FinalWin Prob.pScore
180%93
110
2820%82
85
ORTG#PossPace
SAS logo SAS
120.99182.5
ORL logo ORL
94.490100.4

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

MagicSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

MagicSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventSASORL
Q4 - 0:00.0SAS110
100%
85
0%
Q4 - 0:02.0ORLDiener 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Outlaw 1 AST)110
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 0:06.0ORLOutlaw REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)110
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 0:07.0ORLOutlaw REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)110
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 0:07.0ORLMISS Outlaw Layup110
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 0:09.0ORLMISS Morris 19' Jump Shot110
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 0:23.0SASUdrih 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Oberto 1 AST)110
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 0:40.0ORLMorris 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Diener 2 AST)107
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 0:56.0SASMohammed 5' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Barry 1 AST)107
99.9%
80
0.1%
Q4 - 1:12SASFinley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)105
99.9%
80
0.1%
Q4 - 1:14ORLMISS Augmon 10' Jump Shot105
99.9%
80
0.1%
Q4 - 1:29SASMohammed Layup (4 PTS)105
99.9%
80
0.1%
Q4 - 1:31SASMohammed REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)103
99.9%
80
0.1%
Q4 - 1:32SASMorris BLOCK (1 BLK)103
99.9%
80
0.1%
Q4 - 1:41SASFinley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)103
99.9%
80
0.1%
Q4 - 1:43ORLMISS Outlaw 6' Hook Shot103
99.9%
80
0.1%
Q4 - 1:59SASMohammed Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T13)103
99.9%
80
0.1%
Q4 - 2:06SASOberto REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)103
99.9%
80
0.1%
Q4 - 2:08ORLMISS Morris 14' Jump Shot103
99.9%
80
0.1%
Q4 - 2:22SASUdrih Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)103
99.9%
80
0.1%
Q4 - 2:22SASUdrih Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)102
99.9%
80
0.1%
Q4 - 2:33SASFinley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)101
99.9%
80
0.1%
Q4 - 2:38SASMISS Barry 25' 3PT Jump Shot101
99.9%
80
0.1%
Q4 - 2:56ORLNelson Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)101
99.9%
80
0.1%
Q4 - 2:56ORLNelson Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)101
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 3:01SASBarry 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS)101
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 3:17ORLDiener Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T14)99
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 3:32SASParker 20' Jump Shot (20 PTS)99
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 3:43SASUdrih REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)97
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 3:45ORLMISS Nelson 15' Jump Shot97
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 3:58SASDuncan Layup (26 PTS) (Udrih 1 AST)97
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 4:14ORLGarrity Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)95
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 4:14ORLGarrity Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)95
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 4:30SASParker Layup (18 PTS) (Ginobili 4 AST)95
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 4:34SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)93
