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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
December 3, 2005
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
23Hornets18%8788
3Mavericks82%9997
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 20.6
38.8
36.0
25
64%
6
5
3
2
0
0
0
6
7-8
88%
9-14
4-9
64%
43%
0-2
0%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 25.3
35.1
37.2
9
38%
4
2
0
1
2
3
1
3
3-4
75%
3-10
6-12
30%
48%
0-0
-
P.J. Brown
F-C · 6'11" 239 · 36.1
34.4
33.2
5
39%
6
1
0
1
1
1
1
5
1-1
100%
2-6
4-8
33%
45%
0-0
-
Desmond Mason
G · 6'5" 222 · 28.1
30.2
30.7
3
24%
2
0
0
1
0
2
0
2
1-3
33%
1-5
4-10
20%
43%
0-0
-
JR Smith
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 20.2
27.6
29.2
11
53%
2
1
0
1
0
4
1
1
2-3
67%
3-6
3-8
50%
44%
1-3
33%
Speedy Claxton
G · 5'11" 170 · 27.6
32.4
25.4
21
54%
5
2
2
1
0
2
2
3
3-3
100%
9-17
3-8
53%
43%
0-1
0%
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 27.4
19.7
16.5
5
91%
4
0
0
0
0
1
1
3
3-4
75%
1-1
2-4
100%
48%
0-0
-
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 26.5
18.7
14.7
4
25%
3
0
0
0
2
1
2
1
0-0
-
2-7
1-3
29%
41%
0-1
0%
Kirk Snyder
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 22.5
1.5
6.2
3
150%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
40%
1-1
100%
Arvydas Macijauskas
G · 6'4" 214 · 25.9
1.5
1.3
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
41%
0-0
-
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 20.6
7.5
0
1-2
44%
Jackson Vroman
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 24.5
2.6
0
0-1
44%
Bostjan Nachbar
F · 6'9" 221 · 25.4
Maciej Lampe
F · 6'11" 275 · 20.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 28.2
38.1
36.9
20
78%
3
3
2
1
2
2
0
3
4-4
100%
5-8
5-10
63%
52%
2-3
67%
Adrian Griffin
G-F · 6'5" 230 · 31.4
35.3
6.6
8
50%
7
1
1
0
2
1
2
5
0-0
-
4-8
1-2
50%
42%
0-0
-
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 24.9
32.3
37.7
13
51%
3
5
2
2
0
3
0
3
3-4
75%
5-11
5-11
45%
49%
0-0
-
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 27.5
31.7
39.1
30
72%
8
1
1
1
0
0
1
7
8-9
89%
8-15
7-15
53%
49%
2-2
100%
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 30.4
20.7
26.7
3
26%
7
0
0
0
2
2
4
3
1-2
50%
1-5
3-5
20%
55%
0-0
-
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 22.8
26.6
27.0
12
65%
5
5
0
1
1
2
1
4
4-5
80%
4-7
4-8
57%
50%
0-0
-
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 23.8
25.9
16.8
1
13%
8
1
1
1
1
2
3
5
1-2
50%
0-3
1-3
0%
42%
0-0
-
Keith Van Horn
F · 6'10" 245 · 30.1
24.9
27.3
10
42%
2
2
0
1
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
5-9
3-6
56%
49%
0-3
0%
Josh Powell
F · 6'9" 240 · 22.9
1.5
4.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
49%
0-0
-
Rawle Marshall
G-F · 6'7" 190 · 23.8
1.5
1.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
48%
0-0
-
DJ Mbenga
C · 7'0" 255 · 24.9
1.5
1.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
52%
0-0
-
Darrell Armstrong
G · 6'1" 180 · 37.4
6.1
0
0-1
45%
Pavel Podkolzin
C · 7'5" 260 · 20.9
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 25.6
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 31.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.