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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
December 10, 2005
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
20Celtics23%8794
5Mavericks77%96103
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 28.2
44.6
36.7
28
60%
6
6
0
1
0
1
0
6
7-10
70%
9-16
6-12
56%
47%
1-3
33%
Ricky Davis
G · 6'7" 195 · 26.2
36.8
40.6
20
59%
5
5
0
1
0
3
0
5
0-0
-
7-14
6-14
50%
47%
2-3
67%
Delonte West
G · 6'3" 180 · 22.4
31.4
32.6
6
43%
1
5
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
3-5
3-6
60%
47%
0-2
0%
Mark Blount
C-F · 7'0" 250 · 30.0
26.1
28.9
4
40%
1
3
0
1
0
3
1
0
0-0
-
2-5
5-9
40%
50%
0-0
-
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 21.1
11.5
19.3
0
0%
3
0
0
0
0
0
2
1
0-2
0%
0-0
2-4
-
47%
0-0
-
Raef LaFrentz
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 29.5
29.0
20.4
10
56%
5
0
0
0
1
1
0
5
0-0
-
2-5
2-3
40%
50%
2-4
50%
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 20.9
27.5
19.4
21
71%
12
1
0
0
2
2
5
7
1-2
50%
10-14
3-6
71%
49%
0-0
-
Ryan Gomes
F · 6'7" 245 · 23.3
14.3
6.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
42%
0-0
-
Orien Greene
G · 6'4" 208 · 23.8
12.8
15.1
2
100%
1
1
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
40%
0-0
-
Dan Dickau
G · 6'0" 180 · 27.2
5.8
6.2
3
50%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
41%
1-1
100%
Justin Reed
F · 6'8" 240 · 23.9
0.3
6.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
42%
0-0
-
Brian Scalabrine
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.7
7.9
0
1-1
41%
Marcus Banks
G · 6'2" 205 · 24.1
Gerald Green
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 19.9
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 23.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Adrian Griffin
G-F · 6'5" 230 · 31.4
40.8
25.1
11
62%
10
4
1
1
1
0
6
4
1-2
50%
5-8
3-6
63%
44%
0-0
-
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 24.9
40.3
38.7
15
48%
4
3
2
2
0
1
3
1
3-6
50%
6-13
5-11
46%
49%
0-0
-
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 27.5
38.2
37.1
24
49%
9
4
1
1
1
1
0
9
10-10
100%
7-19
8-16
37%
49%
0-1
0%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 28.2
22.6
15.0
12
55%
1
4
2
1
0
2
0
1
1-2
50%
1-4
2-4
25%
52%
3-6
50%
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 30.4
20.6
28.2
6
100%
3
0
1
0
1
2
0
3
0-0
-
3-3
3-6
100%
54%
0-0
-
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 22.8
28.2
35.6
19
76%
3
4
1
2
0
1
1
2
13-17
76%
3-5
5-11
60%
49%
0-0
-
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 23.9
26.5
17.8
3
52%
5
0
0
1
5
0
1
4
1-2
50%
1-2
1-3
50%
42%
0-0
-
Keith Van Horn
F · 6'10" 245 · 30.1
19.0
25.3
9
56%
2
0
1
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
3-5
3-6
60%
49%
1-3
33%
Darrell Armstrong
G · 6'1" 180 · 37.5
3.4
15.7
4
72%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
4-4
100%
0-1
1-2
0%
44%
0-0
-
Rawle Marshall
G-F · 6'7" 190 · 23.8
0.5
1.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
48%
0-0
-
Josh Powell
F · 6'9" 240 · 22.9
1.9
0
0-0
50%
DJ Mbenga
C · 7'0" 255 · 24.9
1.0
0
0-0
52%
Pavel Podkolzin
C · 7'5" 260 · 20.9
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 25.6
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 31.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.