FinalWin Prob.pScore
1140%93
100
960%97
92
ORTG#PossPace
DEN logo DEN
106.494106.6
MIA logo MIA
95.89685.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDENMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA100
100%
92
0%
Q4 - 0:02.0DENCamby Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)100
99.9%
92
0.1%
Q4 - 0:02.0DENCamby Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)99
99.9%
92
0.1%
Q4 - 0:02.0DENCamby REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)98
99.9%
92
0.1%
Q4 - 0:03.0MIAMISS Walker 26' 3PT Jump Shot98
99.9%
92
0.1%
Q4 - 0:06.0DENMiller Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)98
99.8%
92
0.2%
Q4 - 0:06.0DENMiller Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)97
99.7%
92
0.3%
Q4 - 0:06.0DENCamby REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)96
99.4%
92
0.6%
Q4 - 0:08.0MIAMISS Wade 8' Turnaround Jump Shot96
98.7%
92
1.3%
Q4 - 0:14.0DENAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (40 PTS)96
96.1%
92
3.9%
Q4 - 0:14.0DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (39 PTS)95
95.4%
92
4.6%
Q4 - 0:16.0MIAPosey Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T16)94
91.2%
92
8.8%
Q4 - 0:28.0DENBuckner Layup (14 PTS) (Miller 8 AST)94
71.2%
92
28.8%
Q4 - 0:30.0DENMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)92
56.0%
92
44.0%
Q4 - 0:32.0MIAMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot92
48.7%
92
51.3%
Q4 - 0:47.0DENCamby 14' Fadeaway Jumper (16 PTS) (Miller 7 AST)92
35.5%
92
64.5%
Q4 - 1:04DENBuckner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)90
24.5%
92
75.5%
Q4 - 1:06MIAMISS Payton 26' 3PT Jump Shot90
20.9%
92
79.1%
Q4 - 1:23MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)90
15.6%
92
84.4%
Q4 - 1:26MIAMISS Posey Driving Layup90
22.6%
92
77.4%
Q4 - 1:42DENAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (38 PTS)90
17.6%
92
82.4%
Q4 - 1:42DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (37 PTS)89
16.4%
92
83.6%
Q4 - 2:01MIAPosey Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)88
13.8%
92
86.2%
Q4 - 2:01MIAMISS Posey Free Throw 1 of 288
14.5%
91
85.5%
Q4 - 2:01MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)88
11.9%
91
88.1%
Q4 - 2:02DENMISS Anthony 26' 3PT Jump Shot88
14.1%
91
85.9%
Q4 - 2:05DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)88
20.6%
91
79.4%
Q4 - 2:08DENMISS Buckner 26' 3PT Jump Shot88
14.0%
91
86.0%
Q4 - 2:33MIAPayton Layup (13 PTS) (Posey 3 AST)88
21.1%
91
78.9%
Q4 - 2:38DENWade STEAL (2 STL)88
25.2%
89
74.8%
Q4 - 2:52MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (37 PTS)88
39.4%
89
60.6%
Q4 - 2:52MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (36 PTS)88
41.4%
88
58.6%
Q4 - 3:14DENMiller Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)88
45.8%
87
54.2%
Q4 - 3:31MIAPayton 26' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Walker 5 AST)85
30.2%
87
69.8%
Q4 - 3:50DENCamby Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)85
46.8%
84
53.2%
Q4 - 3:50DENCamby Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)84
44.6%
84
55.4%
Q4 - 4:09MIAPayton 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)83
38.2%
84
61.8%
Q4 - 4:24DENBuckner Traveling Turnover (P2.T13)83
56.3%
81
43.7%
Q4 - 4:44MIAWade 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (35 PTS)83
66.0%
81
34.0%
Q4 - 5:03DENBuckner 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Elson 1 AST)83
69.6%
79
30.4%
Q4 - 5:12DENCamby REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)80
54.5%
79
45.5%
Q4 - 5:14MIAMISS Posey 24' 3PT Jump Shot80
51.8%
79
48.2%
Q4 - 5:25DENSimien STEAL (1 STL)80
45.8%
79
54.2%
Q4 - 5:35MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (33 PTS)80