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 4:36ORLMISS Howard Layup93
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 4:46SASBowen 11' Running Jump Shot (7 PTS)93
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 5:04ORLNelson Free Throw 1 of 1 (18 PTS)91
99.8%
76
0.2%
Q4 - 5:14SASHorry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)91
99.9%
73
0.1%
Q4 - 5:14SASHorry Tip Shot (18 PTS)91
99.9%
73
0.1%
Q4 - 5:17SASMISS Duncan 9' Jump Shot89
99.8%
73
0.2%
Q4 - 5:29SASHorry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)89
99.9%
73
0.1%
Q4 - 5:31ORLMISS Turkoglu 14' Jump Bank Shot89
99.8%
73
0.2%
Q4 - 5:58SASParker Driving Layup (16 PTS)89
99.8%
73
0.2%
Q4 - 6:10SASHorry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)87
99.6%
73
0.4%
Q4 - 6:13ORLMISS Diener 26' 3PT Jump Shot87
99.6%
73
0.4%
Q4 - 6:19ORLMAGIC Rebound87
99.5%
73
0.5%
Q4 - 6:21ORLMISS Garrity 25' 3PT Jump Shot87
99.6%
73
0.4%
Q4 - 6:36ORLDiener REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)87
99.5%
73
0.5%
Q4 - 6:38SASMISS Duncan 19' Jump Shot87
99.5%
73
0.5%
Q4 - 6:47SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)87
99.6%
73
0.4%
Q4 - 6:49ORLMISS Howard Layup87
99.6%
73
0.4%
Q4 - 7:09SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 1 (24 PTS)87
99.3%
73
0.7%
Q4 - 7:24SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)84
98.8%
73
1.2%
Q4 - 7:25ORLMISS Nelson 15' Jump Shot84
98.7%
73
1.3%
Q4 - 7:38SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)84
98.4%
73
1.6%
Q4 - 7:38SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)83
98.3%
73
1.7%
Q4 - 7:42SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)82
98.0%
73
2.0%
Q4 - 7:44SASMISS Van Exel 3PT Jump Shot82
97.5%
73
2.5%
Q4 - 7:53SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)82
98.0%
73
2.0%
Q4 - 7:54ORLMISS Turkoglu 15' Jump Shot82
97.8%
73
2.2%
Q4 - 8:17SASDuncan Layup (21 PTS) (Ginobili 3 AST)82
96.7%
73
3.3%
Q4 - 8:23ORLGarrity Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T13)80
95.8%
73
4.2%
Q4 - 8:40SASDuncan Foul Turnover (P2.T12)80
94.7%
73
5.3%
Q4 - 8:55ORLCato Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)80
95.9%
73
4.1%
Q4 - 8:55ORLCato Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)80
96.1%
72
3.9%
Q4 - 8:59ORLCato REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)80
96.7%
71
3.3%
Q4 - 9:02SASMISS Duncan 21' Jump Shot80
96.7%
71
3.3%
Q4 - 9:11SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)80
97.2%
71
2.8%
Q4 - 9:13ORLMISS Diener 26' 3PT Jump Shot80
97.0%
71
3.0%
Q4 - 9:19SASCato STEAL (1 STL)80
96.4%
71
3.6%
Q4 - 9:27SASMISS Finley Free Throw Technical80
97.2%
71
2.8%
Q4 - 9:27ORLCato Foul Turnover (P1.T12)80
97.2%
71
2.8%
Q4 - 9:39SASDuncan Driving Layup (19 PTS)80
96.4%
71
3.6%
Q4 - 9:53ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)78
95.6%
71
4.4%
Q4 - 10:10ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)78
96.8%
68
3.2%
Q4 - 10:12SASMISS Bowen 25' 3PT Jump Shot78
97.0%
68
3.0%
Q4 - 10:20SASVan Exel REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)78
97.5%
68
2.5%
Q4 - 10:22ORLMISS Turkoglu 18' Jump Shot78
97.3%
68
2.7%
Q4 - 10:36ORLTurkoglu Free Throw Technical (8 PTS)78
96.8%
68
3.2%
Q4 - 10:47SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)78
97.4%
67
2.6%
Q4 - 10:47SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 277
97.3%
67
2.7%
Q4 - 11:07ORLGarrity 27' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Diener 1 AST)77
97.1%
67
2.9%
Q4 - 11:15ORLCato REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)77
98.1%
64
1.9%
Q4 - 11:17SASMISS Finley 17' Jump Shot77
98.2%
64
1.8%
Q4 - 11:40ORLDiener 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Stevenson 2 AST)77
