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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
December 1, 2005
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
4Spurs40%9092
3Mavericks60%9390
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 23.5
40.2
32.8
30
58%
4
5
1
1
0
2
1
3
4-7
57%
13-22
6-13
59%
51%
0-1
0%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 29.6
38.3
34.8
13
42%
14
2
0
1
1
2
3
11
5-8
63%
4-12
7-15
33%
50%
0-0
-
Bruce Bowen
F · 6'7" 200 · 34.5
38.1
32.8
7
40%
5
1
0
1
1
0
0
5
2-4
50%
1-3
1-3
33%
41%
1-4
25%
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 32.7
34.9
23.9
15
51%
3
2
2
1
0
2
0
3
4-6
67%
4-9
2-5
44%
44%
1-3
33%
Rasho Nesterovic
C · 7'0" 255 · 29.5
24.3
22.6
6
75%
7
0
0
0
0
1
2
5
0-0
-
3-4
3-5
75%
47%
0-0
-
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 28.2
17.9
14.7
10
56%
5
1
0
0
1
0
1
4
2-2
100%
4-8
2-4
50%
48%
0-0
-
Brent Barry
G · 6'7" 210 · 33.9
16.2
11.3
5
83%
3
1
0
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
49%
1-1
100%
Robert Horry
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 35.3
15.2
14.7
0
0%
3
0
1
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
43%
0-2
0%
Nick Van Exel
G · 6'1" 190 · 34.0
14.9
15.3
6
77%
1
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
2-3
1-3
67%
42%
0-0
-
Sean Marks
F-C · 6'10" 250 · 30.3
8.2
0
1-2
42%
Fabricio Oberto
C · 6'10" 245 · 30.7
4.6
0
0-1
48%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 23.4
3.8
0
0-1
45%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 28.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 24.9
43.1
35.4
24
46%
8
3
1
2
0
2
3
5
8-12
67%
8-20
4-9
40%
46%
0-1
0%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 27.5
41.6
38.3
14
42%
9
6
0
1
0
0
1
8
7-8
88%
2-12
7-15
17%
46%
1-1
100%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 28.2
37.7
37.4
18
60%
2
0
2
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
6-10
5-10
60%
50%
2-5
40%
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 30.4
27.8
26.4
7
61%
7
1
0
0
2
1
3
4
1-4
25%
3-4
3-6
75%
52%
0-0
-
Darrell Armstrong
G · 6'1" 180 · 37.4
2.4
8.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
43%
0-0
-
Keith Van Horn
F · 6'10" 245 · 30.1
34.7
23.5
12
52%
3
0
1
1
0
3
0
3
7-8
88%
1-4
3-6
25%
47%
1-4
25%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 22.8
26.2
27.9
7
31%
5
4
1
1
0
1
2
3
1-3
33%
3-10
4-8
30%
48%
0-0
-
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 23.8
16.8
17.0
8
80%
9
0
1
0
1
1
4
5
0-0
-
4-5
1-3
80%
39%
0-0
-
Adrian Griffin
G-F · 6'5" 230 · 31.4
9.6
5.2
0
0%
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
40%
0-0
-
Josh Powell
F · 6'9" 240 · 22.9
5.5
0
1-1
46%
Rawle Marshall
G-F · 6'7" 190 · 23.8
1.3
0
0-0
44%
DJ Mbenga
C · 7'0" 255 · 24.9
1.2
0
0-0
47%
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 31.1
Pavel Podkolzin
C · 7'5" 260 · 20.9
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 25.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.