54.6%
79
45.4%
Q4 - 5:35MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 280
56.2%
78
43.8%
Q4 - 5:52DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 1 (36 PTS)80
54.3%
78
45.7%
Q4 - 6:04MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)77
38.2%
78
61.8%
Q4 - 6:04MIAPosey Punched Ball Turnover (P1.T15)77
38.2%
78
61.8%
Q4 - 6:06MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot77
35.7%
78
64.3%
Q4 - 6:20MIASimien REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)77
30.4%
78
69.6%
Q4 - 6:21DENMISS Boykins 25' 3PT Jump Shot77
32.6%
78
67.4%
Q4 - 6:52MIAWade Driving Dunk (32 PTS)77
38.2%
78
61.8%
Q4 - 7:14DENCamby Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)77
44.2%
76
55.8%
Q4 - 7:14DENCamby Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)76
42.6%
76
57.4%
Q4 - 7:27MIASimien Layup (4 PTS) (Fitch 2 AST)75
38.4%
76
61.6%
Q4 - 7:55DENMiller 20' Jump Shot (7 PTS)75
44.2%
74
55.8%
Q4 - 8:03DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)73
38.1%
74
61.9%
Q4 - 8:05MIAMISS Simien 21' Jump Shot73
36.2%
74
63.8%
Q4 - 8:25DENMiller Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)73
32.2%
74
67.8%
Q4 - 8:25DENMiller Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)72
31.2%
74
68.8%
Q4 - 8:36MIASimien Foul Turnover (P1.T14)71
26.9%
74
73.1%
Q4 - 8:36MIASimien REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)71
22.1%
74
77.9%
Q4 - 8:37DENMISS Miller 18' Turnaround Jump Shot71
23.5%
74
76.5%
Q4 - 8:50MIASimien Follow Up Dunk (2 PTS)71
26.9%
74
73.1%
Q4 - 8:52MIASimien REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)71
32.1%
72
67.9%
Q4 - 8:54MIAMISS Fitch 9' Jump Shot71
36.2%
72
63.8%
Q4 - 9:22DENBoykins Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)71
32.4%
72
67.6%
Q4 - 9:32MIAWalker Free Throw 1 of 1 (17 PTS)71
38.2%
72
61.8%
Q4 - 9:34MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)71
49.7%
69
50.3%
Q4 - 9:37DENMISS Najera 3PT Jump Shot71
51.6%
69
48.4%
Q4 - 9:56DENNuggets Rebound71
56.0%
69
44.0%
Q4 - 9:57MIAMISS Fitch 25' 3PT Jump Shot71
54.1%
69
45.9%
Q4 - 10:03MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)71
48.8%
69
51.2%
Q4 - 10:05DENMISS Boykins 25' 3PT Jump Shot71
50.7%
69
49.3%
Q4 - 10:13DENMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)71
55.0%
69
45.0%
Q4 - 10:14MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot71
53.1%
69
46.9%
Q4 - 10:32MIASimien REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)71
48.9%
69
51.1%
Q4 - 10:33DENMISS Miller 20' Jump Shot71
50.8%
69
49.2%
Q4 - 10:51MIAWade 4' Jump Shot (30 PTS) (Simien 1 AST)71
55.0%
69
45.0%
Q4 - 11:07DENNajera Running Dunk (4 PTS) (Miller 6 AST)71
59.2%
67
40.8%
Q4 - 11:12DENElson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)69
54.1%
67
45.9%
Q4 - 11:14MIAMISS Wade 10' Running Jump Shot69
52.4%
67
47.6%
Q4 - 11:35DENElson 19' Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Najera 2 AST)69
48.5%
67
51.5%
Q4 - 11:39DENNajera REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)67
43.4%
67
56.6%
Q4 - 11:41DENMISS Boykins 20' Jump Shot67
39.5%
67
60.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA67
43.4%
67
56.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound67
37.9%
67
62.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Haslem 21' Jump Shot67
41.7%
67
58.3%
Q3 - 0:05.0DENAnthony 18' Fadeaway Jumper (33 PTS)67
38.1%
67
61.9%
Q3 - 0:21.0MIAFitch 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)65
33.3%
67
66.7%
Q3 - 0:35.0MIAHEAT Rebound65
43.0%
64
57.0%
Q3 - 0:36.0DENMISS Kleiza 20' Jump Shot65
44.6%
64
55.4%
Q3 - 0:48.0DENKleiza REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)65