98.5%
64
1.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0SAS77
99.0%
61
1.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0SASSpurs Rebound77
99.2%
61
0.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0SASMISS Horry 70' 3PT Jump Shot77
99.1%
61
0.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0SASHorry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)77
99.2%
61
0.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0ORLMISS Turkoglu 25' 3PT Jump Shot77
99.1%
61
0.9%
Q3 - 0:06.0SASMohammed Layup (2 PTS)77
98.8%
61
1.2%
Q3 - 0:28.0SASVan Exel REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)75
98.6%
61
1.4%
Q3 - 0:30.0SASMISS Finley 17' Jump Shot75
98.4%
61
1.6%
Q3 - 0:48.0SASFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)75
98.6%
61
1.4%
Q3 - 0:50.0ORLMISS Garrity 26' 3PT Jump Shot75
98.5%
61
1.5%
Q3 - 1:06SASHorry 15' Fadeaway Jumper (16 PTS)75
98.1%
61
1.9%
Q3 - 1:25ORLTurkoglu Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T11)73
97.7%
61
2.3%
Q3 - 1:42SASFinley 12' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Parker 7 AST)73
97.2%
61
2.8%
Q3 - 1:57SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)71
96.7%
61
3.3%
Q3 - 1:59ORLMISS Nelson 13' Running Jump Shot71
96.5%
61
3.5%
Q3 - 2:11ORLMAGIC Rebound71
95.5%
61
4.5%
Q3 - 2:11ORLMISS Nelson 8' Running Jump Shot71
96.1%
61
3.9%
Q3 - 2:24SASHorry 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Finley 4 AST)71
95.6%
61
4.4%
Q3 - 2:39ORLGarrity REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)68
93.8%
61
6.2%
Q3 - 2:39ORLGarrity Tip Shot (2 PTS)68
93.8%
61
6.2%
Q3 - 2:41ORLMISS Howard 9' Jump Shot68
95.4%
59
4.6%
Q3 - 3:00ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:5 Def:10)68
94.7%
59
5.3%
Q3 - 3:02SASMISS Parker 15' Jump Shot68
94.8%
59
5.2%
Q3 - 3:15ORLTurkoglu Foul Turnover (P3.T10)68
95.4%
59
4.6%
Q3 - 3:23ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)68
94.5%
59
5.5%
Q3 - 3:25SASHoward BLOCK (1 BLK)68
94.8%
59
5.2%
Q3 - 3:47ORLStevenson Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)68
95.4%
59
4.6%
Q3 - 3:47ORLStevenson Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)68
95.6%
58
4.4%
Q3 - 4:03SASParker 17' Jump Shot (14 PTS)68
95.9%
57
4.1%
Q3 - 4:17ORLHoward Traveling Turnover (P2.T9)66
95.3%
57
4.7%
Q3 - 4:31SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)66
94.3%
57
5.7%
Q3 - 4:31SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)65
94.0%
57
6.0%
Q3 - 4:48ORLTurkoglu 12' Fadeaway Jumper (7 PTS)64
93.5%
57
6.5%
Q3 - 5:09SASParker 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Duncan 4 AST)64
94.1%
55
5.9%
Q3 - 5:30SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)61
92.1%
55
7.9%
Q3 - 5:33ORLMISS Stevenson Driving Layup61
91.7%
55
8.3%
Q3 - 5:46SASBowen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Parker 6 AST)61
90.7%
55
9.3%
Q3 - 6:03SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)58
87.5%
55
12.5%
Q3 - 6:05ORLMISS Howard 8' Jump Hook Shot58
87.0%
55
13.0%
Q3 - 6:25SASGinobili Traveling Turnover (P2.T10)58
85.5%
55
14.5%
Q3 - 6:48ORLNelson Driving Layup (15 PTS)58
87.5%
55
12.5%
Q3 - 6:56ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:5 Def:9)58
89.1%
53
10.9%
Q3 - 6:58SASMISS Duncan 20' Jump Shot58
89.6%
53
10.4%
Q3 - 7:23ORLBattie Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)58
90.3%
53
9.7%
Q3 - 7:43SASBowen 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Duncan 3 AST)58
88.6%
53
11.4%
Q3 - 7:50SASSpurs Rebound56
87.2%
53
12.8%
Q3 - 7:50SASMISS Ginobili 3PT Jump Shot56
85.8%
53
14.2%
Q3 - 7:56SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)56
87.2%
53
