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Trail Blazers | 16% | 88 | 89 |
| 15 | Wizards | 84% | 101 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Heat | 67% | 97 | 96 |
| 29 | Hawks | 33% | 91 | 74 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Clippers | 25% | 95 | 105 |
| 2 | Cavaliers | 75% | 103 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 76ers | 40% | 96 | 103 |
| 20 | Celtics | 60% | 99 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pistons | 52% | 91 | 93 |
| 7 | Nets | 48% | 90 | 83 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Bulls | 49% | 92 | 101 |
| 27 | Knicks | 51% | 93 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Hornets | 27% | 89 | 102 | |
| 11 | Nuggets | 73% | 97 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Pacers | 34% | 93 | 91 |
| 6 | Suns | 66% | 99 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Bobcats | 32% | 97 | 94 |
| 19 | SuperSonics | 68% | 103 | 104 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Kings | 39% | 99 | 106 |
| 17 | Warriors | 61% | 102 | 113 |
Tuesday, November 29, 2005
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Trail Blazers | 25% | 87 | 83 |
| 15 | 76ers | 75% | 95 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Mavericks | 59% | 95 | 111 |
| 24 | Bucks | 41% | 92 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Clippers | 39% | 93 | 93 |
| 10 | Timberwolves | 61% | 97 | 84 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Magic | 27% | 86 | 76 |
| 17 | Bulls | 73% | 93 | 85 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Hawks | 26% | 86 | 85 |
| 19 | Rockets | 74% | 94 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Lakers | 18% | 90 | 84 |
| 1 | Spurs | 82% | 101 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Pacers | 53% | 90 | 84 |
| 22 | Jazz | 47% | 89 | 60 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Bobcats | 28% | 96 | 92 |
| 7 | Kings | 72% | 104 | 110 |
Monday, November 28, 2005
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Mavericks | 69% | 100 | 93 |
| 28 | Raptors | 31% | 93 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Magic | 36% | 89 | 87 |
| 20 | Celtics | 64% | 94 | 83 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Knicks | 25% | 89 | 94 |
| 9 | Heat | 75% | 98 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Nets | 34% | 92 | 101 | |
| 11 | Nuggets | 66% | 97 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Hornets | 34% | 93 | 83 | |
| 17 | Warriors | 66% | 98 | 99 |