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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
November 29, 2005
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
26Magic27%8676
17Bulls73%9385
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Steve Francis
G · 6'3" 210 · 28.8
43.6
34.9
9
37%
3
8
1
1
0
6
2
1
5-7
71%
2-8
5-11
25%
44%
0-1
0%
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 26.7
41.5
31.5
20
78%
5
3
1
1
1
2
0
5
4-4
100%
2-5
3-8
40%
41%
4-6
67%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 20.0
38.8
33.8
17
63%
19
2
0
1
1
4
1
18
5-10
50%
6-9
5-10
67%
51%
0-0
-
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 24.7
25.1
36.4
4
29%
0
2
1
1
1
2
0
0
0-0
-
2-7
4-10
29%
43%
0-0
-
Tony Battie
C · 6'11" 240 · 29.8
19.5
25.1
2
29%
4
0
0
0
0
1
1
3
0-1
0%
1-3
3-6
33%
46%
0-0
-
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 23.8
32.6
24.3
13
55%
2
4
0
1
1
2
0
2
3-4
75%
2-5
3-7
40%
46%
2-5
40%
Pat Garrity
F · 6'9" 238 · 29.3
28.0
15.5
9
38%
4
1
0
0
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
3-7
1-2
43%
44%
1-5
20%
Kelvin Cato
C · 6'11" 275 · 31.3
7.5
14.2
2
100%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
2-3
100%
48%
0-0
-
Stacey Augmon
F-G · 6'8" 213 · 37.3
3.5
14.2
0
0%
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-4
0%
39%
0-0
-
Terence Morris
F · 6'9" 221 · 26.9
5.0
0
0-1
42%
Bo Outlaw
F · 6'8" 220 · 34.6
3.7
0
0-1
47%
Mario Kasun
C · 7'1" 260 · 25.7
2.5
0
0-1
47%
Keyon Dooling
G · 6'3" 195 · 25.6
Travis Diener
G · 6'1" 175 · 23.7
Grant Hill
F · 6'8" 225 · 33.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 24.9
43.7
37.3
20
55%
0
14
5
1
0
1
0
0
2-3
67%
6-8
4-9
75%
43%
2-9
22%
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 23.2
33.4
26.3
9
92%
7
1
2
1
0
1
3
4
1-2
50%
4-4
2-5
100%
51%
0-0
-
Andres Nocioni
· 6'7" 225 · 26.0
32.4
32.3
10
56%
11
4
2
1
1
2
3
8
0-0
-
2-6
4-8
33%
45%
2-3
67%
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 23.2
27.4
37.2
2
16%
3
3
2
1
0
0
1
2
0-1
0%
1-3
2-4
33%
42%
0-3
0%
Michael Sweetney
F · 6'8" 270 · 23.1
23.9
20.0
12
50%
4
0
1
0
0
3
0
4
4-9
44%
4-8
4-7
50%
52%
0-0
-
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 20.6
33.2
26.2
21
53%
5
0
1
1
0
1
1
4
2-2
100%
8-16
4-8
50%
48%
1-3
33%
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 22.7
20.4
26.1
7
35%
0
3
0
1
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
1-5
4-8
20%
43%
1-4
25%
Othella Harrington
F-C · 6'9" 235 · 31.8
10.6
13.4
2
26%
4
1
0
0
0
0
2
2
0-2
0%
1-3
2-5
33%
51%
0-0
-
Darius Songaila
F · 6'9" 248 · 27.8
6.0
12.7
2
50%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
51%
0-0
-
Eric Piatkowski
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 35.2
4.5
1.8
0
0%
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
48%
0-0
-
Eddie Basden
G · 6'5" 215 · 22.8
4.5
1.5
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
47%
0-1
0%
Malik Allen
F · 6'10" 255 · 27.4
2.1
0
0-1
45%
Tim Thomas
F · 6'10" 240 · 28.8
Jannero Pargo
G · 6'1" 185 · 26.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.