48.1%
64
51.9%
Q3 - 0:50.0DENMISS Anthony Driving Layup65
44.6%
64
55.4%
Q3 - 1:03MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T13)65
47.6%
64
52.4%
Q3 - 1:13DENHaslem STEAL (1 STL)65
42.6%
64
57.4%
Q3 - 1:32MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)65
47.6%
64
52.4%
Q3 - 1:32MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)65
48.5%
63
51.5%
Q3 - 1:32MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)65
52.4%
62
47.6%
Q3 - 1:33MIAMISS Walker 24' 3PT Jump Shot65
55.8%
62
44.2%
Q3 - 1:57DENKleiza REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)65
52.4%
62
47.6%
Q3 - 1:57DENKleiza Tip Shot (3 PTS)65
52.4%
62
47.6%
Q3 - 2:00DENMISS Najera Layup63
44.1%
62
55.9%
Q3 - 2:04MIAHaslem Tip Shot (2 PTS)63
46.7%
62
53.3%
Q3 - 2:05MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)63
50.9%
60
49.1%
Q3 - 2:06MIAMISS Wade Layup63
54.5%
60
45.5%
Q3 - 2:30MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)63
51.0%
60
49.0%
Q3 - 2:32MIAMISS Posey 24' 3PT Jump Shot63
54.6%
60
45.4%
Q3 - 2:47DENAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (31 PTS)63
51.1%
60
48.9%
Q3 - 2:47DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (30 PTS)62
50.3%
60
49.7%
Q3 - 2:53DENNajera REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)61
46.8%
60
53.2%
Q3 - 2:55DENMISS Anthony 20' Jump Shot61
43.3%
60
56.7%
Q3 - 3:17MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (28 PTS)61
46.6%
60
53.4%
Q3 - 3:17MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (27 PTS)61
47.5%
59
52.5%
Q3 - 3:19MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)61
50.8%
58
49.2%
Q3 - 3:21DENMISS Boykins 19' Jump Bank Shot61
52.2%
58
47.8%
Q3 - 3:34MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (26 PTS)61
55.5%
58
44.5%
Q3 - 3:34MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 261
56.4%
57
43.6%
Q3 - 3:55DENAnthony 24' 3PT Jump Shot (29 PTS) (Buckner 2 AST)61
55.2%
57
44.8%
Q3 - 4:12MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)58
46.1%
57
53.9%
Q3 - 4:12MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)58
46.9%
56
53.1%
Q3 - 4:30DENAnthony Driving Dunk (26 PTS)58
49.8%
55
50.2%
Q3 - 4:44DENCamby REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)56
46.1%
55
53.9%
Q3 - 4:46MIAMISS Walker 26' 3PT Jump Shot56
44.6%
55
55.4%
Q3 - 5:03DENBoykins Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)56
41.3%
55
58.7%
Q3 - 5:21MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (23 PTS)56
45.7%
55
54.3%
Q3 - 5:56DENNajera 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Anthony 3 AST)56
53.7%
52
46.3%
Q3 - 5:58DENNuggets Rebound54
49.8%
52
50.2%
Q3 - 5:59DENWade BLOCK (1 BLK)54
46.7%
52
53.3%
Q3 - 6:05MIAWade Layup (20 PTS) (Walker 4 AST)54
49.1%
52
50.9%
Q3 - 6:08MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)54
52.8%
50
47.2%
Q3 - 6:10DENPosey BLOCK (2 BLK)54
54.1%
50
45.9%
Q3 - 6:19DENBuckner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)54
57.1%
50
42.9%
Q3 - 6:21MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Bank Shot54
55.8%
50
44.2%
Q3 - 6:39MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)54
52.9%
50
47.1%
Q3 - 6:40DENMISS Camby 20' Jump Shot54
54.2%
50
45.8%
Q3 - 7:02DENElson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)54
56.2%
50
43.8%
Q3 - 7:04MIAMISS Wade 17' Fadeaway Jumper54
54.9%
50
45.1%
Q3 - 7:33DENBuckner 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Anthony 2 AST)54
51.9%
50
48.1%
Q3 - 7:52MIAWade 22' Jump Shot (18 PTS)51
44.7%
50
55.3%
Q3 - 8:14DENCamby Layup (10 PTS) (Anthony 1 AST)51
47.8%
48
52.2%
Q3 - 8:31MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)49
44.6%
48
