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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
December 10, 2005
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
26Raptors40%97111
24Bobcats60%100103
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 24.2
42.3
33.3
5
40%
7
4
1
1
0
5
3
4
3-3
100%
1-4
3-6
25%
46%
0-1
0%
Morris Peterson
G · 6'7" 220 · 28.3
39.3
31.0
12
38%
7
1
0
1
0
0
1
6
3-4
75%
3-9
3-6
33%
46%
1-5
20%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 21.7
37.9
36.8
30
56%
11
5
1
1
4
2
2
9
10-13
77%
10-21
7-15
48%
48%
0-0
-
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 30.5
36.2
30.1
22
61%
2
6
0
1
0
2
1
1
8-9
89%
7-13
4-8
54%
47%
0-1
0%
Rafael Araujo
C · 6'11" 270 · 25.3
13.0
12.1
4
50%
6
0
0
0
0
0
1
5
0-0
-
2-4
1-3
50%
46%
0-0
-
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 21.3
29.7
26.4
19
64%
9
0
3
1
0
1
4
5
4-4
100%
6-11
5-10
55%
48%
1-2
50%
Joey Graham
F · 6'7" 230 · 23.5
15.7
21.6
8
69%
5
1
0
1
0
1
2
3
3-4
75%
1-3
2-4
33%
47%
1-1
100%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 25.7
15.4
16.6
9
75%
3
1
0
1
1
0
2
1
0-0
-
3-3
1-3
100%
52%
1-3
33%
Jalen Rose
G-F · 6'8" 215 · 32.9
10.5
22.5
2
23%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-1
0%
1-3
3-6
33%
45%
0-1
0%
Darrick Martin
G · 5'11" 170 · 34.8
3.8
0
0-1
39%
Loren Woods
C · 7'2" 260 · 27.5
3.1
0
0-1
42%
Aaron Williams
C-F · 6'9" 235 · 34.2
1.8
0
0-0
49%
Eric Williams
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 33.4
Pape Sow
F · 6'10" 250 · 24.0
Alvin Williams
G · 6'5" 195 · 31.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 23.4
40.8
27.9
13
40%
14
1
2
1
1
1
6
8
3-5
60%
5-14
4-7
36%
51%
0-0
-
Brevin Knight
G · 5'10" 166 · 30.1
39.8
27.4
20
58%
3
12
1
2
0
2
1
2
2-3
67%
9-16
4-9
56%
44%
0-0
-
Kareem Rush
G · 6'6" 215 · 25.1
34.5
24.4
14
32%
5
3
2
1
0
1
2
3
1-2
50%
5-13
3-7
38%
45%
1-8
13%
Primoz Brezec
C · 7'1" 255 · 26.2
28.2
25.1
10
57%
5
1
0
0
0
0
2
3
4-4
100%
3-7
4-8
43%
53%
0-0
-
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 23.2
23.6
33.4
9
59%
5
1
0
1
3
1
2
3
3-6
50%
3-5
5-12
60%
46%
0-0
-
Jumaine Jones
F · 6'8" 230 · 26.8
24.9
10.7
16
73%
7
1
0
0
1
1
4
3
0-0
-
5-6
1-2
83%
49%
2-5
40%
Sean May
C-F · 6'9" 266 · 21.7
16.5
17.6
12
59%
4
0
1
1
0
1
2
2
4-5
80%
4-8
4-7
50%
49%
0-0
-
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 21.5
13.0
20.4
7
41%
3
1
2
1
0
1
2
1
0-1
0%
2-7
2-4
29%
42%
1-1
100%
Bernard Robinson
G-F · 6'6" 210 · 25.0
10.1
17.4
2
25%
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
47%
0-0
-
Matt Carroll
G · 6'6" 212 · 25.3
5.3
12.2
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
46%
0-0
-
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 25.6
3.4
20.0
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
43%
0-1
0%
Kevin Burleson
G · 6'3" 205 · 26.7
2.4
0
0-0
46%
Melvin Ely
C-F · 6'10" 260 · 27.6
Alan Anderson
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 23.2
Jake Voskuhl
C · 6'11" 255 · 28.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.