12.8%
Q3 - 7:57SASMISS Nesterovic 21' Jump Shot56
85.8%
53
14.2%
Q3 - 8:07SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)56
87.4%
53
12.6%
Q3 - 8:08ORLMISS Howard Driving Layup56
86.8%
53
13.2%
Q3 - 8:29SASNesterovic 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Parker 5 AST)56
85.4%
53
14.6%
Q3 - 8:45SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)54
83.7%
53
16.3%
Q3 - 8:46ORLMISS Nelson 17' Jump Shot54
82.9%
53
17.1%
Q3 - 8:54ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:5 Def:8)54
81.1%
53
18.9%
Q3 - 8:56SASMISS Parker 8' Running Jump Shot54
81.9%
53
18.1%
Q3 - 9:11SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)54
83.9%
53
16.1%
Q3 - 9:13ORLMISS Howard 6' Hook Shot54
83.3%
53
16.7%
Q3 - 9:28ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:5 Def:7)54
81.7%
53
18.3%
Q3 - 9:29SASMISS Nesterovic Free Throw 2 of 254
82.0%
53
18.0%
Q3 - 9:29SASMISS Nesterovic Free Throw 1 of 254
83.0%
53
17.0%
Q3 - 9:46ORLNelson 21' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)54
83.9%
53
16.1%
Q3 - 9:58SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)54
85.7%
51
14.3%
Q3 - 9:58SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)53
85.2%
51
14.8%
Q3 - 9:58SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)52
83.9%
51
16.1%
Q3 - 10:00SASMISS Bowen 6' Jump Shot52
82.4%
51
17.6%
Q3 - 10:12ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)52
84.5%
51
15.5%
Q3 - 10:12ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)52
86.3%
50
13.7%
Q3 - 10:12ORLHoward Layup (12 PTS)52
86.3%
50
13.7%
Q3 - 10:13ORLMISS Howard Layup52
88.8%
48
11.2%
Q3 - 10:34SASDuncan 18' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)52
87.7%
48
12.3%
Q3 - 10:44SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)50
86.2%
48
13.8%
Q3 - 10:45ORLMISS Stevenson 16' Jump Shot50
85.7%
48
14.3%
Q3 - 11:02SASDuncan 4' Hook Shot (12 PTS) (Ginobili 2 AST)50
85.0%
48
15.0%
Q3 - 11:20ORLBattie 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Stevenson 1 AST)48
83.2%
48
16.8%
Q3 - 11:40SASDuncan 8' Hook Shot (10 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)48
84.9%
46
15.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0ORL46
83.1%
46
16.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0SASHorry 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Bowen 3 AST)46
81.0%
46
19.0%
Q2 - 0:01.0ORLNelson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)43
76.6%
46
23.4%
Q2 - 0:20.0ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)43
74.9%
46
25.1%
Q2 - 0:22.0SASMISS Horry 28' 3PT Jump Shot43
75.4%
46
24.6%
Q2 - 0:41.0ORLNelson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Battie 1 AST)43
76.6%
46
23.4%
Q2 - 0:48.0SASBattie STEAL (2 STL)43
81.6%
43
18.4%
Q2 - 1:02ORLStevenson Slam Dunk (13 PTS)43
82.8%
43
17.2%
Q2 - 1:06SASStevenson STEAL (1 STL)43
85.4%
41
14.6%
Q2 - 1:13SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)43
86.2%
41
13.8%
Q2 - 1:15ORLMISS Stevenson 15' Jump Shot43
85.9%
41
14.1%
Q2 - 1:28SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)43
85.4%
41
14.6%
Q2 - 1:28SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)42
84.9%
41
15.1%
Q2 - 1:44ORLStevenson 19' Jump Shot (11 PTS)41
82.8%
41
17.2%
Q2 - 1:58ORLStevenson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)41
85.4%
39
14.6%
Q2 - 2:00SASMISS Udrih 19' Jump Shot41
85.6%
39
14.4%
Q2 - 2:15ORLStevenson 16' Fadeaway Jumper (9 PTS)41
86.5%
39
13.5%
Q2 - 2:29ORLStevenson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)41
88.0%
37
12.0%
Q2 - 2:31SASMISS Bowen 3PT Jump Shot41
88.3%
37
11.7%
Q2 - 2:44ORLNelson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)41
89.1%
37