55.4%
Q3 - 8:31MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)49
45.3%
47
54.7%
Q3 - 8:31MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)49
47.8%
46
52.2%
Q3 - 8:34DENMISS Camby 14' Jump Shot49
49.1%
46
50.9%
Q3 - 8:50DENNuggets Rebound49
52.1%
46
47.9%
Q3 - 8:52DENMISS Miller 18' Jump Shot49
49.1%
46
50.9%
Q3 - 8:56DENMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)49
52.1%
46
47.9%
Q3 - 8:59MIAMISS Wade 15' Fadeaway Jumper49
50.8%
46
49.2%
Q3 - 9:09MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)49
47.3%
46
52.7%
Q3 - 9:11DENMISS Anthony 18' Jump Shot49
48.4%
46
51.6%
Q3 - 9:32MIAWade Offensive Foul Turnover (P4.T12)49
51.1%
46
48.9%
Q3 - 9:43DENAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)49
47.3%
46
52.7%
Q3 - 9:43DENMISS Anthony Free Throw 1 of 248
46.7%
46
53.3%
Q3 - 9:47MIAWalker Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)48
47.5%
46
52.5%
Q3 - 10:07DENAnthony 20' Fadeaway Jumper (23 PTS)48
43.1%
46
56.9%
Q3 - 10:25MIAWalker 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Payton 3 AST)46
40.1%
46
59.9%
Q3 - 10:53DENAnthony 20' Jump Shot (21 PTS)46
46.7%
43
53.3%
Q3 - 11:06DENAnthony Free Throw Technical (19 PTS)44
43.1%
43
56.9%
Q3 - 11:10DENBuckner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)43
39.7%
43
60.3%
Q3 - 11:11MIAMISS Payton Driving Layup43
38.7%
43
61.3%
Q3 - 11:22MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)43
36.4%
43
63.6%
Q3 - 11:24DENMISS Camby 18' Jump Shot43
37.4%
43
62.6%
Q3 - 11:35DENAnthony Free Throw Technical (18 PTS)43
39.8%
43
60.2%
Q3 - 11:35DENElson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)42
36.5%
43
63.5%
Q3 - 11:36MIAMISS Mourning Layup42
35.5%
43
64.5%
Q3 - 11:37MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)42
33.2%
43
66.8%
Q3 - 11:38MIAMISS Haslem 6' Running Hook Shot42
35.5%
43
64.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA42
33.2%
43
66.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound42
33.2%
43
66.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Payton 24' 3PT Jump Shot42
35.5%
43
64.5%
Q2 - 0:01.0DENPayton STEAL (1 STL)42
34.0%
43
66.0%
Q2 - 0:01.0MIAWade Running Dunk (14 PTS)42
36.0%
43
64.0%
Q2 - 0:04.0DENWade STEAL (1 STL)42
40.2%
41
59.8%
Q2 - 0:05.0DENCamby REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)42
42.4%
41
57.6%
Q2 - 0:08.0DENMISS Anthony 17' Jump Shot42
40.8%
41
59.2%
Q2 - 0:30.0MIAPosey Driving Layup (5 PTS)42
42.4%
41
57.6%
Q2 - 0:46.0DENAnthony Layup (17 PTS) (Najera 1 AST)42
46.6%
39
53.4%
Q2 - 0:57.0DENCamby REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)40
42.4%
39
57.6%
Q2 - 0:59.0MIAMISS Payton Free Throw 2 of 240
42.1%
39
57.9%
Q2 - 0:59.0MIAPayton Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)40
39.9%
39
60.1%
Q2 - 1:18DENBoykins Reverse Layup (6 PTS)40
43.5%
38
56.5%
Q2 - 1:29MIAWade Dunk (12 PTS) (Walker 3 AST)38
38.9%
38
61.1%
Q2 - 1:50DENMiller Foul Turnover (P4.T6)38
43.5%
36
56.5%
Q2 - 2:02MIAWade Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T10)38
45.5%
36
54.5%
Q2 - 2:21MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)38
42.6%
36
57.4%
Q2 - 2:23DENMISS Anthony 17' Jump Shot38
43.5%
36
56.5%
Q2 - 2:37MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)38
45.5%
36
54.5%
Q2 - 2:37MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)38
46.1%
35
53.9%
Q2 - 2:54DENAnthony Alley Oop Dunk (15 PTS) (Miller 5 AST)38
48.9%
34
51.1%
Q2 - 3:03MIAWalker 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Posey 2 AST)36
45.2%
34
54.8%
Q2 - 3:22DENBuckner Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)36
50.8%
31
49.2%
Q2 - 3:22DENBuckner Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)35
