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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
December 1, 2005
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
21Lakers46%92105
23Jazz54%93101
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Lamar Odom
F · 6'10" 230 · 26.1
47.0
39.9
12
38%
13
9
0
1
1
2
5
8
4-6
67%
4-12
4-9
33%
48%
0-1
0%
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 27.3
44.3
40.7
30
43%
7
3
2
1
0
2
2
5
6-9
67%
9-25
10-22
36%
46%
2-6
33%
Smush Parker
G · 6'4" 190 · 24.5
38.3
27.7
21
72%
5
1
1
1
0
1
2
3
4-6
67%
4-7
2-5
57%
48%
3-5
60%
Chris Mihm
C · 7'0" 265 · 26.4
36.8
24.5
10
74%
7
1
0
0
2
2
2
5
4-4
100%
3-5
3-6
60%
48%
0-0
-
Brian Cook
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 25.0
14.8
23.1
6
61%
3
1
1
1
0
0
2
1
2-2
100%
2-4
3-6
50%
46%
0-0
-
Luke Walton
F · 6'8" 235 · 25.7
36.3
21.6
12
56%
4
2
0
1
1
4
1
3
4-4
100%
4-9
2-4
44%
46%
0-0
-
Sasha Vujacic
G · 6'7" 195 · 21.7
21.5
18.9
11
113%
2
1
1
1
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
0-0
1-2
-
39%
3-4
75%
Aaron McKie
G · 6'5" 209 · 33.2
10.7
8.3
1
17%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
1-2
50%
0-1
0-1
0%
45%
0-1
0%
Andrew Bynum
C · 7'0" 285 · 18.1
8.4
15.0
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-4
0%
0-0
2-4
-
46%
0-0
-
Devin Green
G-F · 6'7" 212 · 23.1
4.8
5.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
42%
0-0
-
Laron Profit
G-F · 6'5" 204 · 28.3
2.1
5.8
2
114%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
0-0
1-1
-
46%
0-0
-
Von Wafer
G · 6'5" 209 · 20.4
1.3
0
0-0
42%
Slava Medvedenko
F · 6'10" 253 · 26.7
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 23.7
Devean George
F · 6'8" 235 · 28.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 21.4
37.0
32.3
20
64%
7
4
2
1
0
0
2
5
5-8
63%
3-6
4-9
50%
44%
3-6
50%
Mehmet Okur
C · 6'11" 260 · 26.5
35.4
29.5
9
37%
3
1
0
1
1
2
1
2
5-7
71%
2-7
4-9
29%
49%
0-2
0%
Matt Harpring
F · 6'7" 230 · 29.5
32.4
19.5
16
49%
8
1
0
0
0
0
4
4
9-10
90%
2-11
3-7
18%
50%
1-1
100%
Gordan Giricek
G · 6'6" 220 · 28.4
22.4
28.9
7
36%
0
1
0
1
0
2
0
0
3-4
75%
2-4
4-9
50%
47%
0-4
0%
Greg Ostertag
C · 7'2" 280 · 32.7
10.6
19.7
2
100%
2
1
0
0
0
3
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
49%
0-0
-
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.8
35.3
26.7
9
37%
7
1
1
1
2
2
1
6
5-7
71%
2-7
3-7
29%
49%
0-2
0%
Devin Brown
G · 6'5" 210 · 26.9
27.6
24.6
13
61%
5
0
0
1
0
2
0
5
6-6
100%
2-7
3-6
29%
43%
1-1
100%
Jarron Collins
C · 6'11" 249 · 27.0
21.5
14.9
9
95%
5
0
0
0
0
0
3
2
3-4
75%
3-3
1-2
100%
46%
0-0
-
Milt Palacio
G · 6'4" 210 · 27.8
16.1
23.6
2
100%
0
2
0
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
3-6
100%
43%
0-0
-
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 20.8
16.1
20.9
3
22%
8
0
1
1
1
0
3
5
1-2
50%
1-6
3-7
17%
45%
0-0
-
Andre Owens
G · 6'4" 200 · 25.1
10.3
7.4
11
67%
2
0
0
0
0
1
2
0
5-5
100%
3-6
1-2
50%
44%
0-0
-
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 18.7
0.2
9.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
45%
0-0
-
Robert Whaley
C · 6'10" 260 · 23.6
Keith McLeod
G · 6'2" 190 · 26.1
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 24.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.