10.9%
Q2 - 2:53ORLStevenson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)41
88.0%
37
12.0%
Q2 - 3:01SASMISS Udrih Free Throw 1 of 141
88.1%
37
11.9%
Q2 - 3:14SASMohammed REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)39
86.8%
37
13.2%
Q2 - 3:17ORLMISS Howard 10' Jump Shot39
86.3%
37
13.7%
Q2 - 3:42SASHoward STEAL (2 STL)39
85.1%
37
14.9%
Q2 - 4:03ORLNelson 22' Jump Shot (8 PTS)39
86.9%
37
13.1%
Q2 - 4:17SASFinley 7' Jump Shot (5 PTS)39
88.1%
35
11.9%
Q2 - 4:34SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)37
86.9%
35
13.1%
Q2 - 4:36ORLMISS Augmon Layup37
86.5%
35
13.5%
Q2 - 4:48SASAugmon STEAL (1 STL)37
85.5%
35
14.5%
Q2 - 4:52SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)37
86.9%
35
13.1%
Q2 - 4:53ORLMISS Turkoglu 13' Jump Shot37
86.5%
35
13.5%
Q2 - 5:02SASBattie STEAL (1 STL)37
85.6%
35
14.4%
Q2 - 5:12SASBarry Free Throw Technical (2 PTS)37
87.1%
35
12.9%
Q2 - 5:27ORLJump Ball Howard vs. Duncan: Tip to Mohammed36
85.8%
35
14.2%
Q2 - 5:27ORLMISS Howard Layup36
85.3%
35
14.7%
Q2 - 5:46SASDuncan 8' Jump Bank Shot (6 PTS)36
84.2%
35
15.8%
Q2 - 5:57ORLTurkoglu Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)34
82.7%
35
17.3%
Q2 - 6:04ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)34
81.2%
35
18.8%
Q2 - 6:06SASMISS Van Exel 26' 3PT Jump Shot34
81.8%
35
18.2%
Q2 - 6:24ORLHoward Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)34
83.2%
35
16.8%
Q2 - 6:33SASVan Exel Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)34
81.2%
35
18.8%
Q2 - 6:33SASVan Exel Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)33
80.9%
35
19.1%
Q2 - 6:40SASMohammed REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
79.8%
35
20.2%
Q2 - 6:41ORLMISS Battie 17' Jump Shot32
79.2%
35
20.8%
Q2 - 6:53ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)32
77.6%
35
22.4%
Q2 - 6:54SASMISS Duncan Layup32
78.3%
35
21.7%
Q2 - 7:09SASSpurs Rebound32
80.2%
35
19.8%
Q2 - 7:10SASMISS Duncan 10' Jump Shot32
78.9%
35
21.1%
Q2 - 7:28ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)32
80.2%
35
19.8%
Q2 - 7:28ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)32
80.7%
34
19.3%
Q2 - 7:28ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)32
81.7%
33
18.3%
Q2 - 7:28ORLMISS Turkoglu Layup32
82.8%
33
17.2%
Q2 - 7:30ORLMAGIC Rebound32
81.7%
33
18.3%
Q2 - 7:31ORLMISS Howard Layup32
82.8%
33
17.2%
Q2 - 7:41ORLStevenson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)32
81.7%
33
18.3%
Q2 - 7:43SASMISS Ginobili 26' 3PT Jump Shot32
82.2%
33
17.8%
Q2 - 7:49ORLBattie Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)32
83.3%
33
16.7%
Q2 - 8:04ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)32
81.5%
33
18.5%
Q2 - 8:06SASMISS Van Exel Free Throw 2 of 232
81.8%
33
18.2%
Q2 - 8:06SASVan Exel Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)32
82.7%
33
17.3%
Q2 - 8:20ORLDiener 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Garrity 2 AST)31
81.8%
33
18.2%
Q2 - 8:33ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)31
84.5%
30
15.5%
Q2 - 8:35SASMISS Barry Free Throw 2 of 231
84.7%
30
15.3%
Q2 - 8:35SASMISS Barry Free Throw 1 of 231
85.6%
30
14.4%
Q2 - 8:35SASBarry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)31
85.9%
30
14.1%
Q2 - 8:37ORLMISS Augmon 4' Jump Shot31
85.5%
30
14.5%
Q2 - 8:58ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)31
84.5%
30
15.5%
Q2 - 9:00SASMISS Nesterovic 15' Fadeaway Jumper31
84.9%
30
15.1%
Q2 - 9:21ORLHoward 5' Jump Hook Shot (8 PTS)31
86.0%
30
14.0%
Q2 - 9:42SASNesterovic Layup (6 PTS) (Finley 3 AST)31
87.1%
28
12.9%
Q2 - 10:00ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 1 (6 PTS)29
86.0%
28
14.0%