50.3%
31
49.7%
Q2 - 3:26DENElson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)34
48.2%
31
51.8%
Q2 - 3:27MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup34
47.2%
31
52.8%
Q2 - 3:31MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)34
44.9%
31
55.1%
Q2 - 3:33DENMISS Buckner 25' 3PT Jump Shot34
45.9%
31
54.1%
Q2 - 3:46DENAnthony Free Throw Technical (13 PTS)34
48.2%
31
51.8%
Q2 - 3:57DENElson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)33
45.3%
31
54.7%
Q2 - 3:59DENMISS Boykins 24' 3PT Jump Shot33
43.0%
31
57.0%
Q2 - 4:06DENCamby REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)33
44.5%
31
55.5%
Q2 - 4:09MIAMISS Wade 16' Jump Shot33
43.7%
31
56.3%
Q2 - 4:15MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)33
41.7%
31
58.3%
Q2 - 4:17DENMISS Camby 20' Jump Shot33
42.6%
31
57.4%
Q2 - 4:33MIAMourning 3' Hook Shot (6 PTS)33
44.6%
31
55.4%
Q2 - 4:52DENCamby 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Boykins 1 AST)33
47.4%
29
52.6%
Q2 - 5:07DENElson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)31
44.4%
29
55.6%
Q2 - 5:09MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot31
43.5%
29
56.5%
Q2 - 5:25DENCamby Layup (6 PTS) (Miller 4 AST)31
41.4%
29
58.6%
Q2 - 5:30MIAMourning Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T9)29
38.9%
29
61.1%
Q2 - 5:51DENElson Foul Turnover (P1.T5)29
36.1%
29
63.9%
Q2 - 5:57MIAWalker 7' Jump Shot (8 PTS)29
38.9%
29
61.1%
Q2 - 6:08MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)29
41.1%
27
58.9%
Q2 - 6:10DENMISS Kleiza 22' Jump Shot29
42.1%
27
57.9%
Q2 - 6:21MIAMourning Dunk (4 PTS) (Posey 1 AST)29
44.4%
27
55.6%
Q2 - 6:40DENAnthony Slam Dunk (12 PTS) (Miller 3 AST)29
46.6%
25
53.4%
Q2 - 6:54DENElson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)27
44.4%
25
55.6%
Q2 - 6:55MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 1 of 127
43.9%
25
56.1%
Q2 - 6:58MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)27
46.6%
23
53.4%
Q2 - 7:00MIAMISS Mourning 5' Hook Shot27
48.9%
23
51.1%
Q2 - 7:23DENMiller Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)27
46.4%
23
53.6%
Q2 - 7:23DENMISS Miller Free Throw 1 of 226
45.9%
23
54.1%
Q2 - 7:23DENAnthony Free Throw Technical (10 PTS)26
46.5%
23
53.5%
Q2 - 7:29DENBoykins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
43.9%
23
56.1%
Q2 - 7:31MIAMISS Mourning 8' Hook Shot25
43.1%
23
56.9%
Q2 - 7:54DENAnthony Alley Oop Dunk (9 PTS) (Miller 2 AST)25
41.2%
23
58.8%
Q2 - 8:12MIAFitch Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Walker 1 AST)23
38.7%
23
61.3%
Q2 - 8:16MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)23
40.9%
21
59.1%
Q2 - 8:18DENMISS Anthony 18' Jump Shot23
41.7%
21
58.3%
Q2 - 8:26DENNajera REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
43.7%
21
56.3%
Q2 - 8:28MIAMISS Fitch 24' 3PT Jump Shot23
42.8%
21
57.2%
Q2 - 8:44DENKleiza Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)23
40.9%
21
59.1%
Q2 - 8:44DENMISS Kleiza Free Throw 1 of 222
40.2%
21
59.8%
Q2 - 8:48DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
41.2%
21
58.8%
Q2 - 8:50MIAMISS Fitch 19' Jump Shot22
40.3%
21
59.7%
Q2 - 9:07DENBoykins 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS)22
38.2%
21
61.8%
Q2 - 9:14MIAWalker 6' Jump Shot (6 PTS)20
36.1%
21
63.9%
Q2 - 9:21MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
38.2%
19
61.8%
Q2 - 9:23DENMISS Kleiza 19' Jump Shot20
39.0%
19
61.0%
Q2 - 9:34MIAWalker Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)20
40.9%
19
59.1%
Q2 - 9:50DENBoykins Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)20
38.2%
19
61.8%
Q2 - 9:50DENBoykins Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)19
38.0%
19
62.0%
Q2 - 9:55DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
36.1%
19
63.9%
Q2 - 9:57MIAMISS Kapono 21' Jump Shot18
35.3%
19
64.7%
Q2 - 10:03MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
33.6%
19
66.4%
Q2 - 10:05DENMISS Anthony 19' Jump Shot18
34.3%
19
65.7%
Q2 - 10:18MIAWade Traveling Turnover (P2.T7)18
36.1%
19
63.9%
Q2 - 10:29DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)18
33.6%
19
66.4%
Q2 - 10:38MIAWalker 10' Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Fitch 1 AST)15
29.6%
19
70.4%
Q2 - 10:53DENAnthony Traveling Turnover (P1.T4)15
31.4%
17
68.6%
Q2 - 11:04MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)15
33.5%
17
66.5%
Q2 - 11:04MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)15
33.9%
16
66.1%
Q2 - 11:22MIAKapono REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
35.7%
15
64.3%
Q2 - 11:24DENMISS Anthony 18' Jump Shot15
36.4%
15
63.6%
Q2 - 11:45MIAWalker Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)15
38.0%
15
62.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA15
40.3%
13
59.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)15
40.3%
13
59.7%
Q1 - 0:01.0DENMISS Buckner 19' Jump Shot15
40.8%
13
59.2%
Q1 - 0:21.0MIAHaslem Traveling Turnover (P2.T6)15
42.0%
13
58.0%
Q1 - 0:21.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)15
40.3%
13
59.7%
Q1 - 0:23.0MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 215
41.8%
13
58.2%
Q1 - 0:23.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)15
40.2%
13
59.8%
Q1 - 0:35.0DENCamby Tip Shot (4 PTS)15
42.6%
12
57.4%
Q1 - 0:36.0DENCamby REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)13
39.8%
12
60.2%
Q1 - 0:37.0DENMISS Boykins 19' Jump Shot13
38.5%
12
61.5%
Q1 - 0:43.0DENKleiza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
39.8%
12
60.2%
Q1 - 0:45.0MIAMISS Walker 20' Jump Shot13
39.2%
12
60.8%
Q1 - 0:57.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)13
38.0%
12
62.0%
Q1 - 0:59.0DENMISS Camby 19' Jump Shot13
38.5%
12
61.5%
Q1 - 1:10MIAWade Driving Layup (5 PTS)13
39.8%
12
60.2%
Q1 - 1:34DENBuckner 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS)13
42.6%
10
57.4%
Q1 - 1:54MIAHaslem Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)11
39.8%
10
60.2%
Q1 - 2:11MIAHEAT Rebound11
37.9%
10
62.1%
Q1 - 2:12DENMISS Camby Tip Shot11
38.6%
10
61.4%
Q1 - 2:13DENCamby REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)11
40.0%
10
60.0%
Q1 - 2:14DENMISS Camby Tip Shot11
38.6%
10
61.4%
Q1 - 2:15DENCamby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)11
40.0%
10
60.0%
Q1 - 2:16DENMISS Elson 17' Jump Bank Shot11
38.6%
10
61.4%
Q1 - 2:29MIAPayton Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T4)11
40.0%
10
60.0%
Q1 - 2:38MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)11
37.9%
10
62.1%
Q1 - 2:40MIAMISS Payton 19' Jump Shot11
39.4%
10
60.6%
Q1 - 2:48MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)11
37.9%
10
62.1%
Q1 - 2:50MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 211
39.7%
10
60.3%
Q1 - 2:50MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)11
38.2%
10
61.8%
Q1 - 3:12DENAnthony Layup (4 PTS)11
39.6%
9
60.4%
Q1 - 3:16MIAPayton Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)9
37.7%
9
62.3%
Q1 - 3:34DENMiller 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)9
35.4%
9
64.6%
Q1 - 3:58MIAPayton 6' Jump Bank Shot (4 PTS)7
33.6%
9
66.4%
Q1 - 4:03MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)7
35.1%
7
64.9%
Q1 - 4:05DENPosey BLOCK (1 BLK)7
35.9%
7
64.1%
Q1 - 4:14DENBuckner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)7
37.6%
7
62.4%
Q1 - 4:16MIAMISS Haslem 19' Jump Shot7
36.9%