Q2 - 10:12ORLStevenson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)29
87.9%
25
12.1%
Q2 - 10:15SASMISS Finley 3PT Jump Shot29
88.3%
25
11.7%
Q2 - 10:24SASBarry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
89.1%
25
10.9%
Q2 - 10:26ORLMISS Augmon 10' Jump Shot29
88.7%
25
11.3%
Q2 - 10:43SASHorry Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)29
88.0%
25
12.0%
Q2 - 10:53SASFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
89.1%
25
10.9%
Q2 - 10:54ORLMISS Cato 8' Hook Shot29
88.8%
25
11.2%
Q2 - 11:12SASHorry Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)29
88.1%
25
11.9%
Q2 - 11:12SASHorry Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)28
87.9%
25
12.1%
Q2 - 11:20SASHorry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)27
87.1%
25
12.9%
Q2 - 11:22ORLMISS Stevenson Layup27
86.7%
25
13.3%
Q2 - 11:40ORLCato REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)27
85.9%
25
14.1%
Q2 - 11:41SASMISS Barry Free Throw 2 of 227
86.1%
25
13.9%
Q2 - 11:41SASBarry Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)27
86.9%
25
13.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0ORL26
85.9%
25
14.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0ORLMAGIC Rebound26
84.7%
25
15.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0ORLMISS Nelson 25' 3PT Jump Shot26
85.5%
25
14.5%
Q1 - 0:03.0SASFinley 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)26
84.8%
25
15.2%
Q1 - 0:25.0ORLTurkoglu Traveling Turnover (P1.T2)23
81.8%
25
18.2%
Q1 - 0:41.0ORLMAGIC Rebound23
80.7%
25
19.3%
Q1 - 0:42.0SASMISS Barry 28' 3PT Jump Shot23
81.1%
25
18.9%
Q1 - 0:59.0SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
81.9%
25
18.1%
Q1 - 1:00ORLMISS Turkoglu 17' Fadeaway Jumper23
81.5%
25
18.5%
Q1 - 1:10SASHorry Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)23
80.8%
25
19.2%
Q1 - 1:10SASMISS Horry Free Throw 1 of 222
80.5%
25
19.5%
Q1 - 1:19ORLTurkoglu 21' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Garrity 1 AST)22
80.5%
25
19.5%
Q1 - 1:34ORLGarrity REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
82.2%
23
17.8%
Q1 - 1:35SASMISS Parker Free Throw 2 of 222
82.4%
23
17.6%
Q1 - 1:35SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)22
83.2%
23
16.8%
Q1 - 1:53ORLNelson Driving Layup (6 PTS)21
81.9%
23
18.1%
Q1 - 1:58SASTurkoglu STEAL (1 STL)21
83.6%
21
16.4%
Q1 - 2:06SASHorry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
84.9%
21
15.1%
Q1 - 2:08ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)21
83.8%
21
16.2%
Q1 - 2:08ORLMISS Howard Layup21
84.6%
21
15.4%
Q1 - 2:10ORLMISS Nelson Layup21
84.6%
21
15.4%
Q1 - 2:16ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
83.8%
21
16.2%
Q1 - 2:18SASMISS Ginobili Layup21
84.1%
21
15.9%
Q1 - 2:35ORLStevenson Driving Layup (7 PTS)21
84.9%
21
15.1%
Q1 - 2:57SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)21
86.2%
19
13.8%
Q1 - 2:57SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)20
85.8%
19
14.2%
Q1 - 3:10ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)19
85.1%
19
14.9%
Q1 - 3:13ORLStevenson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)19
87.1%
16
12.9%
Q1 - 3:16ORLMISS Nelson Layup19
87.9%
16
12.1%
Q1 - 3:20ORLCato REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
87.1%
16
12.9%
Q1 - 3:23SASMISS Duncan 8' Jump Shot19
87.5%
16
12.5%
Q1 - 3:40ORLNelson 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS)19
88.2%
16
11.8%
Q1 - 3:46SASHoward STEAL (1 STL)19
89.0%
14
11.0%
Q1 - 4:00ORLNelson 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)19
90.0%
14
10.0%
Q1 - 4:15SASHorry 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Bowen 1 AST)19
90.7%
12
9.3%
Q1 - 4:22SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)16
89.3%
12
10.7%
Q1 - 4:26ORLMISS Cato Layup16
89.0%
12
11.0%
Q1 - 4:46SASHorry Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Duncan 2 AST)16
88.3%
12
11.7%
Q1 - 5:08SASHorry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
87.6%
12
12.4%
Q1 - 5:09ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 214
87.5%
12
12.5%
Q1 - 5:09ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)14
87.0%
12
13.0%
Q1 - 5:09ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)14
87.5%
11
12.5%
Q1 - 5:11ORLMISS Nelson 10' Jump Shot14
88.2%
11
11.8%
Q1 - 5:23SASParker 22' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Finley 2 AST)14
87.5%
11
12.5%
Q1 - 5:41ORLStevenson 19' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Turkoglu 1 AST)12
86.7%
11
13.3%
Q1 - 5:57SASParker Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)12
87.5%
9
12.5%
Q1 - 6:09ORLStevenson 4' Running Jump Shot (3 PTS)10
86.6%
9
13.4%
Q1 - 6:25SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)10
87.5%
7
12.5%
Q1 - 6:25SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)9
87.3%
7
12.7%
Q1 - 6:47ORLHoward Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Nelson 1 AST)8
86.6%
7
13.4%
Q1 - 6:56ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)8
87.5%
5
12.5%
Q1 - 6:58SASMISS Parker Layup8
87.8%
5
12.2%
Q1 - 7:14ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)8
88.5%
5
11.5%
Q1 - 7:14ORLBattie Follow Up Dunk (4 PTS)8
88.5%
5
11.5%
Q1 - 7:15ORLMISS Stevenson Driving Layup8
89.7%
3
10.3%
Q1 - 7:32ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)8
89.1%
3
10.9%
Q1 - 7:35ORLMISS Turkoglu 15' Jump Shot8
89.7%
3
10.3%
Q1 - 7:48ORLStevenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
89.1%
3
10.9%
Q1 - 7:50SASMISS Parker 16' Jump Shot8
89.4%
3
10.6%
Q1 - 8:14ORLBattie Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)8
90.3%
3
9.7%
Q1 - 8:14ORLBattie Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)8
90.5%
2
9.5%
Q1 - 8:14ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)8
90.9%
1
9.1%
Q1 - 8:14ORLMISS Battie 15' Jump Shot8
91.3%
1
8.7%
Q1 - 8:32SASNesterovic Layup (4 PTS) (Finley 1 AST)8
90.9%
1
9.1%
Q1 - 8:48ORLStevenson Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)6
90.3%
1
9.7%
Q1 - 8:48ORLMISS Stevenson Free Throw 1 of 26
90.5%
0
9.5%
Q1 - 9:03SASDuncan 7' Hook Bank Shot (2 PTS)6
90.1%
0
9.9%
Q1 - 9:20SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
89.6%
0
10.4%
Q1 - 9:21ORLMISS Howard 18' Jump Shot4
89.4%
0
10.6%
Q1 - 9:38SASGinobili Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T1)4
88.7%
0
11.3%
Q1 - 9:48ORLMAGIC Turnover: Shot Clock (T#1)4
89.6%
0
10.4%
Q1 - 9:48ORLMAGIC Rebound4
88.7%
0
11.3%
Q1 - 9:48ORLMISS Stevenson 22' Jump Shot4
89.4%
0
10.6%
Q1 - 10:16SASNesterovic 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)4
88.7%
0
11.3%
Q1 - 10:25SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
88.1%
0
11.9%
Q1 - 10:26ORLMISS Howard Layup2
87.8%
0
12.2%
Q1 - 10:49SASGinobili Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)2
87.1%
0
12.9%
Q1 - 11:03SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
86.4%
0
13.6%
Q1 - 11:05ORLMISS Battie 15' Jump Shot0
86.1%
0
13.9%
Q1 - 11:19ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
85.5%
0
14.5%
Q1 - 11:21SASMISS Duncan 19' Jump Shot0
85.8%
0
14.2%
Q1 - 11:36SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
86.4%
0
13.6%
Q1 - 11:38ORLMISS Howard Reverse Layup0
86.1%
0
13.9%
Q1 - 12:00ORLJump Ball Howard vs. Nesterovic: Tip to Nelson0
85.5%
0
14.5%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.24 61.8%
ORL
0.89 44.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