7
63.1%
Q1 - 4:39MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)7
35.1%
7
64.9%
Q1 - 4:40DENMISS Buckner 25' 3PT Jump Shot7
35.9%
7
64.1%
Q1 - 4:59DENNuggets Rebound7
37.6%
7
62.4%
Q1 - 5:00MIAMISS Posey 25' 3PT Jump Shot7
36.9%
7
63.1%
Q1 - 5:04MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)7
35.0%
7
65.0%
Q1 - 5:06DENMourning BLOCK (2 BLK)7
35.7%
7
64.3%
Q1 - 5:18DENCamby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)7
37.2%
7
62.8%
Q1 - 5:20MIAMISS Payton 25' 3PT Jump Shot7
36.5%
7
63.5%
Q1 - 5:51DENCamby Layup (2 PTS) (Buckner 1 AST)7
35.0%
7
65.0%
Q1 - 5:56DENBuckner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)5
33.4%
7
66.6%
Q1 - 5:58MIAMISS Wade 9' Running Jump Shot5
32.7%
7
67.3%
Q1 - 6:04MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
31.4%
7
68.6%
Q1 - 6:05DENMISS Elson Layup5
31.9%
7
68.1%
Q1 - 6:06DENElson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)5
33.2%
7
66.8%
Q1 - 6:07DENMISS Anthony Layup5
31.9%
7
68.1%
Q1 - 6:24MIAPosey 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Payton 2 AST)5
33.2%
7
66.8%
Q1 - 6:31MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
36.8%
4
63.2%
Q1 - 6:33DENMISS Anthony 9' Hook Shot5
37.4%
4
62.6%
Q1 - 6:40DENElson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)5
38.8%
4
61.2%
Q1 - 6:42MIAMISS Mourning 9' Hook Shot5
38.2%
4
61.8%
Q1 - 7:09DENBuckner Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)5
36.5%
4
63.5%
Q1 - 7:16DENCamby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
35.0%
4
65.0%
Q1 - 7:18MIAMISS Haslem Dunk3
34.4%
4
65.6%
Q1 - 7:42DENMiller Foul Turnover (P3.T3)3
33.1%
4
66.9%
Q1 - 7:47DENBuckner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)3
35.0%
4
65.0%
Q1 - 7:48MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup3
34.4%
4
65.6%
Q1 - 8:05DENAnthony Running Dunk (2 PTS)3
33.2%
4
66.8%
Q1 - 8:08MIAPayton Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)1
31.7%
4
68.3%
Q1 - 8:19MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)1
29.9%
4
70.1%
Q1 - 8:22DENMISS Buckner 25' 3PT Jump Shot1
30.4%
4
69.6%
Q1 - 8:43MIAPayton 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS)1
31.7%
4
68.3%
Q1 - 8:54MIAJump Ball Posey vs. Miller: Tip to Haslem1
33.1%
2
66.9%
Q1 - 9:10MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)1
35.0%
2
65.0%
Q1 - 9:26DENNuggets Rebound1
32.8%
2
67.2%
Q1 - 9:26DENElson Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)1
32.8%
2
67.2%
Q1 - 9:26DENMISS Elson Free Throw 1 of 20
32.3%
2
67.7%
Q1 - 9:26DENElson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)0
33.3%
2
66.7%
Q1 - 9:27DENMISS Anthony Layup0
31.8%
2
68.2%
Q1 - 9:43MIAWade Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Payton 1 AST)0
33.3%
2
66.7%
Q1 - 9:55MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
34.5%
0
65.5%
Q1 - 9:57DENMourning BLOCK (1 BLK)0
35.2%
0
64.8%
Q1 - 10:15DENElson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
36.5%
0
63.5%
Q1 - 10:17MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot0
35.9%
0
64.1%
Q1 - 10:38MIAHEAT Rebound0
34.5%
0
65.5%
Q1 - 10:38DENMISS Camby 18' Jump Shot0
35.1%
0
64.9%
Q1 - 10:47DENMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
36.5%
0
63.5%
Q1 - 10:49MIAMISS Mourning 16' Turnaround Jump Shot0
35.9%
0
64.1%
Q1 - 11:11DENPosey STEAL (1 STL)0
34.7%
0
65.3%
Q1 - 11:19DENNuggets Rebound0
36.3%
0
63.7%
Q1 - 11:20DENMISS Anthony 15' Jump Shot0
35.2%
0
64.8%
Q1 - 11:29DENBuckner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
36.3%
0
63.7%
Q1 - 11:30MIAMISS Payton Driving Layup0
35.8%
0
64.2%
Q1 - 11:44MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
34.7%
0
65.3%
Q1 - 11:46DENMISS Anthony 15' Jump Shot0
35.2%
0
64.8%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Mourning vs. Camby: Tip to Camby0
36.3%
0
63.7%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
1.05 52.6%
MIA
0.99 49.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DEN
18
30
60%
MIA
19
28
68%
Midrange
DEN
12
39
31%
MIA
7
30
23%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DEN
3
4.5
12
25%
38%
MIA
6
9.0
18
33%
50%
Free Throws
DEN
31
35
89%
MIA
22
29
76%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Anthony4059%20.0 / 34
M. Camby1850%9.0 / 18
G. Buckner1464%7.0 / 11
A. Miller1267%6.0 / 9
E. Boykins633%3.0 / 9
E. Najera440%2.0 / 5
F. Elson338%1.5 / 4
L. Kleiza330%1.5 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade3756%18.5 / 33
A. Walker1771%8.5 / 12
G. Payton1354%6.5 / 12
J. Posey643%3.0 / 7
A. Mourning638%3.0 / 8
G. Fitch542%2.5 / 6
U. Haslem429%2.0 / 7
W. Simien467%2.0 / 3
J. Kapono0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DEN
80
+16
-14
96
MIA
80
+13
-16
93
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
1.05 52.6%
MIA
0.99 49.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
105.6
108.0
DEN 106.4
MIA 95.8 +10.5
Pace
93.9
92.2
DEN 106.6 +20.7
MIA 85.9
Avg. Poss. Time
14.7
15.9
DEN 13.5 +3.3
MIA 16.8
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
48.8%
51.7%
DEN 42.6%
MIA 46.1% +3.5%
TO %
15.1%
15.0%
DEN 12.7% +2.6%
MIA 15.3%
ORB %
26.9%
26.8%
DEN 28.6% +3.6%
MIA 25.0%
FTrt
34.7
36.3
DEN 43.2 +5.0
MIA 38.2
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
62.4%
55.7%
DEN 51.5%
MIA 56.3% +4.8%
STL %
8.9%
6.9%
DEN 5.3%
MIA 7.3% +2.0%
BLK %
8.8%
8.5%
DEN 5.2%
MIA 7.2% +2.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.3%
53.9%
DEN 52.6% +3.1%
MIA 49.5%
Rim FG%
59.2%
64.2%
DEN 60.0%
MIA 67.9% +7.9%
Mid FG%
39.7%
38.9%
DEN 30.8% +7.5%
MIA 23.3%
3P %
32.5%
34.5%
DEN 25.0%
MIA 33.3% +8.3%
FT %
74.4%
70.0%
DEN 88.6% +12.7%
MIA 75.9%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
38.8%
39.3%
DEN 37.0% +0.2%
MIA 36.8%
Mid Att. %
45.1%
38.0%
DEN 48.1%
MIA 39.5% +8.7%
3P Att. %
16.1%
22.7%
DEN 14.8%
MIA 23.7% +8.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.67 and 2.67.
Game TotalsDENMIA
Possessions9496
Possession Minutes21.226.8
Points10092
Rebounds4541
Assists1718
Steals57
Blocks35
Turnovers (Team)14 (0)16 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)12 (4)11 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)33 (2)30 (3)
Field Goals33-8132-76
At-the-Rim FG18-3019-28
Midrange FG12-397-30
2-Point FG30-6926-58
3-Point FG3-126-18
Free Throws31-3522-29
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'8" 240 · 22
41.8
40
59%
4
3
2
0
3
4
1
3
13-14
93%
12-28
43%
1-2
50%
G · 6'4" 210 · 29
36.0
14
64%
7
2
1
0
2
2
0
7
2-2
100%
3-4
75%
2-6
33%
F · 6'11" 240 · 32
35.9
18
50%
12
0
0
2
1
2
4
8
6-6
100%
6-15
40%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 200 · 30
31.4
12
67%
4
8
0
0
5
5
0
4
6-7
86%
3-6
50%
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 240 · 30
31.1
3
38%
11
1
2
1
1
4
3
8
1-2
50%
1-3
33%
0-0
-
G · 5'5" 133 · 30
26.7
6
33%
1
1
0
0
2
2
0
1
2-2
100%
2-5
40%
0-3
0%
F · 6'8" 235 · 29
21.9
4
40%
3
2
0
0
0
5
2
1
0-0
-
2-4
50%
0-1
0%
F · 6'8" 234 · 21
15.1
3
30%
3
0
0
0
0
3
2
1
1-2
50%
1-4
25%
0-0
-
F-G · 6'9" 210 · 26
G · 6'1" 199 · 26
G · 6'4" 215 · 33
G · 6'7" 220 · 22
#31 · C-F · 6'11" 250 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#6 · F · 6'9" 225 · 28
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#9 · G-F · 6'7" 225 · 35
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
100
53%
45
17
5
3
14
0
12
33
31-35
89%
30-69
43%
3-12
25%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.