SAS
16
21
76%
ORL
13
32
41%
Midrange
SAS
16
32
50%
ORL
12
41
29%
3PT | Effective 3PT
SAS
7
10.5
18
39%
58%
ORL
5
7.5
11
45%
68%
Free Throws
SAS
25
36
69%
ORL
20
22
91%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Duncan2662%13.0 / 21
T. Parker2071%10.0 / 14
R. Horry1882%9.0 / 11
R. Nesterovic857%4.0 / 7
B. Bowen758%3.5 / 6
M. Finley758%3.5 / 6
B. Udrih788%3.5 / 4
N. Mohammed675%3.0 / 4
M. Ginobili440%2.0 / 5
B. Barry440%2.0 / 5
N. Van Exel338%1.5 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Nelson2056%10.0 / 18
D. Stevenson1554%7.5 / 14
D. Howard1331%6.5 / 21
H. Turkoglu1146%5.5 / 12
T. Diener990%4.5 / 5
P. Garrity770%3.5 / 5
T. Battie650%3.0 / 6
K. Cato233%1.0 / 3
T. Morris233%1.0 / 3
S. Augmon0-0.0 / 4
B. Outlaw0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

SAS
78
+10
-13
88
ORL
77
+16
-13
93
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.24 61.8%
ORL
0.89 44.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
107.1
106.6
SAS 120.9
ORL 94.4 +26.4
Pace
88.8
88.1
SAS 82.5
ORL 100.4 +17.9
Avg. Poss. Time
16.9
16.6
SAS 17.5
ORL 14.3 +3.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.3%
49.6%
SAS 59.9% +21.2%
ORL 38.7%
TO %
14.8%
16.2%
SAS 13.0%
ORL 13.0%
ORB %
26.1%
28.6%
SAS 20.6%
ORL 22.4% +1.8%
FTrt
29.8
36.9
SAS 50.7 +24.5
ORL 26.2
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.4%
51.4%
SAS 64.1% +27.4%
ORL 36.7%
STL %
7.4%
7.3%
SAS 4.4%
ORL 8.9% +4.5%
BLK %
8.4%
7.2%
SAS 13.7% +9.9%
ORL 3.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.1%
52.5%
SAS 61.8% +17.5%
ORL 44.3%
Rim FG%
61.7%
57.7%
SAS 76.2% +35.6%
ORL 40.6%
Mid FG%
39.0%
41.0%
SAS 50.0% +20.7%
ORL 29.3%
3P %
38.5%
37.6%
SAS 38.9%
ORL 45.5% +6.6%
FT %
70.2%
73.0%
SAS 69.4%
ORL 90.9% +21.5%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
36.7%
39.9%
SAS 29.6%
ORL 38.1% +8.5%
Mid Att. %
41.8%
47.2%
SAS 45.1% +3.7%
ORL 48.8%
3P Att. %
21.5%
12.9%
SAS 25.4% +12.3%
ORL 13.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsSASORL
Possessions9190
Possession Minutes26.521.5
Points11085
Rebounds4538
Assists2511
Steals48
Blocks102
Turnovers (Team)13 (0)13 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)7 (3)11 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)38 (1)27 (1)
Field Goals39-7130-84
At-the-Rim FG16-2113-32
Midrange FG16-3212-41
2-Point FG32-5325-73
3-Point FG7-185-11
Free Throws25-3620-22
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'11" 250 · 30
34.6
26
62%
12
4
1
5
2
3
2
10
8-9
89%
9-17
53%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 200 · 34
32.6
7
58%
4
3
1
0
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
2-3
67%
1-3
33%
G · 6'2" 185 · 24
29.6
20
71%
3
7
0
0
4
2
0
3
5-6
83%
6-10
60%
1-1
100%
G · 6'6" 205 · 28
20.6
4
40%
3
4
0
0
2
2
0
3
2-2
100%
1-2
50%
0-2
0%
C · 7'0" 255 · 30
19.9
8
57%
2
0
0
2
0
3
1
1
0-2
0%
4-6
67%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 33
29.3
7
58%
5
4
0
0
1
1
1
4
0-1
0%
2-4
50%
1-2
50%
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 35
20.9
18
82%
7
0
0
2
3
3
1
6
3-4
75%
3-4
75%
3-5
60%
C · 6'10" 250 · 28
15.2
6
75%
3
0
0
1
1
2
1
2
0-0
-
3-4
75%
0-0
-
G · 6'7" 210 · 34
14.3
4
40%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
2-5
40%
1-1
100%
0-2
0%
G · 6'1" 190 · 34
11.8
3
38%
2
0
2
0
0
0
1
1
3-4
75%
0-0
-
0-2
0%
G · 6'3" 205 · 23
7.9
7
88%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
2-3
67%
1-2
50%
1-1
100%
C · 6'10" 245 · 31
3.3
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
#40 · F-C · 6'10" 250 · 30
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
110
62%
45
25
4
10
13
0
7
38
25-36
69%
32-53
60%
7-18
39%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.